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From University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
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2014, volume 04

Why FSA May Want to Consider Changing the 3/31/2015 Crop Program Election Deadline pp. 2: Carl Zulauf
2014 Harvest Prices for Crop Insurance pp. 2: Gary Schnitkey
A Mixed Pace of Corn and Soybean Consumption pp. 2: Darrel Good
Crop Insurance Revenue Guarantees Likely Lower in 2015 pp. 2: Gary Schnitkey
USDA Reports Provide Some Surprises, Particularly for Corn pp. 2: Darrel Good
Storing the 2014 Corn Crop pp. 2: Darrel Good
Where Will Beef Cows Expand? pp. 2: Chris Hurt
Prospects for Corn Consumption pp. 2: Darrel Good
Corn and Soybean Acreage pp. 2: Darrel Good
Donating Crops Can Mean Substantial 2014 Tax Savings for Farmers pp. 2: Marc Lovell
Looking for a Corn Consumption Response pp. 2: Darrel Good
Rebuilding U.S. Animal Industries pp. 2: Chris Hurt
September 1 Corn Stocks Estimate - Does It Matter? pp. 2: Darrel Good
Update on Corn and Soybean Acreage pp. 2: Darrel Good
Monitoring Corn a nd Soybean Consumption pp. 2: Darrel Good
ARC-PLC Regulation and Decision Tools pp. 2: Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess, Nick Paulson and Carl Zulauf
More Pork Please! More Quickly pp. 2: Chris Hurt
Big Year for Ethanol pp. 2: Darrel Good
Linking the Price of Agricultural Land to Use Values and Amenities pp. 2: Todd Kuethe, Jennifer Ifft and Alison Borchers
Nitrogen Fertilizer Prices and 2015 Planting Decisions pp. 2: Gary Schnitkey
How Many Acres of Corn Are Needed in 2015? pp. 2: Darrel Good
With Tightening Margins, Keep in Mind Family Living pp. 2: Bradley Zwilling, Brandy Krapf and Dwight Raab
Crop Storage Issues May Be Less Severe Than Anticipated pp. 2: Darrel Good
Record Cattle Prices, Again and Again pp. 2: Chris Hurt
Corn and Soybean Acreage Questions Persist pp. 2: Darrel Good
Hog and Pork Prices Return to Reality pp. 2: Chris Hurt
Discussion of Fixed Cash Lease (Short Form for One Year) pp. 2: Donald Uchtmann and Gary Schnitkey
Monthly Review of Corn Consumption pp. 2: Darrel Good
The Impacts of Insurance on Agricultural Land Values pp. 2: Jennifer Ifft and Todd Kuethe
Highlights of the 2012 Census of Agriculture: A Closer Look at Farm Size pp. 3: Todd Kuethe
Illinois Farm Real Estate Continues Increases for 2014 pp. 3: Bradley Zwilling
2015 Crop Insurance Decision Tool and SCO pp. 3: Gary Schnitkey
2014 Farm Bill Decisions: Program Choice - A Big Picture Perspective pp. 3: Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess and Nick Paulson
Cattle at the Crossroads pp. 3: Paul Peterson
Watching Your Instrument Panel pp. 3: Dwight Raab
Revisions to the 2014 Crop Budgets Indicate Need to Conserve Cash pp. 3: Gary Schnitkey
Farm Bill Decision Deadlines and the Farm Bill Toolbox pp. 3: Gary Schnitkey, Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess and Nick Paulson
Modest Crop Insurance Payments Likely in Illinois for 2014: Calculation of Break-even Yields pp. 3: Gary Schnitkey
Information for 2014 Farm Bill Decisions pp. 3: Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess, Nick Paulson and Carl Zulauf
Projected Corn Gross Revenues Down in 2014 and 2015 pp. 3: Gary Schnitkey
Pricing Issues in Agricultural Markets pp. 3: Paul Peterson
Cash Deficits Projected for Corn in 2014 and 2015 pp. 3: Gary Schnitkey
Soybeans Returns Projected Higher than Corn in 2014 pp. 3: Gary Schnitkey
