Working Papers

From University of Pretoria, Department of Economics
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200834: DYNAMIC HEALTH CARE DECISIONS AND CHILD HEALTH IN SOUTH AFRICA

Olufunke Alaba and Steven Koch

200833: Should the SARB Have Stayed Time Inconsistent?

Rangan Gupta and Josine Uwilingiye

200832: Tobacco Substitution and the Poor

Steven Koch and Gauthier Kashalala

200831: COULD WE HAVE PREDICTED THE RECENT DOWNTURN IN THE SOUTH AFRICAN HOUSING MARKET?

Sonali Das, Rangan Gupta and Alain Kabundi

200830: Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables in a Small Open Economy: A Comparison between Small- and Large-Scale Models

Rangan Gupta and Alain Kabundi

200829: Optimal Public Policy with Endogenous Mortality

Rangan Gupta and Emmanuel Ziramba

200828: FINDING THE OPTIMUM LEVEL OF TAXES IN SOUTH AFRICA: A BALANCED BUDGET APPROACH

Yolande van Heerden and Nicolaas Schoeman

200827: Exchange Rate Puzzles: A Review of the Recent Theoretical and Empirical Developments

Thabo Mokoena, Rangan Gupta and Renee van Eyden

200826: Conditional Loss Estimation Using a South African Global Error Correcting Macroeconometric Model

Albert De Wet, Renee van Eyden and Rangan Gupta

200825: Time Aggregation, Long-Run Money Demand and the Welfare Cost of Inflation

Rangan Gupta and Josine Uwilingiye

200824: Health Insurance or Food for the Family? An Examination into Unintended Consequences

Olufunke Alaba and Steven Koch

200823: Half-Life Deviations from PPP in the SADC

Thabo Mokoena, Rangan Gupta and Renee van Eyden

200822: Testing for PPP Using SADC Real Exchange Rates

Thabo Mokoena, Rangan Gupta and Renee van Eyden

200821: Predicting Downturns in the US Housing Market: A Bayesian Approach

Rangan Gupta and Sonali Das

200820: Costly Tax Enforcement and Financial Repression: A Reconsideration Using an Endogenous Growth Model

Rangan Gupta and Emmanuel Ziramba

200819: Misalignment in the Growth-Maximizing Policies under Alternative Assumptions of Tax Evasion

Rangan Gupta and Emmanuel Ziramba

200818: Costly Tax Enforcement and Financial Repression

Rangan Gupta and Emmanuel Ziramba

200817: Openness, Bureaucratic Corruption and Public Policy in an Endogenous Growth Model

Rangan Gupta and Emmanuel Ziramba

200816: Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Large Datasets: Dynamic Factor Model versus Large-Scale BVARs

Rangan Gupta and Alain Kabundi

200815: A Dynamic Factor Model for Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables in South Africa

Rangan Gupta and Alain Kabundi

200814: Is a DFM Well-Suited in Forecasting Regional House Price Inflation?

Sonali Das, Rangan Gupta and Alain Kabundi

200813: Spatial Bayesian Methods of Forecasting House Prices in Six Metropolitan Areas of South Africa

Rangan Gupta and Sonali Das

200812: RETURNS TO SCHOOLING: SKILLS ACCUMULATION OR INFORMATION REVELATION?

Steven Koch and S. Ssekabira Ntege

200811: Testing for Fractional Integration in SADC Real Exchange Rates

Thabo Mokoena, Rangan Gupta and Renee van Eyden

200810: Market Microstructure Approach to the Exchange Rate Determination Puzzle

Thabo Mokoena, Rangan Gupta and Renee van Eyden

200809: Measuring the Welfare Cost of Inflation in South Africa: A Reconsideration

Rangan Gupta and Josine Uwilingiye

200808: Tax Evasion and Financial Repression: A Reconsideration Using Endogenous Growth Models

Rangan Gupta and Emmanuel Ziramba

200807: The Impact of Retirement Benefits on Consumption and Saving in South Africa

Vasco Nhabinde and Nicolaas Schoeman

200806: Currency Substitution and Financial Repression

Rangan Gupta

200805: A New-Keynesian DSGE Model for Forecasting the South African Economy

Guangling Liu, Rangan Gupta and Eric Schaling

200804: Measuring the Welfare Cost of Inflation in South Africa

Rangan Gupta and Josine Uwilingiye

200803: Financial Liberalisation and the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy on House Prices in South Africa

Ndahiriwe Kasai and Rangan Gupta

200802: Time Aggregation and the Contradictions with Causal Relationships: Can Economic Theory Come to the Rescue?

Rangan Gupta and Kibii Komen

200801: The General Equilibrium Effects of a Productivity Increase on the Economy and Gender in South Africa

Godbertha Kinyondo and Margaret Mabugu

200724: Forecasting the South African Economy: A DSGE-VAR Approach

Guangling Liu, Rangan Gupta and Eric Schaling

200723: South Africa’s Wood Export Potential Using a Gravity Model Approach

Joel Eita and Andre Jordaan

200722: A Causality Analysis between Financial Development and Economic Growth for Botswana

Joel Eita and Andre Jordaan

200721: Determinants of South Africa’s Exports of Leather Products

Andre Jordaan and Joel Eita

200720: Testing the Export-Led Growth Hypothesis for Botswana: A Causality Analysis

Andre Jordaan and Joel Eita

200719: Linking Global Economic Dynamics to a South African-Specific Credit Risk Correlation Model

Albert De Wet, Renee van Eyden and Rangan Gupta

200718: South Africa Trade Liberalization and Poverty in a Dynamic Microsimulation CGE Model

Ramos Mabugu and Margaret Chitiga

200717: Is Increased Agricultural Protection Beneficial for South Africa?

Margaret Chitiga and Ramos Mabugu

200716: Poverty and Inequality Effects of a High Growth Scenario in South Africa: A Dynamic Microsimulation CGE Analysis

Ramos Mabugu and Margaret Chitiga

200715: A Computable General Equilibrium Micro-Simulation Analysis of the Impact of Trade Policies on Poverty in Zimbabwe

Margaret Chitiga, Ramos Mabugu and Tonia Kandiero

200714: Growth Theory and Application: The Case of South Africa

Dave Liu

200713: Zimbabwe’s Black Market for Foreign Exchange

Albert Makochekanwa

200712: Zimbabwe’s Hyperinflation Money Demand Model

Albert Makochekanwa

200711: An Empirical Investigation of Capital Flight from Zimbabwe

Albert Makochekanwa

200710: A Dynamic Enquiry into the Causes of Hyperinflation in Zimbabwe

Albert Makochekanwa

200709: Temporal Causality between Taxes and Public Expenditures: The Case of South Africa

Ndahiriwe Kasai and Rangan Gupta