ERSA Working Paper Series

From Economic Research Southern Africa
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101: Forest commons, vertical integration and smallholder’s saving, and investment responses: Evidence from a quasi-experiment

Dambala Gelo

100: A fiscus for better economic and social development in South Africa

Francois Jacobus Stofberg, Jan Horn van Heerden and Heinrich Bohlmann

99: The South African – United States Sovereign Bond Spread and its Association with Macroeconomic Fundamentals

Johannes W. Fedderke

98: Prenatal health and weather-related shocks under social safety net policy in Kenya

Silas Ongudi and Djiby Thiam

97: A Sequence to Reverse Poverty: Institutions, State Capacity and Human Empowerment

Sansia Blackmore and Renee Van Eyden

96: Examining the determinants of electricity demand by South African households per income level

Jessika A Bohlmann and Roula Inglesi-Lotz

95: Does household net financial wealth explain the asymmetric reaction of household consumption to monetary policy shocks in South Africa?

Eliphas Ndou

94: How Buoyant Is the South African Tax System? An ARDL Approach

Baneng Naape and Nyasha Mahonye

93: Does Child Support Grant incentivise childbirth in South Africa?

Adeola Oyenubi and Uma Kollamparambil

92: Nonlinear Real Exchange Rate Adjustments: Insights from iPad Price Data

Hylton Hollander, Ernest Edward Walker, Dawid van Lill and Gideon du Rand

91: Using Apple Products to Evaluate the Law of One Price and Exchange Rate Passthrough

Hylton Hollander, Ernest Edward Walker, Dawid van Lill and Gideon du Rand

90: The impact of AGOA on Export Flows from sub-Saharan Africa: A dynamic system GMM analysis

Oro Oro Ufuo and Paul Alagidede

89: Impact of social transfers on depressive symptoms: Evidence from the South African Old age Pension

Adeola Oyenubi and Joseph Ajefu

87: The time-varying elasticity of South African electricity demand: 1980 - 2018

Cobus Vermeulen and Kabelo Masike

86: On sensitivity of Genetic Matching to the choice of balance measure

Adeola Oyenubi

85: 'Quantitative Easing' and central bank asset purchases in South Africa: A DSGE approach

Cobus Vermeulen

84: Time consistency and economic growth: A case study of South African macroeconomic policy

Christopher Loewald, David Faulkner and Konstantin Makrelov

83: Measuring energy poverty in South Africa based on household required energy consumption

Yuxiang Ye and Steven F Koch

82: Social distancing in Macroeconomic Models

Yoseph Getachew

81: Relationship between education and households’ electricity-saving behaviours in South Africa: A multilevel logistic analysis

Kabeya Clement Mulamba

80: The effects of technology intensity in manufacturing on CO2 emissions: Evidence from developing countries

Elvis Avenyo and Fiona Tregenna

79: Estimating a New Keynesian Wage Phillips Curve

Nicola Viegi and Vincent Dadam

78: Phases of Higher Education, Tuition Grants, and Equity-Efficiency Tradeoff

Yoseph Getachew

77: The transmission of monetary policy via the banks' balance sheet - does bank size matter?

Tumisang Loate and Nicola Viegi

76: The Effect of Colonial and Pre-Colonial Institutions on Contemporary Education in Africa

Leone Walters, Carolyn Chisadza and Matthew Clance

75: Taxpayer responsiveness to taxation: Evidence from bunching at kink points of the South African income tax schedule

Neryvia Pillay

74: Health Inequality and the 1918 Influenza in South Africa

Johan Fourie and Jonathan Jayes

73: Financial development and income inequality: A nonlinear econometric analysis of 21 African countries, 1994-2015

Lindokuhle Talent Zungu and Lorraine Greyling

71: The effects of monetary policy shocks on inflation: The role of backed and unbacked public debt in a monetary and fiscal policy regime mix

Guangling Liu and Marrium Mustapher

70: Reigniting Economic Growth: Lessons from three centuries of data

Roy Havemann and Edward Kerby

69: Impact of technological progress on carbon emissions in different country income groups

Chris Belmert Milinidi and Roula Inglesi-Lotz

68: Understanding the behaviour of house prices and household income per capita in South Africa: Application of the asymmetric autoregressive distributed lag model

Anthanasius Fomum Tita and Pieter Opperman

67: Estimates of bank-level funding costs in South Africa

Tim Olds and Daan Steenkamp

62: Income Convergence in Southern Africa: A Non-linear Time-Varying Coefficients Approach

Ntokozo Nzimande

59: The effect of cigarette price changes on smoking prevalence by gender: the case of South Africa

Zachary Gitonga, Nicole Vellios and Corne van Walbeek

58: Transhumant Pastoralism, Climate Change and Conflict in Africa

Eoin F. McGuirk and Nathan Nunn

57: Domestic credit cycles ad extreme capital flow episodes

David de Villiers, Hylton Hollander and Dawie van Lill

56: 'Learning to export’ and ‘learning to innovate’: Revisiting the relationship between innovation and exports in African firms

Elvis Korku Avenyo, Fiona Tregenna and Kwanele Ngwadleka

55: The effect of temperature on household hourly electricity consumption: evidence from South Africa

