Statistics, Politics and Policy

2010 - 2025

Current editor(s): Joel A. Middleton

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Editor’s Note pp. 1-2: Wagschal Uwe
Self-Interest or Solidarity? pp. 3-28: Mueller Sean, Vatter Adrian and Schmid Charlie
Measurement Error and Attenuation Bias in Exponential Random Graph Models pp. 29-54: Kim Yeaji, Antenangeli Leonardo and Kirkland Justin
A Demographic Peace? Youth Bulges and Other Population-Related Causes of Domestic Conflict pp. 55-97: Wagschal Uwe and Metz Thomas
Statistical Literacy in the Classroom: Should Introductory Statistics Courses Rethink their Goals? pp. 99-115: McLauchlan Cynthia and Schonlau Matthias

Political Institutions and State Sales Tax Base Erosion pp. 1-17: Propheter Geoffrey
Party Control and Perverse Effects in Majority-Minority Districting: Replication Challenges When Using DW-NOMINATE pp. 19-37: Simons Joseph and Mallinson Daniel J.
Unbiased Estimation of the Average Treatment Effect in Cluster-Randomized Experiments pp. 39-75: Middleton Joel A. and Aronow Peter M.
Substantive Importance and the Veil of Statistical Significance pp. 77-96: McCaskey Kelly and Rainey Carlisle
Assessing Robustness of Findings About Racial Redistricting’s Effect on Southern House Delegations pp. 97-116: Sanchez-Martinez Carlos A. and Shotts Kenneth W.

A Note on Close Elections and Regression Analysis of the Party Incumbency Advantage pp. 1-11: Aronow Peter M., Mayhew David R. and Lin Winston

Estimating Partisan Bias of the Electoral College Under Proposed Changes in Elector Apportionment pp. 1-13: Thomas A. C., Gelman Andrew, Gary King and Jonathan Katz
Elections 2012: Suppressing Fraud or Suppressing the Vote? pp. 14-28: Ash Arlene S. and Lamperti John W.
Single Regression Estimates of Voting Choices When Turnout is Unknown pp. 22: Jeffrey Zax
Synthetic Priors that Merge Opinion from Multiple Experts pp. 26: Das Sourish, Yang Hongxia and Banks David
Risk-limiting Audits and the Margin of Victory in Nonplurality Elections pp. 29-64: Sarwate Anand D., Checkoway Stephen and Shacham Hovav
Response to Andrew Gelman by Charles Murray pp. 65-69: Murray Charles
Charles Murray’s Coming Apart and the measurement of social and political divisions pp. 70-81: Gelman Andrew

Monitoring Progress Towards Millennium Development Goal 4: A Call for Improved Validation of Under-Five Mortality Rate Estimates pp. 19: Alkema Leontine, Wong Maria B. and Seah Pei Rong
Teacher Effect Estimates and Decision Rules for Establishing Student-Teacher Linkages: What are the Implications for High-Stakes Personnel Policies in an Urban School District? pp. 24: Han Bing, McCaffrey Daniel, Matthew Springer and Gottfried Michael
Comprehension of Graphs and Tables Depend on the Task: Empirical Evidence from Two Web-Based Studies pp. 35: Schonlau Matthias and Peters Ellen
A New Method for Deriving Global Estimates of Maternal Mortality pp. 41: Wilmoth John R., Mizoguchi Nobuko, Oestergaard Mikkel Z., Say Lale, Mathers Colin D., Zureick-Brown Sarah, Inoue Mie and Chou Doris
The Value Deming's Ideas Can Add to Educational Evaluation pp. 42: Lohr Sharon L.

Comment on "Why and When 'Flawed' Social Network Analyses Still Yield Valid Tests of no Contagion" pp. 5: Shalizi Cosma Rohilla
Why and When "Flawed" Social Network Analyses Still Yield Valid Tests of no Contagion pp. 13: VanderWeele Tyler J., Ogburn Elizabeth L. and Tchetgen Tchetgen Eric J.
Climate Statistics and Public Policy pp. 17: Guttorp Peter
Data, Statistics, and Controversy: Making Science Research Data Intelligible pp. 22: Sedransk Nell, Young Linda J. and Spiegelman Cliff
Problems with Tests of the Missingness Mechanism in Quantitative Policy Studies pp. 25: Rhoads Christopher H.
Major Contributions to Quantitative Economics Sponsored by the Defense Community pp. 28: Solomon Henry
Improving Statistical Inference with Clustered Data pp. 30: Harden Jeffrey J.

Comment on Alemayehu and Levenstein "Toward a Pragmatic Policy on Authorship" pp. 4: Lachenbruch Peter A.
What Can We Predict About Libya and the Arab Spring from Statistical Studies? pp. 4: Green Alan M
Discussion of Alemayehu and Levenstein pp. 5: Ellenberg Susan S.
Reproducible Research: A Range of Response pp. 9: Banks David
Toward a Pragmatic Policy on Authorship pp. 12: Alemayehu Demissie and Levenstein Marcia
Using a Density-Variation/Compactness Measure to Evaluate Redistricting Plans for Partisan Bias and Electoral Responsiveness pp. 27: Belin Thomas R, Fischer Heidi J and Zigler Corwin M
The Spread of Evidence-Poor Medicine via Flawed Social-Network Analysis pp. 29: Lyons Russell
Assessing the Early Aberration Reporting System's Ability to Locally Detect the 2009 Influenza Pandemic pp. 30: Hagen Katie S., Fricker Ronald D, Hanni Krista D., Barnes Susan and Michie Kristy
Sharper p-Values for Stratified Election Audits pp. 37: Higgins Michael J., Rivest Ronald L. and Stark Philip B.

A Snapshot of the 2008 Election pp. 6: Gelman Andrew, Lee Daniel and Ghitza Yair
Atmospheric Circulations Do Not Explain the Temperature-Industrialization Correlation pp. 20: Ross McKitrick
Measuring Elusive Populations with Bayesian Model Averaging for Multiple Systems Estimation: A Case Study on Lethal Violations in Casanare, 1998-2007 pp. 29: Lum Kristian, Price Megan, Guberek Tamy and Ball Patrick