Details about Andreas Graefe
Access statistics for papers by Andreas Graefe.
Last updated 2013-12-06. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.
Short-id: pgr243
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Working Papers
2009
- Predicting Elections from Biographical Information about Candidates
MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (3)
2008
- Forecasting Elections from Voters’ Perceptions of Candidates’ Positions on Issues and Policies
MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (6)
2007
- Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared
MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (24)
See also Journal Article Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared, Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters (2007) View citations (23) (2007)
Journal Articles
2013
- Combined Forecasts of the 2012 Election: The PollyVote
Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2013, (28), 50-51 View citations (1)
2012
- The PollyVote’s Year-Ahead Forecast of the 2012 U.S. Presidential Election
Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2012, (24), 13-14
2011
- Comparing face-to-face meetings, nominal groups, Delphi and prediction markets on an estimation task
International Journal of Forecasting, 2011, 27, (1), 183-195 View citations (43)
Also in International Journal of Forecasting, 2011, 27, (1), 183-195 (2011) View citations (42)
- Conditions under which index models are useful: Reply to bio-index commentaries
Journal of Business Research, 2011, 64, (7), 693-695 View citations (3)
- Predicting elections from biographical information about candidates: A test of the index method
Journal of Business Research, 2011, 64, (7), 699-706 View citations (14)
- Prediction Markets and the “Trough of Disillusionment”
Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2011, (23), 43-46
2010
- Are Prediction Markets More Accurate than Simple Surveys?
Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2010, (19), 39-43
- Prediction Markets for Forecasting Drug Development
Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2010, (17), 8-12
2009
- Combined Forecasts of the 2008 Election: The Pollyvote
Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2009, (12), 41-42 View citations (3)
2008
- Long-Term Forecasting with Prediction Markets - A Field Experiment on Applicability and Expert Confidence
Journal of Prediction Markets, 2008, 2, (2), 71-91 View citations (3)
- Prediction Markets – Defining Events and Motivating Participation
Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2008, (9), 30-32 View citations (1)
2007
- Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared
Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2007, (8), 17-20 View citations (23)
See also Working Paper Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared, MPRA Paper (2007) View citations (24) (2007)
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