Farmer Returns for Cash Rent, Share Rent, and Owned Farmland pp. 3: Gary Schnitkey
Payment Yield Update – A Third Option pp. 3: Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson and Jonathan Coppess
Lower Fuel Prices Unlikely to have Large Impact on Non-Land Corn and Soybean Costs pp. 3: Gary Schnitkey
A Different Look at Non-Farm Expenses? pp. 3: Bradley Zwilling, Brandy Krapf and Dwight Raab
The Impact of Urban Areas on Farmland Prices in Illinois pp. 3: Todd Kuethe, Benoit Delbecq and Alison Borchers
Capital Purchases and Lower Net Incomes pp. 3: Gary Schnitkey
MPP-Dairy Dashboard: Evaluating Milk Prices Needed to Trigger MPP-Dairy pp. 4: John Newton and Marin Bozic
Historic and Projected Cash Rents as Percentages of Crop Revenues pp. 4: Gary Schnitkey
Updated Farmland Values and Returns Tools - 2014 pp. 4: Bruce Sherrick
2014 Farm Bill Decisions: Payment Limits and Adjusted Gross Income Eligibility pp. 4: Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey and Nick Paulson
Highlights of the 2012 Census of Agriculture: Legal Structure of Illinois Farms pp. 4: Todd Kuethe
Will High Yields Rescue 2014 Crop Returns? pp. 4: Gary Schnitkey
Cash Rents in 2014 and Expected Cash Rents in 2015 pp. 4: Gary Schnitkey
Will Non-Land Costs Decrease in 2015? pp. 4: Gary Schnitkey
Owning Corn and Soybeans beyond Harvest in 2014/15 pp. 4: Darrel Good and Scott Irwin
ARC-CO and PLC Payment Indicator for 2014 Crop Year: September 2014 WASDE U.S. Yield and Price pp. 4: Carl Zulauf and Gary Schnitkey
ACRE State Level Payment Indicator for the 2013 Crop Year pp. 4: Carl Zulauf and Gary Schnitkey
Ethanol Production Profits Hit the Wall pp. 4: Scott Irwin
2014: A Tough Year for Biodiesel Producers pp. 4: Scott Irwin
The 2014 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: Headed for a New Record? pp. 5: Scott Irwin and Darrel L. Good
2014 Farm Bill Decisions: Base Acre Reallocation Option pp. 5: Carl Zulauf, Nick Paulson, Jonathan Coppess and Gary Schnitkey
Will Crop Insurance Make Payments in 2014? pp. 5: Gary Schnitkey
Position Limits, Hedging, and Excessive Speculation pp. 5: Paul Peterson
ARC-CO and PLC Payment Indicator Using August WASDE U.S. Yield and Price pp. 5: Carl Zulauf and Gary Schnitkey
Farmland Price Outlook in 2014 and Beyond pp. 5: Gary Schnitkey, Bruce Sherrick and Todd Kuethe
Your Farm Business and the Affordable Care Act pp. 5: Marc Lovell
What Can We Learn About Corn and Soybean Yields From Crop Tours? pp. 5: Scott Irwin, Darrel Good and Gary Schnitkey
Resolution of U.S. Crop Year Price Uncertainly and Its Implications for the 2014 Farm Program Decision pp. 5: Carl Zulauf
Farmers and Foreign Accounts pp. 5: Marc Lovell
Farmers and Small Farms Can Maximize Tax Savings from Health Insurance Costs pp. 5: Marc Lovell
ARC-CO and PLC Payment Indicator for 2014 Crop Year: October 2014 WASDE U.S. Yield and Price pp. 5: Carl Zulauf and Gary Schnitkey
Pricing of 2014 Biodiesel RINs under Alternative Policy Scenarios pp. 5: Scott Irwin
U.S. Farm Input Price Dynamics, 1981-2013 pp. 5: Carl Zulauf and Nick Rettig
The Forgotten Variable: Yield and the Choice of Farm Program Option pp. 5: Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess and Nick Paulson
Supplemental Coverage Option (SCO) in Wheat pp. 6: Gary Schnitkey and Nick Paulson
Mid-Year RIN Update pp. 6: Nick Paulson
Do Futures Forecast the Future? pp. 6: Carl Zulauf, Nick Rettig and Matt Roberts
Basis Considerations with MPP-Dairy pp. 6: John Newton
