A Q-Theory of Banks

Juliane Begenau, Saki Bigio, Jeremy Majerovitz and Matias Vieyra

No 201, Working Papers from Peruvian Economic Association

Abstract: We introduce a dynamic bank theory featuring delayed loss recognition and a regulatory capital constraint, aiming to match the bank leverage dynamics captured by Tobin’s Q. We start from four facts: (1) book and market equity values diverge, especially during crises; (2) Tobin’s Q predicts future bank profitability; (3) neither book nor market leverage constraints are strictly binding for most banks; and (4) bank leverage and Tobin’s Q are mean reverting but highly persistent. We demonstrate that delayed loss accounting rules interact with bank capital requirements, introducing a tradeoff between loan growth and financial fragility. Our welfare analysis implies that accounting rules and capital regulation should optimally be set jointly. This paper emphasizes the need to reconcile regulatory dependence on book values with the market’s emphasis on fundamental values to enhance understanding of banking dynamics and improve regulatory design.

Keywords: Bank Leverage Dynamics; Market vs. Book Values; Accounting Rules; Bank Regulation; Financial Stability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-acc, nep-ban and nep-cba
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https://perueconomics.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/WP-201.pdf Application/pdf

Related works:
Working Paper: A Q-Theory of Banks (2021)
Working Paper: A Q-Theory of Banks (2021)
Working Paper: A q-theory of banks (2021)
Working Paper: A Q-Theory Of Banks (2020)
Working Paper: A Q-Theory of Banks (2020)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:apc:wpaper:201

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