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From University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
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2018, volume 08

Hog Prices Supported by Strong Demand

Chris Hurt

Changes to 2018 Crop Insurance Rates for Corn and Soybeans

Gary Schnitkey

Updating Corn and Soybean Export Pace

Todd Hubbs

Crop Insurance Performance of Soybeans

Gary Schnitkey

Reviewing the Latest Cotton Proposal

Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson and Carl Zulauf

Commodity Program Spending on Dairy and Cotton: Past and Projected Perspective

Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey and Nick Paulson

USDA Reports Provide Some Surprises

Todd Hubbs

How Should Farm Growth Options be Evaluated?

Michael Langemeier and Michael Boehlje

The Japanese Beef Market's Lessons for Trade Policy

Steve Burak, Kathy Baylis, Jonathan Coppess and Qianting Xie

Managing in 2018 - You and Your Board of Directors

Brandy Krapf, Bradley Zwilling and Dwight Raab

Can Corn Prices Get Above the Current Range?

Todd Hubbs

Impacts of Lowering Coverage Levels and Using Harvest Price Exclusion on Soybeans

Gary Schnitkey

A Discussion of the Sec 199A Deduction and its Potential Impacts on Producers and Grain Marketing Firms

Keri Jacobs

Is It Time to Sell New Crop Soybeans?

Todd Hubbs

2018 Grain Farm Income: The Need for Above Trend Yields or Higher Prices to Break-Even

Gary Schnitkey

Reviewing the State of the Farm Bill: Perspective from Spending

Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson and Carl Zulauf

What Skills and Competencies Do I Need to Grow?

Michael Langemeier and Michael Boehlje

Cattle Inventory Growth Slowing Down, But Beef Production Still Increasing

James Mintert

Farm Sizes Impacted by a $40,000 Crop Insurance Premium Support Limit

Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess, Nick Paulson and Carl Zulauf

Illinois Ag Perspectives on Trade Matters

Steve Burak, Kathy Baylis, Qianting Xie and Jonathan Coppess

2017 Year End RIN Update

Nick Paulson

How Do I Finance the Growth of My Operation?

Michael Langemeier and Michael Boehlje

Corn and Soybean Export Development

Todd Hubbs

Revised 2018 Corn and Soybean Budgets

Gary Schnitkey

Farm Bill Round 1: Dairy, Cotton and the President's Budget

Jonathan Coppess, Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey and Carl Zulauf

Fixing the RFS is Getting Easier and Easier

Scott Irwin

Why Should Farmers Know About Illinois Schedule SA?

Brandy Krapf, Dwight Raab and Bradley Zwilling

Can Soybean Prices Maintain Recent Strength through 2018?

Todd Hubbs

Implied Probabilities for Corn and Soybeans Prices in 2018

Bruce Sherrick and Gary Schnitkey

Will Farm Income Really Drop to a 12-Year Low in 2018?

Todd Kuethe

Farm Bill Review: Origins of Fixed Price Policy

Jonathan Coppess, Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey and Carl Zulauf

How Much Will the Cost of a RINs Bundle Decline if the Conventional Ethanol Gap Disappears?

Scott Irwin

Hog Prices Increase, But So Do Feed Costs

Chris Hurt

Estimated 2017 ARC-CO Payments

Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess and Nick Paulson

The Grand Bargain? Trading an E15 RVP Waiver for a RINs Price Cap

Scott Irwin

Crop Insurance Decisions for 2018

Bruce Sherrick and Gary Schnitkey

What Business Model Should I Use to Grow?

Michael Langemeier and Michael Boehlje

A Positive Outlook for Corn

Todd Hubbs

Introducing the Gardner Farm Income and Policy Simulator

Krista Swanson, Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess and Nick Paulson

Deal-Making on the RFS: Follow the North Star

Jonathan Coppess and Scott Irwin

Farm Bill Review: Historic Fixed Price Policy and Costs of Production

Jonathan Coppess, Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey and Carl Zulauf

Prospects for Swine Finishing Costs in 2018

Michael Langemeier

An Estimate of March 1 Corn Stocks

Todd Hubbs

Trends in Farm Balance Sheets over Time

Gary Schnitkey

What Happened to the Profitability of Ethanol Production in 2017?

Scott Irwin

Premium Subsidy and Insured U.S. Acres

Carl Zulauf Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess and Nick Paulson

How Are Family Living Expenses Funded?

Brandy Krapf, Dwight Raab and Bradley Zwilling

Export Outlook for Soybeans

Todd Hubbs

Exceptional Corn and Soybean Yields in 2017

Gary Schnitkey

U.S. Field Crop Income - Return to Normalcy

Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess and Nick Paulson

Dicamba: What is Success or Failure in 2018?

