Risk Analysis

1981 - 2021

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Volume 32, issue s1, 2012

Standing on the Threshold of Change pp. S1-S5

Michele Bloch, Cathy L. Backinger, Wilson M. Compton and Kevin Conway

Chapter 1: The Impact of the Reduction in Tobacco Smoking on U.S. Lung Cancer Mortality, 1975–2000: An Introduction to the Problem pp. S6-S13

Eric J. Feuer, David T. Levy and William J. McCarthy

Chapter 2: Birth‐Cohort‐Specific Estimates of Smoking Behaviors for the U.S. Population pp. S14-S24

Christy M. Anderson, David M. Burns, Kevin W. Dodd and Eric J. Feuer

Chapter 3: Cohort Life Tables by Smoking Status, Removing Lung Cancer as a Cause of Death pp. S25-S38

Marjorie A. Rosenberg, Eric J. Feuer, Binbing Yu, Jiafeng Sun, S. Jane Henley, Thomas G Shanks, Christy M. Anderson, Pamela M. McMahon, Michael J. Thun and David M. Burns

Chapter 4: Development of the Counterfactual Smoking Histories Used to Assess the Effects of Tobacco Control pp. S39-S50

Theodore R. Holford and Lauren Clark

Chapter 5: Actual and Counterfactual Smoking Prevalence Rates in the U.S. Population via Microsimulation pp. S51-S68

Jihyoun Jeon, Rafael Meza, Martin Krapcho, Lauren D. Clarke, Jeff Byrne and David T. Levy

Chapter 6: Lung Cancer in Never Smokers: Epidemiology and Risk Prediction Models pp. S69-S84

William J. McCarthy, Rafael Meza, Jihyoun Jeon and Suresh H. Moolgavkar

Chapter 7: Description of MISCAN‐Lung, the Erasmus MC Lung Cancer Microsimulation Model for Evaluating Cancer Control Interventions pp. S85-S98

F. W. Schultz, R. Boer and H. J. de Koning

Chapter 8: The FHCRC Lung Cancer Model pp. S99-S116

William D. Hazelton, Jihyoun Jeon, Rafael Meza and Suresh H. Moolgavkar

Chapter 9: The MGH‐HMS Lung Cancer Policy Model: Tobacco Control Versus Screening pp. S117-S124

Pamela M. McMahon, Chung Yin Kong, Bruce E. Johnson, Milton C. Weinstein, Jane C. Weeks, Angela C. Tramontano, Lauren E. Cipriano, Colleen Bouzan and G. Scott Gazelle

Chapter 10: A Macro‐Model of Smoking and Lung Cancer: Examining Aggregate Trends in Lung Cancer Rates Using the CPS‐I and CPS‐II and Two‐Stage Clonal Expansion Models pp. S125-S141

David T. Levy, Kenneth Blackman and Eduard Zaloshnja

Chapter 11: Rice‐MD Anderson Lung Cancer Model pp. S142-S150

Millennia Foy, Li Deng, Margaret Spitz, Olga Gorlova and Marek Kimmel

Chapter 12: Yale Lung Cancer Model pp. S151-S165

Theodore R. Holford, Keita Ebisu, Lisa McKay, Cheongeun Oh and Tongzhang Zheng

Chapter 13: CISNET Lung Models: Comparison of Model Assumptions and Model Structures pp. S166-S178

Pamela M. McMahon, William D. Hazelton, Marek Kimmel and Lauren D. Clarke

Chapter 14: Comparing the Adequacy of Carcinogenesis Models in Estimating U.S. Population Rates for Lung Cancer Mortality pp. S179-S189

Theodore R. Holford and David T. Levy

Chapter 15: Impact of Tobacco Control on Lung Cancer Mortality in the United States Over the Period 1975–2000—Summary and Limitations pp. S190-S201

Rob Boer, Suresh H. Moolgavkar and David T. Levy

Volume 32, issue 12, 2012

From the Editors pp. 2007-2008

Michael Greenberg and Karen Lowrie

Our Deteriorating Physical Structures and Risk Analysis pp. 2008-2009

Michael Greenberg

The Development of Risk Analysis: A Personal Perspective pp. 2010-2019

Richard Wilson

Deriving Behavior Model Parameters from Survey Data: Self‐Protective Behavior Adoption During the 2009–2010 Influenza A(H1N1) Pandemic pp. 2020-2031

David P. Durham, Elizabeth A. Casman and Steven M. Albert

Siting Samplers to Minimize Expected Time to Detection pp. 2032-2042

Travis Walter, David M. Lorenzetti and Michael D. Sohn

A New Air Quality Perception Scale for Global Assessment of Air Pollution Health Effects pp. 2043-2054

