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From University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
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2015, volume 05

More on “Who’s Spoofing Whom?” pp. 3: Paul Peterson
Who's Spoofing Whom? pp. 3: Paul Peterson
Reducing ARC-CO and Crop Insurance Overlap: A Proposal pp. 4: Carl Zulauf and Gary Schnitkey
More Pork Is on the Way: Chris Hurt
Release of 2015 Crop Insurance Decision Tool: Higher Premiums in 2015: Gary Schnitkey
2014 Crop Program Decision: March WASDE Price Uncertainty: Carl Zulauf and Andrea Hershey
Riding the Feeder Cattle Roller Coaster: Paul Peterson
USDA Reports to Support Corn Prices: Darrel Good
Yield Exclusion: Description and Guidance: Gary Schnitkey, Bruce Sherrick and Jonathan Coppess
Long-Term Corn Price Forecasts and the Farm Bill Program Choice: Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
An Update on the Farm Bill Toolbox and Farm Bill Decisions: Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson and Carl Zulauf
Analysis: ARC-IC vs. ARC-CO Payments Using Illinois and Kansas Farm Management Association Data: Carl Zulauf, Andrea Hershey, Gary Schnitkey and Gregg Ibendahl
Issues Stemming from January USDA Reports: Darrel Good
Base Acre and Yield Updating Decisions: Push to the Finish: Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess, Nick Paulson and Carl Zulauf
Indicated ARC-CO and PLC Payment for 2014 Crop Year Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat by State: January 2014: Carl Zulauf, Sanghyo Kim and Gary Schnitkey
More on 'Is Bigger...Better': Bradley Zwilling, Brandy Krapf and Dwight Raab
Reviewing the Pace of Corn and Soybean Exports: John Newton
Expected Payments from ARC-CO and PLC: Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess, Carl Zulauf and Nick Paulson
The Profitability of Biodiesel Production in 2014: Scott Irwin
Further Evidence on the Competitiveness of Ethanol in Gasoline Blends: Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
Beef Expansion Is Underway: Chris Hurt
Premium Costs of Supplemental Coverage Option Compared to Enterprise Unit Premium: Gary Schnitkey and Nick Paulson
Long-Term Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat Price Forecasts and the Farm Bill Program Choice: Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
Indicated State 2014 ARC-CO and PLC per acre Payments by Crop and An Initial Comparison with per acre Direct Payments: January 2015: Carl Zulauf, Sanghyo Kim and Gary Schnitkey
The Case for Considering the Diversification of Crop Program Choice for a Crop: Carl Zulauf
Balance Sheet Projections for the 2015-16 Corn Marketing Year: Darrel Good
Base Acre and Yield Decisions: Just Do It: Gary Schnitkey, Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess and Nick Paulson
Early Evidence on MPP-Dairy Participation Patterns: John Newton and Joseph Balagtas
Price Projections and Farm Bill Program Choices: Adding FAPRI-MU Projections to the Mix: Pat Westhoff
We May Not Have an Aging Farmer Problem After All: Todd Kuethe
U.S. Soybean Production Prospects for 2015: Darrel Good
Forecasts of 2015 Market Year Average Prices based on Projected Prices for Crop Insurance: Gary Schnitkey
The ARC-CO vs. PLC Decision: CBO and Another Look at Prices: Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson and Carl Zulauf
What if the EPA Implements RFS Mandates for Renewable Fuels at Statutory Levels?: Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
What's and When's of Capital Purchases: Bradley Zwilling, Brandy Krapf and Dwight Raab
Projected Soybean Plantings Are Surprisingly Low: John Newton
Estimated 2014 ARC-CO and PLC Payments: Gary Schnitkey
The Missing Link: Farmers' Class Action Against Syngenta May Answer Legal Questions Left After the StarLink and LibertyLink Litigation: Lisa Schlessinger and A. Endres
Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Corn Yield: What Does History Teach Us?: Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
Understanding the Implied Volatility (IV) Factor in Crop Insurance: Bruce Sherrick
