Inverted Yield Curve (Nearly Always) Signals Tight Monetary Policy, Rising Unemployment

Evan Koenig and Keith Phillips

Dallas Fed Economics from Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Abstract: With long-term interest rates falling and short-term rates rising, there has been increasing talk of a possible yield-curve inversion and speculation about what an inversion might mean for the U.S. economy.

Keywords: Finance; Economic Conditions; Monetary Policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019-02-12
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fip:d00001:89354

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