Séverine Deguen, Claire Ségala, Gaëlle Pédrono and Mounir Mesbah

Decision Making for Risk Management: A Comparison of Graphical Methods for Presenting Quantitative Uncertainty pp. 2055-2070

John A. Edwards, Frank J. Snyder, Pamela M. Allen, Kevin A. Makinson and David M. Hamby

Deliberative Disjunction: Expert and Public Understanding of Outcome Uncertainty pp. 2071-2083

Robin Gregory, Nathan Dieckmann, Ellen Peters, Lee Failing, Graham Long and Martin Tusler

Protective Measures, Personal Experience, and the Affective Psychology of Time pp. 2084-2097

E. Peters, H. Kunreuther, N. Sagara, P. Slovic and D. R. Schley

Using Expert Judgments to Explore Robust Alternatives for Forest Management under Climate Change pp. 2098-2112

Timothy McDaniels, Tamsin Mills, Robin Gregory and Dan Ohlson

The Value of Environmental Information without Control of Subsequent Decisions pp. 2113-2132

Detlof von Winterfeldt, Robert Kavet, Stephen Peck, Mayank Mohan and Gordon Hazen

Expert Elicitation of the Value per Statistical Life in an Air Pollution Context pp. 2133-2151

Henry A. Roman, James Hammitt, Tyra L. Walsh and David M. Stieb

Victim Countries of Transnational Terrorism: An Empirical Characteristics Analysis pp. 2152-2165

Levan Elbakidze and Yanhong Jin

Context‐Specific, Scenario‐Based Risk Scales pp. 2166-2181

Michael Yu, Tomás Lejarraga and Cleotilde Gonzalez

Reducing Drinking Water Supply Chemical Contamination: Risks from Underground Storage Tanks pp. 2182-2197

Richard T. Enander, R. Choudary Hanumara, Hisanori Kobayashi, Ronald N. Gagnon, Eugene Park, Christopher Vallot and Richard Genovesi

A Quantitative Risk Assessment for Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy in Japan pp. 2198-2208

M. Kadohira, M. A. Stevenson, H. R. Høgåsen and A. de Koeijer

Volume 32, issue 11, 2012

Introduction to the Special Issue on the Risk of Extreme and Catastrophic Events pp. 1821-1822

Yacov Y. Haimes and James H. Lambert

On “Black Swans” and “Perfect Storms”: Risk Analysis and Management When Statistics Are Not Enough pp. 1823-1833

Elisabeth Paté‐Cornell

Strategic Preparedness for Recovery from Catastrophic Risks to Communities and Infrastructure Systems of Systems pp. 1834-1845

Yacov Y Haimes

Rare Disasters and Risk Attitudes: International Differences and Implications for Integrated Assessment Modeling pp. 1846-1855

P. Ding, M. D. Gerst, A. Bernstein, R. B. Howarth and M. E. Borsuk

Roy’s Safety‐First Portfolio Principle in Financial Risk Management of Disastrous Events pp. 1856-1872

Mei Choi Chiu, Hoi Ying Wong and Duan Li

Flood Protection Diversification to Reduce Probabilities of Extreme Losses pp. 1873-1887

Qian Zhou, James H. Lambert, Christopher W. Karvetski, Jeffrey M. Keisler and Igor Linkov

Improving Default Risk Prediction Using Bayesian Model Uncertainty Techniques pp. 1888-1900

Reza Kazemi and Ali Mosleh

Prediction and Impact of Sea Level Rise on Properties and Infrastructure of Washington, DC pp. 1901-1918

Bilal M. Ayyub, Haralamb G. Braileanu and Naeem Qureshi

Community Resilience and Decision Theory Challenges for Catastrophic Events pp. 1919-1934

Louis Anthony (Tony) Cox,

System of Systems Engineering and Risk Management of Extreme Events: Concepts and Case Study pp. 1935-1955

Michele Bristow, Liping Fang and Keith W. Hipel

Modeling Extreme Risks in Ecology pp. 1956-1966

Mark Burgman, James Franklin, Keith R. Hayes, Geoffrey R. Hosack, Gareth W. Peters and Scott A. Sisson

Risk Finance for Catastrophe Losses with Pareto‐Calibrated Lévy‐Stable Severities pp. 1967-1977

Michael R. Powers, Thomas Y. Powers and Siwei Gao

Risk‐Informed Regulation and Safety Management of Nuclear Power Plants—On the Prevention of Severe Accidents pp. 1978-1993

