Details about James M. Nason
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Short-id: pna12
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Working Papers
2025
- The Chinese Silver Standard: Parity, Predictability, and (In)Stability, 1912–1934
CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University
2021
- UK Inflation Forecasts since the Thirteenth Century
Working Paper, Economics Department, Queen's University 
Also in CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University (2021)
2018
- Inflation and professional forecast dynamics: an evaluation of stickiness, persistence, and volatility
BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements View citations (8)
Also in CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University (2015) View citations (11) CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University (2017) View citations (3)
See also Journal Article Inflation and professional forecast dynamics: An evaluation of stickiness, persistence, and volatility, Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society (2020) View citations (15) (2020)
2015
- Bringing Financial Stability into Monetary Policy*
Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden) View citations (13)
Also in CAEPR Working Papers, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington (2014) View citations (11) CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University (2014) View citations (10)
2014
- Measuring the Slowly Evolving Trend in US Inflation with Professional Forecasts
CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University View citations (4)
Also in Working Paper, Economics Department, Queen's University (2013) View citations (5)
See also Journal Article Measuring the slowly evolving trend in US inflation with professional forecasts, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2021) View citations (6) (2021)
2013
- Reverse Kalman filtering U.S. inflation with sticky professional forecasts
Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia View citations (2)
2012
- Appendix: Business Cycle Implications of Internal Consumption Habit for New Keynesian Models
Discussion Papers, Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University View citations (2)
- Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models
CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University View citations (16)
Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia (2012) View citations (7)
See also Chapter Bayesian estimation of DSGE models, Chapters, Edward Elgar Publishing (2013) View citations (2) (2013)
- Business Cycle Implications of Internal Consumption Habit for New Keynesian Models
Discussion Papers, Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University View citations (7)
Also in FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (2009) View citations (2) CARF F-Series, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo (2009) View citations (1) CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo (2009) View citations (2) Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia (2012) View citations (3) CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University (2010) View citations (2)
See also Journal Article Business Cycle Implications of Internal Consumption Habit for New Keynesian Models, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2014) View citations (6) (2014)
- Business Cycles and Financial Crises: The Roles of Credit Supply and Demand Shocks
CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University View citations (7)
Also in Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2012) View citations (11) Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia (2012) View citations (3)
See also Journal Article BUSINESS CYCLES AND FINANCIAL CRISES: THE ROLES OF CREDIT SUPPLY AND DEMAND SHOCKS, Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press (2015) View citations (10) (2015)
2011
- UK World War I and Interwar Data for Business Cycle and Growth Analysis
CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University 
Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia (2011) View citations (2) FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (2009) 
See also Journal Article UK World War I and interwar data for business cycle and growth analysis, Cliometrica, Journal of Historical Economics and Econometric History, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC) (2012) View citations (2) (2012)
2010
- Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models
Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics View citations (3)
Also in Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics (2007) View citations (30) Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics (2009) View citations (6) FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (2007) View citations (33) Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series, Economics, The University of Manchester (2009) View citations (6)
See also Journal Article Information criteria for impulse response function matching estimation of DSGE models, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2012) View citations (46) (2012)
- The Model Confidence Set
CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University View citations (5)
See also Journal Article The Model Confidence Set, Econometrica, Econometric Society (2011) View citations (1092) (2011)
2008
- Exchange rates and fundamentals: a generalization
FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta View citations (11)
Also in International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2008) View citations (7)
- Great moderations and U.S. interest rates: unconditional evidence
FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta View citations (1)
Also in Working Paper, Economics Department, Queen's University (2007) View citations (1)
See also Journal Article Great Moderation(s) and US Interest Rates: Unconditional Evidence, The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter (2008) View citations (12) (2008)
2007
- Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation
2007 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (29)
- Simple versus optimal rules as guides to policy
FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta View citations (42)
See also Journal Article Simple versus optimal rules as guides to policy, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2007) View citations (45) (2007)
- The McKenna Rule and UK World War I Finance
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series, Reserve Bank of New Zealand View citations (2)
Also in FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (2007) View citations (3)
See also Journal Article The McKenna Rule and UK World War I Finance, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2007) View citations (2) (2007)
2006
- Interwar U.K. unemployment: the Benjamin and Kochin hypothesis or the legacy of “just” taxes?
FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta View citations (1)
2005
- Identifying The New Keynesian Phillips Curve
Working Paper, Economics Department, Queen's University View citations (36)
Also in FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (2005) View citations (62)
See also Journal Article Identifying the new Keynesian Phillips curve, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2008) View citations (103) (2008)
- Model confidence sets for forecasting models
FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta View citations (23)
- Over the Top: U.K. World War I Finance and Its Aftermath
Computing in Economics and Finance 2005, Society for Computational Economics View citations (1)
- Testing the significance of calendar effects
FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta View citations (18)
2004
- Along the New Keynesian Phillips curve with nominal and real rigidities
FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta View citations (16)
Also in Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics (2003)
- Business Cycle Implications of Habit Formation
Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics View citations (2)
Also in Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings, Econometric Society (2004)
- Common trends and common cycles in Canada: who knew so much has been going on?
FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta 
See also Journal Article Common trends and common cycles in Canada: who knew so much has been going on?, Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association (2006) View citations (10) (2006)
2003
- Bulk commodities and the Liverpool and London markets of the mid-19th century
FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
- Choosing the Best Volatility Models:The Model Confidence Set Approach
Working Papers, Brown University, Department of Economics View citations (122)
Also in FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (2003) View citations (121)
See also Journal Article Choosing the Best Volatility Models: The Model Confidence Set Approach*, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford (2003) View citations (123) (2003)
- The present-value model of the current account has been rejected: Round up the usual suspects
FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta View citations (9)
Also in International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2003) View citations (32) Computing in Economics and Finance 2001, Society for Computational Economics (2001) View citations (1)
See also Journal Article The present-value model of the current account has been rejected: Round up the usual suspects, Journal of International Economics, Elsevier (2006) View citations (116) (2006)
1999
- Investment and the current account in the short run and the long run
International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (5)
See also Journal Article Investment and the Current Account in the Short Run and the Long Run, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2002) View citations (62) (2002)
- Long Run Monetary Neutrality in Three Samples: The United Kingdom, the United States, and the Small
Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Calgary View citations (2)
1993
- Effects of the Hodrick-Prescott filter on trend and difference stationary time series: implications for business cycle research
Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (92)
See also Journal Article Effects of the Hodrick-Prescott filter on trend and difference stationary time series Implications for business cycle research, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (1995) View citations (567) (1995)
- Output dynamics in real business cycle models
Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (180)
See also Journal Article Output Dynamics in Real-Business-Cycle Models, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (1995) View citations (479) (1995)
1991
- Testing For Structural Breaks
Working Paper, Economics Department, Queen's University View citations (19)
- The permanent income hypothesis when the bliss point is stochastic
Discussion Paper / Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis View citations (2)
1989
- Nonparametric exchange rate prediction?
Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (2)
See also Journal Article Nonparametric exchange rate prediction?, Journal of International Economics, Elsevier (1990) View citations (246) (1990)
1988
- The equity premium and time-varying risk behavior
Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (16)
Journal Articles
2023
- UK INFLATION DYNAMICS SINCE THE THIRTEENTH CENTURY
International Economic Review, 2023, 64, (4), 1595-1614
2021
- Measuring the slowly evolving trend in US inflation with professional forecasts
Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2021, 36, (1), 1-17 View citations (6)
See also Working Paper Measuring the Slowly Evolving Trend in US Inflation with Professional Forecasts, CAMA Working Papers (2014) View citations (4) (2014)
2020
- Inflation and professional forecast dynamics: An evaluation of stickiness, persistence, and volatility
Quantitative Economics, 2020, 11, (4), 1485-1520 View citations (15)
See also Working Paper Inflation and professional forecast dynamics: an evaluation of stickiness, persistence, and volatility, BIS Working Papers (2018) View citations (8) (2018)
2015
- BUSINESS CYCLES AND FINANCIAL CRISES: THE ROLES OF CREDIT SUPPLY AND DEMAND SHOCKS
Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2015, 19, (4), 836-882 View citations (10)
See also Working Paper Business Cycles and Financial Crises: The Roles of Credit Supply and Demand Shocks, CAMA Working Papers (2012) View citations (7) (2012)
2014
- Business Cycle Implications of Internal Consumption Habit for New Keynesian Models
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2014, 46, (2-3), 519-544 View citations (6)
See also Working Paper Business Cycle Implications of Internal Consumption Habit for New Keynesian Models, Discussion Papers (2012) View citations (7) (2012)