Pork's Boom and Bust Price Pattern: Chris Hurt
Crop Insurance Decisions for 2015: Bruce Sherrick
How Will Closing the Trading Pits Affect Market Performance?: Paul Peterson
2014 Really Was an Amazing Year for Ethanol Production Profits: Scott Irwin
Changing Landscape of Corn and Soybean Production and Potential Implications in 2015: John Newton and Todd Kuethe
China Is the Key to Sorghum Plantings in 2015: John Newton
Crop Insurance Decisions in 2015: Gary Schnitkey
Trying to Reason with Price Forecasts and Program Decisions: Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, John Newton and Carl Zulauf
Ethanol Production Profits: The Risk from Lower Prices of Distillers Grains: Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
Some Key Trends in the World Soybean Market: Carl Zulauf
Implications of March 1 Corn Stocks Estimate: Darrel Good
Possible Per Acre Gross Revenues for Corn in 2015 in Central Illinois: Gary Schnitkey
Decision Time on Farm Programs: A Closing Perspective on ARC-CO vs. PLC: John Newton, Jonathan Coppess and Gary Schnitkey
Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What Does History Teach Us?: Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
A Different Way to Evaluate Profitability: Dwight Raab, Bradley Zwilling and Brandy Krapf
March 1 Soybean Stocks Estimate to Be Overshadowed by Planting Intentions?: Darrel Good
Program Choice under the 2014 Farm Bill with all Available Price and Yield Information: Gary Schnitkey, Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess and Nick Paulson
Paying for Someone Else's Pricing Mistakes: Paul Peterson
Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Winter Wheat Yield: What Does History Teach Us?: Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
The Footprint of Chinese Demand for U.S. Soybeans: Jonathan Newton and Todd Kuethe
Expected Corn and Soybean Returns and Shifts in Acres: Gary Schnitkey
USDA Stocks and Acreage Estimates Smaller than Expected for Soybeans and Larger than Expected for Corn: Darrel Good
Commodity Program Decisions Deadline Extended to April 7: Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess, Nick Paulson and Carl Zulauf
The Acreage Puzzle: Darrel Good and Scott Irwin
More Hogs than Expected, Mystery Continues: Chris Hurt
2015 Planting Intentions: Fertilizer, Seed, and Pesticide Manufacturers Dodge a Bullet: Gary Schnitkey
Reviewing the USDA Proposal to Limit Farm Program Payment Eligibility: Jonathan Coppess
The Relationship between Stocks-to-Use and Corn Prices Revisited: Darrel Good and Scott Irwin
Is the Corn Belt Farm Economy too Specialized?: Todd Kuethe
Could the Corn Carryout Really Reach Two Billion Bushels?: John Newton
2014 Loss Experience for Revenue Protection on Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat: Gary Schnitkey
Where's the Feed (for MPP-Dairy)?: John Newton
Projecting the 2015-16 Corn Balance Sheet and Price Implications: Darrel Good and Scott Irwin
Costs and Returns for Illinois Beef Producers in 2013: Bradley Zwilling, Brandy Krapf and Dwight Raab
Will Soybean Consumption Reach the USDA Projection?: Darrel Good
Projected 2015 Corn Revenue with Comparisons to Revenues from 2010 to 2014: Gary Schnitkey
New Approaches to Weed Management: Public-Private Partnerships: Lisa Schlessinger, Natalie West and A. Endres
Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Spring Wheat Yield: What Does History Teach Us?: Scott Irwin and Scott Good
Weekly Outlook: Corn Market Expects Large Supply and Weak Demand: Darrel Good
2015 Gross Revenues for Corn: Likely Characteristics of Low, Middle and High Revenue Years: Gary Schnitkey
2015 1st Quarter RIN Update: Nick Paulson
Understanding and Evaluating WAOB/USDA Corn Yield Forecasts: Scott Irwin, Darrel Good and Dwight Sanders
Profit Margins for Dairy Producers Turn Positive in 2014, Likely to Return to Negative Trend in 2015: Bradley Zwilling, Brandy Krapf and Dwight Raab
Understanding ARC-CO as a Shallow Loss Program: Carl Zulauf and Gary Schnitkey
Current Fertilizer Prices and Projected 2016 Fertilizer Costs: Gary Schnitkey
