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CEPR Discussion Papers

From C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
Centre for Economic Policy Research, 77 Bastwick Street, London EC1V 3PZ..

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9657: Exogenous Volatility and the Size of Government in Developing Countries Downloads
Markus Brückner and Mark Gradstein
9656: Participation Constraints in Pension Systems Downloads
Roel Beetsma and Ward Romp
9655: Testing for Granger Causality with Mixed Frequency Data Downloads
Eric Ghysels, Jonathan Hill and Kaiji Motegi
9654: Testing for Cointegration with Temporally Aggregated and Mixed-frequency Time Series Downloads
Eric Ghysels and J. Miller
9653: The Media and the Diffusion of Information in Financial Markets: Evidence from Newspaper Strikes Downloads
Joel Peress
9652: Recreating the South Sea Bubble: Lessons from an Experiment in Financial History Downloads
Giovanni Giusti, Charles Noussair and Hans-Joachim Voth
9651: Reputation and Entry in Procurement Downloads
Jeffrey Butler, Enrica Carbone, Pierluigi Conzo and Giancarlo Spagnolo
9650: Economic Conditions at Birth, Birth Weight, Ability, and the Causal Path to Cardiovascular Mortality Downloads
Bitte Modin and Gerard van den Berg
9649: Household Debt and the Dynamic Effects of Income Tax Changes Downloads
James Cloyne and Paolo Surico
9648: Comparing Charitable Fundraising Schemes: Evidence from a Natural Field Experiment and a Structural Model Downloads
Steffen Huck, Imran Rasul and Andrew Shephard
9647: The ECB and the banks: the tale of two crises Downloads
Lucrezia Reichlin
9646: The Time for Austerity: Estimating the Average Treatment Effect of Fiscal Policy Downloads
Oscar Jorda and Alan Taylor
9645: Monetary/Fiscal Policy Mix and Agents' Beliefs Downloads
Francesco Bianchi and Cosmin Ilut
9644: Factoryless Goods Producers in the US Downloads
Andrew Bernard and Teresa Fort
9643: Escaping the Great Recession Downloads
Francesco Bianchi and Leonardo Melosi
9642: Do Firms Benefit from Active Labour Market Policies? Downloads
Michael Lechner, Patrycja Scioch and Conny Wunsch
9641: Complexity, Efficiency, and Fairness of Multi-Product Monopoly Pricing Downloads
Eugenio Miravete, Katja Seim and Jeff Thurk
9640: A Neoclassical Growth Model for the Insiders – Outsiders Society Downloads
Tryphon Kollintzas, Dimitris Papageorgiou and Vanghelis Vassilatos
9639: Continued Existence of Cows Disproves Central Tenets of Capitalism? Downloads
Santosh Anagol, Alvin Etang and Dean Karlan
9638: Long-Term Barriers to Economic Development Downloads
Enrico Spolaore and Romain Wacziarg
9637: The Real Costs of Disclosure Downloads
Alex Edmans, Mirko Heinle and Chong Huang
9636: Safety Traps Downloads
Kenza Benhima and Baptiste Massenot
9635: Currency Risk in Currency Unions Downloads
Alexander Kriwoluzky, Gernot Müller and Martin Wolf
9634: Unemployment of Non-western Immigrants in the Great Recession Downloads
Jakub Cerveny and Jan C van Ours
9633: Twentieth Century Growth Downloads
Nicholas Crafts and Kevin O'Rourke
9632: Distance to cannabis-shops and age of onset of cannabis use Downloads
Ali Palali and Jan C van Ours
9631: Heterogeneous Consumers and Fiscal Policy Shocks Downloads
Emily Anderson, Atsushi Inoue and Barbara Rossi
9630: The Stock Market Crash Really Did Cause the Great Recession Downloads
Roger Farmer
9629: Scrapping Subsidies during the Financial Crisis - Evidence from the Europe Downloads
Nina Leheyda and Frank Verboven
9628: Inventories and the Role of Goods-Market Frictions for Business Cycles Downloads
Wouter Den Haan
9627: The Value of Democracy: Evidence from Road Building in Kenya Downloads
Robin Burgess, Remi Jedwab, Edward Miguel, Ameet Morjaria and Gerard Padró Miquel
9626: The Location of the UK Cotton Textiles Industry in 1838: a Quantitative Analysis Downloads
Nicholas Crafts and Nikolaus Wolf
9625: Geography, Transparency and Institutions Downloads
