A Popperian test of level-k theory

Shaun Hargreaves Heap, David Rojo Arjona and Robert Sugden

No 12-06, Working Paper series, University of East Anglia, Centre for Behavioural and Experimental Social Science (CBESS) from School of Economics, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK.

Abstract: We report an experimental test of level-k theory, applied to three simple games with non-neutral frames: Coordination, Discoordination and Hide and Seek. Using the same frame for all three games, we derive hypotheses that apply across the games and are independent of prior assumptions about salience. Those hypotheses are not confirmed by our experimental results. Our findings contrast with previous research which has fitted parameterised level-k models to Hide and Seek data. We show that, as a theory-testing criterion, the existence of a plausible model that replicates the main patterns in these data has a high probability of false positives.

Keywords: level-k theory; Popper; Hide and Seek; coordination; discoordination (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C72 C78 C91 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012-09-26
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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