Futures & Foresight Science
2019 - 2025
From John Wiley & Sons
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Volume 4, issue 3-4, 2022
- Deepening the conversation about the role of emotions and affective processes as barriers and enablers of decision making under uncertainty: Commentary on Fenton‐O'Creevy and Tuckett (2021)
- Gerard P. Hodgkinson and Mark P. Healey
- A net‐zero Swiss energy system by 2050: Technological and policy options for the transition of the transportation sector
- Ramachandran Kannan, Evangelos Panos, Stefan Hirschberg and Tom Kober
- Leaving the path of optimality calculation: A commentary on Fenton‐O'Creevy and Tuckett, 2021: Selecting futures: The role of conviction, narratives, ambivalence, and constructive doubt
- Jens Beckert
- Point, interval, and density forecasts: Differences in bias, judgment noise, and overall accuracy
- Xiaoxiao Niu and Nigel Harvey
- Commentary on "Selecting futures: The role of conviction, narratives, ambivalence, and constructive doubt" by Fenton‐O'Creevy and Tuckett (2021)
- John Kay
- Dominant narratives, uncertainty denial, negative capability, and conviction: A commentary on Fenton‐O'Creevy and Tuckett (2021)
- James Derbyshire
- Selecting futures: The role of conviction, narratives, ambivalence, and constructive doubt
- Mark Fenton‐O'Creevy and David Tuckett
- Advanced Introduction to Scenario Planning by Paul J. H. Schoemaker. Cheltenham, UK & Northampton, MA, USA, Edward Elgar Publishing, 2022, ix + 176 pp. ISBN 9781800376793 (hardback); 9781800376809 (ebook); 9781800376816 (paperback)
- Nicholas J. Rowland
- Synthesis of human and artificial intelligence: Review of “How to stay smart in a smart world: Why human intelligence still beats algorithms” by Gerd Gigerenzer
- David J. Grüning
- Conviction, narratives, ambivalence, and constructive doubt: Reflections on six expert commentaries
- Mark Fenton‐O'Creevy and David Tuckett
- Cocreating futures—A response to Fenton‐O'Creevy and Tuckett, “Selecting futures: The role of conviction, narratives, ambivalence, and constructive doubt”
- Angela Wilkinson and Betty S. Flowers
- The force that rules the world: Commentary on Fenton‐O'Creevy and Tuckett (2021)
- Heiko A. von der Gracht
Volume 4, issue 2, 2022
- A critical evaluation of 42, large‐scale, science and technology foresight Delphi surveys
- Ian Belton, Kerstin Cuhls and George Wright
- Tracing the progress of scenario research in business and management
- Arbrie Jashari, Victor Tiberius and Marina Dabic
- Using cross‐impact analysis for probabilistic risk assessment
- Ahti Salo, Edoardo Tosoni, Juho Roponen and Derek W. Bunn
- What about the future? New perspectives on planning, forecasting and complexity by Fred Phillips
- Riccardo Vecchiato
- Expanding the IPAT identity to quantify backcasting sustainability scenarios
- Kristian Skånberg and Åsa Svenfelt
Volume 4, issue 1, 2022
- New perspectives for data‐supported foresight: The hybrid AI‐expert approach
- Amber Geurts, Ralph Gutknecht, Philine Warnke, Arjen Goetheer, Elna Schirrmeister, Babette Bakker and Svetlana Meissner
- Robust action and scenarios: A rejoinder
- Nicholas J. Rowland and Matthew J. Spaniol
- The conversation is great, but we need to talk more about theory, emotions, and ‘gut’ feelings: Commentary on Rowland and Spaniol (2021)
- Gerard P. Hodgkinson
- From Shell engineer to social architect and thought leader: A commentary on Rowland and Spaniol (2021)
- Paul Schoemaker
- Professor Kees van der Heijden: Commentary on Rowland and Spaniol (2021)
- Ronald M. Bradfield
- A timely (and timeless) blend of theory and practice: A commentary on Rowland and Spaniol (2021)
- Gary Bowman
- Scenarios, strategic conversations, and forecasting: A commentary on Rowland and Spaniol (2021)
- Robert Fildes
- Kees van der Heijden, a personal reflection: Commentary on Rowland and Spaniol 2021
- Trudi Lang
- Start‐ups and the art of ignoring the future: Commentary on Rowland and Spaniol 2021
- Rixa Georgi‐Kröhl
- What's luck got to do with it? Commentary on Rowland and Spaniol (2021)
- Heiko A. von der Gracht
- “It depends on the client”—Kees van der Heijden and client‐centric scenario planning: A commentary on Rowland and Spaniol 2021
- Rafael Ramirez
- From alternative pictures of the future to an organizational intervention: A commentary on Rowland and Spaniol
- Jan Oliver Schwarz
- The strategic conversation, 25 years later: A retrospective review of Kees van der Heijden's Scenarios: The Art of Strategic Conversation
- Nicholas J. Rowland and Matthew J. Spaniol
- Technology foresight for sustainable road freight transportation: Insights from a global real‐time Delphi study
- Tobias Meyer, Heiko A. von der Gracht and Evi Hartmann
Volume 3, issue 3-4, 2021
- Tracking accuracy of strategic intelligence forecasts: Findings from a long‐term Canadian study
- David R. Mandel and Daniel Irwin
- Toward a science of futures and foresight: Response to 10 experts' commentaries
- Alessandro Fergnani and Thomas J. Chermack
