Risk Analysis

1981 - 2021

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Volume 39, issue 12, 2019

From the Editors pp. 2599-2600

Tony Cox and Karen Lowrie

Letter concerning: Burns AM, Barlow CA, Banducci AM, Unice KM, Sahmel J. Potential Airborne Asbestos Exposure and Risk Associated with the Historical Use of Cosmetic Talcum Powder Products pp. 2601-2603

Murray Martin Finkelstein

Response to Letter to the Editor pp. 2604-2607

Amanda M. Burns, Christy A. Barlow, Amber M. Banducci, Kenneth M. Unice and Jennifer Sahmel

A Case Study Evaluating the Risk of Infection from Middle Eastern Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (MERS‐CoV) in a Hospital Setting Through Bioaerosols pp. 2608-2624

Umesh Adhikari, Alexandre Chabrelie, Mark Weir, Kevin Boehnke, Erica McKenzie, Luisa Ikner, Meng Wang, Qing Wang, Kyana Young, Charles N. Haas, Joan Rose and Jade Mitchell

Health Risk Assessment of Photoresists Used in an Optoelectronic Semiconductor Factory pp. 2625-2639

Shao‐Zu Huang and Kuen‐Yuh Wu

Loss/Gain Framing, Dose, and Reactance: A Message Experiment pp. 2640-2652

Chelsea L. Ratcliff, Jakob D. Jensen, Courtney L. Scherr, Melinda Krakow and Kaylee Crossley

Mediating and Moderating Roles of Trust in Government in Effective Risk Rumor Management: A Test Case of Radiation‐Contaminated Seafood in South Korea pp. 2653-2667

Hye‐Jin Paek and Thomas Hove

“Chemophobia” Today: Consumers’ Knowledge and Perceptions of Chemicals pp. 2668-2682

Rita Saleh, Angela Bearth and Michael Siegrist

Cross‐Sectional Psychological and Demographic Associations of Zika Knowledge and Conspiracy Beliefs Before and After Local Zika Transmission pp. 2683-2693

Rachael Piltch‐Loeb, Brian J. Zikmund‐Fisher, Victoria A. Shaffer, Laura D. Scherer, Megan Knaus, Angie Fagerlin, David M. Abramson and Aaron M. Scherer

Americans’ Views of Voluntary Protective Actions Against Zika Infection: Conceptual and Measurement Issues pp. 2694-2717

Branden B. Johnson

Impact of Water Level Rise on Urban Infrastructures: Washington, DC, and Shanghai as Case Studies pp. 2718-2731

Yanjie Zhang, Bilal M. Ayyub, Dongming Zhang, Hongwei Huang and Yalda Saadat

Optimal Abort Rules for Multiattempt Missions pp. 2732-2743

Gregory Levitin, Maxim Finkelstein and Hong‐Zhong Huang

A Fuzzy‐Based Risk Assessment Framework for Autonomous Underwater Vehicle Under‐Ice Missions pp. 2744-2765

Tzu Yang Loh, Mario P. Brito, Neil Bose, Jingjing Xu and Kiril Tenekedjiev

Adversarial Risk Analysis to Allocate Optimal Defense Resources for Protecting Cyber–Physical Systems from Cyber Attacks pp. 2766-2785

Wei Wang, Francesco Di Maio and Enrico Zio

The Model Thinker: What You Need to Know to Make Data Work for You by Scott E. Page, Basic Books, New York, NY, 2018, 448 pages (hard cover), ISBN: 9780465094622, $19.65 pp. 2786-2789

Louis Anthony Cox

Volume 39, issue 11, 2019

From the Editors pp. 2351-2352

Tony Cox and Karen Lowrie

Do Interactions Between Environmental Chemicals and the Human Microbiome Need to Be Considered in Risk Assessments? pp. 2353-2358

Joseph Rodricks, Yvonne Huang, Ellen Mantus and Pamela Shubat

Illustration of a Method to Incorporate Preference Uncertainty in Benefit–Cost Analysis pp. 2359-2368

Sunhee Baik, Alexander L. Davis and M. Granger Morgan

The Value of a Statistical Life for Risk‐Averse and Risk‐Seeking Individuals pp. 2369-2390

Marcela V. Parada‐Contzen

Dread and Risk Elimination Premium for the Value of a Statistical Life pp. 2391-2407

Sara Olofsson, Ulf-G. Gerdtham, Lars Hultkrantz and Ulf Persson

Measuring and Achieving Equity in Multiperiod Emergency Material Allocation pp. 2408-2426

Yanyan Wang, Vicki M. Bier and Baiqing Sun

Risk–Risk Tradeoff Analysis of Nuclear Explosives for Asteroid Deflection pp. 2427-2442

Seth D. Baum

How to Integrate Labor Disruption into an Economic Impact Evaluation Model for Postdisaster Recovery Periods pp. 2443-2456

