Working Papers

From University of Washington, Department of Economics
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Collateral Constraints and Macroeconomic Adjustment in an Open Economy

Philip L. Brock

Sample Attrition in the Presence of Population Attrition

Seik Kim

Predicting Stock Volatility Using After-Hours Information

Chun-Hung Chen, Wei-Choun Yu and Eric Zivot

A new method of projection-based inference in GMM with weakly identified nuisance parameters

Saraswata Chaudhuri and Eric Zivot

Non-Exponential Discounting: A Direct Test

Richard Startz and Kwok Ping Tsang

On the Information Gathering Role of Firm-Sponsored Training for New Hires

Doyoung Kim and Jacques Lawarree

A Comment on Weak Instrument Robust Tests in GMM and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve

Eric Zivot and Saraswata Chaudhuri

In Search of WTO Trade Effects: Preferential Trade Agreements Promote Trade Strongly, But Unevenly

Theo Eicher and Christian Henn

Postwar Slowdowns and Long-Run Growth: A Bayesian Analysis of Structural-Break Models

Yi-Chi Chen and Eric Zivot

Long Memory versus Structural Breaks in Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility

Kyongwook Choi, Wei-Choun Yu and Eric Zivot

Economic Assimilation of Foreign-Born Workers in the United States: An Overlapping Rotating Panel Analysis

Seik Kim

Uncertainty in Human Capital Investment and Earnings Dynamics

Seik Kim

Extracting a Robust U.S. Business Cycle Using a Time-Varying Multivariate Model-Based Bandpass Filter

Drew Creal, Siem Jan Koopman and Eric Zivot

Monetary Policy Design under Imperfect Knowledge: An Open Economy Analysis

Yu-chin Chen and Pisut Kulthanavit

Adaptive Learning and Monetary Policy: Lessons from Japan

Yu-chin Chen and Pisut Kulthanavit

Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?

Yu-chin Chen, Kenneth Rogoff and Barbara Rossi

Classification, Detection and Consequences of Data Error: Evidence from the Human Development Index

Hendrik Wolff, Howard Chong and Maximilian Auffhammer

Stabilization Theory and Policy: 50 Years after the Phillips Curve

Stephen J Turnovsky

Optimal Resource Management in a Stochastic Schaefer Model

Richard Hartman

Valid Inference for a Class of Models Where Standard Inference Performs Poorly: Including Nonlinear Regression, ARMA, GARCH, and Unobserved Components

Jun Ma and Charles Nelson

The Changing Relation Between the Canadian and U.S. Yield Curves

Kathlyn Lucia, Stephanie Price, Edwin Wong and Richard Startz

Practical Issues in the Analysis of Univariate GARCH Models

Eric Zivot

Mortgage Securitization and Economic Development: An Essay on the Caja de Crédito Hipotecario of Chile

Philip L. Brock

The Evolution of Criminal Law and Police

Douglas Allen and Yoram Barzel

Nationalization of Energy Assets and Regional Welfare; Sakhalin 2007

Judith Thornton

Benchmarking North Korean Economic Policies; The Lessons from Russia and China

Judith Thornton

The Response of Federal Transfers to Measures of Social Need in Russia's Regions

Judith Thornton and Krisztina Nagy

Trends of U.S. Emissions of Nitrogen Oxides and Volatile Organic Compounds

Nina S. Jones, Eric Zivot and University of Washington

A Time-Varying Parameter Model for a Forward-Looking Monetary Policy Rule Based on Real-Time Data

Chang-Jin Kim, N Kishor and Charles Nelson

Your Momma Was Home and You Left?: Parental Influence on Military Service

Elaina Rose

The Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition in Retrospect and Prospect

Charles Nelson

Pricing Stock Market Volatility: Does It Matter Whether the Volatility is Related to the Business Cycle?

Chang-Jin Kim, Yunmi Kim and Charles Nelson

The State’s Dilemma in Guaranteeing Commodities’ and Services’ Quality by Reputation

Yoram Barzel

LOP

Yoram Barzel

Public goods, firm size and growth

Yoram Barzel

Default Priors and Predictive Performance in Bayesian Model Averaging, with Application to Growth Determinants

Theo Eicher, Chris Papageogiou and Adrian E Raftery

Decision Making By Children

Shelly Lundberg, Jennifer Romich and Kwok Ping Tsang

Independence Giving or Autonomy Taking? Childhood Predictors of Decision-Making Patterns Between Young Adolescents and Parents

Shelly Lundberg, Jennifer Romich and Kwok Ping Tsang

Are Consumers Forward-Looking?

Richard Startz

Intergenerational Allocation of Government Expenditures: Externalities and Optimal Taxation

Kazi Iqbal and Stephen J Turnovsky

In Search of a Sulphur Dioxide Environmental Kuznets Curve: A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach

Theo Eicher and Jeff Begun

Trade Creation and Diversion Revisited: Accounting for Model Uncertainty and Natural Trading Partner Effects

Theo Eicher, Christian Henn and Chris Papageorgiou

Education, Corruption and Constitutional Reform

Theo Eicher, Cecilia Garcia-Penalosa and Tanguy van Ypersele

Institutions and Economic Performance: Endogeneity and Parameter Heterogeneity

Theo Eicher and Andreas Leukert

Institutions and Growth: Time Series Evidence from Natural Experiments

Theo Eicher and Till Schreiber

Endogenous Strength of Intellectual Property Rights

Theo Eicher and Cecilia Garcia-Penalosa

Bribery vs. extortion: allowing the lesser of two evils

Fahad Khalil, Jacques Lawarree and Sungho Yun

Split-Sample Score Tests in Linear Instrumental Variables Regression

Saraswata Chaudhuri, Thomas Richardson, James Robins and Eric Zivot

Demand for Environmental Quality: Survey Evidence on Drinking Water in Urban India

Jyotsna Jalan, E. Somanathan and Saraswata Chaudhuri

Implications of Two Measures of Persistence for Correlation Between Permanent and Transitory Shocks in U.S. Real GDP

Daisuke Nagakura and Eric Zivot