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Working Papers

From University of Pretoria, Department of Economics
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200828: FINDING THE OPTIMUM LEVEL OF TAXES IN SOUTH AFRICA: A BALANCED BUDGET APPROACH
Yolande van Heerden and Nicolaas Schoeman
200827: Exchange Rate Puzzles: A Review of the Recent Theoretical and Empirical Developments
Thabo Mokoena, Rangan Gupta and Renee van Eyden
200826: Conditional Loss Estimation Using a South African Global Error Correcting Macroeconometric Model
Albert De Wet, Renee van Eyden and Rangan Gupta
200825: Time Aggregation, Long-Run Money Demand and the Welfare Cost of Inflation
Rangan Gupta and Josine Uwilingiye
200824: Health Insurance or Food for the Family? An Examination into Unintended Consequences
Olufunke Alaba and Steven Koch
200823: Half-Life Deviations from PPP in the SADC
Thabo Mokoena, Rangan Gupta and Renee van Eyden
200822: Testing for PPP Using SADC Real Exchange Rates
Thabo Mokoena, Rangan Gupta and Renee van Eyden
200821: Predicting Downturns in the US Housing Market: A Bayesian Approach
Rangan Gupta and Sonali Das
200820: Costly Tax Enforcement and Financial Repression: A Reconsideration Using an Endogenous Growth Model
Rangan Gupta and Emmanuel Ziramba
200819: Misalignment in the Growth-Maximizing Policies under Alternative Assumptions of Tax Evasion
Rangan Gupta and Emmanuel Ziramba
200818: Costly Tax Enforcement and Financial Repression
Rangan Gupta and Emmanuel Ziramba
200817: Openness, Bureaucratic Corruption and Public Policy in an Endogenous Growth Model
Rangan Gupta and Emmanuel Ziramba
200816: Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Large Datasets: Dynamic Factor Model versus Large-Scale BVARs
Rangan Gupta and Alain Kabundi
200815: A Dynamic Factor Model for Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables in South Africa
Rangan Gupta and Alain Kabundi
200814: Is a DFM Well-Suited in Forecasting Regional House Price Inflation?
Sonali Das, Rangan Gupta and Alain Kabundi
200813: Spatial Bayesian Methods of Forecasting House Prices in Six Metropolitan Areas of South Africa
Rangan Gupta and Sonali Das
200812: RETURNS TO SCHOOLING: SKILLS ACCUMULATION OR INFORMATION REVELATION? Downloads
Steven Koch and S. Ssekabira Ntege
200811: Testing for Fractional Integration in SADC Real Exchange Rates
Thabo Mokoena, Rangan Gupta and Renee van Eyden
200810: Market Microstructure Approach to the Exchange Rate Determination Puzzle
Thabo Mokoena, Rangan Gupta and Renee van Eyden
200809: Measuring the Welfare Cost of Inflation in South Africa: A Reconsideration
Rangan Gupta and Josine Uwilingiye
200808: Tax Evasion and Financial Repression: A Reconsideration Using Endogenous Growth Models
Rangan Gupta and Emmanuel Ziramba
200807: The Impact of Retirement Benefits on Consumption and Saving in South Africa
Vasco Nhabinde and Nicolaas Schoeman
200806: Currency Substitution and Financial Repression
Rangan Gupta
200805: A New-Keynesian DSGE Model for Forecasting the South African Economy
Guangling Liu, Rangan Gupta and Eric Schaling
200804: Measuring the Welfare Cost of Inflation in South Africa
Rangan Gupta and Josine Uwilingiye
200803: Financial Liberalisation and the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy on House Prices in South Africa
Ndahiriwe Kasai and Rangan Gupta
200802: Time Aggregation and the Contradictions with Causal Relationships: Can Economic Theory Come to the Rescue?
Rangan Gupta and Kibii Komen
200801: The General Equilibrium Effects of a Productivity Increase on the Economy and Gender in South Africa Downloads
Godbertha Kinyondo and Margaret Mabugu
200724: Forecasting the South African Economy: A DSGE-VAR Approach
Guangling Liu, Rangan Gupta and Eric Schaling
200723: South Africa’s Wood Export Potential Using a Gravity Model Approach
Joel Eita and Andre Jordaan
200722: A Causality Analysis between Financial Development and Economic Growth for Botswana
Joel Eita and Andre Jordaan
200721: Determinants of South Africa’s Exports of Leather Products
Andre Jordaan and Joel Eita
200720: Testing the Export-Led Growth Hypothesis for Botswana: A Causality Analysis
Andre Jordaan and Joel Eita
200719: Linking Global Economic Dynamics to a South African-Specific Credit Risk Correlation Model
Albert De Wet, Renee van Eyden and Rangan Gupta
200718: South Africa Trade Liberalization and Poverty in a Dynamic Microsimulation CGE Model Downloads
Ramos Mabugu and Margaret Chitiga
200717: Is Increased Agricultural Protection Beneficial for South Africa?
Margaret Chitiga and Ramos Mabugu
200716: Poverty and Inequality Effects of a High Growth Scenario in South Africa: A Dynamic Microsimulation CGE Analysis
Ramos Mabugu and Margaret Chitiga
200715: A Computable General Equilibrium Micro-Simulation Analysis of the Impact of Trade Policies on Poverty in Zimbabwe Downloads
Margaret Chitiga, Ramos Mabugu and Tonia Kandiero
200714: Growth Theory and Application: The Case of South Africa Downloads
Dave Liu
200713: Zimbabwe’s Black Market for Foreign Exchange Downloads
Albert Makochekanwa
200712: Zimbabwe’s Hyperinflation Money Demand Model Downloads
Albert Makochekanwa
200711: An Empirical Investigation of Capital Flight from Zimbabwe Downloads
Albert Makochekanwa
200710: A Dynamic Enquiry into the Causes of Hyperinflation in Zimbabwe Downloads
Albert Makochekanwa
200709: Temporal Causality between Taxes and Public Expenditures: The Case of South Africa
Ndahiriwe Kasai and Rangan Gupta
200708: Temporal Causality between Budget Deficit and Interest Rate: The Case of South Africa
Josine Uwilingiye and Rangan Gupta
200707: The Welfare Implications of Expenditure on Education and Public Expenditure in General in African Countries
Olusegun Akanbi and Nicolaas Schoeman
200706: A Panel Bargaining Model within the Regional Boundaries of the South African Grain Industry
Elizabeth Ueckermann, James Blignaut and Rangan Gupta
200705: Modelling Preferences of South African Grain Farmers for Adopting Derivative Contracts Using Discrete Choice Models
Elizabeth Ueckermann, James Blignaut, Rangan Gupta and J Raubenheimer
200704: Bayesian Methods of Forecasting Inventory Investment in South Africa
Rangan Gupta
200703: Hurdle Models of Alcohol and Tobacco Expenditure in South African Households
Marc Ground and Steven Koch
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