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Details about Bharat Trehan

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Workplace:Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, (more information at EDIRC)
Economic Research, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Bharat Trehan.

Last updated 2014-03-10. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: ptr229


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Working Papers

2011

  1. New Evidenceon Cyclical and Structural Sources of Unemployment
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (14)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2011) Downloads View citations (15)

    See also Journal Article in Proceedings (2012)
  2. The wage premium puzzle and the quality of human capital
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Downloads
    See also Journal Article in International Review of Economics & Finance (2014)

2009

  1. Survey measures of expected inflation and the inflation process
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (2015)
  2. The role of capital service-life in a model with heterogenous labor and vintage capital
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Downloads

2007

  1. Productivity shocks in a model with vintage capital and heterogeneous labor
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Downloads View citations (3)

2005

  1. Accounting for the Secular "Decline" of U.S. Manufacturing
    2005 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2005) Downloads View citations (3)
  2. On using relative prices to measure capital-specific technological progress
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Downloads View citations (13)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Macroeconomics (2008)

2004

  1. Time varying equilibrium real rates and monetary policy analysis
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (2007)

2003

  1. Forward-looking behavior and optimal discretionary monetary policy
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article in Economics Letters (2003)
  2. Some implications of using prices to measure productivity in a two-sector growth model
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Downloads View citations (1)

2000

  1. Common shocks and currency crises
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Downloads View citations (3)

1997

  1. Location and the growth of nations
    Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Downloads View citations (86)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Growth (1997)

1994

  1. Money, income, prices and interest rates: a comment
    Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

1993

  1. The cyclical behavior of prices: interpreting the evidence
    Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (1995)

1992

  1. Modelling the time series behavior of the aggregate wage rate
    Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Economic Review (1995)

1988

  1. Seigniorage and tax smoothing in the United States: 1914-1986
    Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (1990)
  2. Testing intertemporal budget constraints: theory and applications to U. S. federal budget and current account deficits
    Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (43)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (1991)
  3. The demand for money: where do we stand?
    Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (1)

1987

  1. Common trends, the government's budget constraint, and revenue smoothing
    Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (1988)
  2. On the limitations of government borrowing: a framework for empirical testing: comment
    Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (1)
  3. Velocity in the 1980s: an analysis of interactions among monetary components
    Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (1)

1986

  1. Financial change and the design of monetary policy: lessons from the U. S. experience
    Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

1985

  1. Consistent tests of the rational expectations-monetary neutrality hypothesis
    Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

1983

  1. The Implications of an Endogenous Money Supply for Monetary Neutrality
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)

Journal Articles

2015

  1. Survey Measures of Expected Inflation and the Inflation Process
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2015, 47, (1), 207-222 Downloads View citations (17)
    See also Working Paper (2009)

2014

  1. The wage premium puzzle and the quality of human capital
    International Review of Economics & Finance, 2014, 33, (C), 100-110 Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper (2011)

2013

  1. Consumer inflation views in three countries
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2013, (nov25) Downloads View citations (1)

2012

  1. New evidence on cyclical and structural sources of unemployment
    Proceedings, 2012, (March), 1-23 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2011)
  2. The financial crisis and inflation expectations
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2012, (sep24) Downloads View citations (5)

2011

  1. Household inflation expectations and the price of oil: it's déjà vu all over again
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2011, (may23) Downloads View citations (6)

2010

  1. Relative productivity growth and the secular "decline" of U.S. manufacturing
    The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 2010, 50, (1), 67-74 Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Stock-market-based measures of sectoral shocks and the unemployment rate
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2010, (aug2) Downloads View citations (1)

2009

  1. Predicting crises, part I: Do coming crises cast their shadows before?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2009, (sep21) Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Talking about tomorrow’s monetary policy today
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2009, (nov9) Downloads View citations (4)

2008

  1. On using relative prices to measure capital-specific technological progress
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 2008, 30, (4), 1390-1406 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2005)
  2. Unanchored expectations? Interpreting the evidence from inflation surveys
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2008, (jul25) Downloads View citations (4)

