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Risks

2013 - 2025

Current editor(s): Mr. Claude Zhang

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Volume 7, issue 4, 2019

On the Padé and Laguerre–Tricomi–Weeks Moments Based Approximations of the Scale Function W and of the Optimal Dividends Barrier for Spectrally Negative Lévy Risk Processes pp. 1-24 Downloads
Florin Avram, Andras Horváth, Serge Provost and Ulyses Solon
A Generalised CIR Process with Externally-Exciting and Self-Exciting Jumps and Its Applications in Insurance and Finance pp. 1-18 Downloads
Angelos Dassios, Jiwook Jang and Hongbiao Zhao
Credit Risk Migration and Economic Cycles pp. 1-18 Downloads
Camilla Ferretti, Giampaolo Gabbi, Piero Ganugi, Federica Sist and Pietro Vozzella
High Frequency Price Change Spillovers in Bitcoin Markets pp. 1-18 Downloads
Paolo Giudici and Paolo Pagnottoni
Conditional Variance Forecasts for Long-Term Stock Returns pp. 1-22 Downloads
Enno Mammen, Jens Perch Nielsen, Michael Scholz and Stefan Sperlich
Omnichannel Banking Economy pp. 1-11 Downloads
Sergey A. Vasiliev and Eugene R. Serov
A New Heavy Tailed Class of Distributions Which Includes the Pareto pp. 1-17 Downloads
Deepesh Bhati, Enrique Calderín-Ojeda and Mareeswaran Meenakshi
Social Security Benefit Valuation, Risk, and Optimal Retirement pp. 1-31 Downloads
Yassmin Ali, Ming Fang, Pablo A. Arrutia Sota, Stephen Taylor and Xun Wang
On Market Share Drivers in the Swiss Mandatory Health Insurance Sector pp. 1-25 Downloads
Dalit Daily-Amir, Hansjörg Albrecher, Martin Bladt and Joël Wagner
Three Essays on Stopping pp. 1-10 Downloads
Eberhard Mayerhofer
A Study on Global Investors’ Criteria for Investment in the Local Currency Bond Markets Using AHP Methods: The Case of the Republic of Korea pp. 1-20 Downloads
Jae Young Jang and Min Jae Park
A Likelihood Approach to Bornhuetter–Ferguson Analysis pp. 1-20 Downloads
Valandis Elpidorou, Carolin Margraf, María Dolores Martínez-Miranda and Bent Nielsen
The Effect of Jumps in the Crude Oil Market on the Sovereign Risks of Major Oil Exporters pp. 1-15 Downloads
Elie Bouri
On Identifying the Systemically Important Tunisian Banks: An Empirical Approach Based on the ?CoVaR Measures pp. 1-15 Downloads
Wided Khiari and Salim Ben Sassi
Volatility Timing in CPF Investment Funds in Singapore: Do They Outperform Non-CPF Funds? pp. 1-16 Downloads
Xiaoyi Shen, Albert Tsui and Zhaoyong Zhang
Option Implied Stock Buy-Side and Sell-Side Market Depths pp. 1-16 Downloads
Feng-Tse Tsai
Developing an Impairment Loss Given Default Model Using Weighted Logistic Regression Illustrated on a Secured Retail Bank Portfolio pp. 1-16 Downloads
Douw Gerbrand Breed, Tanja Verster, Willem D. Schutte and Naeem Siddiqi
Claim Watching and Individual Claims Reserving Using Classification and Regression Trees pp. 1-36 Downloads
Massimo De Felice and Franco Moriconi
Credit Valuation Adjustment Compression by Genetic Optimization pp. 1-21 Downloads
Marc Chataigner and Stéphane Crépey
Quantitative and Comparative Analyses of Limit Order Books with General Compound Hawkes Processes pp. 1-21 Downloads
Qiyue He and Anatoliy Swishchuk
A Review of First-Passage Theory for the Segerdahl-Tichy Risk Process and Open Problems pp. 1-21 Downloads
Florin Avram and Jose-Luis Perez-Garmendia
Market Risk Analysis of Energy in Vietnam pp. 1-13 Downloads
Ngoc Phu Tran, Thang Cong Nguyen, Duc Hong Vo and Michael McAleer
Ruin Probability Approximations in Sparre Andersen Models with Completely Monotone Claims pp. 1-14 Downloads
Hansjörg Albrecher and Eleni Vatamidou
Aggregation of Incidence and Intensity Risk Variables to Achieve Reconciliation pp. 1-14 Downloads
Clive Hunt and Ross Taplin
Tail Dependence in Financial Markets: A Dynamic Copula Approach pp. 1-14 Downloads
Federico Pasquale Cortese
The Løkka–Zervos Alternative for a Cramér–Lundberg Process with Exponential Jumps pp. 1-9 Downloads
Florin Avram, Dan Goreac and Jean-François Renaud

