Details about Dimitrios D. Thomakos
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Short-id: pth311
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Working Papers
2023
- Insights into the accuracy of social scientists' forecasts of societal change
Other publications TiSEM, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management
- On the Predictability of the DJIA and S&P500 Indices
Working Papers, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting
2022
- Forecasting: theory and practice
Papers, arXiv.org View citations (70)
See also Journal Article Forecasting: theory and practice, International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2022) View citations (30) (2022)
2019
- Monthly Forecasting of GDP with Mixed Frequency Multivariate Singular Spectrum Analysis
Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department View citations (9)
See also Journal Article Monthly forecasting of GDP with mixed-frequency multivariate singular spectrum analysis, International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2019) View citations (6) (2019)
- Return Signal Momentum
QBS Working Paper Series, Queen's University Belfast, Queen's Business School 
See also Journal Article Return signal momentum, Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier (2021) View citations (4) (2021)
2016
- Explaining Non-Performing Loans in Greece: A Comparative Study on the Effects of Recession and Banking Practices
GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe, Hellenic Observatory, LSE View citations (11)
Also in LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library (2016) View citations (11)
- The Determinants of Loan Loss Provisions: An Analysis of the Greek Banking System in Light of the Sovereign Debt Crisis
GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe, Hellenic Observatory, LSE View citations (4)
Also in LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library (2016) View citations (4)
See also Chapter The Determinants of Loan Loss Provisions: An Analysis of the Greek Banking System in Light of the Sovereign Debt Crisis, Palgrave Macmillan Studies in Banking and Financial Institutions, Palgrave Macmillan (2017) View citations (1) (2017)
2013
- Covariance Averaging for Improved Estimation and Portfolio Allocation
Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis 
See also Journal Article Covariance averaging for improved estimation and portfolio allocation, Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer (2015) (2015)
- Forecasting multivariate time series with the Theta Method
Working Papers, Bangor Business School, Prifysgol Bangor University (Cymru / Wales) 
See also Journal Article Forecasting Multivariate Time Series with the Theta Method, Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2015) View citations (6) (2015)
- Growth, De-Regulation and Rent-Seeking in Post-War British Economy
Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis 
Also in Working Papers, Bangor Business School, Prifysgol Bangor University (Cymru / Wales) (2013) 
See also Journal Article Growth, deregulation and rent seeking in post-war British economy, Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2016) (2016)
- Optimal Linear Filtering, Smoothing and Trend Extraction for the m-th Differences of a Unit Root Process: A Singular Spectrum Analysis Approach
Economics Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Reading
- The Baltic Dry Index: Cyclicalities, Forecasting and Hedging Strategies
Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis View citations (2)
See also Journal Article The Baltic Dry Index: cyclicalities, forecasting and hedging strategies, Empirical Economics, Springer (2017) View citations (15) (2017)
2012
- Can Greece be saved? Current Account, fiscal imbalances and competitiveness
GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe, Hellenic Observatory, LSE View citations (7)
Also in LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library (2012) View citations (6)
2011
- Improving forecasting performance by window and model averaging
CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University View citations (1)
2009
- Economic Value of Realized Covariance Forecasts: The European Case
Working Papers, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics
- Realized Volatility and Jumps in the Athens Stock Exchange
Working Papers, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics 
