Journal of Business Cycle Research

2016 - 2024

Current editor(s): Michael Graff

From:
Springer
Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET)
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Editorial pp. 75-75: Michael Graff
Predicting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points Using Real-Time Diffusion Indexes Based on a Large Data Set pp. 77-97: Yongchen Zhao
Disagreements in Consumer Inflation Expectations: Empirical Evidence for a Latin American Economy pp. 99-122: Juan Camilo Anzoátegui-Zapata and Juan Camilo Galvis-Ciro
Machine Learning and Nowcasts of Swedish GDP pp. 123-134: Kristian Jönsson
Spanish Economic-Financial Crisis: Social and Academic Interest pp. 135-149: Noelia Araújo-Vila, Jose Antonio Fraiz-Brea and Arthur Filipe Araújo
Cyclical Dynamics and Trend/Cycle Definitions: Comparing the HP and Hamilton Filters pp. 151-162: Kristian Jönsson

Has the Financial Crisis affected the Real Interest Rate Dynamics in Europe? pp. 1-18: Nektarios Aslanidis and Selva Demiralp
Consumers Confidence and Households Consumption in Brazil: Evidence from the FGV Survey pp. 19-34: Aloisio Campelo, Viviane Seda Bittencourt and Marco Malgarini
The Challenge of Pairing Big Datasets: Probabilistic Record Linkage Methods and Diagnosis of Their Empirical Viability pp. 35-57: Yaohao Peng and Lucas Ferreira Mation
Information Content of Russian Services Surveys pp. 59-74: Liudmila Kitrar, Tamara Lipkind and Georgy Ostapkovich

The Determinants of Optimal Exchange Rate Regimes in High and Low Oil-Producing Countries pp. 97-120: Eman Elish
What has Changed After the Great Recession on the European Cyclical Patterns? pp. 121-146: Ana Rodríguez-Santiago
A PMI-Based Real GDP Tracker for the Euro Area pp. 147-170: Gabe de Bondt

Inspecting the Relationship Between Business Confidence and Industrial Production: Evidence on Italian Survey Data pp. 1-24: Giancarlo Bruno, L. Crosilla and Patrizia Margani
Measuring Brazilian Economic Uncertainty pp. 25-40: Pedro Costa Ferreira, Raíra Marotta B. Vieira, Felipi Bruno Silva and Ingrid C. L. Oliveira
Consumers’ Perception of Inflation in Inflationary and Deflationary Environment pp. 41-71: Ewa Stanisławska
CAMPLET: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions pp. 73-95: Barend Abeln, Jan Jacobs and Pim Ouwehand

Which Indicators Matter? Analyzing the Swiss Business Cycle Using a Large-Scale Mixed-Frequency Dynamic Factor Model pp. 179-218: Alain Galli
Do Global Crude Oil Markets Behave as One Great Pool? A Cyclical Analysis pp. 219-241: Niyati Bhanja, Arif Dar and Aviral Tiwari
Structural Change and Business Cycles in Japan: Revisiting the Stylized Facts pp. 243-281: Satoshi Urasawa
Price-Setting Behavior in Brazil: Survey Evidence pp. 283-310: Arnildo Correa, Myrian Petrassi and Rafael Santos

Nowcasting Real Economic Activity in the Euro Area: Assessing the Impact of Qualitative Surveys pp. 1-46: Raïsa Basselier, David Antonio Liedo and Geert Langenus
A Comparison Between Direct and Indirect Seasonal Adjustment of the Chilean GDP 1986–2009 with X-12-ARIMA pp. 47-87: Carlos A. Medel
The Effects of Uncertainty Shocks on Daily Prices pp. 89-104: Dario Bonciani and Andrea Tafuro
Would DSGE Models Have Predicted the Great Recession in Austria? pp. 105-126: Fritz Breuss
Implementing an Approximate Dynamic Factor Model to Nowcast GDP Using Sensitivity Analysis pp. 127-141: Pablo Duarte and Bernd Süssmuth
Large Shocks and the Business Cycle: The Effect of Outlier Adjustments pp. 143-178: Yoshihiro Ohtsuka

How Informative are Aggregated Inflation Expectations? Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters pp. 139-163: Sami Oinonen and Maritta Paloviita
Stylized Facts of the Business Cycle: Universal Phenomenon, or Institutionally Determined? pp. 165-187: Vadim Kufenko and Niels Geiger
Q-Targeting in New Keynesian Models pp. 189-224: Burkhard Heer, Alfred Maussner and Halvor Ruf
Sentiment and Uncertainty Fluctuations and Their Effects on the Euro Area Business Cycle pp. 225-251: Bas Aarle and Cindy Moons

Interregional Trade, Specialization, and the Business Cycle: Policy Implications for the EMU pp. 1-27: Carlo Gianelle, Letizia Montinari and Simone Salotti
Are Microstates Necessarily Led by Their Bigger Neighbors’ Business Cycle? The Case of Liechtenstein and Switzerland pp. 29-52: Andreas Brunhart
Dating Cyclical Turning Points for Russia: Formal Methods and Informal Choices pp. 53-73: Sergey V. Smirnov, Nikolay Kondrashov and Anna Petronevich
The Predictive Content of Business Survey Indicators: Evidence from SIGE pp. 75-104: Tatiana Cesaroni and Stefano Iezzi
Quasi-Real-Time Data of the Economic Tendency Survey pp. 105-138: Maria Billstam, Kristina Frändén, Johan Samuelsson and Pär Österholm

Observations on the Australian Business Cycle pp. 141-164: Nopphawan Photphisutthiphong and Mark Weder
Forecasting Czech GDP Using Mixed-Frequency Data Models pp. 165-185: Michal Franta, David Havrlant and Marek Rusnák
Determinants of Consumer Sentiment Over Business Cycles: Evidence from the US Surveys of Consumers pp. 187-215: Kajal Lahiri and Yongchen Zhao
Exchange Rate Shocks, Monetary Policy and Boom-Bust Cycles in the Housing Market: An Econometric Analysis for Switzerland pp. 217-251: Peter Stalder

Editorial to the Relaunch Issue of the Journal of Business Cycle Research pp. 1-2: Jan-Egbert Sturm
An Overview of Forecasting Facing Breaks pp. 3-23: Jennifer Castle, Michael Clements and David Hendry
Economic Cycles and Their Synchronization: A Comparison of Cyclic Modes in Three European Countries pp. 25-48: Lisa Sella, Gianna Vivaldo, Andreas Groth and Michael Ghil
New Zealand Labor Market Dynamics: Pre- and Post-global Financial Crisis pp. 49-79: Weshah Razzak
Forecasting Employment in Europe: Are Survey Results Helpful? pp. 81-117: Robert Lehmann and Antje Weyh
Does a Survey Based Capacity Utilization Measure Help Predicting Brazilian Output Gap in Real-Time? pp. 119-139: Sarah Lima and Marco Malgarini