Details about Joan Paredes

Access statistics for papers by Joan Paredes.

Last updated 2025-03-17. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: ppa544

Working Papers

2024

1. Conditional density forecasting: a tempered importance sampling approach
   VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association
   Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2022) View citations (2)
2. ECB macroeconometric models for forecasting and policy analysis
   Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (1)

2023

3. Density forecasts of inflation: a quantile regression forest approach
   Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (4)
   Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2023)
4. GDP revisions are not cool: the impact of statistical agencies’ trade-off
   Working Paper Series, European Central Bank

2021

5. Combining Bayesian VARs with survey density forecasts: does it pay off?
   Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (13)
6. Inflation expectations and their role in Eurosystem forecasting
   Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (7)
7. Review of macroeconomic modelling in the Eurosystem: current practices and scope for improvement
   Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (3)

2019

8. Mind the gap: a multi-country BVAR benchmark for the Eurosystem projections
   Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (18)
   See also Journal Article Mind the gap: A multi-country BVAR benchmark for the Eurosystem projections, International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2019) View citations (15) (2019)

2017

9. Subsidising car purchases in the euro area: any spill-over on production?
   Working Paper Series, European Central Bank

2015

10. Fiscal targets. A guide to forecasters?
    Working Papers, Banco de España View citations (9)
    Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2015) View citations (11)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2015) View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article Fiscal targets. A guide to forecasters?, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2023) (2023)

2013

11. Forecasting fiscal time series using mixed frequency data
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (16)

2009

12. A quarterly fiscal database for the euro area based on intra-annual fiscal information
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (50)
    Also in Working Papers, Banco de España (2009) View citations (37)
13. Fiscal policy shocks in the euro area and the US: an empirical assessment
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (25)
    Also in Working Papers, Banco de España (2009) View citations (20)
    See also Journal Article Fiscal Policy Shocks in the Euro Area and the US: An Empirical Assessment, Fiscal Studies, Institute for Fiscal Studies (2010) View citations (93) (2010)

Journal Articles

2024

1. Selling price expectations for services: what do they tell us about consumer price pressures?
   Economic Bulletin Boxes, 2024, 5
2. What were the drivers of euro area food price inflation over the last two years?
   Economic Bulletin Boxes, 2024, 2 View citations (1)

2023

3. Fiscal targets. A guide to forecasters?
   Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2023, 38, (4), 472-492
   See also Working Paper Fiscal targets. A guide to forecasters?, Working Papers (2015) View citations (9) (2015)
4. Forecasting euro area inflation with machine-learning models
   Research Bulletin, 2023, 112 View citations (1)
5. Underlying inflation measures: an analytical guide for the euro area
   Economic Bulletin Boxes, 2023, 5 View citations (3)

2020

6. Real‐Time Fiscal Forecasting Using Mixed‐Frequency Data
   Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 2020, 122, (1), 369-390 View citations (7)

2019

7. Mind the gap: A multi-country BVAR benchmark for the Eurosystem projections
   International Journal of Forecasting, 2019, 35, (4), 1658-1668 View citations (15)
   See also Working Paper Mind the gap: a multi-country BVAR benchmark for the Eurosystem projections, Working Paper Series (2019) View citations (18) (2019)

2015

8. Shall we trust governments' fiscal plans?
   Research Bulletin, 2015, 23, 15-18

2014

9. Fiscal policy analysis in the euro area: Expanding the toolkit
   Journal of Policy Modeling, 2014, 36, (5), 800-823 View citations (29)

2010

10. Fiscal Multipliers in the Euro Area
    Revista de Economía y Estadística, 2010, 48, (2), 7–27 View citations (4)
11. Fiscal Policy Shocks in the Euro Area and the US: An Empirical Assessment
    Fiscal Studies, 2010, 31, (2), 251-285 View citations (93)
    See also Working Paper Fiscal policy shocks in the euro area and the US: an empirical assessment, Working Paper Series (2009) View citations (25) (2009)

Chapters

2024

1. Forecasting inflation in the US and in the euro area
   Chapter 9 in Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Macroeconomic Forecasting, 2024, pp 218-245