Climatic Change

2000 - 2025

Current editor(s): M. Oppenheimer and G. Yohe

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Volume 147, issue 3, 2018

The Eldgjá eruption: timing, long-range impacts and influence on the Christianisation of Iceland pp. 369-381

Clive Oppenheimer, Andy Orchard, Markus Stoffel, Timothy P. Newfield, Sébastien Guillet, Christophe Corona, Michael Sigl, Nicola Cosmo and Ulf Büntgen

Political orientation and climate concern shape visual attention to climate change pp. 383-394

Jennifer C. Whitman, Jiaying Zhao, Kevin H. Roberts and Rebecca M. Todd

The implications of the United Nations Paris Agreement on climate change for globally significant biodiversity areas pp. 395-409

R. Warren, J. Price, J. VanDerWal, S. Cornelius and H. Sohl

Direct and component-wise bias correction of multi-variate climate indices: the percentile adjustment function diagnostic tool pp. 411-425

A. Casanueva, J. Bedia, S. Herrera, J. Fernández and J. M. Gutiérrez

Land, Water, and Wind Watershed Cycle: a strategic use of water, land and wind for climate change adaptation pp. 427-439

Julian D. Hunt and Walter Leal Filho

Perceptions of climate and ocean change impacting the resources and livelihood of small-scale fishers in the South Brazil Bight pp. 441-456

Ivan Machado Martins and Maria A. Gasalla

Multi-temporal assessment of vulnerability to climate change: insights from the agricultural sector in Mexico pp. 457-473

Alejandro Ismael Monterroso-Rivas, Ana Cecilia Conde-Álvarez, José Luís Pérez-Damian, Jorge López-Blanco, Marcos Gaytan-Dimas and Jesús David Gómez-Díaz

Crop modelling: towards locally relevant and climate-informed adaptation pp. 475-489

Louise Beveridge, Stephen Whitfield and Andy Challinor

How will East African maize yields respond to climate change and can agricultural development mitigate this response? pp. 491-506

Frank Davenport, Chris Funk and Gideon Galu

Do climate change adaptation practices improve technical efficiency of smallholder farmers? Evidence from Nepal pp. 507-521

Uttam Khanal, Clevo Wilson, Boon Lee and Viet-Ngu Hoang

Climate change impacts on regional rice production in China pp. 523-537

Zunfu Lv, Yan Zhu, Xiaojun Liu, Hongbao Ye, Yongchao Tian and Feifei Li

An EPIC model-based wheat drought risk assessment using new climate scenarios in China pp. 539-553

Yaojie Yue, Lin Wang, Jian Li and A-xing Zhu

Impacts of rainfall extremes on wheat yield in semi-arid cropping systems in eastern Australia pp. 555-569

Puyu Feng, Bin Wang, Liu De Li, Hongtao Xing, Fei Ji, Ian Macadam, Hongyan Ruan and Qiang Yu

Identification of data-driven Dutch dietary patterns that benefit the environment and are healthy pp. 571-583

Sander Biesbroek, W. M. Monique Verschuren, Yvonne T. Schouw, Ivonne Sluijs, Jolanda M. A. Boer and Elisabeth H. M. Temme

National-scale analysis of low flow frequency: historical trends and potential future changes pp. 585-599

A. L. Kay, V. A. Bell, B. P. Guillod, R. G. Jones and A. C. Rudd

Probabilistic assessment of projected climatological drought characteristics over the Southeast USA pp. 601-615

Subhasis Mitra, Puneet Srivastava and Jasmeet Lamba

Future southcentral US wildfire probability due to climate change pp. 617-631

Michael C. Stambaugh, Richard P. Guyette, Esther D. Stroh, Matthew A. Struckhoff and Joanna B. Whittier

Managing cropland and rangeland for climate mitigation: an expert elicitation on soil carbon in California pp. 633-646

Charlotte Stanton, Katharine J. Mach, Peter A. Turner, Seth J. Lalonde, Daniel L. Sanchez and Christopher B. Field

Sensitivity to climate change of land use and management patterns optimized for efficient mitigation of nutrient pollution pp. 647-662

Hui Xu, Daniel G. Brown and Allison L. Steiner

Volume 147, issue 1, 2018

Epistemic and ethical trade-offs in decision analytical modelling pp. 1-10

Martin Vezér, Alexander Bakker, Klaus Keller and Nancy Tuana

Nitrogen pollution: a key building block for addressing climate change pp. 11-21

David R. Kanter

Beyond headline mitigation numbers: we need more transparent and comparable NDCs to achieve the Paris Agreement on climate change pp. 23-29

W. P. Pauw, Richard J. T. Klein, Kennedy Mbeva, Adis Dzebo, Davide Cassanmagnago and Anna Rudloff

The Paris warming targets: emissions requirements and sea level consequences pp. 31-45