Risto Himanen, Ari Julin, Kalle Jänkälä, Jan‐Erik Holmberg and Reino Virolainen

Small Theories and Large Risks—Is Risk Analysis Relevant for Epistemology? pp. 1994-2004

Milan M. Ćirković

Megacatastrophes! Nine Strange Ways the World Could End by David Darling and Dirk Schulze‐Makuch pp. 2005-2006

Rick Reiss

Volume 32, issue 10, 2012

From the Editors pp. 1605-1606

Greenberg Michael and Lowrie Karen

Confronting Deep Uncertainties in Risk Analysis pp. 1607-1629

Louis Anthony (Tony) Cox

Fooled by Local Robustness pp. 1630-1637

Moshe Sniedovich

Why Risk Analysis is Difficult, and Some Thoughts on How to Proceed pp. 1638-1646

Yakov Ben‐Haim

Foundational Issues in Risk Assessment and Risk Management pp. 1647-1656

Terje Aven

Robust Climate Policies Under Uncertainty: A Comparison of Robust Decision Making and Info‐Gap Methods pp. 1657-1672

Jim W. Hall, Robert J. Lempert, Klaus Keller, Andrew Hackbarth, Christophe Mijere and David J. McInerney

Multiobjective Prioritization Methodology and Decision Support System for Evaluating Inventory Enhancement Strategies for Disrupted Interdependent Sectors pp. 1673-1692

Joanna Resurreccion and Joost R. Santos

Media, Risk, and Absence of Blame for “Acts of God”: Attenuation of the European Volcanic Ash Cloud of 2010 pp. 1693-1702

Adam Burgess

Too Scared or Too Capable? Why Do College Students Stay Away from the H1N1 Vaccine? pp. 1703-1716

Z. Janet Yang

Are People Willing to Buy Natural Disaster Insurance in China? Risk Awareness, Insurance Acceptance, and Willingness to Pay pp. 1717-1740

Ming Wang, Chuan Liao, Saini Yang, Weiting Zhao, Min Liu and Peijun Shi

Analysis of Inland Crude Oil Spill Threats, Vulnerabilities, and Emergency Response in the Midwest United States pp. 1741-1749

Thomas M. Brody, Paisly Di Bianca and Jan Krysa

Benchmark Dose Analysis for Bacillus anthracis Inhalation Exposures in the Nonhuman Primate pp. 1750-1768

Sarah C. Taft and Stephanie A. Hines

A Quantitative Release Assessment for the Noncommercial Movement of Companion Animals: Risk of Rabies Reintroduction to the United Kingdom pp. 1769-1783

A. D. Goddard, N. M. Donaldson, D. L. Horton, R. Kosmider, L. A. Kelly, A. R. Sayers, A. C. Breed, C. M. Freuling, T. Müller, S. E. Shaw, G. Hallgren, A. R. Fooks and E. L. Snary

Optimal Design for the Precise Estimation of an Interaction Threshold: The Impact of Exposure to a Mixture of 18 Polyhalogenated Aromatic Hydrocarbons pp. 1784-1797

Sharon D. Yeatts, Chris Gennings and Kevin M. Crofton

A Risk Assessment of Campylobacteriosis and Salmonellosis Linked to Chicken Meals Prepared in Households in Dakar, Senegal pp. 1798-1819

Régis Pouillot, Benoit Garin, Noro Ravaonindrina, Kane Diop, Mahery Ratsitorahina, Domoina Ramanantsoa and Jocelyne Rocourt

Volume 32, issue 9, 2012

From the Editors pp. 1443-1443

Michael Greenberg and Karen Lowrie

“What—Me Worry?”“Why So Serious?”: A Personal View on the Fukushima Nuclear Reactor Accidents pp. 1444-1450

Raymond Gallucci

Systems‐Based Guiding Principles for Risk Modeling, Planning, Assessment, Management, and Communication pp. 1451-1467

Yacov Y. Haimes

Spatial and Temporal Variation in Evacuee Risk Perception Throughout the Evacuation and Return‐Entry Process pp. 1468-1480

Laura K. Siebeneck and Thomas J. Cova

A Review of Risk Perceptions and Other Factors that Influence Flood Mitigation Behavior pp. 1481-1495

P. Bubeck, Wouter Botzen and J. C. J. H. Aerts

What Do Lay People Want to Know About the Disposal of Nuclear Waste? A Mental Model Approach to the Design and Development of an Online Risk Communication pp. 1496-1511

A. Skarlatidou, T. Cheng and M. Haklay

Concern About HIV and AIDS Among Older People in the Slums of Nairobi, Kenya pp. 1512-1523