Aaron Hager

Corn and Soybean Acreage in 2018

Todd Hubbs

Cash Rents on Professionally Managed Farmland in 2018 and 2019

Gary Schnitkey and Bruce Sherrick

A Pattern Change for Biodiesel Production Profitability in 2017?

Scott Irwin

Budget Discipline and Farm Policy: An Example and Farm Bill Preview

Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson and Carl Zulauf

Illinois Farmland Values in Context

Bruce Sherrick and Gary Schnitkey

Pork Tariffs Sour Industry Outlook

Chris Hurt

Nitrogen Prices, Rates Cuts, and 2018 Fertilizer Costs

Gary Schnitkey

Why They Can't All Be Trade Surpluses

Kathy Baylis, Steve Burak and Jonathan Coppess

Farm Bill Review: Historic Fixed Price Policy and Federal Expenditures

Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson and Carl Zulauf

How Will Expansion Impact My Current Operation?

Michael Langemeier and Michael Boehlje

Will Soybean Ending Stocks Get Larger?

Todd Hubbs

2018 Acreage Decisions: Steady as She Goes in Rough Waters

Gary Schnitkey

Interest Rate and Current U.S. Cropland Prices

Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess and Nick Paulson

Reviewing the CBO Baseline for 2018 Farm Bill Debate

Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson and Carl Zulauf

Projected Corn and Soybean Breakeven Prices

Michael Langemeier

Too Early to Worry About Corn Acreage?

Todd Hubbs

Impacts of Chinese Soybean Tariffs on Financial Position of Central Illinois Grain Farms

Krista Swanson, Gary Schnitkey, Todd Hubbs, Jonathan Coppess, Nick Paulson and Carl Zulauf

A Looming Trade War - An Illinois Ag Perspective

Steve Burak, Kathy Baylis, Jonathan Coppess and Qianting Xie

How Many Days Does It Take to Plant the U.S. Corn Crop?

Scott Irwin and Todd Hubbs

Cost to Produce Corn and Soybeans in Illinois - 2017

Brandy Krapf, Dwight Raab and Bradley Zwilling

Is Corn Setting Up for a Rally?

Todd Hubbs

Crop Insurance Performance in 2017

Gary Schnitkey

Prospects for Timely Planting of the 2018 Corn Crop

Scott Irwin and Todd Hubbs

Initial Review of the House 2018 Farm Bill

Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson and Carl Zulauf

What are the Start-Up Challenges Associated with Farm Growth?

Michael Langemeier and Michael Boehlje

Increasing Meat Production Likely to Push Cattle Prices Lower

James Mintert

Have Soybean Yields Increased Relative to Corn Yields in Recent Years?

Gary Schnitkey

Prospects for Timely Planting of the 2018 Soybean Crop

Scott Irwin and Todd Hubbs

Continued Review of Fixed Price Farm Policy

Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson and Carl Zulauf

What is My Sustainable Growth Rate?

Michael Langemeier and Michael Boehlje

Soybean Crush Continues Strength

Todd Hubbs

Overwhelming Use of Harvest Price Option Crop Insurances

Gary Schnitkey

The Rise in Implement Dealer Financing

Todd Kuethe, Jennifer Ifft and Kevin Patrick

Comparing ARC-CO and PLC Payment Profiles, 2014-2016 Crops

Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey and Nick Paulson

Premium Subsidy and Insured U.S. Acres: Differential Impact by Crop

Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey and Nick Paulson

2018-19 Market Outlook for Corn and Soybeans

Todd Hubbs

Pre-Harvest Hedging and Revenue Protection

Gary Schnitkey and Jonathan Coppess

Farmers’ Use of Implement Dealer Financing

Jennifer Ifft, Kevin Patrick and Todd Kuethe

Comparing Price Policy Directions in the 2018 Farm Bill Debate

Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey and Nick Paulson

2017 – Characteristics of Higher Profit Farms

Brandy Krapf, Dwight Raab and Bradley Zwilling

Soybean Prices Focus on Trade and Weather

Todd Hubbs

What do $3.80 Corn and $10 Soybean Midpoints Mean for 2018 Crop Revenues?