T.M.L. Wigley

The safe carbon budget pp. 47-59

Frederick (Rick) van der Ploeg

The impacts avoided with a 1.5 °C climate target: a global and regional assessment pp. 61-76

Nigel W. Arnell, Jason A. Lowe, Ben Lloyd-Hughes and Timothy J. Osborn

Economic consequences of global climate change and mitigation on future hydropower generation pp. 77-90

Qian Zhou, Naota Hanasaki, Shinichiro Fujimori, Yoshimitsu Masaki and Yasuaki Hijioka

Water demand for electricity in deep decarbonisation scenarios: a multi-model assessment pp. 91-106

I. Mouratiadou, M. Bevione, D. L. Bijl, Laurent Drouet, M. Hejazi, S. Mima, M. Pehl and G. Luderer

Potential impacts of climate warming and increased summer heat stress on the electric grid: a case study for a large power transformer (LPT) in the Northeast United States pp. 107-118

Xiang Gao, C. Adam Schlosser and Eric R. Morgan

Perceptions of climate engineering in the South Pacific, Sub-Saharan Africa, and North American Arctic pp. 119-132

Wylie A. Carr and Laurie Yung

Downscaling future climate change projections over Puerto Rico using a non-hydrostatic atmospheric model pp. 133-147

Amit Bhardwaj, Vasubandhu Misra, Akhilesh Mishra, Adrienne Wootten, Ryan Boyles, J. H. Bowden and Adam J. Terando

Quantifying recent precipitation change and predicting lake expansion in the Inner Tibetan Plateau pp. 149-163

Kun Yang, Hui Lu, Siyu Yue, Guoqing Zhang, Yanbin Lei, Zhu La and Wei Wang

Spatiotemporal changes in the size and shape of heat waves over North America pp. 165-178

David Keellings, Erin Bunting and Johanna Engström

Alpine foreland running drier? Sensitivity of a drought vulnerable catchment to changes in climate, land use, and water management pp. 179-193

Clara Hohmann, Gottfried Kirchengast and Steffen Birk

Groundwater depletion limits the scope for adaptation to increased rainfall variability in India pp. 195-209

Ram Fishman

Shifts in the thermal niche of almond under climate change pp. 211-224

Lauren E. Parker and John T. Abatzoglou

Climate response of rainfed versus irrigated farms: the bias of farm heterogeneity in irrigation pp. 225-234

Janka Vanschoenwinkel and Steven Passel

Assessment of climate variability and trend on wheat productivity in West Bengal, India: crop growth simulation approach pp. 235-252

A. Mukherjee and A. K. S. Huda

The stresses and dynamics of smallholder coffee systems in Jamaica’s Blue Mountains: a case for the potential role of climate services pp. 253-266

Zack Guido, Tim Finan, Kevon Rhiney, Malgosia Madajewicz, Valerie Rountree, Elizabeth Johnson and Gusland McCook

Household and community responses to impacts of climate change in the rural hills of Nepal pp. 267-282

Popular Gentle, Rik Thwaites, Digby Race, Kim Alexander and Tek Maraseni

Relationship between subjective well-being and material quality of life in face of climate vulnerability in NE Brazil pp. 283-297

Ana Maria Bedran-Martins, Maria Carmen Lemos and Arlindo Philippi

Cultural adaptation to climate change among indigenous people of South India pp. 299-312

Koteswara Rao Kodirekkala

Governance matters: climate change, corruption, and livelihoods in Bangladesh pp. 313-326

Md. Ashiqur Rahman

Food security outcomes under a changing climate: impacts of mitigation and adaptation on vulnerability to food insecurity pp. 327-341

Katy J. Richardson, Kirsty H. Lewis, P. Krishna Krishnamurthy, Chris Kent, Andrew J. Wiltshire and Helen M. Hanlon

Narrating climate change as a rite of passage pp. 343-353

Nancy Menning

Correction to: The spatial distribution of Republican and Democratic climate opinions at state and local scales pp. 355-358

Matto Mildenberger, Jennifer R. Marlon, Peter D. Howe and Anthony Leiserowitz

The impact of frames highlighting coastal flooding in the USA on climate change beliefs pp. 359-368

Toby Bolsen, Justin Kingsland and Risa Palm

Volume 146, issue 3, 2018

An introduction to the special issue on the Benefits of Reduced Anthropogenic Climate changE (BRACE) pp. 277-285

Brian C. O’Neill and Andrew Gettelman

The Benefits of Reduced Anthropogenic Climate changE (BRACE): a synthesis pp. 287-301

Brian C. O’Neill, James Done, Andrew Gettelman, Peter Lawrence, Flavio Lehner, Jean-Francois Lamarque, Lei Lin, Andrew Monaghan, Keith Oleson, Xiaolin Ren, Benjamin Sanderson, Claudia Tebaldi, Matthias Weitzel, Yangyang Xu, Brooke Anderson, Miranda J. Fix and Samuel Levis