Gloria Chepngeno‐Langat, Jane C. Falkingham, Nyovani J. Madise and Maria Evandrou

Relative Risk Perception for Terrorism: Implications for Preparedness and Risk Communication pp. 1524-1534

Carlo Caponecchia

Perception of Earthquake Risk in Taiwan: Effects of Gender and Past Earthquake Experience pp. 1535-1546

Yi‐Wen Kung and Sue‐Huei Chen

Integrating a Top‐Down and a Bottom‐Up Approach: Formal and Informal Risk‐Handling Strategies in a Utility Company pp. 1547-1560

Peter Mascini and Yannis Bacharias

On the Risk Management and Risk Governance of Petroleum Operations in the Barents Sea Area pp. 1561-1575

Terje Aven and Ortwin Renn

The Description of Population Vulnerability in Quantitative Risk Analysis pp. 1576-1594

Sarah Bonvicini, Sara Ganapini, Gigliola Spadoni and Valerio Cozzani

Daily Inhalation Rate and Time‐Activity/Location Pattern in Japanese Preschool Children pp. 1595-1604

Junko Kawahara, Shigeho Tanaka, Chiaki Tanaka, Yasunobu Aoki and Junzo Yonemoto

Volume 32, issue 8, 2012

Introduction to the Special Issue: Insights and Applications from Financial Risk Analysis pp. 1275-1276

Arcady Novosyolov and Louis Anthony (Tony) Cox

Mean‐Deviation Analysis in the Theory of Choice pp. 1277-1292

Bogdan Grechuk, Anton Molyboha and Michael Zabarankin

Quantile Uncertainty and Value‐at‐Risk Model Risk pp. 1293-1308

Carol Alexander and José María Sarabia

Optimal Security Investments and Extreme Risk pp. 1309-1325

Hamid Mohtadi and Swati Agiwal

Doing Our Best: Optimization and the Management of Risk pp. 1326-1332

Yakov Ben‐Haim

Cognitive Mapping Tools: Review and Risk Management Needs pp. 1333-1348

Matthew D. Wood, Ann Bostrom, Todd Bridges and Igor Linkov

Flood Risk Management: US Army Corps of Engineers and Layperson Perceptions pp. 1349-1368

Matthew Wood, Daniel Kovacs, Ann Bostrom, Todd Bridges and Igor Linkov

The Informed Society: An Analysis of the Public's Information‐Seeking Behavior Regarding Coastal Flood Risks pp. 1369-1381

Wim Kellens, Ruud Zaalberg and Philippe De Maeyer

Water Pollution Risk Associated with Natural Gas Extraction from the Marcellus Shale pp. 1382-1393

Daniel J. Rozell and Sheldon J. Reaven

Trust, Confidence, Procedural Fairness, Outcome Fairness, Moral Conviction, and the Acceptance of GM Field Experiments pp. 1394-1403

Michael Siegrist, Melanie Connor and Carmen Keller

Lessons Learned from Toulouse and Buncefield Disasters: From Risk Analysis Failures to the Identification of Atypical Scenarios Through a Better Knowledge Management pp. 1404-1419

Nicola Paltrinieri, Nicolas Dechy, Ernesto Salzano, Mike Wardman and Valerio Cozzani

A Probabilistic Transmission and Population Dynamic Model to Assess Tuberculosis Infection Risk pp. 1420-1432

Chung‐Min Liao, Yi‐Hsien Cheng, Yi‐Jun Lin, Nan‐Hung Hsieh, Tang‐Luen Huang, Chia‐Pin Chio, Szu‐Chieh Chen and Min‐Pei Ling

Comparative Assessment of Analytical Approaches to Quantify the Risk for Introduction of Rare Animal Diseases: The Example of Avian Influenza in Spain pp. 1433-1440

Fernando Sánchez‐Vizcaíno, Andrés Perez, Beatriz Martínez‐López and José Manuel Sánchez‐Vizcaíno

Volume 32, issue 7, 2012

From the Editors pp. 1109-1110

Michael Greenberg and Karen Lowrie

Subject: Editor's Choice, Risk Analysis, 2011; 31(3) pp. 1111-1112

Sarah Weinstein

Daniel Kahneman: How We Think and Choose pp. 1113-1116

Michael Greenberg and Karen Lowrie

Modeling Intelligent Adversaries for Terrorism Risk Assessment: Some Necessary Conditions for Adversary Models pp. 1117-1121

Seth Guikema

Considering the Risk of Infection by Cryptosporidium via Consumption of Municipally Treated Drinking Water from a Surface Water Source in a Southwestern Ontario Community pp. 1122-1138