See also Journal Article Realized volatility and jumps in the Athens Stock Exchange, Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2012) View citations (5) (2012)
- The Theta Model in the Presence of a Unit Root Some new results on “optimal” theta forecasts
Working Papers, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics
- Theta Model Forecasts for Financial Time Series: A Case Study in the S&P500
Working Papers, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics View citations (1)
2008
- A Note on Optimal Linear Filtering, Smoothing and Trend Extraction for Processes with Unit Roots with Drift
Working Papers, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics
- Consumer Confidence and Elections
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (1)
Also in Working Papers, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics (2007)  Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (2007) View citations (2)
- NoVaS Transformations: Flexible Inference for Volatility Forecasting
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC San Diego View citations (1)
Also in Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (2007)  Working Papers, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics (2007)
- Optimal Linear Filtering, Smoothing and Trend Extraction for Processes with Unit Roots and Cointegration
Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis View citations (5)
Also in Working Papers, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics (2008)
- Optimal Linear Filtering, Smoothing and Trend Extraction for m-period Differences of Processes with a Unit Root
Working Papers, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics
- The Multinational Corporation and the Global Sourcing of Knowledge: Remodeling Absorptive Capacity
Papers, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) View citations (3)
Also in Working Papers, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics (2007)
- The Role of Realized Volatility in the Athens Stock Exchange
Working Papers, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics 
See also Journal Article The Role of Realised Volatility in the Athens Stock Exchange, Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal (2011) View citations (4) (2011)
2007
- 'Optimal' Probabilistic Predictions for Financial Returns
Working Papers, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics
- Accruals, Net Stock Issues and Value-Glamour Anomalies: New Evidence on their Relation
Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis
- Inflation Dynamics and the Cross-Sectional Distribution of Prices in the E.U. Periphery
Working Papers, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics 
Also in Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (2007)
- Information in Balance Sheets about Future Stock Returns: Evidence from Net Operating Assets
Working Papers, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics
- Information in Balance Sheets for Future Stock Returns: Evidence from Net Operating Assets
Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis 
See also Journal Article Information in balance sheets for future stock returns: Evidence from net operating assets, International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier (2011) View citations (5) (2011)
- The Implications of Retained and Distributed Earnings for Future Profitability and Market Mispricing
Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis View citations (2)
2006
- Forecasting industry-level CPI and PPI inflation: does exchange rate pass-through matter?
Working Papers, Deakin University, Department of Economics 
Also in Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings, Econometric Society (2004) 
See also Journal Article Forecasting industry-level CPI and PPI inflation: Does exchange rate pass-through matter?, International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2008) View citations (4) (2008)
- Realized Volatility and Asymmetries in the A.S.E. Returns
Finance, University Library of Munich, Germany 
Also in Finance, University Library of Munich, Germany (2006)
- Trade, openness and domestic conflict: an empirical investigation for Latin America
Working Papers, Deakin University, Department of Economics 
See also Journal Article Trade, openness, and domestic conflict: An empirical investigation for Latin America, Economics of Peace and Security Journal, EPS Publishing (2007) View citations (2) (2007)
