Working Papers
From University of Washington, Department of Economics
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- The Yield Curve through Time and Across Maturities

- Richard Startz and Kwok Ping Tsang
- Bush v. Gore and the Effect of New Source Review on Power Plant Emissions

- Ian Lange and Joshua Linn
- Trade, Growth, and Environmental Quality

- Sibel Sirakaya, Stephen J Turnovsky and Nedim Alemdar
- Are the Commodity Currencies an Exception to the Rule?

- Yu-chin Chen and Kenneth Rogoff
- Growth, Income Inequality, and Fiscal Policy: What are the Relevant Tradeoffs?

- Cecilia Garcia-Penalosa and Stephen J Turnovsky
- Consumption Externalities, Production Externalities, and Efficient Capital Accumulation under Time Non-Separable Preferences

- Stephen J Turnovsky and Goncalo Monteiro
- Contract Completeness, Product Complexity, and Regulation: Evidence from Coal-Fired Power Plants

- Maria Kozhevnikova and Ian Lange
- Evaluating the Impact of Financial Development to Economic Performance When Instruments Are Weak
- Jun Ma
- A General Approach to Constructing a Valid Test in Weakly Identified Models Where Zero-Limit-Information Condition (ZILC) Holds
- Jun Ma and Charles Nelson
- Consumption Persistence and the Equity Premium Puzzle: A Resolution or Not? (Job Market Paper)

- Jun Ma
- Gone With the Wind? Hurricane Risk, Fertility and Education

- Claus Pörtner
- Evaluating Structural Models for the U.S. Short Rate Using EMM and Particle Filters

- Drew Creal, Ying Gu and Eric Zivot
- A Comparison of Univariate Stochastic Volatility Models for U.S. Short Rates Using EMM Estimation

- Ying Gu and Eric Zivot
- The Relationship between the Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition andUnobserved Component Models with Correlated Shocks

- Kum Hwa Oh, Eric Zivot and Drew Creal
- Spurious Inference in the GARCH(1,1) Model When It Is Weakly Identified

- Jun Ma, Charles Nelson and Richard Startz
- Business-Cycle Filtering of Macroeconomic Data Via A Latent Business-Cycle Index

- Michael Dueker and Charles Nelson
- Is There a Structural Break in the Risk Free Interest Rate Dynamics?

- Jun Ma
- A Closed-Form Asymptotic Variance-Covariance Matrix for the Maximum Likelihood Estimator of the GARCH(1,1) Model

- Jun Ma
- Binomial Autoregressive Moving Average Models with an Application to U.S. Recessions
- Richard Startz
- A Structural Analysis of Price Discovery Measures

- Bingcheng Yan and Eric Zivot
- The Zero-Information-Limit-Condition and Spurious Inference in Weakly Identified Models

- Charles Nelson and Richard Startz
- The Clark Model with Correlated Components

- Kum Hwa Oh and Eric Zivot
- Growth and Income Inequality: A Canonical Model

- Cecilia Garcia-Penalosa and Stephen J Turnovsky
- Feedback Approximation of the Stochastic Growth Model by Genetic Neural Networks

- Sibel Sirakaya, Stephen J Turnovsky and N.M. Alemdar
- Excludable and Non-excludable Public Inputs: Consequences for Economic Growth

- Ott Ingrid and Stephen J Turnovsky
- Equilibrium Consumption and Precautionary Savings in a Stochastically Growing Economy

- Stephen J Turnovsky and William Smith
- The Tradeoff between Inflation and the Real Economy: Forward-Looking Behavior and the Inflation Premium

- Erika Gulyas and Richard Startz
- Literacy, Skills and Welfare: Effects of Participation in Adult Literacy Programs

- Niels-Hugo (Hugo) Blunch and Claus Pörtner
- Moral hazard, Monitoring Cost, and the Choice of Contract

- Yoram Barzel and Wing Suen
- Equity as a Guarantee

- Yoram Barzel and Wing Suen
- The State Dilemma in Guaranteeing Commodities and Services by Reputation

- Yoram Barzel
- Replacing the Law of One Price with the Price Convergence Law

- Yoram Barzel
- Incentives for corruptible auditors in the absence of commitment

- Fahad Khalil and Jacques Lawarree
- The Determinants of Specialization within Marriage

- Shelly Lundberg and Elaina Rose
- Social Identity and Group Lending

- Prabirendra Chatterjee and Sudipta Sarangi
- Inference on Unit Roots and Trend Breaks in Macroeconomic Time Series

- Chris Murray and Eric Zivot
- Analysis of High-Frequency Financial Data with S-PLUS

- Bingcheng Yan and Eric Zivot
- Long Memory and Structural Breaks in the Forward Discount: An Empirical Investigation

- Kyongwook Choi and Eric Zivot
- The Dynamics of Price Discovery

- Bingcheng Yan and Eric Zivot
- Bootstrap Methods for Inference in a SUR model with Autocorrelated Disturbances

- Clarisse Messemer and Richard Parks
- A Joint Econometric Model of Marriage and Partner Choice

- Elaina Rose
- Measuring the NAIRU with Reduced Uncertainty: A Multiple Indicator-Common Component Approach

- Arabinda Basistha and Richard Startz
- Is There a Cohabitation Premium in Men’s Earnings?

- Arif Mamun
- A Quantitative Exploration of the Golden Age of European Growth: Structural Change, Public Investment, the Marshall Plan and Intra-European Trade

- Francisco Alvarez-Cuadrado
- Growth and Transitional Dynamics:The Post-war European Experience

- Francisco Alvarez-Cuadrado
- The Secondary Benefits of Market-Based Environmental Regulation: The Case of Scrubbers

- Allen Bellas and Ian Lange
- Habit Formation, Catching Up with the Joneses, and Economic Growth

- Francisco Alvarez-Cuadrado, Goncalo Monteiro and Stephen J Turnovsky
- The Welfare Gains from Stabilization in a Stochastically Growing Economy with Idiosyncratic Shocks and Flexible Labor Supply

- Stephen J Turnovsky and Marcelo Bianconi
- Foreign Aid and Economic Growth: The Role of Flexible Labor Supply

- Santanu Chatterjee and Stephen J Turnovsky
- Macroeconomic Volatility and Income Inequality in a Stochastically Growing Economy

- Cecilia Garcia-Penalosa and Stephen J Turnovsky