Working Papers

From University of Washington, Department of Economics
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Volatility and Growth in Developing Economies: Some Numerical Results and Empirical Evidence

Stephen J Turnovsky and Pradip Chattopadhyay

Financial Risk Management in a Competitive Electricity Market

Roger Bjorgan, Chen-Ching Liu and Jacques Lawarree

Heterogeneous Agent Economies with Knightian Uncertainty

Wen-Fang Liu

Analysis of Electricity Market Rules and Their Effects on Strategic Behavior in a Non-Congestive Grid

Karl Seeley, Jacques Lawarree and Chen-Ching Liu

A Dynamic Characterization of Rawls' Maximin Principle:Theory and Implications

Cyrus Chu and Wen-Fang Liu

Long-Run PPP May Not Hold After All

Charles Engel

Are Boys and Girls Treated Differently? Parental choice of Child Care Arrangements for Preschoolers in the US

Elaina Rose, Bridget Hiedemann and Jutta Joesch

The Determinants of Specialization Within Marriage

Shelly Lundberg and Elaina Rose

Race, Information, and Segregation

Shelly Lundberg and Richard Startz

The Asian Crisis: A Statistical Point of View

Ming Lo and Kar-yiu Wong

Currency Crises and Capital Control: A Survey

Sweta Saxena and Kar-yiu Wong

Reserve Requirements on Sovereign Debt in the Presence of Moral Hazard -- on Debtors or Creditors?

Joshua Aizenman and Stephen J Turnovsky

A Time Series Model of Multiple Structural Changes in Level, Trend and Variance

Jiahui Wang and Eric Zivot

Valuing Multiple Programs to Improve Fish Populations

David F. Layton, Gardner Brown and Mark L. Plummer

Permanent and Transitory Nature of Recessions

Chang-Jin Kim and Chris Murray

Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching

Charles Nelson, Jeremy Piger and Eric Zivot

Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator

Richard Startz, Charles Nelson and Eric Zivot

Deviations from Purchasing Power Parity:Causes and Welfare Costs

Charles Engel and John Rogers

A Tale of Two Ports

Ngo Long and Kar-yiu Wong

Local-Currency Pricing and the Choice of Exchange-Rate Regime

Charles Engel

A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models

Chang-Jin Kim and Charles Nelson

Exchange-Rate Pass-Through and the Welfare Effects of the Euro

Michael Devereux, Charles Engel and Cédric Tille

The Effect of Sons and Daughters on Men's Labor Supply and Wages

Shelly Lundberg and Elaina Rose

Optimal Partially Reversible Investment

Richard Hartman and Michael Hendrickson

Knife-Edge Conditions and the Macroeconomics of Small Open Economies

Stephen J Turnovsky

Threshold Cointegration and Nonlinear Adjustment to the Law of One Price

Ming Lo and Eric Zivot

Direct Investment Liberalization, Commodity Trade, and Income Distribution; What Can the WTO Do?

Kar-yiu Wong

Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices?

Chang-Jin Kim, James Morley and Charles Nelson

Violating the Law of One Price: Should We Make a Federal Case Out of It?

Charles Engel and John Rogers

Saving for Retirement: Household Bargaining and Household Net Worth

Shelly Lundberg and Jennifer Ward-Batts

Renewable Natural Resource Management and Use Without Markets

Gardner Brown

Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium?

Chang-Jin Kim, James Morley and Charles Nelson

Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium?

Chang-Jin Kim, James Morley and Charles Nelson

The Optimal Choice of Exchange-Rate Regime: Price-Setting Rules and Internationalized Production

Michael Devereux and Charles Engel

Common Stochastic Trends, Common Cycles, and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations

Chang-Jin Kim and Jeremy Piger

Optimal Exchange Rate Policy:The Influence of Price-Setting and Asset Markets

Charles Engel

Valid Confidence Regions and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments

Eric Zivot, Charles Nelson and Richard Startz

Development of Sakhalin Energy; Can the Barriers be Overcome?

Judith Thornton

The Transitional Dynamics of Fiscal Policy: Long-run Capital Accumulation and Growth

Stephen J Turnovsky

State-Space Modeling of the Relationship Between Air Quality and Mortality

Chris Murray and Charles Nelson

Monetary Policy in the Open Economy Revisited: Price Setting and Exchange Rate Flexibiity

Michael Devereux and Charles Engel

Growth in an Open Economy: Some Recent Developments

Stephen J Turnovsky

Sakhalin Energy; Problems and Prospects

Judith Thornton

Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different?

James Morley, Charles Nelson and Eric Zivot

Bidding for Firms: An Asymmetric Auction of Interjurisdictional Competition

Laurent Martin

Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices?

Chang-Jin Kim, James Morley and Charles Nelson

The Great Depression and Output Persistence

Chris Murray and Charles Nelson

The Adjustment of Prices and the Adjustment of the Exchange Rate

Charles Engel and James Morley

Unilateral Capital Transfers, Public Investment, and Economic Growth

Santanu Chatterjee, Georgios Sakoulis and Stephen J Turnovsky

Sequential Location Contests in the Presence of Agglomeration Economies

Laurent Martin