Zhengtao Zhang, Ning Li, Peng Cui, Hong Xu, Yuan Liu, Xi Chen and Jieling Feng

A Probabilistic Model of the Economic Risk to Britain's Railway Network from Bridge Scour During Floods pp. 2457-2478

Rob Lamb, Paige Garside, Raghav Pant and Jim W. Hall

Selecting Indicators for Assessing Community Sustainable Resilience pp. 2479-2498

Leslie Gillespie‐Marthaler, Katherine Nelson, Hiba Baroud and Mark Abkowitz

Probability of Low‐Altitude Midair Collision Between General Aviation and Unmanned Aircraft pp. 2499-2513

Anders la Cour‐Harbo and Henrik Schiøler

Determinants of Probability Neglect and Risk Attitudes for Disaster Risk: An Online Experimental Study of Flood Insurance Demand among Homeowners pp. 2514-2527

Peter John Robinson and Wouter Botzen

Managing the Risk of Aggressive Dog Behavior: Investigating the Influence of Owner Threat and Efficacy Perceptions pp. 2528-2542

Emma J. Williams and Emily Blackwell

Out of Sight, Out of Mind? Geographic and Social Predictors of Flood Risk Awareness pp. 2543-2558

Daran Gray‐Scholz, Timothy J. Haney and Pamela MacQuarrie

Risk Perception and Human Health Risk in Rural Communities Consuming Unregulated Well Water in Saskatchewan, Canada pp. 2559-2575

Lorelei Ford, Cheryl Waldner, Javier Sanchez and Lalita Bharadwaj

Comparative Analysis of Deterministic and Semiquantitative Approaches for Shallow Landslide Risk Modeling in Rwanda pp. 2576-2595

Jean Baptiste Nsengiyumva, Geping Luo, Egide Hakorimana, Richard Mind'je, Aboubakar Gasirabo and Valentine Mukanyandwi

The Science and Practice of Resilience by Igor Linkov and Benjamin Trump. Springer, Cham, Switzerland. 2019. 202 pp. + references. $109.00. ISBN 978–3– 030– 04563–0 pp. 2596-2597

Michael Greenberg

Volume 39, issue 10, 2019

From the Editors pp. 2117-2118

Tony Cox and Karen Lowrie

Risk and the Five Hard Problems of Cybersecurity pp. 2119-2126

Natalie M. Scala, Allison C. Reilly, Paul L. Goethals and Michel Cukier

Understanding Community Resilience from a PRA Perspective Using Binary Decision Diagrams pp. 2127-2142

Saeed Nozhati, Bruce R. Ellingwood and Hussam Mahmoud

Adoption of Individual Flood Damage Mitigation Measures in New York City: An Extension of Protection Motivation Theory pp. 2143-2159

Wouter Botzen, Howard Kunreuther, Jeffrey Czajkowski and Hans de Moel

Shannon Entropy for Quantifying Uncertainty and Risk in Economic Disparity pp. 2160-2181

Saurabh Mishra and Bilal M. Ayyub

Is Allocation Affected by the Perception of Others' Irresponsible Behavior and by Ambiguity? pp. 2182-2196

Zvi Safra, Sinong Ma and Tigran Melkonyan

Managing Safety‐Related Disruptions: Evidence from the U.S. Nuclear Power Industry pp. 2197-2213

Christian C. Blanco, Felipe Caro and Charles J. Corbett

Linking Decision Theory and Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment: Tradeoffs Between Compliance and Efficacy for Waterborne Disease Interventions pp. 2214-2226

Michael A. L. Hayashi, Marisa C. Eisenberg and Joseph N. S. Eisenberg

Optimization of the Aflatoxin Monitoring Costs along the Maize Supply Chain pp. 2227-2236

M. Focker, H. J. van der Fels‐Klerx and A. G. J. M. Oude Lansink

Interventions Targeting Deep Tissue Lymph Nodes May Not Effectively Reduce the Risk of Salmonellosis from Ground Pork Consumption: A Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment pp. 2237-2258

Yangjunna Zhang, Annette M. O'Connor, Chong Wang, James S. Dickson, H. Scott Hurd and Bing Wang

A Novel Approach to Chemical Mixture Risk Assessment—Linking Data from Population‐Based Epidemiology and Experimental Animal Tests pp. 2259-2271

Carl‐Gustaf Bornehag, Efthymia Kitraki, Antonios Stamatakis, Emily Panagiotidou, Christina Rudén, Huan Shu, Christian Lindh, Joelle Ruegg and Chris Gennings

Potential Airborne Asbestos Exposure and Risk Associated with the Historical Use of Cosmetic Talcum Powder Products pp. 2272-2294

Amanda M. Burns, Christy A. Barlow, Amber M. Banducci, Kenneth M. Unice and Jennifer Sahmel

A Review of Recent Advances in Benchmark Dose Methodology pp. 2295-2315

Signe M. Jensen, Felix M. Kluxen and Christian Ritz

The Practical Significance of Measurement Error in Pulmonary Function Testing Conducted in Research Settings pp. 2316-2328