K. D. M. Pintar, A. Fazil, F. Pollari, D. Waltner‐Toews, D. F. Charron, S. A. McEwen and T. Walton

Structured Expert Elicitation About Listeria monocytogenes Cross‐Contamination in the Environment of Retail Deli Operations in the United States pp. 1139-1156

Karin Hoelzer, Haley F. Oliver, Larry R. Kohl, Jill Hollingsworth, Martin T. Wells and Martin Wiedmann

The Value of Reducing Cancer Risks at Contaminated Sites: Are More Knowledgeable People Willing to Pay More? pp. 1157-1182

Stefania Tonin, Anna Alberini and Margherita Turvani

Sustaining Critical Social Services During Extended Regional Power Blackouts pp. 1183-1193

Anu Narayanan and M. Granger Morgan

Public Perceptions of Hurricane Modification pp. 1194-1206

Kelly Klima, Wändi Bruine de Bruin, M. Granger Morgan and Iris Grossmann

Monotonic Bayesian Semiparametric Benchmark Dose Analysis pp. 1207-1218

Matthew Wheeler and A. John Bailer

Adversarial Risk Analysis with Incomplete Information: A Level‐k Approach pp. 1219-1231

Casey Rothschild, Laura McLay and Seth Guikema

Competing Statistical Methods for the Fitting of Normal Species Sensitivity Distributions: Recommendations for Practitioners pp. 1232-1243

Graeme L. Hickey and Peter S. Craig

Evaluating and Improving Risk Formulas for Allocating Limited Budgets to Expensive Risk‐Reduction Opportunities pp. 1244-1252

Louis Anthony (Tony) Cox,

Decision Analysis and Risk Models for Land Development Affecting Infrastructure Systems pp. 1253-1269

Shital A. Thekdi and James H. Lambert

Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman Nudge: Improving Decisions about Health, Wealth, and Happiness by Richard H. Thaler and Cass R. Sunstein The Better Angels of Our Nature: Why Violence Has Declined by Steven Pinker pp. 1270-1272

D. Warner North

Volume 32, issue 6, 2012

From the Editors pp. 947-947

Michael Greenberg and Karen Lowrie

From the Book Review Editor pp. 948-948

Sally M. Kane

Letter to the Editor pp. 949-950

Robert G. Ahern and Robert L. Griffin

Climate Change Risk Perception and Communication: Addressing a Critical Moment? pp. 951-956

Nick Pidgeon

The Psychological Distance of Climate Change pp. 957-972

Alexa Spence, Wouter Poortinga and Nick Pidgeon

Climate Change Communication: A Provocative Inquiry into Motives, Meanings, and Means pp. 973-991

Branden B. Johnson

Unquestioned Answers or Unanswered Questions: Beliefs About Science Guide Responses to Uncertainty in Climate Change Risk Communication pp. 992-1002

Anna Rabinovich and Thomas A. Morton

The Interplay Between Knowledge, Perceived Efficacy, and Concern About Global Warming and Climate Change: A One‐Year Longitudinal Study pp. 1003-1020

Taciano L. Milfont

The Rise of Global Warming Skepticism: Exploring Affective Image Associations in the United States Over Time pp. 1021-1032

Nicholas Smith and Anthony Leiserowitz

Risk Communication, Public Engagement, and Climate Change: A Role for Emotions pp. 1033-1040

Sabine Roeser

Rural Nevada and Climate Change: Vulnerability, Beliefs, and Risk Perception pp. 1041-1059

Ahmad Saleh Safi, William James Smith and Zhnongwei Liu

Extended GTST‐MLD for Aerospace System Safety Analysis pp. 1060-1071

Chiming Guo, Shiyu Gong, Lin Tan and Bo Guo

A Bayesian Method to Mine Spatial Data Sets to Evaluate the Vulnerability of Human Beings to Catastrophic Risk pp. 1072-1092

Lianfa Li, Jinfeng Wang, Hareton Leung and Sisi Zhao

Modeling Exotic Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Virus Entrance Risk Through Air Passenger Violations pp. 1093-1103

Jyh‐Mirn Lai, Yi‐Ting Hwang and Chin‐Cheng Chou

Poverty and Risk: A Review of Poor Economics: A Radical Rethinking of the Way to Fight Global Poverty by Abhijit V. Banerjee and Esther Duflo pp. 1104-1108

Louis Anthony (Tony) Cox,

Volume 32, issue 5, 2012

From the Editors pp. 763-764

Michael Greenberg and Karen Lowrie

Miscommunicating Risk, Uncertainty, and Causation: Fine Particulate Air Pollution and Mortality Risk as an Example pp. 765-767

