The Effect of Conflict on Refugees' Return and Integration: Evidence from Ukraine

Joop Adema (), Cevat Giray Aksoy, Yvonne Giesing and Panu Poutvaara
Additional contact information
Joop Adema: University of Munich

No 16962, IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Abstract: What is the causal effect of conflict on refugees' return and integration? To answer this question, we launched a panel survey of Ukrainian refugees across Europe in June 2022 and combined it with geocoded conflict data. Most refugees plan to return, and initial return intentions strongly predict actual return. Those who initially plan to settle outside Ukraine integrate faster. Increased conflict intensity in the home municipality discourages return there, but not to Ukraine as a whole. It also has no effect on the likelihood of working. Liberation of the home district increases return, while increased pessimism about the outcome of the war reduces return intentions.

Keywords: conflict; Ukraine; migration; refugees; return migration; integration (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D74 F22 J15 J24 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 82 pages
Date: 2024-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cis, nep-lma and nep-ure
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

Downloads: (external link)
https://docs.iza.org/dp16962.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:iza:izadps:dp16962

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
IZA, Margard Ody, P.O. Box 7240, D-53072 Bonn, Germany

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) IZA, P.O. Box 7240, D-53072 Bonn, Germany. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Holger Hinte ().