Richard B. Belzer and R. Jeffrey Lewis

Efficacy Foundations for Risk Communication: How People Think About Reducing the Risks of Climate Change pp. 2329-2347

Katherine M. Crosman, Ann Bostrom and Adam L. Hayes

Modeling and Managing Interdependent Complex Systems of Systems by Yacov Y. Haimes, John Wiley and Sons, New York, New York, 2019, 500+ pages, $127.69, ISBN 9781119173656 (cloth) pp. 2348-2349

Michael Greenberg

Volume 39, issue 9, 2019

Introduction to Resilience Analytics for Cyber–Physical–Social Networks pp. 1867-1869

Kash Barker, Jose E. Ramirez‐Marquez and Giovanni Sansavini

Rethinking Resilience Analytics pp. 1870-1884

Daniel Eisenberg, Thomas Seager and David L. Alderson

Design and Assessment Methodology for System Resilience Metrics pp. 1885-1898

Mohammad Najarian and Gino J. Lim

Assessing Engineering Resilience for Systems with Multiple Performance Measures pp. 1899-1912

Eric Specking, Bobby Cottam, Gregory Parnell, Edward Pohl, Matthew Cilli, Randy Buchanan, Zephan Wade and Colin Small

Integrating Operational and Organizational Aspects in Interdependent Infrastructure Network Recovery pp. 1913-1929

Camilo Gomez, Andrés D. González, Hiba Baroud and Claudia D. Bedoya‐Motta

Quantifying Community Resilience Using Hierarchical Bayesian Kernel Methods: A Case Study on Recovery from Power Outages pp. 1930-1948

Jin‐Zhu Yu and Hiba Baroud

An Optimization‐Based Framework for the Identification of Vulnerabilities in Electric Power Grids Exposed to Natural Hazards pp. 1949-1969

Yi‐Ping Fang, Giovanni Sansavini and Enrico Zio

Integration of Critical Infrastructure and Societal Consequence Models: Impact on Swedish Power System Mitigation Decisions pp. 1970-1996

Linn Svegrup, Jonas Johansson and Henrik Hassel

Modeling of Distributed Generators Resilience Considering Lifeline Dependencies During Extreme Events pp. 1997-2011

Vaidyanathan Krishnamurthy and Alexis Kwasinski

Stochastic Counterfactual Risk Analysis for the Vulnerability Assessment of Cyber‐Physical Attacks on Electricity Distribution Infrastructure Networks pp. 2012-2031

Edward J. Oughton, Daniel Ralph, Raghav Pant, Eireann Leverett, Jennifer Copic, Scott Thacker, Rabia Dada, Simon Ruffle, Michelle Tuveson and Jim W Hall

Evaluating and Visualizing the Economic Impact of Commercial Districts Due to an Electric Power Network Disruption pp. 2032-2053

Andrea Garcia Tapia, Mildred Suarez, Jose E. Ramirez‐Marquez and Kash Barker

Network Reconfiguration for Increasing Transportation System Resilience Under Extreme Events pp. 2054-2075

Xiaoge Zhang, Sankaran Mahadevan and Kai Goebel

A Robust Approach for Mitigating Risks in Cyber Supply Chains pp. 2076-2092

Kaiyue Zheng and Laura A. Albert

Integrating Stakeholder Mapping and Risk Scenarios to Improve Resilience of Cyber‐Physical‐Social Networks pp. 2093-2112

Ayedh Almutairi, John P. Wheeler, David L. Slutzky and James H. Lambert

Pricing Lives: Guideposts for a Safer Society. W. Kip Viscusi (2018). Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press pp. 2113-2116

James Hammitt

Volume 39, issue 8, 2019

From the Editors pp. 1655-1656

Tony Cox and Karen Lowrie

Experiments in Lay Cues to the Relative Validity of Positions Taken by Disputing Groups of Scientists pp. 1657-1674

Branden B. Johnson

Communicating with the Public About Marauding Terrorist Firearms Attacks: Results from a Survey Experiment on Factors Influencing Intention to “Run, Hide, Tell” in the United Kingdom and Denmark pp. 1675-1694

Julia M. Pearce, Lasse Lindekilde, David Parker and M. Brooke Rogers

Risk Communication as Government Agency Organizational Practice pp. 1695-1707

Åsa Boholm

Whose Risk? Why Did the U.S. Public Ignore Information About the Ebola Outbreak? pp. 1708-1722

Janet Z. Yang

Residents’ Reactions to Earthquake Early Warnings in Japan pp. 1723-1740

Kazuya Nakayachi, Julia S. Becker, Sally H. Potter and Maximilian Dixon

Risk Perceptions Toward Drinking Water Quality Among Private Well Owners in Ireland: The Illusion of Control pp. 1741-1754

Teresa Hooks, Geertje Schuitema and Frank McDermott

Farmers’ Risk‐Based Decision Making Under Pervasive Uncertainty: Cognitive Thresholds and Hazy Hedging pp. 1755-1770