Journal Articles
2024
- Introducing the GVAR-GARCH model: Evidence from financial markets
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 2024, 91, (C) View citations (1)
2023
- Climate change economics and the determinants of carbon emissions’ futures returns: A regime-driven ARDL model
Finance Research Letters, 2023, 58, (PC) View citations (2)
2022
- Forecasting: theory and practice
International Journal of Forecasting, 2022, 38, (3), 705-871 View citations (30)
See also Working Paper Forecasting: theory and practice, Papers (2022) View citations (70) (2022)
2021
- Return signal momentum
Journal of Banking & Finance, 2021, 124, (C) View citations (4)
See also Working Paper Return Signal Momentum, QBS Working Paper Series (2019) (2019)
- Superforecasting reality check: Evidence from a small pool of experts and expedited identification
European Journal of Operational Research, 2021, 289, (1), 107-117 View citations (3)
2020
- Automatic time series modeling and forecasting: A replication case study of forecasting real GDP, the unemployment rate and the impact of leading economic indicators
Cogent Economics & Finance, 2020, 8, (1), 1759483
- Model Free Inference on Multivariate Time Series with Conditional Correlations
Stats, 2020, 3, (4), 1-26
- Non-Negativity of a Quadratic form with Applications to Panel Data Estimation, Forecasting and Optimization
Stats, 2020, 3, (3), 1-18
- The Effects of Corporate Bonds on Employment: Early Evidence from Greece
Review of Economic Analysis, 2020, 12, (2), 235-253
- Using singular spectrum analysis for inference on seasonal time series with seasonal unit roots
International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics, 2020, 10, (2), 149-182
2019
- Adaptive learning forecasting, with applications in forecasting agricultural prices
International Journal of Forecasting, 2019, 35, (4), 1356-1369 View citations (3)
- Monthly forecasting of GDP with mixed-frequency multivariate singular spectrum analysis
International Journal of Forecasting, 2019, 35, (4), 1263-1272 View citations (6)
See also Working Paper Monthly Forecasting of GDP with Mixed Frequency Multivariate Singular Spectrum Analysis, Working Papers (2019) View citations (9) (2019)
- Non-nested model selection based on the quantiles and it’s application in time series
Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 2019, 48, (2), 332-353
2018
- Robust model rankings of forecasting performance
Journal of Forecasting, 2018, 37, (6), 676-690 View citations (4)
- “Regulate me not”: The regulatory failures of taxation: A tale from Greece
Managerial and Decision Economics, 2018, 39, (8), 863-871
2017
- EXSSA: SSA-based reconstruction of time series via exponential smoothing of covariance eigenvalues
International Journal of Forecasting, 2017, 33, (1), 214-229 View citations (7)
- Managerial discretion, net operating assets and the cross-section of stock returns: Evidence from European countries
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 2017, 47, (C), 188-210 View citations (3)
- The Baltic Dry Index: cyclicalities, forecasting and hedging strategies
Empirical Economics, 2017, 52, (1), 255-282 View citations (15)
See also Working Paper The Baltic Dry Index: Cyclicalities, Forecasting and Hedging Strategies, Working Paper series (2013) View citations (2) (2013)
2016
- Carbon intensity as a proxy for environmental performance and the informational content of the EPI
Energy Policy, 2016, 94, (C), 179-190 View citations (11)
- European Integration and Competitiveness of EU New Member States
European Journal of Economics and Business Studies Articles, 2016, 2
- Growth, deregulation and rent seeking in post-war British economy
Applied Economics, 2016, 48, (18), 1719-1729 
See also Working Paper Growth, De-Regulation and Rent-Seeking in Post-War British Economy, Working Paper series (2013) (2013)
- Strategic Management of Small Enterprises in Commune of Peja
European Journal of Economics and Business Studies Articles, 2016, 2
2015
- An improved moving average technical trading rule
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2015, 428, (C), 458-469 View citations (6)
- Covariance averaging for improved estimation and portfolio allocation
Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, 2015, 29, (1), 31-59 
See also Working Paper Covariance Averaging for Improved Estimation and Portfolio Allocation, Working Paper series (2013) (2013)