Weekly Outlook: Anticipating the December 1 Corn Stocks Estimate: Darrel Good
Rising Interest Rates Won't Be Good for Commodity Prices, But It Won't Be Too Bad Either: Jeffrey Dorfman
A Big Data Revolution: Who Would Drive It?: Steve Sonka and Yu-Tien Cheng
Understanding ARC-CO as a Multiple Year Loss Assistance Program: Carl Zulauf and Gary Schnitkey
2015 Projected Net Incomes on Illinois Grain Farms: Gary Schnitkey
Weekly Outlook: Ethanol Production and Corn Consumption Prospects for 2016: Darrel Good
International Benchmarks for Soybean Production: Michael Langemeier and Elizabeth Lunik
RINs Gone Wild? (round 2): Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
A Big Data Revolution: What Would Drive It?: Steve Sonka and Yu-Tien Cheng
FSA Yields Used in Computing ARC-CO Payments Compared to NASS Yields: Gary Schnitkey
Weekly Outlook: How Long Will Low Corn Prices Persist?: Darrel Good
Understanding ARC-CO: Transition Assistance vs. Support Assistance: Carl Zulauf and Gary Schnitkey
Estimates of 2015 ARC-CO Payments: Gary Schnitkey
Weekly Outlook: Hog Prices Drop to 6 Year Lows: Chris Hurt
Machinery Capital Invested on the Farm: Bradley Zwilling, Brandy Krapf and Dwight Raab
Big Data: Alive and Growing in the Food Sector!: Steve Sonka and Yu-Tien Cheng
Declining Real Cash Cost of Producing Corn, Soybean, and Wheat: Historical Perspective and Potential Implications for the Future: Carl Zulauf
Corn Seed Costs from 1995 to 2014: Gary Schnitkey
Weekly Outlook: Prospects for Corn and Soybean Production Estimates: Darrel Good
The Real Price of Natural Gas: Scott Irwin
Big Data in Farming: Why Matters!: Steve Sonka and Yu-Tien Cheng
Variability in Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Production across the Globe: Carl Zulauf
2014 ARC-CO Payments: Release of 2014 County Yields: Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess, Nick Paulson and Carl Zulauf
Weekly Outlook: Waiting for Higher Corn and Soybean Prices: Darrel Good
International Benchmarks for Corn Production: Michael Langemeier and Elizabeth Lunik
Precision Agriculture: Not the Same as Big Data But: Steve Sonka and Yu-Tien Cheng
2015 3rd Quarter RIN Update: Nick Paulson
2015 Harvest Prices and Estimated 2016 Projected Prices: Gary Schnitkey
Weekly Outlook: Sideways Price Pattern to Continue for Corn: Darrel Good
FDA's New Rule for Preventive Controls for Human Foods: Lisa R. Schlessinger and A. Endres
Big Data: More Than a Lot of Numbers!: Steve Sonka and Yu-Tien Cheng
Understanding Farmland REITs: Paul Peterson and Todd Kuethe
Farmer Balance Sheets Given Farmland Price Decreases: Gary Schnitkey
Weekly Outlook: Beef: High Prices Cure High Prices: Chris Hurt
ARC-CO and PLC Payment Indicators for 2015 Crop Year, October WASDE: Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess, Nick Paulson and Gary Schnitkey
ACRE Potential Payments in Historical Perspective: Carl Zulauf and Sang Hyo Kim
Using Enterprise Budgets to Compute Crop Breakeven Prices: Michael Langemeier
2016 Farmland Price Outlook: Gary Schnitkey, Bruce Sherrick and Todd Kuethe
Weekly Outlook: Which Way for Soybean Prices?: Darrel Good
When Creating 2016 Budgets, Keep In Mind Family Living Costs: Brandy Krapf, Dwight Rabb and Bradley Zwilling
Progression of USDA Corn and Soybean Acreage Estimates and Prospects for Final Estimates for 2015: Darrel Good and Scott Irwin
Feeding Cost of Gain and Net Returns for Cattle Finishing: Michael Langemeier
Taking Losses on Cash Rent Farmland to Avoid Losing Farmland: A Risky Strategy: Gary Schnitkey
Weekly Outlook: Is the Corn Crop Overestimated?: Darrel Good
Historical Perspective on the 2014 Farm Bill's Farm Program Choice: Jonathan Coppess and Carl Zulauf
Why are Gasoline and Diesel Prices So High? (Relative to Crude Oil Prices): Scott Irwin
FDA Revises Definition of "Farm": A. Endres and Lisa Schlessinger
Significant Reductions in Working Capital Likely in 2015 on Grain Farms: Gary Schnitkey
Weekly Outlook: Soybean Balance Sheet Projections Remain Unsettled: Darrel Good
Feed Cost Indices for Swine Enterprises: Michael Langemeier
Per Acre Net Cash Return to U.S. Corn and Soybeans since 1975: Part I: Carl Zulauf