Kieran M. Findlater, Terre Satterfield and Milind Kandlikar

Cigarette Smoking and Multiple Health Risk Behaviors: A Latent Class Regression Model to Identify a Profile of Young Adolescents pp. 1771-1782

Lorena Charrier, Paola Berchialla, Paola Dalmasso, Alberto Borraccino, Patrizia Lemma and Franco Cavallo

A Definition and Categorization System for Advanced Materials: The Foundation for Risk‐Informed Environmental Health and Safety Testing pp. 1783-1795

Alan Kennedy, Jonathon Brame, Taylor Rycroft, Matthew Wood, Valerie Zemba, Charles Weiss, Matthew Hull, Cary Hill, Charles Geraci and Igor Linkov

A Modular Bayesian Salmonella Source Attribution Model for Sparse Data pp. 1796-1811

Antti Mikkelä, Jukka Ranta and Pirkko Tuominen

Validation of a Stochastic Discrete Event Model Predicting Virus Concentration on Nurse Hands pp. 1812-1824

Amanda M. Wilson, Kelly A. Reynolds, Marc P. Verhougstraete and Robert A. Canales

A Multicompartment SIS Stochastic Model with Zonal Ventilation for the Spread of Nosocomial Infections: Detection, Outbreak Management, and Infection Control pp. 1825-1842

Martín López‐García, Marco‐Felipe King and Catherine J. Noakes

Probabilistic Multiple Hazard Resilience Model of an Interdependent Infrastructure System pp. 1843-1863

Jingjing Kong and Slobodan P. Simonovic

Mastering Catastrophic Risk: How Companies Are Coping with Disruption, by Howard Kunreuther, Erwann Michel‐Kerjan, and Michael Useem, Oxford, New York, 2018, 240 pages, US$29.95, ISBN 9780190499402 pp. 1864-1865

Michael Greenberg

Volume 39, issue 7, 2019

From the Editors pp. 1433-1434

Tony Cox and Karen Lowrie

Ortwin Renn: Risk Governance Maven pp. 1435-1440

Michael Greenberg and Karen Lowrie

Peak Exposures in Epidemiologic Studies and Cancer Risks: Considerations for Regulatory Risk Assessment pp. 1441-1464

Harvey Checkoway, Peter S. J. Lees, Linda D. Dell, P. Robinan Gentry and Kenneth A. Mundt

Recalibration of the Grunow–Finke Assessment Tool to Improve Performance in Detecting Unnatural Epidemics pp. 1465-1475

Xin Chen, Abrar Ahmad Chughtai and Chandini Raina MacIntyre

Clinical Capital and the Risk of Maternal Labor and Delivery Complications: Hospital Scheduling, Timing, and Cohort Turnover Effects pp. 1476-1490

Sammy Zahran, David Mushinski, Hsueh‐Hsiang Li, Ian Breunig and Sophie Mckee

Risk and Planning in Agriculture: How Planning on Dairy Farms in Ireland Is Affected by Farmers’ Regulatory Focus pp. 1491-1502

John Garvey, Gordon Sirr, Deirdre O'Shea and Fergal O'Brien

Exploring the Conceptual Foundation of Continuity Management in the Context of Societal Safety pp. 1503-1519

Henrik Hassel and Alexander Cedergren

Null Hypothesis Testing ≠ Scientific Inference: A Critique of the Shaky Premise at the Heart of the Science and Values Debate, and a Defense of Value‐Neutral Risk Assessment pp. 1520-1532

Brian H. MacGillivray

Effect of Providing the Uncertainty Information About a Tornado Occurrence on the Weather Recipients’ Cognition and Protective Action: Probabilistic Hazard Information Versus Deterministic Warnings pp. 1533-1545

Seyed M. Miran, Chen Ling, Alan Gerard and Lans Rothfusz

When Evolution Works Against the Future: Disgust's Contributions to the Acceptance of New Food Technologies pp. 1546-1559

Aisha Egolf, Christina Hartmann and Michael Siegrist

Let's Call it Quits: Break‐Even Effects in the Decision to Stop Taking Risks pp. 1560-1581

Peter A. F. Fraser‐Mackenzie, Tiejun Ma, Ming‐Chien Sung and Johnnie E. V. Johnson

AbSRiM: An Agent‐Based Security Risk Management Approach for Airport Operations pp. 1582-1596

Stef Janssen, Alexei Sharpanskykh and Richard Curran

Agent‐Based Recovery Model for Seismic Resilience Evaluation of Electrified Communities pp. 1597-1614

Li Sun, Bozidar Stojadinovic and Giovanni Sansavini

Probabilistic Modeling of Flood Hazard and its Risk Assessment for Eastern Region of India pp. 1615-1633

Pratyay Manna, Mohammed Zafar Anis, Prasun Das and Soumya Banerjee

Causation Analysis of Risk Coupling of Gas Explosion Accident in Chinese Underground Coal Mines pp. 1634-1646