- Forecasting Multivariate Time Series with the Theta Method
Journal of Forecasting, 2015, 34, (3), 220-229 View citations (6)
See also Working Paper Forecasting multivariate time series with the Theta Method, Working Papers (2013) (2013)
- Market timing and trading strategies using asset rotation: non-neutral market positioning for exploiting arbitrage opportunities
Quantitative Finance, 2015, 15, (2), 285-298 View citations (1)
2014
- “Out of Sync”: The Breakdown of Economic Sentiment Cycles in the EU
Review of International Economics, 2014, 22, (1), 131-150 View citations (4)
2013
- Corporate financing activities, fundamentals to price ratios and the cross section of stock returns
Journal of Economic Studies, 2013, 40, (4), 493-514
- Nonparametric realized volatility estimation in the international equity markets
International Review of Financial Analysis, 2013, 28, (C), 34-45 View citations (3)
2012
- Econometric testing of the real option hypothesis: evidence from investment in oil tankers
Empirical Economics, 2012, 42, (1), 121-145 View citations (3)
- External Financing, Growth and Stock Returns
European Financial Management, 2012, 18, (5), 790-815
- Realized volatility and jumps in the Athens Stock Exchange
Applied Financial Economics, 2012, 22, (2), 97-112 View citations (5)
See also Working Paper Realized Volatility and Jumps in the Athens Stock Exchange, Working Papers (2009) (2009)
2011
- Accruals and the performance of stock returns following external financing activities
The British Accounting Review, 2011, 43, (3), 214-229 View citations (3)
- Information in balance sheets for future stock returns: Evidence from net operating assets
International Review of Financial Analysis, 2011, 20, (5), 269-282 View citations (5)
See also Working Paper Information in Balance Sheets for Future Stock Returns: Evidence from Net Operating Assets, Working Paper series (2007) (2007)
- The Role of Realised Volatility in the Athens Stock Exchange
Multinational Finance Journal, 2011, 15, (1-2), 87-124 View citations (4)
See also Working Paper The Role of Realized Volatility in the Athens Stock Exchange, Working Papers (2008) (2008)
2010
- 'Optimal' probabilistic and directional predictions of financial returns
Journal of Empirical Finance, 2010, 17, (1), 102-119 View citations (1)
- The implications of retained and distributed earnings for future profitability and stock returns
Review of Accounting and Finance, 2010, 9, (4), 395-423
2008
- Exchange Rate Uncertainty, Sociopolitical Instability and Private Investment: Empirical Evidence from Latin America
Review of Development Economics, 2008, 12, (2), 372-385 View citations (11)
- Exchange rate pass-through and relative prices: An industry-level empirical investigation
Journal of International Money and Finance, 2008, 27, (7), 1135-1160 View citations (7)
- Forecasting industry-level CPI and PPI inflation: Does exchange rate pass-through matter?
International Journal of Forecasting, 2008, 24, (1), 134-150 View citations (4)
See also Working Paper Forecasting industry-level CPI and PPI inflation: does exchange rate pass-through matter?, Working Papers (2006) (2006)
- Macroeconomic announcements, intraday covariance structure and asymmetry in the interest rate futures returns
Journal of Futures Markets, 2008, 28, (9), 815-844 View citations (7)
2007
- Global FDI Convergence Patterns?: Evidence from International Comparisons
Journal of Economic Integration, 2007, 22, 1-25 View citations (2)
- Trade, openness, and domestic conflict: An empirical investigation for Latin America
Economics of Peace and Security Journal, 2007, 2, (2), 77-80 View citations (2)
See also Working Paper Trade, openness and domestic conflict: an empirical investigation for Latin America, Working Papers (2006) (2006)
2006
- Can we obtain realistic parameter estimates for the `protection for sale' model?
Canadian Journal of Economics, 2006, 39, (1), 187-210 View citations (32)
Also in Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, 2006, 39, (1), 187-210 (2006) View citations (7)
See also Chapter Can we obtain realistic parameter estimates for the ‘protection for sale’ model?, World Scientific Book Chapters, 2016, 175-198 (2016) (2016)
2005
- Firm's R & D Behavior Under Rational Expectations
Indian Economic Review, 2005, 40, (2), 145-165
2004
- Naive, ARIMA, nonparametric, transfer function and VAR models: A comparison of forecasting performance