September 1 Grain Stocks Estimates Provide No Support for Prices pp. 6: Darrel Good
Comparing ARC-CO to PLC: APAS Sample Farms and the ARC-CO - PLC Comparison Tool pp. 6: Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, Jonathan Coppess and Carl Zulauf
Do Falling Gasoline Prices Threaten the Competitiveness of Ethanol? pp. 6: Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
Overview of Commodity Program Decisions from the 2014 Farm Bill pp. 6: Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess, Nick Paulson and Carl Zulauf
Updated Expected Price Distributions for Corn and Soybeans in 2014 pp. 7: Bruce Sherrick
Rolling Back the Write Down of the Renewable Mandate for 2014: The RINs Market Rings the Bell Again pp. 7: Scott Irwin
Evaluating the Actual Production History Yield Exclusion Provision of the 2014 Farm Bill pp. 7: Jonathan Coppess, Bruce Sherrick and Gary Schnitkey
Do Big Soybean Crops Always Get Bigger? pp. 7: John Newton, Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
Small Farms and the ACA pp. 7: Marc Lovell
Understanding the Behavior of Biodiesel RINs Prices pp. 7: Scott Irwin
A Closer Look at the Impacts of Olympic Averaging of Prices and Yields pp. 7: Bruce Sherrick
Do Big Corn Crops Always Get Bigger? pp. 8: Scott Irwin, Darrel Good and John Newton
Are USDA Corn Yield Forecasts Getting Better or Worse over Time? pp. 8: Scott Irwin, Darrel Good and Dwight Sanders
Are USDA Soybean Yield Forecasts Getting Better or Worse over Time? pp. 8: Scott Irwin, Darrel Good and Dwight Sanders
How Much Will Falling Gasoline Prices Affect Ethanol and Corn Demand?: Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
Setting Cash Rents and Variability in Returns: Gary Schnitkey
How Will the December 1 Corn Stocks Estimate Be Interpreted?: Darrel Good
Base Acre and Yield Updating Tool: A Release of Spreadsheet to Aid in Making Farm Bill Decisions: Gary Schnitkey
Position Limits and Potential Impacts on Hedgers: Paul Peterson
Prospects for Ethanol Production Profits Dim as Gasoline Prices Plummet: Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
3rd Quarter RIN Update: Nick Paulson
Corn Price Strength Continues: Darrel Good
Choosing Between Base Acre Allocation Alternatives: Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, Carl Zulauf and Jonathan Coppess
Electing ARC and Using SCO: Nick Paulson, Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey and Carl Zulauf
ARC-CO and PLC Payment Indicator for 2014 Crop Year: December 2014 WASDE U.S. Yield and Price: Carl Zulauf and Gary Schnitkey
Profit Margins for Dairy Producers Continue Negative Trend in 2013, Likely to Turn Positive in 2014: Bradley Zwilling, Brandy Krapf and Dwight Raab
Documenting Yields for Updating Under the 2014 Farm Bill Using RMA Records: Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, Carl Zulauf and Jonathan Coppess
Pork Industry Starts Modest Expansion: Chris Hurt
Area Risk Protection Insurance Policy: Comparison to Group Plans: Gary Schnitkey
Mapping the Fate of the Farm Bill: A Closer Look at SNAP: Todd Kuethe and Jonathan Coppess
Corn Consumption Exceeds Expectations, Now What?: Darrel Good
Coverage Level Choices for Revenue Protection in 2014: Gary Schnitkey
Protecting Futures Customers from Brokerage Firm Failures: Paul Peterson
Evaluating EPA's Arguments for RFS Waiver Authority: Jonathan Coppess
Evaluation of Selected USDA WAOB and NASS Forecasts and Estimates in Corn and Soybeans: Scott Irwin, Dwight Sanders and Darrel Good