Volume 7, issue 3, 2019

Special Issue “Risk, Ruin and Survival: Decision Making in Insurance and Finance” pp. 1-7 Downloads
Jiandong Ren, Kristina Sendova and Ričardas Zitikis
Can Machine Learning-Based Portfolios Outperform Traditional Risk-Based Portfolios? The Need to Account for Covariance Misspecification pp. 1-27 Downloads
Prayut Jain and Shashi Jain
Persistence of Bank Credit Default Swap Spreads pp. 1-13 Downloads
Xin Huang
An Urn-Based Nonparametric Modeling of the Dependence between PD and LGD with an Application to Mortgages pp. 1-21 Downloads
Dan Cheng and Pasquale Cirillo
Logarithmic Asymptotics for Probability of Component-Wise Ruin in a Two-Dimensional Brownian Model pp. 1-21 Downloads
Krzysztof Dȩbicki, Lanpeng Ji and Tomasz Rolski
DeepTriangle: A Deep Learning Approach to Loss Reserving pp. 1-12 Downloads
Kevin Kuo
Nash Bargaining Over Margin Loans to Kelly Gamblers pp. 1-14 Downloads
Alexander Garivaltis
Market-Risk Optimization among the Developed and Emerging Markets with CVaR Measure and Copula Simulation pp. 1-20 Downloads
Nader Trabelsi and Aviral Tiwari
Drivers of Old-Age Dependence and Long-Term Care Usage in Switzerland—A Structural Equation Model Approach pp. 1-20 Downloads
Iegor Rudnytskyi and Joël Wagner
Bankruptcy Risk, Its Financial Determinants and Reporting Delays: Do Managers Have Anything to Hide? pp. 1-15 Downloads
Oliver Lukason and María-del-Mar Camacho-Miñano
Optimal Risk Budgeting under a Finite Investment Horizon pp. 1-15 Downloads
Marcos López de Prado, Ralph Vince and Qiji Jim Zhu
On the Laplace Transforms of the First Hitting Times for Drawdowns and Drawups of Diffusion-Type Processes pp. 1-15 Downloads
Pavel V. Gapeev, Neofytos Rodosthenous and V. L. Raju Chinthalapati
LIBOR Fallback and Quantitative Finance pp. 1-15 Downloads
Marc Henrard
Optimal Stopping and Utility in a Simple Modelof Unemployment Insurance pp. 1-41 Downloads
Jason S. Anquandah and Leonid V. Bogachev
Premium Risk Net of Reinsurance: From Short-Term to Medium-Term Assessment pp. 1-29 Downloads
Antonio Pallaria and Nino Savelli
The Time-Spatial Dimension of Eurozone Banking Systemic Risk pp. 1-25 Downloads
Matteo Foglia and Eliana Angelini
Hospital Proximity and Mortality in Australia pp. 1-24 Downloads
Andrew Leung
Individual Loss Reserving Using a Gradient Boosting-Based Approach pp. 1-18 Downloads
Francis Duval and Mathieu Pigeon
Loss Reserving Models: Granular and Machine Learning Forms pp. 1-18 Downloads
Greg Taylor
Liquidity Risk Drivers and Bank Business Models pp. 1-18 Downloads
Simona Galletta and Sebastiano Mazzù
Bigger Is Not Always Safer: A Critical Analysis of the Subadditivity Assumption for Coherent Risk Measures pp. 1-18 Downloads
Hans Rau-Bredow
Coherent-Price Systems and Uncertainty-Neutral Valuation pp. 1-18 Downloads
Patrick Beissner
On the Validation of Claims with Excess Zeros in Liability Insurance: A Comparative Study pp. 1-17 Downloads
Marjan Qazvini
Parametric Conditions of High Financial Risk in the SME Sector pp. 1-17 Downloads
Beata Ślusarczyk and Katarzyna Grondys
De Finetti’s Control Problem with Parisian Ruin for Spectrally Negative Lévy Processes pp. 1-11 Downloads
Jean-François Renaud
Quantile Regression with Telematics Information to Assess the Risk of Driving above the Posted Speed Limit pp. 1-11 Downloads
Ana M. Pérez-Marín, Montserrat Guillen, Manuela Alcañiz and Lluís Bermúdez
Potential Densities for Taxed Spectrally Negative Lévy Risk Processes pp. 1-11 Downloads
Wenyuan Wang and Xiaowen Zhou
Penalising Unexplainability in Neural Networks for Predicting Payments per Claim Incurred pp. 1-11 Downloads
Jacky H. L. Poon