Jinjia Zhang, Kaili Xu, Greg You, Beibei Wang and Lei Zhao

Mega‐Review: Causality Books Causal Analytics for Applied Risk Analysis by Louis Anthony Cox, Jr., Douglas A. Popken, and Richard X. Sun. Springer, International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, Vol. 270, 2018, $229, xxii+588. The Book of Why: The New Science of Cause and Effect by Judea Pearl and Dana Mackenzie. New York: Basic Books, 2018, $32, x+419. Causality: Models, Reasoning and Inference by Judea Pearl, Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2000, 2nd edition, 2009, $64.99, xix+465 pp. 1647-1654

D. Warner North

Volume 39, issue 6, 2019

From the Editors pp. 1193-1195

Tony Cox and Karen Lowrie

The Call for a Shift from Risk to Resilience: What Does it Mean? pp. 1196-1203

Terje Aven

On the Limits of the Precautionary Principle pp. 1204-1222

H. Orri Stefánsson

Comments to Orri Stefánsson's Paper on the Precautionary Principle pp. 1223-1224

Terje Aven

Comment: The Precautionary Principle and Judgment Aggregation pp. 1225-1226

Thomas Boyer‐Kassem

Reply pp. 1227-1228

H. Orri Stefánsson

Science for Policy: A Case Study of Scientific Polarization, Values, and the Framing of Risk and Uncertainty pp. 1229-1242

Sarah Mason‐Renton, Marco Vazquez, Connor Robinson and Gunilla Oberg

Risk and Quantification: A Linguistic Study pp. 1243-1261

Max Boholm

GIS‐Based Integration of Social Vulnerability and Level 3 Probabilistic Risk Assessment to Advance Emergency Preparedness, Planning, and Response for Severe Nuclear Power Plant Accidents pp. 1262-1280

Justin Pence, Ian Miller, Tatsuya Sakurahara, James Whitacre, Seyed Reihani, Ernie Kee and Zahra Mohaghegh

Toward an Epidemiology of Safety and Security Risks: An Organizational Vulnerability Assessment in International Airports pp. 1281-1297

Ivano Bongiovanni and Cameron Newton

Are We Adapting to Floods? Evidence from Global Flooding Fatalities pp. 1298-1313

Qing Miao

A CGE Framework for Modeling the Economics of Flooding and Recovery in a Major Urban Area pp. 1314-1341

Aaron B. Gertz, James Davies and Samantha L. Black

A New Methodology for Before–After Safety Assessment Using Survival Analysis and Longitudinal Data pp. 1342-1357

Kun Xie, Kaan Ozbay, Hong Yang and Di Yang

Modeling the Cost Effectiveness of Fire Protection Resource Allocation in the United States: Models and a 1980–2014 Case Study pp. 1358-1381

Adam Behrendt, Vineet M. Payyappalli and Jun Zhuang

Predictive Modeling and Categorizing Likelihoods of Quarantine Pest Introduction of Imported Propagative Commodities from Different Countries pp. 1382-1396

ByeongJoon Kim, Seung Cheon Hong, Daniel Egger, Catherine S. Katsar and Robert L. Griffin

Machine Learning Methods as a Tool for Predicting Risk of Illness Applying Next‐Generation Sequencing Data pp. 1397-1413

Patrick Murigu Kamau Njage, Clementine Henri, Pimlapas Leekitcharoenphon, Michel‐Yves Mistou, Rene S. Hendriksen and Tine Hald

A Study on a Sequential One‐Defender‐N‐Attacker Game pp. 1414-1432

Zhiheng Xu and Jun Zhuang

Volume 39, issue 5, 2019

From the Editors pp. 957-958

Tony Cox and Karen Lowrie

Addressing Climate Change as an Emerging Risk to Infrastructure Systems pp. 959-967

Julie Shortridge and Janey Smith Camp

Expert Views on Their Role as Policy Advisor: Pilot Study for the Cases of Electromagnetic Fields, Particulate Matter, and Antimicrobial Resistance pp. 968-974

Pita Spruijt, Anne B. Knol, Arthur C. Petersen and Erik Lebret

Information Hazards in Biotechnology pp. 975-981

Gregory Lewis, Piers Millett, Anders Sandberg, Andrew Snyder‐Beattie and Gigi Gronvall

Quantitative Assessment of the Health Risk for Livestock When Animal Viruses Are Applied in Human Oncolytic Therapy: A Case Study for Seneca Valley Virus pp. 982-991

Jack Schijven, Sabrina Brizee, Peter Teunis, Clazien de Vos, Phaedra Eblé and Saskia Rutjes

An Agent‐Based Model for Pathogen Persistence and Cross‐Contamination Dynamics in a Food Facility pp. 992-1021

Amir Mokhtari and Jane M. Van Doren

A Risk Assessment Framework for the Socioeconomic Impacts of Electricity Transmission Infrastructure Failure Due to Space Weather: An Application to the United Kingdom pp. 1022-1043