Comparing NASS and FSA Planted Acreage Data: Darrel Good
Controlling Costs With Lower Crop Revenues: Historical Overview: Gary Schnitkey
Impacts of Recent Changes in the Illinois Farmland Assessment Act: Todd Kuethe and Bruce Sherrick
Protecting Futures Customers from Brokerage Firm Failures, Part 2: Paul Peterson
A Slower Pace of Soybean Consumption Is Needed: Darrel Good
Controlling Costs with Lower Crop Revenues: Fertilizer Costs: Gary Schnitkey
Is There a Problem with USDA Grain Stocks Estimates in Corn?: Scott Irwin, Dwight Sanders and Darrel Good
2014 Farm Bill Farm Safety Net: Summary and Brief Thoughts: Carl Zulauf
Planning For a Lower Revenue 2014: Brandy Krapf, Dwight Raab and Bradley Zwilling
Beef Cattle Industry Just Beginning Transition to Expansion: Chris Hurt
Controlling Costs with Lower Crop Revenues: Direct Costs: Gary Schnitkey
Protecting Futures Customers from Brokerage Firm Failures, Part 3: Paul Peterson
Evaluating Commodity Program Choices in the New Farm Bill: Jonathan Coppess
Explanations for Recent Surprises in USDA Corn Stocks Estimates: How Well Do they Hold Up?: Scott Irwin, Dwight Sanders and Darrel Good
Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Export Projections Increased: Darrel Good
2014 Crop Insurance Decisions: The 2014 Farm Bill and 2014 Product Recommendations: Gary Schnitkey
2014 Crop Safety Net Decision: Key Considerations: Carl Zulauf
The Dairy Safety Net Debate Part III: The Compromise Dairy Safety Net Solution: John Newton and Cameron Thraen
2014 Farm Bill Informational Efforts on farmdoc: Jonathan Coppess, Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey and Carl Zulauf
The Role of Sampling Errors in Explaining Recent Surprises in USDA Corn Stocks Estimates: Part II: Scott Irwin, Dwight Sanders and Darrel Good
Who's Right about Corn Prices?: Darrel Good
Controlling Costs with Lower Crop Revenues: Machinery Costs: Gary Schnitkey
Will the EPA Reverse Itself on the Write Down of the Renewable Mandate for 2014? The Message from the RINs Market: Scott Irwin
Agriculture Risk Coverage and Price Loss Coverage in the 2014 Farm Bill: Jonathan Coppess and Nick Paulson
A Closer Look at Farm Liquidity: Brandy Krapf, Dwight Raab and Bradley Zwilling
Potential Growth in Corn Used for Ethanol Production: Darrel Good
Controlling Costs with Lower Crop Revenues: Cash Rents: Gary Schnitkey
Protecting Futures Customers from Brokerage Firm Failures, Part 4: Paul Peterson
2014 Farm Bill: The Supplemental Coverage Option: Nick Paulson and Jonathan Coppess
Who Wins if the EPA Reverses Itself on the Write Down of the Renewable Mandate in 2014?: Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
Hog Prices Take Off, Probably Due to PED-V: Chris Hurt
Evaluating Crop Insurance Options for 2014: Gary Schnitkey and Bruce Sherrick
Implying the Probability of an EPA Reversal on the Write Down of the Renewable Mandate from the RINs Market: Scott Irwin
2014 Farm Bill: Reallocating Base Acreage: Nick Paulson and Jonathan Coppess
Export Markets for US Ethanol: Seth Meyer
Calculations for March 1 Corn Stocks Estimate: Darrel Good
Crop Insurance Premium Comparisons, Illinois 2014: Bruce J. Sherrick and Gary D. Schnitkey
The EPA Add-Up RFS and the Biodiesel Blenders Tax Credit: Jarrett Whistance, Wyatt Thompson and Seth Meyer
ARC-PLC Decision: Importance of the Price Path - The Case of Corn: Carl Zulauf and Gary Schnitkey
Recent Trends in the Profitability of Ethanol Production: Scott Irwin
Anticipating the March 1 Soybean Stocks Estimate: Darrel Good