International Journal of Forecasting, 2004, 20, (1), 53-67 View citations (3)
- Protection versus Promotion: An Empirical Investigation
Economics and Politics, 2004, 16, (2), 147-162 View citations (3)
See also Chapter PROTECTION VERSUS PROMOTION: AN EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATION, World Scientific Book Chapters, 2016, 221-236 (2016) (2016)
2003
- Economic integration, market discipline and productivity growth in Spain
The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 2003, 12, (4), 359-375
- Realized volatility in the futures markets
Journal of Empirical Finance, 2003, 10, (3), 321-353 View citations (75)
2002
- "Protection For Sale" In A Developing Country: Democracy Vs. Dictatorship
The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2002, 84, (3), 497-508 View citations (136)
See also Chapter “PROTECTION FOR SALE” IN A DEVELOPING COUNTRY: DEMOCRACY VS. DICTATORSHIP, World Scientific Book Chapters, 2016, 163-174 (2016) View citations (7) (2016)
- Modeling daily realized futures volatility with singular spectrum analysis
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2002, 312, (3), 505-519 View citations (14)
2001
- Protection for sale and political regimes: Empirical evidence
International Advances in Economic Research, 2001, 7, (2), 270-270
1998
- Structural VAR, MARMA and open economy models
International Journal of Forecasting, 1998, 14, (2), 187-198 View citations (7)
Edited books
2017
- Taxation in Crisis
Palgrave Macmillan Studies in Banking and Financial Institutions, Palgrave Macmillan View citations (5)
2015
- A Financial Crisis Manual
Palgrave Macmillan Studies in Banking and Financial Institutions, Palgrave Macmillan View citations (1)
Chapters
2021
- Nearest Neighbor Forecasting Using Sparse Data Representation
Springer
2020
- Foreign Exchange Rate Predictability: Seek and Ye Shall Find It
Chapter 20 in HANDBOOK OF APPLIED INVESTMENT RESEARCH, 2020, pp 511-556
2019
- Forecasting Analytics
Springer
2017
- Tax Evasion, Tax Administration, and the Impact of Growth: Tax Enforcement as Regulatory Failure in a High Tax Rates, High Tax Evasion, and Low-Growth Economic Environment
Palgrave Macmillan View citations (4)
- The Determinants of Loan Loss Provisions: An Analysis of the Greek Banking System in Light of the Sovereign Debt Crisis
Palgrave Macmillan View citations (1)
See also Working Paper The Determinants of Loan Loss Provisions: An Analysis of the Greek Banking System in Light of the Sovereign Debt Crisis, Hellenic Observatory, LSE (2016) View citations (4) (2016)
- The Double Trap: Taxes and Subsidies as Determinants of Economic Growth and the End of the Downward Growth Spiral in Greece
Palgrave Macmillan View citations (1)
2016
- Can we obtain realistic parameter estimates for the ‘protection for sale’ model?
Chapter 10 in The Political Economy of Trade Policy Theory, Evidence and Applications, 2016, pp 175-198 
See also Journal Article Can we obtain realistic parameter estimates for the `protection for sale' model?, Canadian Economics Association (2006) View citations (32) (2006)
- PROTECTION VERSUS PROMOTION: AN EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATION
Chapter 12 in The Political Economy of Trade Policy Theory, Evidence and Applications, 2016, pp 221-236 
See also Journal Article Protection versus Promotion: An Empirical Investigation, Wiley Blackwell (2004) View citations (3) (2004)
- “PROTECTION FOR SALE” IN A DEVELOPING COUNTRY: DEMOCRACY VS. DICTATORSHIP
Chapter 9 in The Political Economy of Trade Policy Theory, Evidence and Applications, 2016, pp 163-174 View citations (7)
See also Journal Article "Protection For Sale" In A Developing Country: Democracy Vs. Dictatorship, MIT Press (2002) View citations (136) (2002)
2015
- Afterword: The Road Ahead
Palgrave Macmillan
- An Empirical Study on Greece’s Current Account Determinants Before and After the Outbreak of the Global Financial Crisis
Palgrave Macmillan
- Greek Fiscal Multipliers Revisited: Government Spending Cuts vs. Tax Hikes and the Role of Public Investment Expenditure
Palgrave Macmillan
- Introduction
Palgrave Macmillan
2011
- Multinational Enterprise and Subsidiaries’ Absorptive Capacity and Global Knowledge Sourcing
Springer
2008
- Chapter 11 Financial Time Series and Volatility Prediction using NoVaS Transformations
A chapter in Forecasting in the Presence of Structural Breaks and Model Uncertainty, 2008, pp 417-447
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