Where Are Diesel Prices Headed?: Scott Irwin
Revision to 2016 Crop Budgets: Lower Projected Returns: Gary Schnitkey
Weekly Outlook: Limited Pork Expansion: Chris Hurt
In re Syngenta AG MIR 162 Corn Litigation: Resolving Questions of Duty: A. Endres and Lisa Schlessinger
Farmland Ownership in Illinois: New Highlights from USDA Survey: Todd Kuethe
Why Isn't the Price of Ethanol RINs Plummeting?: Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
Decreasing 2016 Cash Rents on Professionally Managed Farmland and Lags in Cash Rent Changes: Gary Schnitkey
Weekly Outlook: Focus on Soybean Acreage: Darrel Good
Farm Financial Efficiency: Dwight Raab, Brandy Krapf and Bradley Zwilling
Have U.S. Farm Input Prices Followed U.S. Crop Prices?: Carl Zulauf and Nick Rettig
Benchmarking Machinery Investment and Cost: Michael Langemeier
Revised 2015 Corn and Soybean Return Estimates: Gary Schnitkey
Weekly Outlook: Smaller Corn Supplies Provide Opportunity for Price Rallies: Darrel Good
Sequestration and Farm Program Payments: Jonathan Coppess, Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey and Nick Paulson
Why is the Price of Biodiesel RINs Plummeting?: Scott Irwin
Parameters for a 2016 Cash Rent with Bonus: Gary Schnitkey
Weekly Outlook: Corn and Soybean Exports Finish Strong: Darrel Good
Benchmarking Labor Efficiency and Productivity: Michael Langemeier
How Long Will It Take until Corn Prices Recover?: Paul Peterson
What Happens When Food Marketers Require Restrictive Farming Practices?: Tina L. Saitone, Richard J. Sexton and Daniel Sumner
Cutting $100 per Acre in Costs for Corn and Soybeans: Gary Schnitkey
Weekly Outlook: Lower Pork Costs Also Driven by Lower Meal Costs: Chris Hurt
Reviewing USDA's Revised Conservation Compliance Regulation: Jonathan Coppess
Beef Industry Travelling to a Different Drummer This Year: Chris Hurt
Diesel Fuel Prices and Fuel Costs on Illinois Farms: Gary Schnitkey
Flash Crash, or Flash in the Pan?: Paul Peterson
Understanding and Evaluating WAOB/USDA Soybean Yield Forecasts: Scott Irwin, Darrel Good and Dwight Sanders
An Outbreak unlike Any Other: Perspective on the 2014-2015 Avian Influenza: John Newton and Todd Kuethe
Review of Export Progress for Corn, Ethanol, and Distillers Grains: Darrel Good
Farmland Returns in 2015: Gary Schnitkey
More on “Flash Crash, or Flash in a Pan?”: Paul Peterson
The Relationship between Stocks-to-Use and Soybean Prices Revisited: Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
Changes in Working Capital: Bradley Zwilling, Brandy Krapf and Dwight Raab
Anticipating Changes in Corn and Soybean Acreage Estimates: Darrel Good
Negative Returns and Downward Pressure on Cash Rents: Gary Schnitkey
Early Planting and 2015 Corn Yield Prospects: How Much of an Increase?: Scott Irwin, Darrel Good and John Newton
Some Key Trends in the World Corn Market: Carl Zulauf
The Influence of Direct Payments on US Cropland Values: Jennifer Ifft and Todd Kuethe
Monitoring Soybean Consumption and Production Prospects: Darrel Good
Marketing Gains Impacts on 2014 and 2015 Net Incomes on Grain Farms: Gary Schnitkey
Clues from the RINs Market about the EPA’s RVO Proposals for 2014, 2015, and 2016: Scott Irwin
One Safety Net, Two USDA Measures of Dairy Feed Costs: John Newton and Mike Hutjens
Pork Industry Continues to Adjust from PED: Chris Hurt
Crop Insurance Loss Performance in 2014: Gary Schnitkey
The EPA’s Proposed Ethanol Mandates for 2014, 2015, and 2016: Is There a ‘Push’ or Not?: Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
Current Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Prices in Long Term Perspective: Carl Zulauf
Economic Implications of the 2014-2015 Bird Flu: John Newton and Todd Kuethe
Assessing Corn Demand for Domestic Ethanol Blending: Darrel Good
Working Capital: Preserve It or Use It?: Gary Schnitkey
Does it Matter Whether the EPA Targets Volumetric or Fractional RFS Standards?: Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
EPA Doubles Down on Questionable Reading of the RFS Statute: Jonathan Coppess
