Details about Michael John Artis

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Workplace:	Economics, University of Manchester, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Michael John Artis.

Last updated 2009-08-23. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: par79

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Working Papers

2009

1. Assessing Agglomeration Economies in a Spatial Framework with Endogenous Regressors
   SERC Discussion Papers, Spatial Economics Research Centre, LSE
   Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2009)
2. Common and Spatial Drivers in Regional Business Cycles
   Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research
   Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2009)
   SERC Discussion Papers, Spatial Economics Research Centre, LSE (2009)
   Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester (2009)
3. The UK Intranational Trade Cycle
   Discussion Paper Series, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University
   Also in Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester (2008) View citations
   SERC Discussion Papers, Spatial Economics Research Centre, LSE (2009)
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2009)

2008

4. Globalization and Business Cycle Transmission
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
   Also in Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester (2008)
   Discussion Paper Series, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University (2008)
5. The Intranational Business Cycle: Evidence from Japan
   Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University
   Also in Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester (2008)
   Discussion Paper Series, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University (2008)
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2008) View citations

2007

6. Analyzing Strongly Periodic Series in the Frequency Domain: A Comparison of Alternative Approaches with Applications
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
7. Declining Home Bias and the Increase in International Risk Sharing: Lessons from European Integration
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations
8. Financial Globalization, International Business Cycles, and Consumption Risk Sharing
   IEW - Working Papers, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - IEW View citations
   Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2004) View citations
   See also Journal Article in Scandinavian Journal of Economics (2008)
9. Harmonic Regression Models: A Comparative Review with Applications
   IEW - Working Papers, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - IEW
10. The Home Bias and Capital Income Flows between Countries and Regions
    IEW - Working Papers, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - IEW View citations
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2006) View citations

2006

11. The Economic Importance of Fiscal Rules
    Economics Working Papers, European University Institute View citations
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2006) View citations
12. What Do We Now Know About Currency Unions?
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
    See also Journal Article in Economie Internationale (2006)

2004

13. Characterising the Business Cycle for Accession Countries
    Working Papers, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University
    Also in Econometrics, EconWPA (2004) View citations
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2004) View citations
14. The International Business Cycle In A Changing World: Volatility And The Propagation Of Shocks
    Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2004, Royal Economic Society View citations
    Also in Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester (2003) View citations
15. The International Business Cycle in a Changing World: Volatility and the Propagation of Shocks in the G-7
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations
    See also Journal Article in Open Economies Review (2006)
16. The detection of hidden periodicities: A comparison of alternative methods
    Economics Working Papers, European University Institute

2003

17. Dating the Euro Area Business Cycle
    Working Papers, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University View citations
    Also in Economics Working Papers, European University Institute (2002) View citations
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2003) View citations
18. Home Bias and the Structure of International and Regional Business Cycles
    Economics Working Papers, European University Institute View citations
19. Is there a European Business Cycle?
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich View citations
20. The Transmission Mechanism in a Changing World
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations
    Also in Economics Working Papers, European University Institute (2003) View citations
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Applied Econometrics (2007)

2002

21. Dating the Business Cycle in Britain
    Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester View citations
22. Domestic and International Influences on Business Cycle Regimes in Europe
    Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester View citations
    Also in The School of Economics Discussion Paper Series, Economics, The University of Manchester (2002) View citations
    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Forecasting (2004)
23. Factor Forecasts for the UK
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations
    Also in Economics Working Papers, European University Institute (2001) View citations
    Working Papers, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University
24. Reflections on the Optimal Currency Area (OCA) criteria in the light of EMU
    Working Papers, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank) View citations
    Also in Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile (2002) View citations
    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Finance & Economics (2003)
25. The European Business Cycle
    Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces, Centro de Estudios Andaluces View citations
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (1999) View citations
    Economics Working Papers, European University Institute (1999) View citations
    See also Journal Article in Oxford Economic Papers (2004)

2000

26. "Close to Balance or in Surplus": A Policy Maker's Guide to the Implementation of the Stability and Growth Pact
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations
    Also in EUI-RSCAS Working Papers, European University Institute (EUI), Robert Schuman Centre of Advanced Studies (RSCAS) (2000)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Common Market Studies (2000)
27. The Exchange Rate - A Shock-Absorber or Source of Shocks? A Study of Four Open Economies
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations
    Also in EUI-RSCAS Working Papers, European University Institute (EUI), Robert Schuman Centre of Advanced Studies (RSCAS) (2000)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Money and Finance (2006)
28. The UK and the EMU
    EUI-RSCAS Working Papers, European University Institute (EUI), Robert Schuman Centre of Advanced Studies (RSCAS)