ARC-PLC Decision: Why It Differs from the ACRE-DCP Decision: Carl Zulauf and Gary Schnitkey
Recent Trends in the Profitability of Biodiesel Production: Scott Irwin
Soybean-to-Corn Price Ratios in Spring and Fall: Gary Schnitkey
Cost to Produce Corn and Soybeans in Illinois-2013: Brandy Krapf, Dwight Raab and Bradley Zwilling
Reports Continue to Support Corn and Soybean Prices: Darrel Good
Causes of High U.S. Corn Yields: Evaluation of County Yields: Gary Schnitkey
2014 Farm Bill: Key Factors to Consider with a California Federal Milk Marketing Order: John Newton, Cameron Thraen and Andrew Novakovic
USDA Estimates Reasonably Close to Expectations: Darrel Good
Cash Rents on Professionally Managed Farmland Projected Down in 2014: Gary Schnitkey
Estimated ACRE Payments for 2013: Gary Schnitkey
2014 Farm Bill: Updating Payment Yields: Nick Paulson, Jonathan Coppess and Todd Kuethe
Are There Acres Missing from the USDA's Prospective Plantings Report?: Darrel Good and Scott Irwin
Pork: PEDv Losses Not As Large As Expected: Chris Hurt
Recent Price Changes on Harvest-time Corn and Soybean Contracts: Gary Schnitkey
The Relationship between Planting Intentions, Actual Plantings, and Prevented Plantings over 2007-2013: Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
State Distribution of Direct vs. Net Crop Insurance Payments, 2004-2013: Carl Zulauf
RIN Stock Update: Nick Paulson
Corn Consumption Continues to Exceed Projections: Darrel Good
Monthly Fertilizer Prices: Spring 2014 with Comparisons to 2009 through 2013: Gary Schnitkey
RIN Stocks Part I - Valuation: Rob Johansson and Seth Meyer
Mapping the Farm Bill: Voting in the House of Representatives: Todd Kuethe and Jonathan Coppess
Is There An Advantage To More Corn Acres in Your Rotation?: Brandy Krapf, Dwight Raab and Bradley Zwilling
How Many Acres of Soybeans Are Needed?: Darrel Good
Illinois Prospective Plantings in 2014 with Historical Comparisons: Gary Schnitkey
RIN Stocks Part II - 'Healthy' Levels: Rob Johansson
Further Discussion of the Supplemental Coverage Option: Nick Paulson and Jonathan Coppess
Understanding Crop Year Price Changes in Estimating PLC Payments: Carl Zulauf
Concerns about Corn Planting Progress: Darrel Good
Coverage Levels on Crop Insurance and the SCO Alternative: Gary Schnitkey and Bruce Sherrick
Prospects for Timely Planting of the 2014 Corn Crop: Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
2014 Farm Bill: The Margin Protection Program Dashboard MPP-Dairy: John Newton
Conservation Compliance and Crop Insurance in the New Farm Bill: Jonathan Coppess
How Did Cattle Prices Get So High?: Chris Hurt
2013 Crop Insurance Performance in Illinois: Gary Schnitkey
Off-the-Chart Profitability of Ethanol Production: Scott Irwin
2014 Farm Bill: Historical Likelihood of County ARC and SCO Payments for Corn in Illinois: Nick Paulson
Highlights of the 2012 Census of Agriculture: Number of Farms: Todd Kuethe
Second Guessing USDA Projections for Corn: Darrel Good
Evaluating the Historical Variability of Corn's Market Year Average Price and Projecting Price Loss Coverage Payments: Gary Schnitkey and Darrel Good
2014 Farm Bill Conservation (Title II) Programs: Carl Zulauf
2014 Farm Bill: Estimated Payment Sizes for County ARC and SCO for Corn in Illinois: Nick Paulson
Does More Corn Mean Higher Cash Rent?: Brandy Krapf, Dwight Raab and Bradley Zwilling
Corn Prices on the Defensive: Darrel Good
Soybean-to-Corn Price Ratios in Spring and Fall: Gary Schnitkey