Crop Progress and Implications for 2015 Prevented Planting in Corn and Soybeans: John Newton
Could the Bird Flu be a 100 Million Bushel Corn Problem?: John Newton and Todd Kuethe
Perspectives on Commodity Program Choices Under the 2014 Farm Bill: Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess, Nick Paulson and Carl Zulauf
Implementing the RFS with a “Push” Strategy: What Happens after 2016?: Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
2014 Farm Bill Crop Program Election: Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess and Nick Paulson
Cost to Produce Corn and Soybeans in Illinois - 2014: Brandy Krapf, Dwight Raab and Bradley Zwilling
Anticipating the June 1 Corn Stocks Estimate: Darrel Good
Extent of Need to Reduce Capital Purchases: Gary Schnitkey
Mid-Year Update on Ethanol Production Profits: Scott Irwin
Will Cooler Heads Prevail?: Paul Peterson
Soybean Prevented Planted Acres: Historical Background and Implications for 2015: Gary Schnitkey
USDA Grain Stocks and Acreage Estimates Supportive for Corn and Soybean Prices: Darrel Good
Mid-Year Update on Biodiesel Production Profits: Scott Irwin
China, India, the Food Transition, and Future Demand Growth: Carl Zulauf
Higher Feed Costs Could Mean Pork Industry Losses: Chris Hurt
Projected 2016 Crop Returns: Continuing Need to Adjust to Lower Returns: Gary Schnitkey
What the Obamacare and Power Plant Decisions Might Mean for the RFS Rule: Jonathan Coppess
Still a Lot of Uncertainty about the 2015-16 Corn Marketing Year: Darrel Good
Projected 2015 Net Income on a 1,500 Acre Grain Farm: Gary Schnitkey
Large Seed and Residual Use of Soybeans and Prospects for Year-Ending Stocks: Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
U.S. Crop Insurance Since 1996: Carl Zulauf and David Orden
Farm Liquidity: Then and Now: Brandy Krapf, Dwight Raab and Bradley Zwilling
Soybean Supply and Demand Tug of War: Darrel Good
Projected 2015 Net Incomes on Grain Farms: Gary Schnitkey
Why Do Blenders Share Retroactively Reinstated Tax Credits with Biodiesel Producers?: Scott Irwin
2015 Mid-Year RIN Update: Nick Paulson
Mid-Year Update on the Competitiveness of Ethanol in Gasoline Blends: Scott Irwin
Corn Prices Fade as Supplies Expected to Remain in Surplus: Darrel Good
Choices Given Low Projected Grain Farm Net Income in 2015: Gary Schnitkey
Trading at Settlement for Agricultural Futures: Results from the First Month: Paul Peterson
U. S. Crop Insurance Fiscal Costs and WTO Notifications under Current Rules: Carl Zulauf and David Orden
Beef Herd Expanding Quickly, But Will It Continue?: Chris Hurt
Cost Cutting for 2016: Budgeting for $4 Corn and $9.25 Soybeans: Gary Schnitkey
Implications of Changing the Biodiesel Tax Credit from a Blender to a Producer Credit: Scott Irwin
Estimated National 2014 ARC-CO and PLC Payments: Gary Schnitkey and Carl Zulauf
A Review of USDA Crop Yield Forecasting Methodology: Darrel Good and Scott Irwin
Magnitude of Needed Decreases in 2016 Cash Rents: Gary Schnitkey
Reaction to USDA Corn and Soybean Production, Consumption, and Price Projections: Darrel Good and Scott Irwin
2014 Farm Bill and 2015 WTO Doha Round Negotiations: Carl Zulauf and David Orden
Regional Dimensions to the ARC/PLC Decision: Signup by Program Crop: Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess and Carl Zulauf
Will the Corn Production Forecast Get Smaller?: Darrel Good
2016 ARC-CO Payment Estimates for 2016 Cash Rent Bids: Gary Schnitkey
The Real Price of Crude Oil and Gasoline: Scott Irwin
Updated Expected Price Distributions for Corn and Soybeans in 2015: Bruce Sherrick
Illinois Farm Real Estate Stable in 2015: Bradley Zwilling
Corn Prices Reflect Export Concerns and Weak Demand Prospects: Darrel Good
Commodity Program and Crop Insurance Payments Down as a Percent of Crop Revenue: Gary Schnitkey
2014 Farm Bill Commodity Program Survey: Gary Schnitkey, Brenna Ellison, Nick Paulson, Scott Irwin and Jonathan Coppess
Variation in ARC-CO Payment per Program Base Acre by County: Carl Zulauf and Gary Schnitkey
Where Are Gasoline Prices Headed?: Scott Irwin

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