Louis Anthony (Tony) Cox

Response to Cox Letter: “Miscommunicating Risk, Uncertainty, and Causation: Fine Particulate Air Pollution and Mortality Risk as an Example” pp. 768-770

Neal Fann, Amy D. Lamson, Susan C. Anenberg, Karen Wesson, David Risley and Bryan Hubbell

Ten Most Important Accomplishments in Risk Analysis, 1980–2010 pp. 771-781

Michael Greenberg, Charles Haas, Anthony Cox, Karen Lowrie, Katherine McComas and Warner North

The Health Impact of Mandatory Bicycle Helmet Laws pp. 782-790

Piet de Jong

Examining the Health‐Risk Tradeoffs of Mandatory Bicycle Helmet Laws pp. 791-798

Stephen Newbold

Response pp. 799-800

Piet de Jong

Do People Believe Combined Hazards Can Present Synergistic Risks? pp. 801-815

Ian G. J. Dawson, Johnnie E. V. Johnson and Michelle A. Luke

Reassessing the Human Health Benefits from Cleaner Air pp. 816-829

Louis Anthony (Tony) Cox

Evaluation of the Benchmark Dose for Point of Departure Determination for a Variety of Chemical Classes in Applied Regulatory Settings pp. 830-835

Hoda Izadi, Jean E. Grundy and Ranjan Bose

Shortcuts in Complex Engineering Systems: A Principal‐Agent Approach to Risk Management pp. 836-854

Russ Garber and Elisabeth Paté‐Cornell

The Quality and Use of Regulatory Analysis in 2008 pp. 855-880

Jerry Ellig and Patrick A. McLaughlin

Quantifying Experts’ Uncertainty About the Future Cost of Exotic Diseases pp. 881-893

John Paul Gosling, Andy Hart, David C. Mouat, Mirzet Sabirovic, Simon Scanlan and Alick Simmons

Adversarial Risk Analysis for Counterterrorism Modeling pp. 894-915

Jesus Rios and David Rios Insua

Effect of Detection Methods on Risk Estimates of Exposure to Biosolids‐Associated Human Enteric Viruses pp. 916-929

Arun Kumar, Kelvin Wong and Irene Xagoraraki

Robust Allocation of a Defensive Budget Considering an Attacker's Private Information pp. 930-943

Mohammad E. Nikoofal and Jun Zhuang

Dust: The Inside Story of Its Role in the September 11th Aftermath by Lioy, Paul J pp. 944-945

Tee L. Guidotti

Volume 32, issue 4, 2012

Risk Perception and Behaviors: Anticipating and Responding to Crises pp. 579-582

William J. Burns and Paul Slovic

Assessment of the Regional Economic Impacts of Catastrophic Events: CGE Analysis of Resource Loss and Behavioral Effects of an RDD Attack Scenario pp. 583-600

James Giesecke, W. J. Burns, A. Barrett, Ergin Bayrak, A. Rose, P. Slovic and M. Suher

Communicating Actionable Risk for Terrorism and Other Hazards⋆ pp. 601-615

Michele M. Wood, Dennis S. Mileti, Megumi Kano, Melissa M. Kelley, Rotrease Regan and Linda B. Bourque

The Protective Action Decision Model: Theoretical Modifications and Additional Evidence pp. 616-632

Michael K. Lindell and Ronald W. Perry

The Value of Instructional Communication in Crisis Situations: Restoring Order to Chaos pp. 633-643

Timothy L. Sellnow, Deanna D. Sellnow, Derek R. Lane and Robert S. Littlefield

Policy Tenure Under the U.S. National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) pp. 644-658

Erwann Michel‐Kerjan, Sabine Lemoyne de Forges and Howard Kunreuther

Risk Perception and the Economic Crisis: A Longitudinal Study of the Trajectory of Perceived Risk pp. 659-677

William J. Burns, Ellen Peters and Paul Slovic

Toxics, Toyotas, and Terrorism: The Behavioral Economics of Fear and Stigma pp. 678-694

William Schulze and Brian Wansink

Predicting Psychological Ripple Effects: The Role of Cultural Identity, In‐Group/Out‐Group Identification, and Attributions of Blame in Crisis Communication pp. 695-712

Deepa Anagondahalli and Monique Mitchell Turner

Differentiating Conflicts in Beliefs Versus Value Tradeoffs in the Domestic Intelligence Policy Debate pp. 713-728

Robin L. Dillon, Genevieve Lester, Richard S. John and Catherine H. Tinsley

Flu, Risks, and Videotape: Escalating Fear and Avoidance pp. 729-743

Heather Rosoff, Richard S. John and Fynnwin Prager

The Dynamics of Evolving Beliefs, Concerns Emotions, and Behavioral Avoidance Following 9/11: A Longitudinal Analysis of Representative Archival Samples pp. 744-761