Gary Schnitkey

2018 First Quarter RIN Update

Nick Paulson

Mapping the Fate of the Farm, 2018 House Edition

Jonathan Coppess and Todd Kuethe

Implement Dealer Financing and Farm Financial Stress

Kevin Patrick, Todd Kuethe and Jennifer Ifft

Export Potential for Corn, Ethanol, and Distillers Grains

Todd Hubbs

Revised Estimates of 2017 ARC-CO Payments

Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, Jonathan Coppess and Carl Zulauf

A Policy of First among Equals - The Case of PLC and "Other Oilseeds"

Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey and Nick Paulson

International Benchmarks for Corn Production

Rachel Purdy and Michael Langemeier

Pork Industry May Face Large Losses

Chris Hurt

Historic Fertilizer, Seed, and Chemical Costs with 2019 Projections

Gary Schnitkey

Seedling Diseases of Soybeans

Nathan Kleczewski

Reviewing Directions in Conservation Policy: CSP and EQIP in the House Farm Bill

Jonathan Coppess and Benjamin Gramig

Gambling on Exports: A Review of the Facts on U.S. Agricultural Trade

Steve Burak, Kathy Baylis and Jonathan Coppess

Soybeans under Pressure

Todd Hubbs

Initial Review of the Senate Ag Committee’s Draft 2018 Farm Bill

Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, Carl Zulauf and Nick Paulson

What to Make of High Early Season Crop Condition Ratings for Corn?

Scott Irwin and Todd Hubbs

What to Make of High Early Season Crop Condition Ratings for Soybeans

Scott Irwin and Todd Hubbs

Machinery Values on Illinois Grain Farms

Brandy Krapf, Dwight Raab and Bradley Zwilling

Is Corn Oversold?

Todd Hubbs

Progress and Potential Hurdles for the 2018 Farm Bill

Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson and Carl Zulauf

Does the Bias in Early Season Crop Condition Ratings for Corn and Soybeans Vary with the Magnitude of the Ratings?

Scott Irwin and Todd Hubbs

Has the Era of Decreasing Per Acre Corn Costs Come to an End?

Gary Schnitkey

Interest Rates in 30-Year Perspective: The Case of U.S. 10-Year Treasury Rates

Carl Zulauf

Anticipating June 1 Corn Stocks

Todd Hubbs

Five-Year Income Projections for Grain Farms

Krista Swanson, Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess and Nick Paulson

Measuring the Accuracy of Forecasting Corn and Soybean Yield with Good and Excellent Crop Condition Ratings

Scott Irwin and Todd Hubbs

Understanding Budget Implications of Cover Crops

Krista Swanson, Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess and Shalamar Armstrong

International Benchmarks for Soybean Production

Rachel Purdy and Michael Langemeier

Implications of USDA Reports for Corn and Soybeans

Todd Hubbs

2018 Farm Bill: Two Big Steps Forward & the Top Five Issues for Conference

Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, Carl Zulauf and Nick Paulson

The Federal Food Safety Agency: A Proposal to Move FDA Food Safety Responsibilities to the USDA

A. Endres

International Benchmarks for Wheat Production

Rachel Purdy and Michael Langemeier

Too Much Pork, Tariffs Mean Too Few Buyers

Chris Hurt

2018 Income Projections After Recent Price Declines

Gary Schnitkey

The 2018 Illinois Corn Crop at Mid-Season

Emerson Nafziger

EPA 2019 RFS Proposed Rulemaking: What You See Is Not What You Get

Jonathan Coppess and Scott Irwin

U.S. Corn, Soybean, Wheat Exports and USSR Grain Embargo: Contemporary Implications

Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess, Nick Paulson and Gary Schnitkey

Soybean and Corn Export Outlook

Todd Hubbs

Will Soybean Crop Insurance Payments in 2018 Offset Low Prices?

Gary Schnitkey, Bruce Sherrick and Jonathan Coppess

Remain Vigilant for Palmer Amaranth

Aaron Hager

Conferencing Conservation: Reviewing Title II of the House and Senate Farm Bills

Jonathan Coppess, Carl Zulauf, Benjamin Gramig, Gary Schnitkey and Nick Paulson

Cash Is King – Revisited

Bradley Zwilling, Brandy Krapf and Dwight Raab

Cattle Inventory Increases; Impact of Tariffs Hangs Over Markets

James Mintert

Alternatives for ARC-CO and PLC in 2018 Farm Bill Negotiations: The Case of Corn

Gary Schnitkey, Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess and Nick Paulson

Is the 2018 Soybean Crop as Good as It Looks?