Steven Koch and Yuxiang Ye

54: Fiscal risks and their impact on banks’ capital buffers in South Africa

Konstantin Makrelov, Neryvia Pillay and Bojosi Morule

53: Corporate taxation and firm-level investment in South Africa

Mashekwa Maboshe

52: Human Capital and the Timing of the First Birth

Jesse Naidoo

51: Differential Corporate taxation and inter-asset investment distortions in South Africa

Mashekwa Maboshe

50: Risk and Return Spillovers in a Global Model of the Foreign Exchange Network

Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo, Daan Steenkamp and Rossouw van Jaarsveld

47: Government Religious Preference and Intrastate Conflict

Eduard van der Merwe, Carolyn Chisadza and Matthew Clance

46: Household debt and consumption dynamics: A non developed world view following the financial crisis

Steven F Koch, Adel Bosch and Matthew Clance

45: Measuring and Testing a Modified Version of the South African Financial Cycle

Malibongwe Cyprian Nyathi, Christian K Tipoy and Paul F Muzindutsi

44: Does the uptake of multiple climate smart agriculture practices enhance household savings, food security and household vulnerability to climate change? Insights from Zimbabwe

Boscow Okumu, Herbert Ntuli, Edwin Muchapondwa, Gibson Mudiriza and Alfred Mukong

43: Climate Change and Child Health: A Nigerian Perspective

Eduard van der Merwe, Matthew Clance and Eleni Yitbarek

42: Contagion across Financial Markets during COVID-19: A Look at Volatility Spillovers between the Stock and Foreign Exchange Markets in South Africa

Chevaughn van der Westhuizen, Renee van Eyden and Goodness C. Aye

41: Big data forecasting of South African inflation

Byron Botha, Rulof Burger, Kevin Kotze, Neil Rankin and Daan Steenkamp

38: The bond market impact of the South African Reserve Bank bond purchase programme

Roy Havemann, Henk Janse van Vuuren, Daan Steenkamp and Rossouw van Jaarsveld

37: The Long-Term Effects of Early-Life Exposure to Weather Shocks: Evidence from Tanzania

Ermias Gebru Weldesenbet

36: Does 'price framing' influence empirical estimates in Discrete Choice Experiments: The case study for the South African wine industry

Lydia Chikumbi and Milan Scasny

35: Import Tariff Pass-through Effect and the Spatial Distribution of Domestic Consumer Goods Prices: Zimbabwe (2009-2014)

Everisto Madziva Mugocha and Haroon Bhorat

34: Characteristics of the South African retirement fund industry

Neryvia Pillay and Johannes W. Fedderke

33: Why and how to measure the contribution of South Africa's ocean economy

Stephen Hosking and Odwa Mtati

32: Demographic changes and asset prices in an overlapping generations model

Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne, Frank Riedel and Ghislain H. Demeze-Jouatsa

30: A review of the strategies adopted between 2015 and 2022 towards two South African local government water supply crises

Stephen Hosking and Marius van der Merwe

29: International Lending Channel, Bank Heterogeneity and Capital Inflows (Mis)Allocation

Lucas A. Mariani and Silvia Marchesi

28: Possible Welfare Benefits of a Basic Income Support: Evidence from a benefit incidence analysis in South Africa

Carolyn Chisadza, Margaret Mabugu, Ramos Mabugu, Nicky Nicholls, Kehinde Oluwaseun Omotoso and Eleni Yitbarek

27: Unleashing International Trade through Financial Integration: Evidence from a Cross-Border Payment System

Lucas A. Mariani, Gustavo Cortes and Vinicios P. Sant'anna

26: Banks’ Physical Footprint and Financial Technology Adoption

Lucas A. Mariani, José Renato H. Ornelas and Bernardo Ricca

24: Tax Effort and Capacity in Developing Countries: Unravelling the impact of the informal economy

Ezekiel Ngitoria Lengaram

20: Local-Currency sovereign risk on South African government bonds

Mulalo Mamburu

19: The macroeconomics of establishing a basic income grant in South Africa

Hylton Hollander, Roy Haveman and Daan Steenkamp

18: The Fiscal Theory of Income Distribution in Action: South African Low-income vs. High-Income Earners Response to Fiscal Policy Shocks

Lindokuhle Talent Zungu

16: Enforcement Spillovers under Different Networks: The Case of Quotas for Persons with Disabilities in Brazil

Jessica Gagete-Miranda

14: Trouble Every Day: Monetary Policy in an Open Emerging Economy

Ekaterina Pirozhkova, Giovanni Ricco and Nicola Viegi

9: How Credit Constrained Are Family-Owned SMEs in Arab Countries?

Grakolet Gourene, Zuzana Brixiova Schwidrowski, Jiri Balcar and Lenka Johnson Filipova

7: The Efficiency of State Aid for the Deployment of High-Speed Broadband: Evidence from the French Market

Lukasz Grzybowski, Marc Bourreau and Angela Munoz-Acevedo

5: Financial inclusion effects of fintech ecosystem engagement

Odongo Kodongo