Shelly C. McArdle, Heather Rosoff and Richard S. John

Volume 32, issue 3, 2012

From the Editors pp. 361-362

Michael Greenberg and Karen Lowrie

On Frequency pp. 363-367

Ted Yellman

Why Frequency is Not Well Defined for Engineering Systems with Nonexponential Failure Times pp. 368-372

Louis Anthony (Tony) Cox,

Response pp. 373-373

B. John Garrick

Using Our Brains to Develop Better Policy pp. 374-380

Igor Linkov, Susan Cormier, Joshua Gold, F. Kyle Satterstrom and Todd Bridges

Foodborne Exposure to Pesticides and Methylmercury in the United Arab Emirates pp. 381-394

Christopher A. Davidson, Leigh‐Anne H. Krometis, Suaad S. Al‐Harthi and Jacqueline MacDonald Gibson

Hierarchical Bayesian Models to Assess Between‐ and Within‐Batch Variability of Pathogen Contamination in Food pp. 395-415

Natalie Commeau, Marie Cornu, Isabelle Albert, Jean‐Baptiste Denis and Eric Parent

Utilization Survey of a Rural Creek Fishery in Central Alabama pp. 416-432

Ellen S. Ebert, Natalie Wilson, Mitch Wacksman, John R. Loper, John D. Schell and Alan Fowler

Meta‐Analysis of Mass‐Balance Studies of Soil Ingestion in Children pp. 433-447

Edward J. Stanek, Edward J. Calabrese and Bo Xu

Equation Reliability of Soil Ingestion Estimates in Mass‐Balance Soil Ingestion Studies pp. 448-463

Edward J. Stanek, Bo Xu and Edward J. Calabrese

Affective Imagery and Acceptance of Replacing Nuclear Power Plants pp. 464-477

Carmen Keller, Vivianne Visschers and Michael Siegrist

The Affect Heuristic, Correspondence Analysis, and Understanding LULUs pp. 478-480

Michael R. Greenberg

The Content and Not Only the Valence of Spontaneous Associations Should Be Analyzed pp. 481-482

Carmen Keller, Vivianne H. M. Visschers and Michael Siegrist

Risk Perceptions in a Resource Community and Communication Implications: Emotion, Stigma, and Identity pp. 483-495

Barbara Miller and Janas Sinclair

An Overview of Maritime Waterway Quantitative Risk Assessment Models pp. 496-512

Suyi Li, Qiang Meng and Xiaobo Qu

Tracking National and Regional Spatial‐Temporal Mortality Risk Associated with NO2 Concentrations in Canada: A Bayesian Hierarchical Two‐Level Model pp. 513-530

Hwashin Hyun Shin, Dave Stieb, Rick Burnett, Glen Takahara and Barry Jessiman

Detecting Nuclear Materials Smuggling: Performance Evaluation of Container Inspection Policies pp. 531-554

Gary M. Gaukler, Chenhua Li, Yu Ding and Sunil S. Chirayath

Dose‐Response Assessment for Influenza A Virus Based on Data Sets of Infection with its Live Attenuated Reassortants pp. 555-565

Toru Watanabe, Timothy A. Bartrand, Tatsuo Omura and Charles N. Haas

Risk Assessment of Major Hazards and its Application in Urban Planning: A Case Study pp. 566-577

Yafei Zhou and Mao Liu

Volume 32, issue 2, 2012

From the Editors pp. 185-186

Michael Greenberg and Karen Lowrie

Why Income Inequality Indexes Do Not Apply to Health Risks pp. 192-196

Louis Anthony (Tony) Cox

Response pp. 197-199

Neal Fann, Henry A. Roman, Charles M. Fulcher, Mikael A. Gentile, Bryan Hubbell, Karen Wesson and Jonathan I. Levy

Cost‐Benefit Analysis of Passive Fire Protections in Road LPG Transportation pp. 200-219

Nicola Paltrinieri, Sarah Bonvicini, Gigliola Spadoni and Valerio Cozzani

Commentary pp. 220-221

D. Warner North

Response to Warner North pp. 222-223

Nicola Paltrinieri, Sarah Bonvicini, Gigliola Spadoni and Valerio Cozzani

Biogeographical Analysis of Chemical Co‐Occurrence Data to Identify Priorities for Mixtures Research pp. 224-236