Emerson Nafziger

2018 Mid-Year RIN Update

Nick Paulson

Farm Safety Net for 2018

Michael Langemeier and Michael Boehlje

2017-18 Corn Consumption Finishing Strong

Todd Hubbs

Trade Timeline and Corn and Soybean Prices

Krista Swanson, Jonathan Coppess and Gary Schnitkey

U.S. Share of World Economic Growth: Implications for U.S. Trade Policy

Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess and Nick Paulson

Setting 2019 Cash Rents with Price Uncertainty due to Trade Disputes

Gary Schnitkey and Carl Zulauf

Net Return Prospects for Cattle Finishing in the Second Half of 2018

Michael Langemeier

Soybean Consumption and Yield Potential

Todd Hubbs

Corn and Soybean Budgets for 2018 and 2019: Low Returns Ahead

Gary Schnitkey

Illinois Farm Real Estate Values Increase After Three Years of Decreases

Bradley Zwilling

2018 Farm Bill Updated: Conference Negotiations Begin

Jonathan Coppess, Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Krista Swanson, Nick Paulson and Benjamin Gramig

Examining Trends in Liquidity for a Sample of Kansas Farms

Michael Langemeier and Allen Featherstone

Large Corn and Soybean Yield Forecasts Hurt Price Prospects

Todd Hubbs

Managing the Economics of Planting Cereal Rye as a Cover Crop

Gary Schnitkey, Krista Swanson, Jonathan Coppess and Shalamar Armstrong

Updated Probabilities for Corn and Soybean Harvest Prices for 2018

Bruce Sherrick

The Tariff Conflict and Change in Value of Production of U.S. Field Crops

Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess, Nick Paulson and Gary Schnitkey

Agricultural Debt Continues to Increase

Brandy Krapf, Dwight Raab and Bradley Zwilling

Tough Marketing Decisions for New Crop Soybeans

Todd Hubbs

2018 World Soybean Trade: Aberrations from Recent Trends

Carl Zulauf and Gary Schnitkey

Fall-Applied Herbicides: Which Weed Species Should be the Target?

Aaron Hager

Farm Bill Food for Thought: Research and Extension

Jonathan Coppess, Carl Zulauf, Nick Paulson and Gary Schnitkey

Operating Profit Margin Benchmarks

Michael Langemeier and Elizabeth Yeager

Cattle on Feed…

James Mintert

Market Facilitation Program: Impacts and Initial Analysis

Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess, Nick Paulson, Krista Swanson and Carl Zulauf

Dispatches from the Trade Wars

Yujun Zhou, Kathy Baylis, Jonathan Coppess and Qiangting Xie

Exploring Changes in the Current Ratio from 2006 to 2017

Michael Langemeier

Will the 2018 Corn Crop Get Smaller?

Todd Hubbs

Exceptional 2018 Corn and Soybean Yields and Budgeting for 2019

Gary Schnitkey

Will the August 1 Crop Yield Predictions Hold Up?

Emerson Nafziger

What Should My Farm Benchmark?

Michael Langemeier

Soybean Exports since the Onset of Tariffs

Todd Hubbs

Closing in on 2018 Gross Revenue Estimates for Corn and Soybeans

Gary Schnitkey

Small Refinery Exemptions and Ethanol Demand Destruction

Scott Irwin

How Can I Improve Labor Productivity?

Michael Langemeier

Record Corn Yield Forecast Weakens Corn Prices

Todd Hubbs

2019 Crop Budgets Suggest Dismal Corn and Soybean Returns

Gary Schnitkey and Krista Swanson

U.S. Hay Market over the Last 100 Years

Carl Zulauf

Measuring Repayment Capacity and Farm Growth Potential

Michael Langemeier

Cash and Tax Planning for 2018

Dwight Raab, Bradley Zwilling and Brandy Krapf

Anticipating September 1 Stocks for Corn and Soybeans

Todd Hubbs

Fertilizer Prices Higher for 2019 Crop

Gary Schnitkey

Evaluating Potential Long-Run Impacts of Chinese Tariff on US Soybeans

Yujun Zhou, Kathy Baylis, Jonathan Coppess and Qianting Xie

The Farm Bill Stalemate, Part 1: Commodity Assistance

Jonathan Coppess, Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey and Nick Paulson

Assessing Production Management Skills

Michael Langemeier

Pork Prospects Improve, But Losses Still Loom

Chris Hurt

Yield Updating and the Current Versions of the Farm Bill

Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, Carl Zulauf and Jonathan Coppess

The Farm Bill Stalemate, Part 2: The SNAP Question

Jonathan Coppess, Carl Zulauf, Nick Paulson and Gary Schnitkey

Swine Feed Cost Projections for 2019

Michael Langemeier

Ending Stocks Moving Higher for Corn and Soybeans

Todd Hubbs

Information for Making 2019 Cash Rental Decisions

Gary Schnitkey

Reviewing Prices and Market Facilitation Payments

Krista Swanson, Gary Schnitkey and Jonathan Coppess

Value of US Production of Farm Commodities amid Tariff Conflict

Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson and Jonathan Coppess

Soybean Price Potential for 2018

Todd Hubbs

2017 ARC-CO Payments and Outlook for 2018 Payments

Gary Schnitkey, Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess and Nick Paulson

