ERSA Working Paper Series

From Economic Research Southern Africa
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899: The effects of monetary policy shocks on inflation: The role of backed and unbacked public debt in a monetary and fiscal policy regime mix

Guangling Liu and Marrium Mustapher

898: The Fiscal Theory of Income Distribution in Action: South African Low-income vs. High-Income Earners Response to Fiscal Policy Shocks

Lindokuhle T. Zungu

897: Nonlinear Real Exchange Rate Adjustments: Insights from iPad Price Data

Dawid J. van Lill, Gideon Du Rand, Hylton Hollander and Rick Walker

896: How Credit Constrained Are Family-Owned SMEs in Arab Countries?

Grakolet Gourene, Jiri Balcar, Lenka J. Filipova and Zuzana B. Schwidrowski

895: Enforcement Spillovers under Different Networks: The Case of Quotas for Persons with Disabilities in Brazil

Jéssica Gagete-Miranda

894: The effect of temperature on household hourly electricity consumption: Evidence from South Africa

Steven F. Koch and Yuxiang Ye

893: Financial inclusion effects of engaging with the fintech ecosystem

Odongo Kodongo

892: The Efficiency of State Aid for the Deployment of High-Speed Broadband: Evidence from the French Market

à ngela Muñoz-Acevedo, Lukasz Grzybowski and Marc Bourreau

891: Trouble Every Day: Monetary Policy in an Open Emerging Economy

Ekaterina Pirozhkova, Giovanni Ricco and Nicola Viegi

890: Unleashing International Trade through Financial Integration: Evidence from a Cross- Border Payment System

Gustavo S. Cortes, Lucas A. Mariani and Vinicios Sant'Anna

889: Tax effort and capacity in developing countries: Unravelling the impact of the informal economy

Ezekiel Lengaram

888: Banks’ Physical Footprint and Financial Technology Adoption

Bernardo Ricca, José Renato H. Ornelas and Lucas A. Mariani

887: International Lending Channel, Bank Heterogeneity and Capital Inflows (Mis)Allocation

Lucas A. Mariani and Silvia Marchesi

886: Possible Welfare Benefits of a Basic Income Support: Evidence from a benefit incidence analysis in South Africa

Carolyn Chisadza, Eleni Yitbarek, Kehinde O. Omotoso, Margaret Chitiga-Mabugu, Nicky Nicholls and Ramos Mabugu

885: A review of the strategies adopted between 2015 and 2022 towards two South African local government water supply crises

Marius van der Merwe and Stephen G. Hosking

884: Demographic changes and asset prices in an overlapping generations model

Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne, Frank Riedel and Ghislain H. Demeze-Jouatsa

883: Why and how to measure the contribution of South Africa’s ocean economy

Odwa Mtati and Stephen G. Hosking

882: Local-Currency sovereign risk on South African government bonds

Mulalo Mamburu

881: Technical background paper: The macroeconomics of establishing a basic income grant in South Africa

Daan Steenkamp, Hylton Hollander and Roy Havemann

880: Characteristics of the South African retirement fund industry

Johannes W. Fedderke and Neryvia Pillay Bell

879: Import tariff pass-through effect and the spatial distribution of domestic consumer goods prices: Zimbabwe (2009-2014)

Everisto Mugocha and Haroon Bhorat

878: Does ‘price framing’ influence empirical estimates in Discrete Choice Experiments: The case study for the South African wine industry

Lydia Chikumbi and Milan Scasny

877: The long-term effects of early-life exposure to weather shocks: Evidence from Tanzania

Ermias G. Weldesenbet

876: The bond market impact of the South African Reserve Bank bond purchase programme

Daan Steenkamp, Henk Janse van Vuuren, Rossouw van Jaarsveld and Roy Havemann

875: Revisiting the accuracy of inflation forecasts in Nigeria: The oil price-exchange rate-asymmetry perspectives

Abdulkader C. Mahomedy, Elias Udeaja, Kazeem Isah, Ojo Adelakun and Yusuf Yakubua

874: Equivalence scales with endogeneity and base independence

Steven F. Koch

873: Big data forecasting of South African inflation

Byron Botha, Kevin Kotze, Neil Rankin and Rulof P. Burger

872: Contagion across financial markets during COVID-19: A look at volatility spillovers between the stock and foreign exchange markets in South Africa

Chevaughn van der Westhuizen, Goodness C. Aye and Reneé van Eyden

871: Climate change and child health: A Nigerian perspective

Eduard van der Merwe, Eleni Yitbarek and Matthew W. Clance

870: Risk and return spillovers in a global model of the Foreign Exchange Network

Alfred K. Mukong, Boscow Okumu, Edwin Muchapondwa, Gibson Mudiriza and Herbert Ntuli

869: Measuring and testing a modified version of the South African financial cycle

Christian K. Tipoy, Malibongwe C. Nyati and Paul F. Muzindutsi

868: Household debt and consumption dynamics: A non-developed world view following the ï¬ nancial crisis

Adél Bosch, Matthew W. Clance and Steven F. Koch

867: Government religious preference and intrastate conflict

Carolyn Chisadza, Eduard van der Merwe and Matthew W. Clance

865: Differential corporate taxation and inter-asset investment distortions in South Africa

Mashekwa Maboshe, Matthew Stern and Yash Ramkolowan

864: Human capital and the timing of the first birth

Jesse Naidoo

863: Corporate taxation and firm-level investment in South Africa

Mashekwa Maboshe

862: ‘Learning to export’ and ‘learning to innovate’: Revisiting the relationship between innovation and exports in African ï¬ rms

Elvis K. Avenyo, Fiona Tregenna and Kwanele Ngwadleka

860: Transhumant pastoralism, climate change and conflict in Africa

Eoin F. McGuirk and Nathan Nunn

859: The effect of cigarette price changes on smoking prevalence by gender: The case of South Africa

Corné van Walbeek, Nicole Vellios and Zachary Gitonga

858: Income convergence in Southern Africa: A non-linear time-varying coefficients framework

Ntokozo P. Nzimande

857: Estimates of bank-level funding costs in South Africa

Daan Steenkamp and Tim Olds

856: Understanding the behaviour of house prices and household income per capita in South Africa: Application of the asymmetric autoregressive distributed lag model

Anthanasius F. Tita and Pieter Opperman

855: Impact of technological progress on carbon emissions in different country income groups

Chris B. Milindi and Roula Inglesi-Lotz

854: Reigniting economic growth: Lessons from three centuries of data

Edward Kerby and Roy Havemann

853: Financial development and income inequality: a nonlinear econometric analysis of 21 African countries, 1994-2015

Lindokuhle T. Zungu and Lorraine Greyling

852: Health inequality and the 1918 Influenza in South Africa

Johan Fourie and Jonathan Jayes

851: Taxpayer responsiveness to taxation: Evidence from bunching at kink points of the South African income tax schedule

Neryvia Pillay Bell

850: The effect of colonial and pre-colonial institutions on contemporary education in Africa

Carolyn Chisadza, Leoné Walters and Matthew W. Clance

849: The transmission of monetary policy via the banks’ balance sheet – does bank size matter?

Nicola Viegi and Tumisang Loate-Ntsoko

848: Phases of higher education, tuition grants, and equity-efficiency tradeoff

Yoseph Y. Getachew