2007

  1. Changing productivity trends
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2007, (aug31) Downloads
  2. Time-varying equilibrium real rates and monetary policy analysis
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2007, 31, (5), 1584-1609 Downloads View citations (46)
    See also Working Paper (2004)
  3. Will fast productivity growth persist?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2007, (apr6) Downloads View citations (4)

2006

  1. Inflation targets and inflation expectations: some evidence from the recent oil shocks
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2006, (sep1) Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Is a recession imminent?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2006, (nov24) Downloads

2005

  1. Oil price shocks and inflation
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2005, (oct28) Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Why has output become less volatile?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2005, (sep16) Downloads
  3. Why hasn't the jump in oil prices led to a recession?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2005, (nov18) Downloads View citations (2)

2003

  1. Forward-looking behavior and optimal discretionary monetary policy
    Economics Letters, 2003, 81, (2), 249-256 Downloads View citations (18)
    See also Working Paper (2003)
  2. Productivity shocks and the unemployment rate
    Economic Review, 2003, 13-27 Downloads View citations (2)
  3. Technological change
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2003, (mar21) Downloads

2002

  1. Predicting when the economy will turn
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2002, (mar15) Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Technical change and the dispersion of wages
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2002, (aug9) Downloads

2001

  1. Recent research on sticky prices
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2001, (aug24) Downloads
  2. Unemployment and productivity
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2001, (oct12) Downloads View citations (1)

2000

  1. Evaluating the stock market
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2000, (jun23) Downloads
  2. Information technology and productivity
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2000, (nov.10) Downloads

1999

  1. Economic activity and inflation
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1999, (mar12) Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Supply shocks and the conduct of monetary policy
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1999, (jul2) Downloads View citations (3)

1998

  1. Cities and growth
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1998, (sep11) Downloads
  2. Is it time to look at M2 again?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1998, (mar6) Downloads View citations (1)

1997

  1. A new paradigm?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1997, (oct10) Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Explaining unemployment: sectoral vs aggregate shocks
    Economic Review, 1997, 3-15 Downloads View citations (11)
  3. Job creation and destruction
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1997, (may2) Downloads View citations (7)
  4. Location and the Growth of Nations
    Journal of Economic Growth, 1997, 2, (4), 399-418 Downloads View citations (80)
    See also Working Paper (1997)

1996

  1. Monetary policy: measurement and management
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1996, (mar29) Downloads
  2. Using monthly data to predict quarterly output
    Economic Review, 1996, 3-11 Downloads View citations (25)
  3. What do wages tell us about future inflation?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1996, (jan19) Downloads

1995

  1. Has the Fed gotten tougher on inflation?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1995, (mar31) Downloads View citations (13)
  2. Modeling the time-series behavior of the aggregate wage rate
    Economic Review, 1995, 3-13 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (1992)
  3. Monetary policy in a changing financial environment
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1995, (may5) Downloads
  4. The Cyclical Behavior of Prices: Interpreting the Evidence
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1995, 27, (3), 789-97 Downloads View citations (25)
    See also Working Paper (1993)
  5. The credibility of inflation targets
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1995, (jan6) Downloads

1994

  1. The recent behavior of interest rates
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1994, (oct7) Downloads
  2. Trade and growth: some recent evidence
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1994, (jul1) Downloads

1993

  1. Bank lending and the transmission of monetary policy
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1993, (sep3) Downloads
  2. Real interest rates
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1993, (nov5) Downloads View citations (2)
  3. Why has employment grown so slowly?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1993, (apr9) Downloads

1992

  1. An unprecedented slowdown?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1992, (may8) Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Money, credit, and M2
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1992, (sep4) Downloads View citations (5)
  3. Predicting contemporaneous output
    Economic Review, 1992, 3-11 Downloads View citations (9)