Joram Mayshar, Omer Moav and Zvika Neeman
9624: News Driven Business Cycles: Insights and Challenges Downloads
Paul Beaudry and Franck Portier
9623: On the Welfare Cost of Consumption Fluctuations in the Presence of Memorable Goods Downloads
Rong Hai, Dirk Krueger and Andrew Postlewaite
9622: Enlisting Employees in Improving Payroll-Tax Compliance: Evidence from Mexico Downloads
Judith A Frías, Todd Kumler and Eric Verhoogen
9621: The Political Economy of Financial Systems: Evidence from Suffrage Reforms in the Last Two Centuries Downloads
Hans Degryse, Thomas Lambert and Armin Schwienbacher
9620: When Strong Ties are Strong: Networks and Youth Labor Market Entry Downloads
Francis Kramarz and Oskar Skans
9619: Public Debate and Stock Prices: Evidence from the Voting Premium Downloads
Fabio Braggion and Mariassunta Giannetti
9618: Market-Based Bank Capital Regulation Downloads
Jeremy . Bulow and Paul Klemperer
9617: Backward integration, forward integration, and vertical foreclosure Downloads
Yossi Spiegel
9616: International Competitiveness and Monetary Policy: Strategic Policy and Coordination with a Production Relocation Externality Downloads
Paul Bergin and Giancarlo Corsetti
9615: Policy Uncertainty, Trade and Welfare: Theory and Evidence for China and the U.S Downloads
Kyle Handley and Nuno Limão
9614: What separates us? Sources of resistance to globalization Downloads
Keith Head and Thierry Mayer
9613: The Gravity Equation in International Trade: An Explanation Downloads
Thomas Chaney
9612: Information Management in Banking Crises Downloads
Joel Shapiro and David Skeie
9611: Identifying Taylor rules in macro-finance models Downloads
David Backus, Mikhail Chernov and Stanley Zin
9610: Risk-Adjusting the Returns to Venture Capital Downloads
Arthur Korteweg and Stefan Nagel
9609: A Model of Aggregate Demand and Unemployment Downloads
Pascal Michaillat and Emmanuel Saez
9607: First Impressions Matter: Signalling as a Source of Policy Dynamics Downloads
Stephen Hansen and Michael McMahon
9606: Sovereign Default Risk and Banks in a Monetary Union Downloads
Harald Uhlig
9605: Does Violent Crime Deter Physical Activity? Downloads
Katharina Janke, Carol Propper and Michael Shields
9604: Do we go shopping downtown or in the `burbs? Why not both? Downloads
Igor Sloev, Jacques Thisse and Philip Ushchev
9603: Outsourcing, Offshoring and Innovation: Evidence from Firm-level Data for Emerging Economies Downloads
Ursula Fritsch and Holger Görg
9602: Estimating the preferences of central bankers: an analysis of four voting records Downloads
Sylvester Eijffinger, Ronald J Mahieu and Louis Raes
9601: Noisy News in Business cycles Downloads
Mario Forni, Luca Gambetti, Marco Lippi and Luca Sala
9600: Migration and Tax Competition Within a Union Downloads
Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka
9599: Export market exit, financial pressure and the crisis Downloads
Holger Görg and Marina-Eliza Spaliara
9598: Creativity, cities and innovation Downloads
Neil Lee and Andrés Rodríguez-Pose
9597: Finance, Growth and Fragility: The Role of Government Downloads
Thorsten Beck
9596: Dynamic Aid Allocation Downloads
Patrick Carter, Fabien Postel-Vinay and Jonathan Temple
9595: Bowling for Fascism: Social Capital and the Rise of the Nazi Party in Weimar Germany: 1919-33 Downloads
Shanker Satyanath, Nico Voigtländer and Hans-Joachim Voth
9594: State Incentives for Innovation, Star Scientists and Jobs: Evidence from Biotech Downloads
Enrico Moretti and Daniel Wilson
9593: Local Economic Development, Agglomeration Economies, and the Big Push: 100 Years of Evidence from the Tennessee Valley Authority Downloads
Patrick Kline and Enrico Moretti
9592: Accession to the World Trade Organization and Tariff Evasion Downloads
Beata Javorcik and Gaia Narciso
9591: The Portuguese Slump and Crash and the Euro Crisis Downloads
Ricardo Reis
9590: The growth of cities Downloads
Gilles Duranton and Diego Puga