A new ensemble of GCM simulations to assess avoided impacts in a climate mitigation scenario pp. 303-318

Benjamin M. Sanderson, Keith W. Oleson, Warren G. Strand, Flavio Lehner and Brian C. O’Neill

Emulating mean patterns and variability of temperature across and within scenarios in anthropogenic climate change experiments pp. 319-333

Stacey E. Alexeeff, Doug Nychka, Stephan R. Sain and Claudia Tebaldi

A comparison of U.S. precipitation extremes under RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 with an application of pattern scaling pp. 335-347

Miranda J. Fix, Daniel Cooley, Stephan R. Sain and Claudia Tebaldi

Benefits of mitigation for future heat extremes under RCP4.5 compared to RCP8.5 pp. 349-361

Claudia Tebaldi and Michael F. Wehner

Future risk of record-breaking summer temperatures and its mitigation pp. 363-375

Flavio Lehner, Clara Deser and Benjamin M. Sanderson

Avoided climate impacts of urban and rural heat and cold waves over the U.S. using large climate model ensembles for RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 pp. 377-392

K. W. Oleson, G. B. Anderson, B. Jones, S. A. McGinnis and B. Sanderson

The importance of aerosol scenarios in projections of future heat extremes pp. 393-406

Yangyang Xu, Jean-François Lamarque and Benjamin M. Sanderson

Simulated differences in 21st century aridity due to different scenarios of greenhouse gases and aerosols pp. 407-422

L. Lin, A. Gettelman, Q. Fu and Y. Xu

Avoiding population exposure to heat-related extremes: demographic change vs climate change pp. 423-437

Bryan Jones, Claudia Tebaldi, Brian C. O’Neill, Keith Oleson and Jing Gao

Classifying heatwaves: developing health-based models to predict high-mortality versus moderate United States heatwaves pp. 439-453

G. Brooke Anderson, Keith W. Oleson, Bryan Jones and Roger D. Peng

Projected trends in high-mortality heatwaves under different scenarios of climate, population, and adaptation in 82 US communities pp. 455-470

G. Brooke Anderson, Keith W. Oleson, Bryan Jones and Roger D. Peng

Influences of climatic and population changes on heat-related mortality in Houston, Texas, USA pp. 471-485

A. Marsha, S. R. Sain, M. J. Heaton, A. J. Monaghan and O.V. Wilhelmi

The potential impacts of 21st century climatic and population changes on human exposure to the virus vector mosquito Aedes aegypti pp. 487-500

Andrew J. Monaghan, K. M. Sampson, D. F. Steinhoff, K. C. Ernst, K. L. Ebi, B. Jones and M. H. Hayden

CLMcrop yields and water requirements: avoided impacts by choosing RCP 4.5 over 8.5 pp. 501-515

Samuel Levis, Andrew Badger, Beth Drewniak, Cynthia Nevison and Xiaolin Ren

Avoided economic impacts of climate change on agriculture: integrating a land surface model (CLM) with a global economic model (iPETS) pp. 517-531

Xiaolin Ren, Matthias Weitzel, Brian C. O’Neill, Peter Lawrence, Prasanth Meiyappan, Samuel Levis, Edward Balistreri and Michael Dalton

Estimated impacts of emission reductions on wheat and maize crops pp. 533-545

Claudia Tebaldi and David Lobell

Projected changes in tropical cyclone activity under future warming scenarios using a high-resolution climate model pp. 547-560

Julio T. Bacmeister, Kevin A. Reed, Cecile Hannay, Peter Lawrence, Susan Bates, John E. Truesdale, Nan Rosenbloom and Michael Levy

Estimating impacts of North Atlantic tropical cyclones using an index of damage potential pp. 561-573

James M. Done, Debasish PaiMazumder, Erin Towler and Chandra M. Kishtawal

Projections of future tropical cyclone damage with a high-resolution global climate model pp. 575-585

A. Gettelman, D. N. Bresch, C. C. Chen, J. E. Truesdale and J. T. Bacmeister

Volume 146, issue 1, 2018

Navigating climate-related challenges on working lands: a special issue by the USDA Climate Hubs and their partners pp. 1-3

Rachel Steele and Jerry L. Hatfield

Estimating climate change effects on grazing management and beef cattle production in the Pacific Northwest pp. 5-17

J. Shannon Neibergs, Tipton D. Hudson, Chad E. Kruger and Kaelin Hamel-Rieken

Vulnerability of grazing and confined livestock in the Northern Great Plains to projected mid- and late-twenty-first century climate pp. 19-32

Justin Derner, David Briske, Matt Reeves, Tami Brown-Brandl, Miranda Meehan, Dana Blumenthal, William Travis, David Augustine, Hailey Wilmer, Derek Scasta, John Hendrickson, Jerry Volesky, Laura Edwards and Dannele Peck

