EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Combined Forecasts of the 2008 Election: The Pollyvote

Andreas Graefe (), J. Armstrong, Alfred G. Cuzán and Randall J. Jones, Jr.

Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2009, issue 12, 41-42

Abstract: At PoliticalForecasting.com, better known as the Pollyvote, the authors combine forecasts from four sources: election polls, a panel of American political experts, the Iowa Electronic Market, and quantitative models. The day before the election, Polly predicted that the Republican ticket's share of the two-party vote would be 47.0%. The outcome was close at 46.6% (as of the end of November). In his Hot New Research column in this issue, Paul Goodwin discusses the benefits of combining forecasts. The success of the Pollyvote should further enhance interest is this approach to forecasting. Copyright International Institute of Forecasters, 2009

Date: 2009
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

Downloads: (external link)
https://foresight.forecasters.org/shop/

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:for:ijafaa:y:2009:i:12:p:41-42

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting from International Institute of Forecasters Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Michael Gilliland ().

 
Page updated 2025-03-19
Handle: RePEc:for:ijafaa:y:2009:i:12:p:41-42