Accuracy of USDA Forecasts of Corn Ending Stocks: Darrel Good and Scott Irwin
2014 Farm Bill: the Big Picture As Seen Through Spending: Carl Zulauf
Recent Ethanol Blending Margins: Scott Irwin
Planted Acres - Did the Market Get It Right?: Darrel Good
Historical Variability of Soybean and Wheat Market Year Average Prices and Price Loss Coverage Payments: Gary Schnitkey and Darrel Good
The Regional Conservation Partnership Program in the Farm Bill: Jonathan Coppess and Todd Kuethe
Farmland Markets - Comparing the 1980s and the Present: Bruce Sherrick and Gary Schnitkey
Hog Prices Take Big Drop: What's Next?: Chris Hurt
Non-Land Costs for Corn Increased in 2013: Gary Schnitkey
Highlights of the 2012 Census of Agriculture: Farmland Acreage: Todd Kuethe
2014 Farm Bill: Historical Likelihood of County ARC and SCO Payments for Soybeans in Illinois: Nick Paulson
2014 Farm Bill: Making the Case for Looking at ARC-Individual Farm: Carl Zulauf and Gary Schnitkey
Importance of Month-End USDA Reports for Corn: Darrel Good
Projected 2014 Gross Revenues and Farmer Returns on Cash Rent Farmland: Gary Schnitkey
Why Are Ethanol Prices and Production Profits So High?: Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
2014 Farm Bill: Estimated Payment Sizes for County ARC and SCO on Soybean Acres in Illinois: Nick Paulson
Livestock Gross Margin Insurance for Dairy: The Other Dairy Safety Net Solution: John Newton and Cameron Thraen
Potential for U.S. Average Corn and Soybean Yields: Darrel Good
Availability of County Crop Insurance in 2014: Implications for SCO: Gary Schnitkey
Shifting Trade Patterns and Higher Crude Oil Prices Brighten Prospects for U.S. Ethanol and Corn: Darrel Good and Scott Irwin
2014 Farm Bill: Overlap between PLC and Crop Insurance: Carl Zulauf
Controlling Cost vs. More Revenue?: Brandy Krapf, Dwight Raab and Bradley Zwilling
Anticipating the Soybean Stocks and Acreage Estimates: Darrel Good
Prospects for Grain Farm Incomes in 2014: Gary Schnitkey
Fixing Prices and Fixing Markets: Paul Peterson
Energy Programs in the New Farm Bill: Jonathan Coppess
Financial Health of Banks Lending to Agriculture Continues to Improve: Paul Ellinger
Large Corn and Soybean Stocks and Large Crop Potential: Darrel Good
Corn and Soybeans in 2013 and 2014: Release of 2013 Costs and Reassessment of 2014 Returns: Gary Schnitkey
One Perspective on High Yield for 2014 U.S. Corn and Soybeans: Carl Zulauf
Peregrine Financial Group: Two Years and Counting: Paul Peterson
Pork: USDA Reports Help Brighten Outlook: Chris Hurt
Release of 2015 Crop Budgets: Gary Schnitkey
The 2014 U.S. Average Corn Yield: Big or Really Big?: Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
Introducing the Farm Bill Toolbox: Jonathan Coppess, Nick Paulson and Gary Schnitkey
2014 Farm Bill Decisions: Payment Yield Update Option: Nick Paulson, Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey and Todd Kuethe
How Burdensome Are Corn Supplies?: Darrel Good
Range in Revenues and Returns Possible for Corn in 2014: Gary Schnitkey
Highlights of the 2012 Census of Agriculture: Distribution of Farm Size: Todd Kuethe
Mapping the Size of Dairy Safety Net Programs: Comparing MILC and the Margin Protection Program: John Newton and Todd Kuethe
Bigger Is Better?: Brandy Krapf, Dwight Raab and Bradley Zwilling
Corn Price Premiums Continue to Fade: Darrel Good
Renegotiating Cash Rents Down for 2015: Gary Schnitkey

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