Working Papers
From University of Pretoria, Department of Economics
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- 200904: Modelling monetary policy in South Africa: Focus on inflation targeting era using a simple learning rule
- Ruthira Naraidoo and Rangan Gupta
- 200903: THE EFFECT OF MONETARY POLICY ON HOUSE PRICE INFLATION: A FACTOR AUGMENTED VECTOR AUTOREGRESSION (FAVAR) APPROACH
- Rangan Gupta and Alain Kabundi
- 200902: THE BLESSING OF DIMENSIONALITY IN FORECASTING REAL HOUSE PRICE GROWTH IN THE NINE CENSUS DIVISIONS OF THE US
- Sonali Das, Rangan Gupta and Alain Kabundi
- 200901: “Ripple Effects” and Forecasting Home Prices In Los Angeles, Las Vegas, and Phoenix
- Rangan Gupta and Stephen Miller
- 200837: Who would eat more with a Food Voucher Programme in South Africa?

- Jan Van Heerden
- 200836: On the Real Exchange Rate Effects of Higher Electricity Prices in South Africa

- Jan Van Heerden, James Blignaut and Andre Jordaan
- 200835: Child Mortality in Eastern and Southern Africa
- Sudhanshu Handa, Steven Koch and Shu Wen Ng
- 200834: DYNAMIC HEALTH CARE DECISIONS AND CHILD HEALTH IN SOUTH AFRICA
- Olufunke Alaba and Steven Koch
- 200833: Should the SARB Have Stayed Time Inconsistent?
- Rangan Gupta and Josine Uwilingiye
- 200832: Tobacco Substitution and the Poor

- Steven Koch and Gauthier Kashalala
- 200831: COULD WE HAVE PREDICTED THE RECENT DOWNTURN IN THE SOUTH AFRICAN HOUSING MARKET?
- Sonali Das, Rangan Gupta and Alain Kabundi
- 200830: Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables in a Small Open Economy: A Comparison between Small- and Large-Scale Models
- Rangan Gupta and Alain Kabundi
- 200829: Optimal Public Policy with Endogenous Mortality
- Rangan Gupta and Emmanuel Ziramba
- 200828: FINDING THE OPTIMUM LEVEL OF TAXES IN SOUTH AFRICA: A BALANCED BUDGET APPROACH
- Yolande van Heerden and Nicolaas Schoeman
- 200827: Exchange Rate Puzzles: A Review of the Recent Theoretical and Empirical Developments
- Thabo Mokoena, Rangan Gupta and Renee van Eyden
- 200826: Conditional Loss Estimation Using a South African Global Error Correcting Macroeconometric Model
- Albert De Wet, Renee van Eyden and Rangan Gupta
- 200825: Time Aggregation, Long-Run Money Demand and the Welfare Cost of Inflation
- Rangan Gupta and Josine Uwilingiye
- 200824: Health Insurance or Food for the Family? An Examination into Unintended Consequences
- Olufunke Alaba and Steven Koch
- 200823: Half-Life Deviations from PPP in the SADC
- Thabo Mokoena, Rangan Gupta and Renee van Eyden
- 200822: Testing for PPP Using SADC Real Exchange Rates
- Thabo Mokoena, Rangan Gupta and Renee van Eyden
- 200821: Predicting Downturns in the US Housing Market: A Bayesian Approach
- Rangan Gupta and Sonali Das
- 200820: Costly Tax Enforcement and Financial Repression: A Reconsideration Using an Endogenous Growth Model
- Rangan Gupta and Emmanuel Ziramba
- 200819: Misalignment in the Growth-Maximizing Policies under Alternative Assumptions of Tax Evasion
- Rangan Gupta and Emmanuel Ziramba
- 200818: Costly Tax Enforcement and Financial Repression
- Rangan Gupta and Emmanuel Ziramba
- 200817: Openness, Bureaucratic Corruption and Public Policy in an Endogenous Growth Model
- Rangan Gupta and Emmanuel Ziramba
- 200816: Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Large Datasets: Dynamic Factor Model versus Large-Scale BVARs
- Rangan Gupta and Alain Kabundi
- 200815: A Dynamic Factor Model for Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables in South Africa
- Rangan Gupta and Alain Kabundi
- 200814: Is a DFM Well-Suited in Forecasting Regional House Price Inflation?
- Sonali Das, Rangan Gupta and Alain Kabundi
- 200813: Spatial Bayesian Methods of Forecasting House Prices in Six Metropolitan Areas of South Africa
- Rangan Gupta and Sonali Das
- 200812: RETURNS TO SCHOOLING: SKILLS ACCUMULATION OR INFORMATION REVELATION?

- Steven Koch and S. Ssekabira Ntege
- 200811: Testing for Fractional Integration in SADC Real Exchange Rates
- Thabo Mokoena, Rangan Gupta and Renee van Eyden
- 200810: Market Microstructure Approach to the Exchange Rate Determination Puzzle
- Thabo Mokoena, Rangan Gupta and Renee van Eyden
- 200809: Measuring the Welfare Cost of Inflation in South Africa: A Reconsideration
- Rangan Gupta and Josine Uwilingiye
- 200808: Tax Evasion and Financial Repression: A Reconsideration Using Endogenous Growth Models
- Rangan Gupta and Emmanuel Ziramba
- 200807: The Impact of Retirement Benefits on Consumption and Saving in South Africa
- Vasco Nhabinde and Nicolaas Schoeman
- 200806: Currency Substitution and Financial Repression
- Rangan Gupta
- 200805: A New-Keynesian DSGE Model for Forecasting the South African Economy
- Guangling Liu, Rangan Gupta and Eric Schaling
- 200804: Measuring the Welfare Cost of Inflation in South Africa
- Rangan Gupta and Josine Uwilingiye
- 200803: Financial Liberalisation and the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy on House Prices in South Africa
- Ndahiriwe Kasai and Rangan Gupta
- 200802: Time Aggregation and the Contradictions with Causal Relationships: Can Economic Theory Come to the Rescue?
- Rangan Gupta and Kibii Komen
- 200801: The General Equilibrium Effects of a Productivity Increase on the Economy and Gender in South Africa

- Godbertha Kinyondo and Margaret Mabugu
- 200724: Forecasting the South African Economy: A DSGE-VAR Approach
- Guangling Liu, Rangan Gupta and Eric Schaling
- 200723: South Africa’s Wood Export Potential Using a Gravity Model Approach
- Joel Eita and Andre Jordaan
- 200722: A Causality Analysis between Financial Development and Economic Growth for Botswana
- Joel Eita and Andre Jordaan
- 200721: Determinants of South Africa’s Exports of Leather Products
- Andre Jordaan and Joel Eita
- 200720: Testing the Export-Led Growth Hypothesis for Botswana: A Causality Analysis
- Andre Jordaan and Joel Eita
- 200719: Linking Global Economic Dynamics to a South African-Specific Credit Risk Correlation Model
- Albert De Wet, Renee van Eyden and Rangan Gupta
- 200718: South Africa Trade Liberalization and Poverty in a Dynamic Microsimulation CGE Model

- Ramos Mabugu and Margaret Chitiga
- 200717: Is Increased Agricultural Protection Beneficial for South Africa?
- Margaret Chitiga and Ramos Mabugu
- 200716: Poverty and Inequality Effects of a High Growth Scenario in South Africa: A Dynamic Microsimulation CGE Analysis
- Ramos Mabugu and Margaret Chitiga