Farm Bill Stalemate, Part 3: Conservation Concerns

Jonathan Coppess, Benjamin Gramig, Carl Zulauf, Nick Paulson and Gary Schnitkey

Comparing Net Returns for Alternative Leasing Arrangements

Michael Langemeier

When Creating 2019 Budgets, Keep In Mind Family Living Costs

Dwight Raab, Brandy Biros, Bradley Zwilling and Jenna Moore

Corn Prices Continue to Look for Support

Todd Hubbs

Incidence of Financial Stress on Illinois Grain Farms

Gary Schnitkey and Krista Swanson

Integrated Pest Management: What Are Economic Thresholds, and How Are They Developed?

Nick Seiter

Flexible Cash Lease Comparisons

Michael Langemeier

Corn and Soybean Acreage Prospects for 2019

Todd Hubbs

What Could Change the 2019 Corn and Soybean Return Outlook?

Gary Schnitkey and Krista Swanson

2018 Third Quarter RIN Update

Nick Paulson

Reducing Nutrient Loss: Research, Data and Technology

Jonathan Coppess and David Bullock

Using Stress Testing to Examine the Impact of an Increase in Interest Rates

Michael Langemeier

2018 Harvest Prices and Crop Insurance Payments in Illinois

Gary Schnitkey

Notes on Fall Fertilization

Emerson Nafziger

Reflections on the U.S. 2018 Midterm Elections

Jonathan Coppess, Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey and Carl Zulauf

Schedule F Net Farm Profit and Accrual Net Farm Income

Michael Langemeier

Corn Prices Show Lackluster Response to Smaller Crop

Todd Hubbs

Financial and Risk Management Decisions for 2019

Gary Schnitkey and Krista Swanson

Nitrogen Loss Reduction Practices: What Do They Cost?

Laura Christianson

What to Expect from USMCA (or NAFTA 1.01)

Yujun Zhou, Kathy Baylis, Jonathan Coppess and Qianting Xie

Financial Metrics By Age

Bradley Zwilling, Brandy Biros and Dwight Raab

Sell the Rumor? Trade Negotiations and Soybean Prices

Todd Hubbs

Looking Towards the Crop Insurance Safety Net in 2019

Gary Schnitkey

Yield and Price Change from Planting to Harvest: How Strong is the Relationship?

Carl Zulauf

Tracking the Pace of Corn Consumption

Todd Hubbs

Market Facilitation Program (MFP): Deadline for Signup is January 15

Gary Schnitkey, Carl Zulauf, Krista Swanson, Jonathan Coppess and Nick Paulson

Federal Budget Discipline and Reform: A Review and Discussion, Part 1

Jonathan Coppess

Dairy Margin Protection Program in the next Farm Bill

Christopher Wolf and Carl Zulauf

Will Pork Industry Have a Better 2019?

Chris Hurt

Protection Provided by Price Loss Coverage

Gary Schnitkey, Carl Zulauf, Krista Swanson, Jonathan Coppess and Nick Paulson

Adjusting USDA�s Net Farm Income Forecast Based on Historic Performance

Todd Kuethe

Introducing The Fault Lines of Farm Policy

Jonathan Coppess

Assessing Financial Management Skills

Michael Langemeier

Soybean Export Potential in 2018-19

Todd Hubbs

The Geography of Exceptional Soybean Yields

Gary Schnitkey

The Agriculture Improvement Act of 2018: Initial Review

Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, Carl Zulauf, Nick Paulson, Benjamin Gramig and Krista Swanson

More on Small Refinery Exemptions and Ethanol Demand Destruction

Scott Irwin

Conservation Practices to Reduce Nutrient Loss: How Do They �Stack� Up?

Laura Christianson

Prospects for Corn Use from Ethanol Production

Todd Hubbs

Incidence of High Debt-to-Asset Ratios Grow Over Time

Gary Schnitkey

Dairy Provisions in the 2018 Farm Bill

Carl Zulauf and Christopher Wolf

New Study Shows that Corn Acreage and Total Crop Acreage are not very Responsive to Local Ethanol Production and Crop Prices

Ruiqing Miao, Yijia Li and Madhu Khanna

Economic Review of Milk Costs in 2017 and Projections for Negative Economic Profit Margins for Dairy Producers

Dwight Raab, Brandy Krapf, Jenna Moore and Bradley Zwilling