1999

29. Fiscal Forecasting: the Track Record of the IMF, OECD and EC
    Economics Working Papers, European University Institute View citations
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (1999) View citations
    See also Journal Article in Econometrics Journal (2001)

1998

30. Fiscal Solvency and Fiscal Forecasting in Europe
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations
    Also in Working Papers, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University View citations
    Economics Working Papers, European University Institute (1998) View citations
31. Inflation Targeting and the European Central Bank
    Economics Working Papers, European University Institute
32. Inflation Targeting: What can the ECB Learn from the Recent Experience of the Bank of England
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations
    See also Journal Article in Economic Journal (1998)
33. Trade and the Number of OAC's in the World
    Economics Working Papers, European University Institute
    See also Journal Article in Open Economies Review (1998)
34. Trade and the Number of Optimum Currency Areas in the World
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations

1997

35. On Identifying the Core of EMU: An Exploration of Some Empirical Criteria
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations
36. The Stability Pact: Safeguarding the Credibility of the European Central Bank
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations
37. Volatility Clustering and Volatility Transmission: A Non-Parametric View of ERM Exchange Rates
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

1996

38. How Accurate are the IMF's Short-Term Forecasts? Another Examination of the World Economic Outlook
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations

1995

39. Classical Business Cycles for G7 and European Countries
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations
40. Growth and Employment: What Scope for European Initiative? Labour Subsidies: Old Wine in New Bottles
    Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham
41. International Business Cycles and the ERM: Is there a European Business Cycle?
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations
    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Finance & Economics (1997)

1994

42. Predicting Turning Points in the UK Inflation Cycle
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations
    See also Journal Article in Economic Journal (1995)
43. Stage Two: Feasible Transitions to EMU
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

1993

44. DEER Hunting - Misalignment, Debt Accumulation, and Desired Equilibrium Exchange Rates
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations
45. The Stabilizing Effect of the ERM on Exchange Rates and Interest Rates - An Empirical Investigation
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations
46. Turning Point Prediction for the UK using CSO Leading Indicators
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations
    See also Journal Article in Oxford Economic Papers (1995)

1992

47. Counter-Inflationary Policy in the Framework of the EMS
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
48. Instability of the Velocity of Money: A New Approach Based on the Evolutionary Spectrum
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations
49. Monetary Policy in Stage Two of EMU: What Can We Learn From the 1980s?
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations

1991

50. Is There an `EMS' Effect in European Labour Markets?
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations
51. The Measurement of Policy Effects in a Non-Causal Model: An Application to Economic Policy in the UK, 1974-79
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

1990

52. BVAR Forecasts of the World Economy
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

1989

53. Abolishing Exchange Control: The UK Experience
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations
54. The United Kingdom and the EMS
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
55. Wages and Prices in Europe: A Test of the German Leadership Thesis
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations
    See also Journal Article in Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv) (1990)

1988

56. Exchange Rates and the EMS: Assessing the Track Record
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations

1987

57. A Two-Country Model with Asymmetric Phillips Curves and Intervention in the Foreign Exchange Market
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations

1986

58. Currency Substitution in a Two-Asset Two-Country Model: A Simulation Approach
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Journal Articles

2008

1. Financial Globalization, International Business Cycles and Consumption Risk Sharing
   Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 2008, 110, (3), 447-471 View citations
   See also Working Paper (2007)
2. The transmission of business cycles
   The Economics of Transition, 2008, 16, (3), 559-582 View citations

2007

3. The transmission mechanism in a changing world
   Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2007, 22, (1), 39-61 View citations
   See also Working Paper (2003)

2006

4. The International Business Cycle in a Changing World: Volatility and the Propagation of Shocks in the G-7
   Open Economies Review, 2006, 17, (3), 255-279 View citations
   See also Working Paper (2004)
5. The UK and the Eurozone
   CESifo Economic Studies, 2006, 52, (1), 32-60
6. The exchange rate - A shock-absorber or source of shocks? A study of four open economies
   Journal of International Money and Finance, 2006, 25, (6), 874-893 View citations
   See also Working Paper (2000)
7. What Do we Now Know About Currency Unions?
   Economie Internationale, 2006, (3Q), 9-28 View citations
   See also Working Paper (2006)

2004

8. Dating Business Cycles: A Methodological Contribution with an Application to the Euro Area
   Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2004, 66, (4), 537-565 View citations
9. Domestic and international influences on business cycle regimes in Europe
   International Journal of Forecasting, 2004, 20, (2), 343-357 View citations
   See also Working Paper (2002)
10. Issues in Money Demand: The Case of Europe
    Journal of Common Market Studies, 2004, 42, (4), 717-736 View citations
11. The European business cycle
    Oxford Economic Papers, 2004, 56, (1), 1-44 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2002)