2012
- Information criteria for impulse response function matching estimation of DSGE models
Journal of Econometrics, 2012, 170, (2), 499-518 View citations (46)
See also Working Paper Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models, Working Papers (2010) View citations (3) (2010)
- Time-consistency and credible monetary policy after the crisis
Business Review, 2012, (Q2), 19-26
- UK World War I and interwar data for business cycle and growth analysis
Cliometrica, Journal of Historical Economics and Econometric History, 2012, 6, (2), 115-142 View citations (2)
See also Working Paper UK World War I and Interwar Data for Business Cycle and Growth Analysis, CAMA Working Papers (2011) (2011)
2011
- The Model Confidence Set
Econometrica, 2011, 79, (2), 453-497 View citations (1092)
See also Working Paper The Model Confidence Set, CREATES Research Papers (2010) View citations (5) (2010)
2008
- Great Moderation(s) and US Interest Rates: Unconditional Evidence
The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 2008, 8, (1), 33 View citations (12)
See also Working Paper Great moderations and U.S. interest rates: unconditional evidence, FRB Atlanta Working Paper (2008) View citations (1) (2008)
- Identifying the new Keynesian Phillips curve
Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2008, 23, (5), 525-551 View citations (103)
See also Working Paper Identifying The New Keynesian Phillips Curve, Working Paper (2005) View citations (36) (2005)
- Introduction: Journal of Econometrics special issue honoring the research contributions of Charles R. Nelson
Journal of Econometrics, 2008, 146, (2), 199-201
- The New Keynesian Phillips curve: lessons from single-equation econometric estimation
Economic Quarterly, 2008, 94, (Fall), 361-395 View citations (50)
2007
- Simple versus optimal rules as guides to policy
Journal of Monetary Economics, 2007, 54, (5), 1372-1396 View citations (45)
See also Working Paper Simple versus optimal rules as guides to policy, FRB Atlanta Working Paper (2007) View citations (42) (2007)
- The McKenna Rule and UK World War I Finance
American Economic Review, 2007, 97, (2), 290-294 View citations (2)
See also Working Paper The McKenna Rule and UK World War I Finance, Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series (2007) View citations (2) (2007)
2006
- Common trends and common cycles in Canada: who knew so much has been going on?
Canadian Journal of Economics, 2006, 39, (1), 320-347 View citations (10)
Also in Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, 2006, 39, (1), 320-347 (2006) View citations (10)
See also Working Paper Common trends and common cycles in Canada: who knew so much has been going on?, FRB Atlanta Working Paper (2004) (2004)
- Instability in U.S. inflation: 1967-2005
Economic Review, 2006, 91, (Q 2), 39-59 View citations (8)
- The present-value model of the current account has been rejected: Round up the usual suspects
Journal of International Economics, 2006, 68, (1), 159-187 View citations (116)
See also Working Paper The present-value model of the current account has been rejected: Round up the usual suspects, FRB Atlanta Working Paper (2003) View citations (9) (2003)
2004
- Long-run monetary neutrality and long-horizon regressions
Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2004, 19, (3), 355-373 View citations (19)
2003
- Choosing the Best Volatility Models: The Model Confidence Set Approach*
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2003, 65, (s1), 839-861 View citations (123)
See also Working Paper Choosing the Best Volatility Models:The Model Confidence Set Approach, Working Papers (2003) View citations (122) (2003)
- The long-horizon regression approach to monetary neutrality: how should the evidence be interpreted?
Economics Letters, 2003, 78, (3), 351-356 View citations (18)
2002
- Investment and the Current Account in the Short Run and the Long Run
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2002, 34, (4), 967-86 View citations (62)
See also Working Paper Investment and the current account in the short run and the long run, International Finance Discussion Papers (1999) View citations (5) (1999)
1996
- Testing for structural breaks in cointegrated relationships
Journal of Econometrics, 1996, 71, (1-2), 321-341 View citations (134)
1995
- Effects of the Hodrick-Prescott filter on trend and difference stationary time series Implications for business cycle research
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1995, 19, (1-2), 253-278 View citations (567)
See also Working Paper Effects of the Hodrick-Prescott filter on trend and difference stationary time series: implications for business cycle research, Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory (1993) View citations (92) (1993)
- Output Dynamics in Real-Business-Cycle Models
American Economic Review, 1995, 85, (3), 492-511 View citations (479)
See also Working Paper Output dynamics in real business cycle models, Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory (1993) View citations (180) (1993)
1994
- Testing the Implications of Long-Run Neutrality for Monetary Business Cycle Models
Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1994, 9, (S), S37-70 View citations (48)
1993
- Impulse dynamics and propagation mechanisms in a real business cycle model
Economics Letters, 1993, 43, (1), 77-81 View citations (38)
1991
- Effects of the Hodrick-Prescott filter on integrated time series
Proceedings, 1991, (Nov) View citations (16)
1990
- Nonparametric exchange rate prediction?
Journal of International Economics, 1990, 28, (3-4), 315-332 View citations (246)
See also Working Paper Nonparametric exchange rate prediction?, Finance and Economics Discussion Series (1989) View citations (2) (1989)
Chapters
2013
- Bayesian estimation of DSGE models
Chapter 21 in Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, 2013, pp 486-512 View citations (2)
See also Working Paper Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University (2012) View citations (16) (2012)
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