National Institute UK Economic Outlook

2021 - 2025

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Foreward: Rip it up and Start Again pp. 3: Jagjit Chadha
Overview pp. 4-5: Niesr
Shortages and fiscal tightening threaten economic recovery from Covid-19 pp. 6-32: Cyrille Lenoel, Rory Macqueen and Paul Mortimer-Lee
Box A: The European Union's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism: levelling the EU carbon playing field pp. 11-12: Alexandra Dumitru
Box B: Furlough and household financial distress during the Covid-19 pandemic - insights for future lockdowns pp. 14-15: Christoph Görtz, Danny McGowan and Mallory Yeromonahos
Box C: Wage pressures: a perspective from online job advertisements pp. 17-18: Jack Kennedy
Box D: The new employment tax pp. 29-31: Paul Mortimer-Lee
UK Regional Outlook: Autumn 2021 pp. 33-40: Arnab Bhattacharjee, Adrian Pabst, Tibor Szendrei, Andrew Aitken, Larissa Marioni, Ana Rincon Aznar and Manuel Tong
Box E: Distributional impacts of Covid-19 and potential for policy intervention pp. 41-44: Arnab Bhattacharjee and Tibor Szendrei
Appendix pp. 45-53: Niesr and Appendix

Foreward pp. 3-4: Jagjit Chadha
Overview pp. 5-36: Niesr
UK Regional Outlook pp. 37-50: Arnab Bhattacharjee, Elena Lisauskaite, Adrian Pabst and Tibor Tzendrei
Appendix pp. 51-59: Niesr

Foreward pp. 3: Jagjit Chadha
Overview pp. 4: Niesr
Brisk but not better growth pp. 5-32: Hande Kucuk, Cyrille Lenoel and Rory Macqueen
UK sectoral output pp. 33-41: Hande Kucuk, Cyrille Lenoel and Rory Macqueen
UK regional outlook pp. 42-57: Arnab Bhattacharjee, Elena Lisauskaite and Adrian Pabst
Appendix pp. 58-66: Niesr

Foreward pp. 3: Jagjit Chadha
Overview pp. 4: Niesr
Brexit Britain in Covid recovery ward pp. 5-20: Hande Kucuk, Cyrille Lenoel and Rory Macqueen
UK sectoral output pp. 21-23: Cyrille Lenoel and Garry Young
UK regional outlook pp. 24-33: Arnab Bhattacharjee and Elena Lisauskaite
Appendix pp. 34-42: Niesr