Climate change effects on livestock in the Northeast US and strategies for adaptation pp. 33-45

A. N. Hristov, A. T. Degaetano, C. A. Rotz, E. Hoberg, R. H. Skinner, T. Felix, H. Li, P. H. Patterson, G. Roth, M. Hall, T. L. Ott, L. H. Baumgard, W. Staniar, R. M. Hulet, C. J. Dell, A. F. Brito and D. Y. Hollinger

Assessing climate vulnerabilities and adaptive strategies for resilient beef and dairy operations in the tropics pp. 47-58

Guillermo Ortiz-Colón, Stephen J. Fain, Isabel K. Parés, Jaime Curbelo-Rodríguez, Esbal Jiménez-Cabán, Melvin Pagán-Morales and William A. Gould

Native and agricultural forests at risk to a changing climate in the Northern Plains pp. 59-74

Linda A. Joyce, Gary Bentrup, Antony S. Cheng, Peter Kolb, Michele Schoeneberger and Justin Derner

Adaptation pathways: ecoregion and land ownership influences on climate adaptation decision-making in forest management pp. 75-88

Todd A. Ontl, Chris Swanston, Leslie A. Brandt, Patricia R. Butler, Anthony W. D’Amato, Stephen D. Handler, Maria K. Janowiak and P. Danielle Shannon

Assessing vulnerabilities and adapting to climate change in northwestern U.S. forests pp. 89-102

Jessica E. Halofsky, David L. Peterson and Holly R. Prendeville

Vulnerability of forests of the Midwest and Northeast United States to climate change pp. 103-116

Chris Swanston, Leslie A. Brandt, Maria K. Janowiak, Stephen D. Handler, Patricia Butler-Leopold, Louis Iverson, Frank R. Thompson, Todd A. Ontl and P. Danielle Shannon

Fire weather and likelihood: characterizing climate space for fire occurrence and extent in Puerto Rico pp. 117-131

Ashley E. Beusekom, William A. Gould, A. Carolina Monmany, Azad Henareh Khalyani, Maya Quiñones, Stephen J. Fain, Maria José Andrade-Núñez and Grizelle González

Translating national level forest service goals to local level land management: carbon sequestration pp. 133-144

Steven McNulty, Emrys Treasure, Lisa Jennings, David Meriwether, David Harris and Paul Arndt

Vulnerability of specialty crops to short-term climatic variability and adaptation strategies in the Midwestern USA pp. 145-158

Erica Kistner, Olivia Kellner, Jeffrey Andresen, Dennis Todey and Lois Wright Morton

Specialty fruit production in the Pacific Northwest: adaptation strategies for a changing climate pp. 159-171

Laurie Houston, Susan Capalbo, Clark Seavert, Meghan Dalton, David Bryla and Ramesh Sagili

Erratum to: Specialty fruit production in the Pacific Northwest: adaptation strategies for a changing climate pp. 173-173

Laurie Houston, Susan Capalbo, Clark Seavert, Meghan Dalton, David Bryla and Ramesh Sagili

Climate change and coffee: assessing vulnerability by modeling future climate suitability in the Caribbean island of Puerto Rico pp. 175-186

Stephen J. Fain, Maya Quiñones, Nora L. Álvarez-Berríos, Isabel K. Parés-Ramos and William A. Gould

Groundwater depletion and climate change: future prospects of crop production in the Central High Plains Aquifer pp. 187-200

Kayla A. Cotterman, Anthony D. Kendall, Bruno Basso and David W. Hyndman

Vulnerability of Southern Plains agriculture to climate change pp. 201-218

Jean L. Steiner, David D. Briske, David P. Brown and Caitlin M. Rottler

Vulnerability of crops and croplands in the US Northern Plains to predicted climate change pp. 219-230

Brian J. Wienhold, Merle F. Vigil, John R. Hendrickson and Justin D. Derner

Unique challenges and opportunities for northeastern US crop production in a changing climate pp. 231-245

David W. Wolfe, Arthur T. DeGaetano, Gregory M. Peck, Mary Carey, Lewis H. Ziska, John Lea-Cox, Armen R. Kemanian, Michael P. Hoffmann and David Y. Hollinger

Evaluating opportunities for an increased role of winter crops as adaptation to climate change in dryland cropping systems of the U.S. Inland Pacific Northwest pp. 247-261

Claudio O. Stöckle, Stewart Higgins, Roger Nelson, John Abatzoglou, Dave Huggins, William Pan, Tina Karimi, John Antle, Sanford D. Eigenbrode and Erin Brooks

Vulnerability of grain crops and croplands in the Midwest to climatic variability and adaptation strategies pp. 263-275

J. L. Hatfield, Lois Wright-Morton and Beth Hall