Rogelio Tornero‐Velez, Peter P. Egeghy and Elaine A. Cohen Hubal

Current and Future Particulate‐Matter‐Related Mortality Risks in the United States from Aviation Emissions During Landing and Takeoff pp. 237-249

Jonathan I. Levy, Matthew Woody, Bok Haeng Baek, Uma Shankar and Saravanan Arunachalam

Generalized Haber's Law for Exponential Concentration Decline, with Application to Riparian‐Aquatic Pesticide Ecotoxicity pp. 250-258

Kenneth T. Bogen and Richard Reiss

The Influence of Mapped Hazards on Risk Beliefs: A Proximity‐Based Modeling Approach pp. 259-280

Dolores J. Severtson and James E. Burt

The Semantic Distinction Between “Risk” and “Danger”: A Linguistic Analysis pp. 281-293

Max Boholm

Estimating Conditional Probabilities of Terrorist Attacks: Modeling Adversaries with Uncertain Value Tradeoffs pp. 294-303

E. S. Levine

Resource Distribution in Multiple Attacks with Imperfect Detection of the Attack Outcome pp. 304-318

Gregory Levitin and Kjell Hausken

Identifying Changing Aviation Threat Environments Within an Adaptive Homeland Security Advisory System pp. 319-329

Adrian J. Lee and Sheldon H. Jacobson

Event‐Tree Analysis with Imprecise Probabilities pp. 330-344

Xiaomin You and Fulvio Tonon

A Gradient Markov Chain Monte Carlo Algorithm for Computing Multivariate Maximum Likelihood Estimates and Posterior Distributions: Mixture Dose‐Response Assessment pp. 345-359

Ruochen Li, James D. Englehardt and Xiaoguang Li

Volume 32, issue 1, 2012

From the Editors pp. 1-2

Michael Greenberg and Karen Lowrie

Letter to the Editor pp. 3-6

Yacov Y. Haimes, Joost R. Santos, Chenyang Lian, Kenneth Crowther and Kash Barker

On the Sensitivity Analysis of the IIM: A Rejoinder pp. 7-8

Marco Percoco

Biosecurity Policy and the Use of Geospatial Predictive Tools to Address Invasive Plants: Updating the Risk Analysis Toolbox pp. 9-15

Cory J. Lindgren

Defending the Conception of “Objective Risk” pp. 16-24

Helene Hermansson

Does Fairness Matter in the Context of Anger About Nuclear Energy Decision Making? pp. 25-38

John C. Besley

Experience with Urban Air Pollution in Paterson, New Jersey and Implications for Air Pollution Communication pp. 39-53

Branden B. Johnson

Risk Perception and Information Processing: The Development and Validation of a Questionnaire to Assess Self‐Reported Information Processing pp. 54-66

Chris M. R. Smerecnik, Ilse Mesters, Math J. J. M. Candel, Hein De Vries and Nanne K. De Vries

Risk Management in a Developing Country Context: Improving Decisions About Point‐of‐Use Water Treatment Among the Rural Poor in Africa pp. 67-80

Joseph Arvai and Kristianna Post

Estimating the National Public Health Burden Associated with Exposure to Ambient PM2.5 and Ozone pp. 81-95

Neal Fann, Amy D. Lamson, Susan C. Anenberg, Karen Wesson, David Risley and Bryan Hubbell

Validation of a Novel Air Toxic Risk Model with Air Monitoring pp. 96-112

Gregory C. Pratt, Mary Dymond, Kristie Ellickson and Jesse Thé

Psychological Mediators of the Sport Injury—Perceived Risk Relationship pp. 113-121

Thomas Deroche, Yannick Stephan, Tim Woodman and Christine Le Scanff

Methodology for Setting Risk‐Based Concentrations of Contaminants in Soil and Groundwater and Application to a Model Contaminated Site pp. 122-137

Aiichiro Fujinaga, Iwao Uchiyama, Shinsuke Morisawa, Minoru Yoneda and Yuzuru Sasamoto

The Crucial Role of Nomothetic and Idiographic Conceptions of Time: Interdisciplinary Collaboration in Nuclear Waste Management pp. 138-154

Corinne Moser, Michael Stauffacher, Pius Krütli and Roland W. Scholz

Precision of Information, Sensational Information, and Self‐Efficacy Information as Message‐Level Variables Affecting Risk Perceptions pp. 155-166

Michael F. Dahlstrom, Anthony Dudo and Dominique Brossard

Characterizing the Performance of the Conway‐Maxwell Poisson Generalized Linear Model pp. 167-183

Royce A. Francis, Srinivas Reddy Geedipally, Seth D. Guikema, Soma Sekhar Dhavala, Dominique Lord and Sarah LaRocca