Edward J. Oughton, Mike Hapgood, Gemma S. Richardson, Ciarán D. Beggan, Alan W. P. Thomson, Mark Gibbs, Catherine Burnett, C. Trevor Gaunt, Markos Trichas, Rabia Dada and Richard B. Horne

Rethinking Risk Assessment for Public Utility Safety Regulation pp. 1044-1059

Carl Danner and Paul Schulman

A Review of Risk Matrices Used in Acute Hospitals in England pp. 1060-1070

Gulsum Kubra Kaya, James Ward and John Clarkson

Risk Information Seeking and Processing About Particulate Air Pollution in South Korea: The Roles of Cultural Worldview pp. 1071-1087

Hye Kyung Kim and Yungwook Kim

Flood Risk Perceptions and Insurance Choice: Do Decisions in the Floodplain Reflect Overoptimism? pp. 1088-1104

Andrew Royal and Margaret Walls

Living Well in Times of Threat: The Importance of Adjustment Processes to Explain Functional Adaptation to Uncertain Security in Expatriates Deployed in the Sudan pp. 1105-1124

Johannes Leder

Semiautonomous Vehicle Risk Analysis: A Telematics‐Based Anomaly Detection Approach pp. 1125-1140

Cian Ryan, Finbarr Murphy and Martin Mullins

Sequential Hazards Resilience of Interdependent Infrastructure System: A Case Study of Greater Toronto Area Energy Infrastructure System pp. 1141-1168

Jingjing Kong, Slobodan P. Simonovic and Chao Zhang

Evaluating Potential Distribution of High‐Risk Aquatic Invasive Species in the Water Garden and Aquarium Trade at a Global Scale Based on Current Established Populations pp. 1169-1191

Amanda M. West, Catherine S. Jarnevich, Nicholas E. Young and Pam L. Fuller

Volume 39, issue 4, 2019

From the Editors pp. 741-743

Tony Cox and Karen Lowrie

Vicki Bier: A More Sensible Way to View Risk pp. 744-748

Michael Greenberg and Karen Lowrie

Making Sense of Risk—A Sociological Perspective on the Management of Risk pp. 749-760

Jacob Taarup‐Esbensen

When Is a Risk Assessment Deficient According to an Uncertainty‐Based Risk Perspective? pp. 761-776

Marie Røyksund and Roger Flage

Developing a Broadly Applicable Measure of Risk Perception pp. 777-791

Robyn S. Wilson, Adam Zwickle and Hugh Walpole

Reaping the Benefits and Avoiding the Risks: Unrealistic Optimism in the Health Domain pp. 792-804

Yaniv Hanoch, Jonathan Rolison and Alexandra M. Freund

Efficacy, Action, and Support for Reducing Climate Change Risks pp. 805-828

Ann Bostrom, Adam L. Hayes and Katherine M. Crosman

Mapping Socioeconomic Exposure for Flood Risk Assessment in Italy pp. 829-845

Mattia Amadio, Jaroslav Mysiak and Sepehr Marzi

Security of Separated Data in Cloud Systems with Competing Attack Detection and Data Theft Processes pp. 846-858

Gregory Levitin, Liudong Xing and Hong‐Zhong Huang

Analyzing Disaster Loss Trends: A Comparison of Normalization Methodologies in South Korea pp. 859-870

Donghyun Choi, David Oliver Kasdan and D. K. Yoon

Decision‐Making Analytics Using Plural Resilience Parameters for Adaptive Management of Complex Systems pp. 871-889

Shital A. Thekdi and Joost Santos

Improved Methods for Estimating Flood Depth Exceedances Within Storm Surge Protection Systems pp. 890-905

David R. Johnson

Combining Quantitative Risk Assessment of Human Health, Food Waste, and Energy Consumption: The Next Step in the Development of the Food Cold Chain? pp. 906-925

Steven Duret, Hong‐Minh Hoang, Evelyne Derens‐Bertheau, Anthony Delahaye, Onrawee Laguerre and Laurent Guillier

Cost‐Effective Sampling and Analysis for Mycotoxins in a Cereal Batch pp. 926-939

M. Focker, H. J. van der Fels‐Klerx and A. G. J. M. Oude Lansink

Statistical Approach to Identify Threshold and Point of Departure in Dose–Response Data pp. 940-956

Maria A. Spassova

Volume 39, issue 3, 2019

From the Editors pp. 509-510

Tony Cox and Karen Lowrie

Cultural Values, Trust, and Benefit‐Risk Perceptions of Hydraulic Fracturing: A Comparative Analysis of Policy Elites and the General Public pp. 511-534

Creed Tumlison and Geoboo Song

Media Disaster Reporting Effects on Public Risk Perception and Response to Escalating Tornado Warnings: A Natural Experiment pp. 535-552

Mengtian Zhao, Heather Rosoff and Richard S. John

Terrorism Risk Assessment, Recollection Bias, and Public Support for Counterterrorism Policy and Spending pp. 553-570