Volume 7, issue 2, 2019

Defining Geographical Rating Territories in Auto Insurance Regulation by Spatially Constrained Clustering pp. 1-20 Downloads
Shengkun Xie
Practice Oriented and Monte Carlo Based Estimation of the Value-at-Risk for Operational Risk Measurement pp. 1-20 Downloads
Francesca Greselin, Fabio Piacenza and Ričardas Zitikis
American Options on High Dividend Securities: A Numerical Investigation pp. 1-20 Downloads
Francesco Rotondi
Analysis of Stochastic Reserving Models By Means of NAIC Claims Data pp. 1-27 Downloads
László Martinek
Generalized Multiplicative Risk Apportionment pp. 1-9 Downloads
Hongxia Wang
Revisiting Calibration of the Solvency II Standard Formula for Mortality Risk: Does the Standard Stress Scenario Provide an Adequate Approximation of Value-at-Risk? pp. 1-24 Downloads
Rokas Gylys and Jonas Šiaulys
A General Framework for Portfolio Theory. Part III: Multi-Period Markets and Modular Approach pp. 1-31 Downloads
Stanislaus Maier-Paape, Andreas Platen and Qiji Jim Zhu
The Population Accuracy Index: A New Measure of Population Stability for Model Monitoring pp. 1-11 Downloads
Ross Taplin and Clive Hunt
Asymptotically Normal Estimators of the Ruin Probability for Lévy Insurance Surplus from Discrete Samples pp. 1-22 Downloads
Yasutaka Shimizu and Zhimin Zhang
Treatment Level and Store Level Analyses of Healthcare Data pp. 1-22 Downloads
Kaiwen Wang, Jiehui Ding, Kristen R. Lidwell, Scott Manski, Gee Y. Lee and Emilio Xavier Esposito
Direct and Hierarchical Models for Aggregating Spatially Dependent Catastrophe Risks pp. 1-22 Downloads
Rafał Wójcik, Charlie Wusuo Liu and Jayanta Guin
The Investigation of a Forward-Rate Mortality Framework pp. 1-22 Downloads
Daniel H. Alai, Katja Ignatieva and Michael Sherris
Risk Factor Evolution for Counterparty Credit Risk under a Hidden Markov Model pp. 1-22 Downloads
Ioannis Anagnostou and Drona Kandhai
A Renewal Shot Noise Process with Subexponential Shot Marks pp. 1-8 Downloads
Yiqing Chen
Mortality Projections for Small Populations: An Application to the Maltese Elderly pp. 1-25 Downloads
Massimiliano Menzietti, Maria Morabito and Manuela Stranges
Pricing of Longevity Derivatives and Cost of Capital pp. 1-29 Downloads
Fadoua Zeddouk and Pierre Devolder
Spatial Risk Measures and Rate of Spatial Diversification pp. 1-26 Downloads
Erwan Koch
Model Efficiency and Uncertainty in Quantile Estimation of Loss Severity Distributions pp. 1-16 Downloads
Vytaras Brazauskas and Sahadeb Upretee
