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Modeling players with random “data access”

Ran Spiegler ()

Journal of Economic Theory, 2021, vol. 198, issue C

Abstract: I present an approach to static equilibrium modeling with non-rational expectations, which is based on enriching players' typology. A player is characterized by his “data access”, consisting of: (i) “news access”, which corresponds to a conventional signal in the Harsanyi model, and (ii) “archival access”, a novel component representing the player's piecemeal knowledge of steady-state correlations. Drawing on prior literature on correlation neglect and coarse reasoning, I assume the player extrapolates a well-specified probabilistic belief from his “archival data” according to the maximum-entropy criterion. I show with a series of examples how this formalism extends our ability to represent and analyze strategic interactions without rational expectations.

Keywords: Non-rational expectations; Non-standard type space; Archival information; Maximum entropy; Limited data access (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C79 D90 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jetheo:v:198:y:2021:i:c:s0022053121001915

DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2021.105374

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