Looking Back, Looking Ahead

John Williams

FRBSF Economic Letter, 2017

Abstract: The U.S. economy is in good shape, with the labor market at maximum employment and inflation nearing the Fed?s goal. Given the progress made on these goals and signs of continued solid momentum, it makes sense to gradually move interest rates toward more normal levels. The actual pace of increases will be driven by the evolution of economic conditions and its implications for achieving the Fed?s dual mandate objectives. The following is adapted from a speech by the president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco to the 2017 Economic Forecast in Sacramento on January 17.

Date: 2017
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