Ruin Probability Functions and Severity of Ruin as a Statistical Decision Problem pp. 1-16 Downloads
Emilio Gómez-Déniz, José María Sarabia and Enrique Calderín-Ojeda
Predicting Motor Insurance Claims Using Telematics Data—XGBoost versus Logistic Regression pp. 1-16 Downloads
Jessica Pesantez-Narvaez, Montserrat Guillen and Manuela Alcañiz
Contingent Convertible Debt: The Impact on Equity Holders pp. 1-35 Downloads
Delphine Boursicot, Geneviève Gauthier and Farhad Pourkalbassi
Recent Regulation in Credit Risk Management: A Statistical Framework pp. 1-19 Downloads
Logan Ewanchuk and Christoph Frei
Measuring and Allocating Systemic Risk pp. 1-19 Downloads
Markus Brunnermeier and Patrick Cheridito
The Determinants of Market-Implied Recovery Rates pp. 1-15 Downloads
Pascal François
Bank Competition in India: Some New Evidence Using Risk-Adjusted Lerner Index Approach pp. 1-12 Downloads
Rakesh Arrawatia, Arun Misra, Varun Dawar and Debasish Maitra
Experience Prospective Life-Tables for the Algerian Retirees pp. 1-21 Downloads
Farid Flici and Frédéric Planchet
Simple Formulas for Pricing and Hedging European Options in the Finite Moment Log-Stable Model pp. 1-14 Downloads
Jean-Philippe Aguilar and Jan Korbel
Statistical Inference for the Beta Coefficient pp. 1-14 Downloads
Taras Bodnar, Arjun K. Gupta, Valdemar Vitlinskyi and Taras Zabolotskyy
Default Ambiguity pp. 1-17 Downloads
Tolulope Fadina and Thorsten Schmidt
Optimal Excess-of-Loss Reinsurance for Stochastic Factor Risk Models pp. 1-23 Downloads
Matteo Brachetta and Claudia Ceci
Stackelberg Equilibrium Premium Strategies for Push-Pull Competition in a Non-Life Insurance Market with Product Differentiation pp. 1-23 Downloads
Søren Asmussen, Bent Jesper Christensen and Julie Thøgersen
Credit Risk Assessment Model for Small and Micro-Enterprises: The Case of Lithuania pp. 1-23 Downloads
Rasa Kanapickiene and Renatas Spicas
Sound Deposit Insurance Pricing Using a Machine Learning Approach pp. 1-18 Downloads
Hirbod Assa, Mostafa Pouralizadeh and Abdolrahim Badamchizadeh
Smallholder Farmers’ Willingness to Pay for Agricultural Production Cost Insurance in Rural West Java, Indonesia: A Contingent Valuation Method (CVM) Approach pp. 1-18 Downloads
Dadang Jainal Mutaqin and Koichi Usami
Imbalance Market Real Options and the Valuation of Storage in Future Energy Systems pp. 1-30 Downloads
John Moriarty and Jan Palczewski
The Optimum Leverage Level of the Banking Sector pp. 1-30 Downloads
Sagara Dewasurendra, Pedro Judice and Qiji Zhu

