Working Papers

From University of Pretoria, Department of Economics
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200817: Openness, Bureaucratic Corruption and Public Policy in an Endogenous Growth Model

Rangan Gupta and Emmanuel Ziramba

200816: Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Large Datasets: Dynamic Factor Model versus Large-Scale BVARs

Rangan Gupta and Alain Kabundi

200815: A Dynamic Factor Model for Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables in South Africa

Rangan Gupta and Alain Kabundi

200814: Is a DFM Well-Suited in Forecasting Regional House Price Inflation?

Sonali Das, Rangan Gupta and Alain Kabundi

200813: Spatial Bayesian Methods of Forecasting House Prices in Six Metropolitan Areas of South Africa

Rangan Gupta and Sonali Das

200812: RETURNS TO SCHOOLING: SKILLS ACCUMULATION OR INFORMATION REVELATION?

Steven Koch and S. Ssekabira Ntege

200811: Testing for Fractional Integration in SADC Real Exchange Rates

Thabo Mokoena, Rangan Gupta and Renee van Eyden

200810: Market Microstructure Approach to the Exchange Rate Determination Puzzle

Thabo Mokoena, Rangan Gupta and Renee van Eyden

200809: Measuring the Welfare Cost of Inflation in South Africa: A Reconsideration

Rangan Gupta and Josine Uwilingiye

200808: Tax Evasion and Financial Repression: A Reconsideration Using Endogenous Growth Models

Rangan Gupta and Emmanuel Ziramba

200807: The Impact of Retirement Benefits on Consumption and Saving in South Africa

Vasco Nhabinde and Nicolaas Schoeman

200806: Currency Substitution and Financial Repression

Rangan Gupta

200805: A New-Keynesian DSGE Model for Forecasting the South African Economy

Guangling Liu, Rangan Gupta and Eric Schaling

200804: Measuring the Welfare Cost of Inflation in South Africa

Rangan Gupta and Josine Uwilingiye

200803: Financial Liberalisation and the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy on House Prices in South Africa

Ndahiriwe Kasai and Rangan Gupta

200802: Time Aggregation and the Contradictions with Causal Relationships: Can Economic Theory Come to the Rescue?

Rangan Gupta and Kibii Komen

200801: The General Equilibrium Effects of a Productivity Increase on the Economy and Gender in South Africa

Godbertha Kinyondo and Margaret Mabugu

200724: Forecasting the South African Economy: A DSGE-VAR Approach

Guangling Liu, Rangan Gupta and Eric Schaling

200723: South Africa’s Wood Export Potential Using a Gravity Model Approach

Joel Eita and Andre Jordaan

200722: A Causality Analysis between Financial Development and Economic Growth for Botswana

Joel Eita and Andre Jordaan

200721: Determinants of South Africa’s Exports of Leather Products

Andre Jordaan and Joel Eita

200720: Testing the Export-Led Growth Hypothesis for Botswana: A Causality Analysis

Andre Jordaan and Joel Eita

200719: Linking Global Economic Dynamics to a South African-Specific Credit Risk Correlation Model

Albert De Wet, Renee van Eyden and Rangan Gupta

200718: South Africa Trade Liberalization and Poverty in a Dynamic Microsimulation CGE Model

Ramos Mabugu and Margaret Chitiga

200717: Is Increased Agricultural Protection Beneficial for South Africa?

Margaret Chitiga and Ramos Mabugu

200716: Poverty and Inequality Effects of a High Growth Scenario in South Africa: A Dynamic Microsimulation CGE Analysis

Ramos Mabugu and Margaret Chitiga

200715: A Computable General Equilibrium Micro-Simulation Analysis of the Impact of Trade Policies on Poverty in Zimbabwe

Margaret Chitiga, Ramos Mabugu and Tonia Kandiero

200714: Growth Theory and Application: The Case of South Africa

Dave Liu

200713: Zimbabwe’s Black Market for Foreign Exchange

Albert Makochekanwa

200712: Zimbabwe’s Hyperinflation Money Demand Model

Albert Makochekanwa

200711: An Empirical Investigation of Capital Flight from Zimbabwe

Albert Makochekanwa

200710: A Dynamic Enquiry into the Causes of Hyperinflation in Zimbabwe

Albert Makochekanwa

200709: Temporal Causality between Taxes and Public Expenditures: The Case of South Africa

Ndahiriwe Kasai and Rangan Gupta

200708: Temporal Causality between Budget Deficit and Interest Rate: The Case of South Africa

Josine Uwilingiye and Rangan Gupta

200707: The Welfare Implications of Expenditure on Education and Public Expenditure in General in African Countries

Olusegun Akanbi and Nicolaas Schoeman

200706: A Panel Bargaining Model within the Regional Boundaries of the South African Grain Industry

Elizabeth Ueckermann, James Blignaut and Rangan Gupta

200705: Modelling Preferences of South African Grain Farmers for Adopting Derivative Contracts Using Discrete Choice Models

Elizabeth Ueckermann, James Blignaut, Rangan Gupta and J Raubenheimer

200704: Bayesian Methods of Forecasting Inventory Investment in South Africa

Rangan Gupta

200703: Hurdle Models of Alcohol and Tobacco Expenditure in South African Households

Marc Ground and Steven Koch

200702: Modelling and Forecasting the Metical-Rand Exchange Rate

Samuel Zita and Rangan Gupta

200701: Forecasting the South African Economy with Gibbs Sampled BVECMs

Rangan Gupta

200623: R&D, Openness, and Growth

Pei-Pei Chen and Rangan Gupta

200622: An Investigation of Openness and Economic Growth Using Panel Estimation

Pei-Pei Chen and Rangan Gupta

200621: A Small-Scale DSGE Model for Forecasting the South African Economy

Guangling Liu and Rangan Gupta

200620: Active versus Passive Policies of Unemployment: Growth and Public Finance Perspectives

Rangan Gupta and Charlotte du Toit

200619: Trends in South African Household Alcohol Consumption Risk Factors

Steven Koch

200618: Forecasting the South African Economy with VARs and VECMs

Rangan Gupta

200617: Financial Liberalization and a Possible Growth-Inflation Trade-Off

Rangan Gupta

200616: An Endogenous Growth Model of a Financially Repressed Small Open Economy

Samrat Goswami and Rangan Gupta

200615: South African Household Expenditure Patterns: Alcohol Products in 1995 and 2000

Steven Koch, Marc Ground and Dylan van Wyk