9589: Time Varying Risk Aversion Downloads
Luigi Guiso, Paola Sapienza and Luigi Zingales
9588: Capital is Back: Wealth-Income Ratios in Rich Countries, 1700-2010 Downloads
Thomas Piketty and Gabriel Zucman
9587: Private, social and self-insurance for long-term care in the presence of family help: A political economy analysis Downloads
Philippe De Donder and Pierre Pestieau
9586: Evaluating the law of one price using micro panel data Downloads
Laurent Gobillon, Patrice Guillotreau and François-Charles Wolff
9585: Acquisitions, Entry, and Innovation in Network Industries Downloads
Pehr-Johan Norbäck, Lars Persson and Joacim Tåg
9584: The Buyer Margins of Firms' Exports Downloads
Jeronimo Carballo, Gianmarco Ottaviano and Christian Volpe Martincus
9583: Residual-based Rank Specification Tests for AR-GARCH type models Downloads
Elena Andreou and Bas J M Werker
9582: Distributional Impact of Commodity Price Shocks: Australia over a Century Downloads
Sambit Bhattacharyya and Jeffrey G Williamson
9581: Asset Allocation and Monetary Policy: Evidence from the Eurozone Downloads
Harald Hau and Sandy Lai
9580: The Natural Rate Hypothesis: An idea past its sell-by-date Downloads
Roger Farmer
9579: Tariffs, Trade and Productivity: A Quantitative Evaluation of Heterogeneous Firm Models Downloads
Holger Breinlich and Alejandro Cunat
9578: Group Lending Without Joint Liability Downloads
Jonathan de Quidt, Thiemo Fetzer and Maitreesh Ghatak
9577: The Greek Debt Restructuring: An Autopsy Downloads
Mitu Gulati, Christoph Trebesch and Jeromin Zettelmeyer
9576: Do DSGE Models Forecast More Accurately Out-of-Sample than VAR Models? Downloads
Refet Gürkaynak, Burçin Kisacikoglu and Barbara Rossi
9575: Exchange Rate Predictability Downloads
Barbara Rossi
9574: The effect of firms' partial retirement policies on the labour market outcomes of their employees Downloads
Martin Huber, Michael Lechner and Conny Wunsch
9573: From Green Users to Green Voters Downloads
Diego Comin and Johannes Rode
9572: Are Product Spreads Useful for Forecasting? An Empirical Evaluation of the Verleger Hypothesis Downloads
Christiane Baumeister, Lutz Kilian and Xiaoqing Zhou
9571: Building Reputation for Contract Renewal: Implications for Performance Dynamics and Contract Duration Downloads
Elisabetta Iossa and Patrick Rey
9570: Nonparametric Predictive Regression Downloads
Elena Andreou, Ioannis Kasparis and Peter Phillips
9569: Forecasting the Real Price of Oil in a Changing World: A Forecast Combination Approach Downloads
Christiane Baumeister and Lutz Kilian
9568: Regional Growth and Regional Decline Downloads
Holger Breinlich, Gianmarco Ottaviano and Jonathan Temple
9567: Central Bank Design Downloads
Ricardo Reis
9566: External Adjustment, Global Imbalances and Valuation Effects Downloads
Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas and Helene Rey
9565: The Effect of College Employment on Graduation: Evidence from France Downloads
Magali Beffy, Denis Fougere and Arnaud Maurel
9564: What are we learning from business training and entrepreneurship evaluations around the developing world? Downloads
David McKenzie and Christopher Woodruff
9563: On Keeping Your Powder Dry: Fiscal Foundations of Financial and Price Stability Downloads
Maurice Obstfeld
9562: Credibility For Sale Downloads
Harris Dellas and Dirk Niepelt
9560: Herding cats? Management and university performance Downloads
John McCormack, Carol Propper and Sarah Smith
9559: Contracting With Synergies Downloads
Alex Edmans, Itay Goldstein and John Zhu
9558: Commodity and Equity Markets: Some Stylized Facts from a Copula Approach Downloads
Anne-Laure Delatte and Claude Lopez
9557: Does economic globalization a ffect regional inequality? A cross-country analysis Downloads
Roberto Ezcurra and Andrés Rodríguez-Pose
9556: Providing financial education: a general equilibrium approach Downloads
Mario Padula and Yuri Pettinicchi
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