Xinsheng Liu, Kent E. Portney, Jeryl L. Mumpower and Arnold Vedlitz

Conflict of Interest Mitigation Procedures May Have Little Influence on the Perceived Procedural Fairness of Risk‐Related Research pp. 571-585

John C. Besley, Nagwan R. Zahry, Aaron McCright, Kevin C. Elliott, Norbert E. Kaminski and Joseph D. Martin

Feelings About Fracking: Using the Affect Heuristic to Understand Opposition to Coal Seam Gas Production pp. 586-598

Donald W. Hine, Kirsten Clarke, Anthony D. G. Marks and Methuen I. Morgan

Validation of Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment Using Epidemiological Data from Outbreaks of Waterborne Gastrointestinal Disease pp. 599-615

Tucker Burch

Quantal Risk Assessment Database: A Database for Exploring Patterns in Quantal Dose‐Response Data in Risk Assessment and its Application to Develop Priors for Bayesian Dose‐Response Analysis pp. 616-629

Matthew W. Wheeler, Walter W. Piegorsch and Albert John Bailer

Modeling the Airborne Infection Risk of Tuberculosis for a Research Facility in eMalahleni, South Africa pp. 630-646

Ralf R. Küsel, Ian K. Craig and Anton C. Stoltz

Modeling the Effectiveness of Respiratory Protective Devices in Reducing Influenza Outbreak pp. 647-661

Jing Yan, Suvajyoti Guha, Prasanna Hariharan and Matthew Myers

The Use of Telematics Devices to Improve Automobile Insurance Rates pp. 662-672

Montserrat Guillen, Jens Perch Nielsen, Mercedes Ayuso and Ana M. Pérez‐Marín

A Data‐Driven Approach to Assessing Supply Inadequacy Risks Due to Climate‐Induced Shifts in Electricity Demand pp. 673-694

Sayanti Mukherjee and Roshanak Nateghi

The Impact of Portfolio Location Uncertainty on Probabilistic Seismic Risk Analysis pp. 695-712

Christoph Scheingraber and Martin A. Käser

An Insurance Model for Risk Management of Process Facilities pp. 713-728

Seyed Javad Hashemi, Faisal Khan and Salim Ahmed

From Ideal to Real Risk: Philosophy of Causation Meets Risk Analysis pp. 729-740

Rani Lill Anjum and Elena Rocca

Volume 39, issue 2, 2019

From the Editors pp. 291-292

Tony Cox and Karen Lowrie

Special Series: Social Science of Automated Driving pp. 293-294

Joseph F. Coughlin, Martina Raue, Lisa A. D'Ambrosio, Carley Ward and Chaiwoo Lee

How Should Autonomous Cars Drive? A Preference for Defaults in Moral Judgments Under Risk and Uncertainty pp. 295-314

Björn Meder, Nadine Fleischhut, Nina‐Carolin Krumnau and Michael R. Waldmann

How Safe Is Safe Enough for Self‐Driving Vehicles? pp. 315-325

Peng Liu, Run Yang and Zhigang Xu

Public Acceptance of Fully Automated Driving: Effects of Social Trust and Risk/Benefit Perceptions pp. 326-341

Peng Liu, Run Yang and Zhigang Xu

sCARy! Risk Perceptions in Autonomous Driving: The Influence of Experience on Perceived Benefits and Barriers pp. 342-357

Teresa Brell, Ralf Philipsen and Martina Ziefle

The Influence of Feelings While Driving Regular Cars on the Perception and Acceptance of Self‐Driving Cars pp. 358-374

Martina Raue, Lisa A. D'Ambrosio, Carley Ward, Chaiwoo Lee, Claire Jacquillat and Joseph F. Coughlin

Advancing Risk‐Informed Decision Making in Managing Defense Nuclear Waste in the United States: Opportunities and Challenges for Risk Analysis pp. 375-388

Michael R. Greenberg, George Apostolakis, Timothy Fields, Bernard D. Goldstein, David Kosson, Steven Krahn, R. Bruce Matthews, James Rispoli, Jane Stewart and Richard Stewart

Evaluation of Proactive and Reactive Strategies for Polio Eradication Activities in Pakistan and Afghanistan pp. 389-401

Radboud J. Duintjer Tebbens and Kimberly M. Thompson

Modeling Undetected Live Poliovirus Circulation After Apparent Interruption of Transmission: Pakistan and Afghanistan pp. 402-413

Dominika A. Kalkowska, Radboud J. Duintjer Tebbens, Mark A. Pallansch and Kimberly M. Thompson

Environmental Surveillance System Characteristics and Impacts on Confidence About No Undetected Serotype 1 Wild Poliovirus Circulation pp. 414-425

Dominika A. Kalkowska, Radboud J. Duintjer Tebbens and Kimberly M. Thompson

Probabilistic Integrated Human Mixture Risk Assessment of Multiple Metals Through Seafood Consumption pp. 426-438