- Identity Wind Tunneling: A method for discovering an organization’s strategic identity using scenarios
- Alessandro Fergnani and John A. Sweeney
- Craft Weed: Family farming and the future of the marijuana industry. Ryan Stoa. 2018. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. 256 pages. ISBN: 9780262038867 (hrbk $27.95)
- Alexander B. Kinney
- Toward theory development in futures and foresight by drawing on design theory: A commentary on Fergnani and Chermack 2021
- Yusuke Kishita, Toshiki Kusaka, Yuji Mizuno and Yasushi Umeda
- A bibliometric review of scientific theory in futures and foresight: A commentary on Fergnani and Chermack 2021
- Christopher Münch and Heiko A. von der Gracht
- Why appealing to the virtues of scientific theory (and method) is necessary but insufficient for effecting systemic change: Commentary on Fergnani & Chermack, 2021
- Gerard P. Hodgkinson
- Are you a newcomer to horizon scanning? A few decision points and methodological reflections on the process
- Zsuzsanna Gering, Gábor Király and Réka Tamássy
- Resistance to hegemony in theorising scenario methods: A manifesto in response to Fergnani and Chermack, 2021
- George Cairns
- Theory development in foresight research: Commentary on Fergnani and Chermack 2021
- Paul Schoemaker
- Developing the needed scientific theory will not be easy: A commentary on Fergnani and Chermack 2021
- Ahti Salo
- Advancing scenario planning theory: A commentary on Fergnani and Chermack, 2021
- Shardul Sharad Phadnis
- Rigor and diversity in the futures field: A commentary on Fergnani and Chermack 2021
- Matti Minkkinen
- A positive future for futures and foresight science needs fierce competition in the marketplace of ideas: A commentary on Fergnani and Chermack 2021
- David R. Mandel
- The reception of theory in futures and foresight: A commentary on Fergnani and Chermack
- Nicholas J. Rowland and Matthew J. Spaniol
- The resistance to scientific theory in futures and foresight, and what to do about it
- Alessandro Fergnani and Thomas J. Chermack
Volume 3, issue 2, 2021
- Experimental history: The slow, painful birth of a new field. Rejoinder to commentaries on Lustick and Tetlock (2021)
- Ian S. Lustick and Philip E. Tetlock
- The simulation manifesto: A commentary on Lustick and Tetlock 2021
- Scott E. Page
- Rejecting false prophets and blind faith in numbers: A commentary on Lustick and Tetlock 2021
- Lawrence A. Kuznar
- Beware of Bureaucrats: A commentary on Lustick and Tetlock (2021)
- Heiko A. von der Gracht
- Agent‐based models with qualitative data are thought experiments, not policy engines: A commentary on Lustick and Tetlock 2021
- Robert Axtell and Joseph A. E. Shaheen
- Hidden dangers in complex computational structures: A commentary on Lustick and Tetlock 2021
- Joseph Edward Russo
- How computer simulations enhance geopolitical decision‐making: A commentary on Lustick and Tetlock 2021
- Amir Bagherpour
- Reaction: A commentary on Lustick and Tetlock (2021)
- Jan Kwakkel and Willem Auping
- Macro worlds and micro predictions: A commentary on Lustick and Tetlock 2021
- Paul Schoemaker
- Why we simulate: A commentary on Lustick and Tetlock 2021
- Steven A. Sloman
- Forecasts and decisions: A commentary on Lustick and Tetlock 2021
- Steven W. Popper, Robert J. Lempert, Paul K. Davis and Tim McDonald
- A commentary on Lustick and Tetlock 2021
- Martin Kunc
- Agent‐based modeling complements intuitive logics: A commentary on Lustick and Tetlock 2021
- Shardul Sharad Phadnis
- Has the COVID‐19 crisis changed our relationship to the future?
- Camille Jahel, Robin Bourgeois, Denis Pesche, Marie de Lattre‐Gasquet and Etienne Delay
- Scoping the future with theory‐driven models—Where’s the uncertainty?: A commentary on Lustick and Tetlock 2021
- David R. Mandel
- Still fooled by randomness, twenty years later?
- Matthew J. Spaniol, Matthew J. Evans, Kristian Tranekær, Nicholas J. Rowland and Nick P. Atkinson
- Double death of socialist future
- Andrzej W. Nowak
- Reviewing books for Futures & Foresight Science
- Nicholas J. Rowland
- The simulation manifesto: The limits of brute‐force empiricism in geopolitical forecasting
- Ian S. Lustick and Philip E. Tetlock
- Scenario planning as a strategy process to foster supply chain adaptability: theoretical framework and longitudinal case
- Shardul Sharad Phadnis and Inga‐Lena Darkow
Volume 3, issue 1, 2021
- Knowledge creation and mobility in and through futures workshops
- Hanna Heino
- Imagining democratic societies of the future: Insights from a foresight study
- Lucia Vesnic‐Alujevic
- Scenarios as narratives
- Lee Roy Beach
- Improving the question formulation in Delphi‐like surveys: Analysis of the effects of abstract language and amount of information on response behavior
- Christoph Markmann, Alexander Spickermann, Heiko A. von der Gracht and Alexander Brem
- On inquiry in futures and foresight science
- Nicholas J. Rowland and Matthew J. Spaniol
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