Volume 7, issue 1, 2019

An Innovative Framework for Risk Management in Construction Projects in Developing Countries: Evidence from Pakistan pp. 1-10 Downloads
Ahsan Nawaz, Ahsan Waqar, Syyed Adnan Raheel Shah, Muhammad Sajid and Muhammad Irslan Khalid
Market Risk and Financial Performance of Non-Financial Companies Listed on the Moroccan Stock Exchange pp. 1-29 Downloads
Diby Francois Kassi, Dilesha Rathnayake, Pierre Axel Louembe and Ning Ding
Managing Systematic Mortality Risk in Life Annuities: An Application of Longevity Derivatives pp. 1-25 Downloads
Man Chung Fung, Katja Ignatieva and Michael Sherris
CEO Overconfidence and Shadow-Banking Life Insurer Performance Under Government Purchases of Distressed Assets pp. 1-25 Downloads
Shi Chen, Jyh-Horng Lin, Wenyu Yao and Fu-Wei Huang
Bail-In or Bail-Out? Correlation Networks to Measure the Systemic Implications of Bank Resolution pp. 1-25 Downloads
Paolo Giudici and Laura Parisi
Risk Model Validation: An Intraday VaR and ES Approach Using the Multiplicative Component GARCH pp. 1-23 Downloads
Ravi Summinga-Sonagadu and Jason Narsoo
Modelling Recovery Rates for Non-Performing Loans pp. 1-17 Downloads
Hui Ye and Anthony Bellotti
Efficient Retirement Portfolios: Using Life Insurance to Meet Income and Bequest Goals in Retirement pp. 1-11 Downloads
Fangyuan Dong, Nick Halen, Kristen Moore and Qinglai Zeng
Pricing Options and Computing Implied Volatilities using Neural Networks pp. 1-22 Downloads
Shuaiqiang Liu, Cornelis Oosterlee and Sander M. Bohte
Phase-Type Models in Life Insurance: Fitting and Valuation of Equity-Linked Benefits pp. 1-22 Downloads
Søren Asmussen, Patrick Laub and Hailiang Yang
Credible Regression Approaches to Forecast Mortality for Populations with Limited Data pp. 1-22 Downloads
Apostolos Bozikas and Georgios Pitselis
Machine Learning in Banking Risk Management: A Literature Review pp. 1-22 Downloads
Martin Leo, Suneel Sharma and K. Maddulety
On Double Value at Risk pp. 1-22 Downloads
Wanbing Zhang, Sisi Zhang and Peibiao Zhao
Changes of Relation in Multi-Population Mortality Dependence: An Application of Threshold VECM pp. 1-18 Downloads
Rui Zhou, Guangyu Xing and Min Ji
Can Sustainable Investment Yield Better Financial Returns: A Comparative Study of ESG Indices and MSCI Indices pp. 1-18 Downloads
Mansi Jain, Gagan Sharma and Mrinalini Srivastava
Dealing with Drift Uncertainty: A Bayesian Learning Approach pp. 1-18 Downloads
Carmine De Franco, Johann Nicolle and Huyên Pham
Convolutional Neural Network Classification of Telematics Car Driving Data pp. 1-18 Downloads
Guangyuan Gao and Mario V. Wüthrich
An Object-Oriented Bayesian Framework for the Detection of Market Drivers pp. 1-18 Downloads
Maria Elena De Giuli, Alessandro Greppi and Marina Resta
Optimal Bail-Out Dividend Problem with Transaction Cost and Capital Injection Constraint pp. 1-24 Downloads
Mauricio Junca, Harold Moreno-Franco and José Luis Pérez
Multivariate Risk-Neutral Pricing of Reverse Mortgages under the Bayesian Framework pp. 1-12 Downloads
Jackie Li, Atsuyuki Kogure and Jia Liu
Surplus Sharing with Coherent Utility Functions pp. 1-12 Downloads
Delia Coculescu and Freddy Delbaen
Optimal Portfolio Selection in an Itô–Markov Additive Market pp. 1-32 Downloads
Zbigniew Palmowski, Łukasz Stettner and Anna Sulima
Acknowledgement to Reviewers of Risks in 2018 pp. 1-4 Downloads
Risks Editorial Office
An Indexation Mechanism for Retirement Age: Analysis of the Gender Gap pp. 1-13 Downloads
Mariarosaria Coppola, Maria Russolillo and Rosaria Simone
The OFR Financial Stress Index pp. 1-21 Downloads
Phillip J. Monin
Model-Free Stochastic Collocation for an Arbitrage-Free Implied Volatility, Part II pp. 1-21 Downloads
Fabien Le Floc’h and Cornelis Oosterlee
A Deep Learning Integrated Lee–Carter Model pp. 1-16 Downloads
Andrea Nigri, Susanna Levantesi, Mario Marino, Salvatore Scognamiglio and Francesca Perla
Measuring Equity Share Related Risk Perception of Investors in Economically Backward Regions pp. 1-20 Downloads
Ranjit Singh and Jayashree Bhattacharjee
Determining Distribution for the Product of Random Variables by Using Copulas pp. 1-20 Downloads
Sel Ly, Kim-Hung Pho, Sal Ly and Wing-Keung Wong
Using Neural Networks to Price and Hedge Variable Annuity Guarantees pp. 1-19 Downloads
Daniel Doyle and Chris Groendyke
Application of Machine Learning to Mortality Modeling and Forecasting pp. 1-19 Downloads
Susanna Levantesi and Virginia Pizzorusso
The W, Z / ?, ? Paradigm for the First Passage of Strong Markov Processes without Positive Jumps pp. 1-15 Downloads
Florin Avram, Danijel Grahovac and Ceren Vardar-Acar
Mortality Forecasting: How Far Back Should We Look in Time? pp. 1-15 Downloads
Han Li and Colin O’Hare
A Genetic Algorithm for Investment–Consumption Optimization with Value-at-Risk Constraint and Information-Processing Cost pp. 1-15 Downloads
Zhuo Jin, Zhixin Yang and Quan Yuan
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