Yi‐Jun Lin and Pinpin Lin

Why Do Countries Regulate Environmental Health Risks Differently? A Theoretical Perspective pp. 439-461

Sander C. S. Clahsen, Irene van Kamp, Betty C. Hakkert, Theo G. Vermeire, Aldert H. Piersma and Erik Lebret

Financial Instruments for Mitigation of Flood Risks: The Case of Florence pp. 462-472

Fabio Castelli, Marcello Galeotti and Giovanni Rabitti

Lightning Rods, Earthquakes, and Regional Identities: Towards a Multi‐Scale Framework of Assessing Fracking Risk Perception pp. 473-487

James A. Pollard and David C. Rose

Understanding Cumulative Risk Perception from Judgments and Choices: An Application to Flood Risks pp. 488-504

Cristóbal De La Maza, Alex Davis, Cleotilde Gonzalez and Inês Azevedo

Behaving Better BEHAVE: The Biology of Humans at Our Best and Worst by Robert M. Sapolsky, Penguin Press, 2017, and12 Rules for Life: An Antidote to Chaos by Jordan B. Peterson, Random House Canada, 2018 pp. 505-508

Louis Anthony Cox

Volume 39, issue 1, 2019

Advances in Spatial Risk Analysis pp. 1-8

Nikolaos Argyris, Valentina Ferretti, Simon French, Seth Guikema and Gilberto Montibeller

Communicating Geographical Risks in Crisis Management: The Need for Research pp. 9-16

Simon French, Nikolaos Argyris, Stephanie M. Haywood, Matthew C. Hort and Jim Q. Smith

Spatially Representing Vulnerability to Extreme Rain Events Using Midwestern Farmers’ Objective and Perceived Attributes of Adaptive Capacity pp. 17-34

Maaz Gardezi and J. Gordon Arbuckle

Predicting the Risk of Biological Invasions Using Environmental Similarity and Transport Network Connectedness pp. 35-53

Robert C. Cope, Joshua V. Ross, Talia A. Wittmann, Michael J. Watts and Phillip Cassey

A Spatio‐Temporal Exposure‐Hazard Model for Assessing Biological Risk and Impact pp. 54-70

Emily Walker, Melen Leclerc, Jean‐François Rey, Rémy Beaudouin, Samuel Soubeyrand and Antoine Messéan

“Birds of a Feather” Fail Together: Exploring the Nature of Dependency in SME Defaults pp. 71-84

Raffaella Calabrese, Galina Andreeva and Jake Ansell

Comparing the Economic Impact of Natural Disasters Generated by Different Input–Output Models: An Application to the 2007 Chehalis River Flood (WA) pp. 85-104

Andre Avelino and Sandy Dall'erba

Risk Mapping of Groundwater‐Drawdown‐Induced Land Subsidence in Heterogeneous Soils on Large Areas pp. 105-124

Jonas Sundell, Ezra Haaf, Tommy Norberg, Claes Alén, Mats Karlsson and Lars Rosén

A Probabilistic Framework for Risk Analysis of Widespread Flood Events: A Proof‐of‐Concept Study pp. 125-139

Klaus Schneeberger, Matthias Huttenlau, Benjamin Winter, Thomas Steinberger, Stefan Achleitner and Johann Stötter

Toward Probabilistic Prediction of Flash Flood Human Impacts pp. 140-161

Galateia Terti, Isabelle Ruin, Jonathan J. Gourley, Pierre Kirstetter, Zachary Flamig, Juliette Blanchet, Ami Arthur and Sandrine Anquetin

Spatial Vulnerability of Network Systems under Spatially Local Hazards pp. 162-179

Xiao‐Bing Hu, Hang Li, XiaoMei Guo, Pieter H. A. J. M. van Gelder and Peijun Shi

Critical Infrastructure Vulnerability to Spatially Localized Failures with Applications to Chinese Railway System pp. 180-194

Min Ouyang, Hui Tian, Zhenghua Wang, Liu Hong and Zijun Mao

Spatial Risk Analysis of Power Systems Resilience During Extreme Events pp. 195-211

Dimitris N. Trakas, Mathaios Panteli, Nikos D. Hatziargyriou and Pierluigi Mancarella

A Probabilistic Approach to Assess External Doses to the Public Considering Spatial Variability of Radioactive Contamination and Interpopulation Differences in Behavior Pattern pp. 212-224

Shogo Takahara, Masashi Iijima, Minoru Yoneda and Yoko Shimada

Spatial Transmission Models: A Taxonomy and Framework pp. 225-243

Duncan A. Robertson

Preference Functions for Spatial Risk Analysis pp. 244-256

L. Robin Keller and Jay Simon

An Integrated Framework for Environmental Multi‐Impact Spatial Risk Analysis pp. 257-273

Valentina Ferretti and Gilberto Montibeller

Perceptions and Expected Immediate Reactions to Severe Storm Displays pp. 274-290

Ihnji Jon, Shih‐Kai Huang and Michael K. Lindell