2003

12. Reflections on the optimal currency area (OCA) criteria in the light of EMU
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2003, 8, (4), 297-307 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2002)
13. The Assessment: EMU, Four Years On
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2003, 19, (1), 1-29 View citations

2002

14. Le Royaume-Uni devrait-il rejoindre l'Union economique et monetaire ?
    Economie Internationale, 2002, (3Q), 93-114
15. The Performance of the European Central Bank
    International Review of Applied Economics, 2002, 16, (1), 19-29 View citations

2001

16. Fiscal forecasting: The track record of the IMF, OECD and EC
    Econometrics Journal, 2001, 4, (1), S20-S36 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1999)

2000

17. 'Close-to-Balance or in Surplus': A Policy-Maker's Guide to the Implementation of the Stability and Growth Pact
    Journal of Common Market Studies, 2000, 38, (4), 563-591 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2000)

1999

18. Further Evidence on the International Business Cycle and the ERM: Is There a European Business Cycle?
    Oxford Economic Papers, 1999, 51, (1), 120-32 View citations

1998

19. Inflation Targeting: What Can the ECB Learn from the Recent Experience of the Bank of England?
    Economic Journal, 1998, 108, (451), 1810-25 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1998)
20. The European Central Bank and Inflation Targeting
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 1998, 3, (1), 27-38
21. The Unemployment Problem
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 1998, 14, (3), 98-109 View citations
22. The linkage of interest rates within the EMS
    Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), 1998, 134, (1), 117-132 View citations
23. Trade and the Number of OCAs in the World
    Open Economies Review, 1998, 9, (1), 537-568 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1998)

1997

24. Business Cycles for G7 and European Countries
    Journal of Business, 1997, 70, (2), 249-79 View citations
25. International Business Cycles and the ERM: Is There a European Business Cycle?
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 1997, 2, (1), 1-16 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1995)

1996

26. Alternative Transitions to EMU
    Economic Journal, 1996, 106, (437), 1005-15 View citations
27. The US and the European Monetary System (EMS): A Stylised Asymmetrical Two-Country Model
    Applied Economics, 1996, 28, (1), 13-20
28. The lira and the pound in the 1992 currency crisis: Fundamentals or speculation?
    Open Economies Review, 1996, 7, (1), 573-589

1995

29. Predicting Turning Points in the UK Inflation Cycle
    Economic Journal, 1995, 105, (432), 1145-64 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1994)
30. Turning Point Prediction for the UK Using CSO Leading Indicators
    Oxford Economic Papers, 1995, 47, (3), 397-417 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1993)

1994

31. The Measurement of Policy Effects in a Forward-Looking Model: An Application to Economic Policy in the UK, 1974-9
    Oxford Economic Papers, 1994, 46, (2), 277-95

1993

32. Apres le Deluge: Monetary and Exchange-Rate Policy in Britain and Europe
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 1993, 9, (3), 36-61

1991

33. Imperfect asset substitution in a two-country model
    Economic Modelling, 1991, 8, (1), 34-44
34. Monetary Policy and the Exchange Rate
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 1991, 7, (3), 128-38
35. One market, one money: An evaluation of the potential benefits and costs of forming an economic and monetary union
    Open Economies Review, 1991, 2, (3), 315-321 View citations

1990

36. BVAR forecasts for the G-7
    International Journal of Forecasting, 1990, 6, (3), 349-362 View citations
37. Wages and prices in Europe: A test of the German leadership thesis
    Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), 1990, 126, (1), 59-77 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1989)

1989

38. International Economic Policy Co-ordination: Theory and Practice
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 1989, 5, (3), 83-93

1988

39. The 1988 Budget and the MTFS
    Fiscal Studies, 1988, 9, (2), 14-29

1987

40. The European monetary system: An evaluation
    Journal of Policy Modeling, 1987, 9, (1), 175-198 View citations

1984

41. How Unstable Is the Demand for Money in the United Kingdom?
    Economica, 1984, 51, (204), 473-76 View citations

1981

42. Monetary Targets and the Exchange Rate: A Case for Conditional Targets
    Oxford Economic Papers, 1981, 33, 176-200 View citations

1976

43. Growth and the Permanent Income Theory of Consumption: A Note
    Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 1976, 38, (4), 323-25
44. The Demand for Money in the United Kingdom: 1963-1973
    The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, 1976, 44, (2), 147-81

Chapters

1993

1. The Role of the Exchange Rate in Monetary Policy - the Experience of Other Countries
   A chapter in The Exchange Rate, International Trade and the Balance of Payments, 1993