1991

  1. Controlling inflation
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1991, (feb8) Downloads
  2. Real business cycles: a selective survey
    Economic Review, 1991, (Spr), 3-17 Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Real wages in the 1980s
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1991, (nov22) Downloads
  4. Testing Intertemporal Budget Constraints: Theory and Applications to U.S. Federal Budget and Current Account Deficits
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1991, 23, (2), 206-23 Downloads View citations (238)
    See also Working Paper (1988)
  5. Using consumption to forecast income
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1991, (jun7) Downloads

1990

  1. Interpreting recent money growth
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1990, (sep28) Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Lessons from the oil shocks of the 1970s
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1990, (nov9) Downloads
  3. Seigniorage and tax smoothing in the United States 1914-1986
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1990, 25, (1), 97-112 Downloads View citations (16)
    See also Working Paper (1988)
  4. Unemployment and inflation
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1990, (mar9) Downloads
  5. What does unemployment tell us about future inflation?
    Economic Review, 1990, (Sum), 15-26 Downloads
  6. Working harder?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1990, (jun22) Downloads View citations (1)

1989

  1. Do deficits cause inflation?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1989, (jul21) Downloads
  2. Forecasting growth in current quarter real GNP
    Economic Review, 1989, (Win), 39-52 Downloads View citations (18)
  3. Interpreting recent growth in M2
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1989, (nov10) Downloads
  4. Optimal inflation
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1989, (aug4) Downloads View citations (1)
  5. Unemployment-rate dynamics: aggregate-demand and -supply interactions
    Economic Review, 1989, (Fall), 20-37 Downloads View citations (5)

1988

  1. Common trends, the government's budget constraint, and revenue smoothing
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1988, 12, (2-3), 425-444 Downloads View citations (187)
    See also Working Paper (1987)
  2. Monetary policy in West Germany
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1988, (apr22) Downloads
  3. The practice of monetary targeting: a case study of the West German experience
    Economic Review, 1988, (Spr), 30-44 Downloads View citations (8)

1987

  1. Downgrading M1
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1987, (mar13) Downloads
  2. How reliable is M1A?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1987, (oct2) Downloads
  3. Oil supply shocks and the U.S. economy
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1987, (feb20) Downloads
  4. PORTFOLIO SUBSTITUTION AND RECENT M1 BEHAVIOR
    Contemporary Economic Policy, 1987, 5, (1), 54-63 Downloads View citations (5)
  5. Portfolio substitution and the reliability of M1, M2 and M3 as monetary policy indicators
    Economic Review, 1987, (Sum), 5-29 Downloads View citations (3)

1986

  1. Does OPEC set oil prices?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1986, (dec19) Downloads
  2. OPEC and oil prices
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1986, (jun6) Downloads
  3. Oil prices, exchange rates and the U.S. economy: an empirical investigation
    Economic Review, 1986, (Fall), 25-43 Downloads View citations (2)
  4. The outlook for net exports
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1986, (sep26) Downloads

1985

  1. A monetary cure for the high dollar?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1985, (aug10) Downloads
  2. Deposit deregulation and the behavior of M1
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1985, (oct11) Downloads
  3. Examining the recent surge in M1
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1985, (nov15) Downloads
  4. Signaling the Fed's intentions
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1985, (jun28) Downloads
  5. Signals from M1 and M2
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1985, (sep20) Downloads
  6. The September G-5 meeting and its impact
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1985, (dec13) Downloads
  7. The information content of credit aggregates
    Economic Review, 1985, (Spr), 28-39 Downloads

1984

  1. Are commodity prices foretelling deflation?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1984, (sep14) Downloads
  2. Market expectations and Fed policy
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1984, (aug24) Downloads
  3. Money: Endogeneity and neutrality
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1984, 14, (3), 385-393 Downloads View citations (3)

Chapters

1995

  1. Discussion of 'The Determinants of Long-Run Growth'
    A chapter in Productivity and Growth, 1995 Downloads
 
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