Risk Analysis

1981 - 2021

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Volume 25, issue 6, 2005

Some Limitations of a Proposed Linear Model for Antimicrobial Risk Management pp. 1327-1332

Louis Anthony (Tony) Cox

Interdisciplinary Vision: The First 25 Years of the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA), 1980–2005 pp. 1333-1386

Kimberly M. Thompson, Paul F. Deisler and Richard C. Schwing

Dangerous Climate Change: The Role for Risk Research pp. 1387-1398

Irene Lorenzoni, Nick F. Pidgeon and Robert E. O'Connor

Defining Dangerous Anthropogenic Interference: The Role of Science, the Limits of Science pp. 1399-1407

Michael Oppenheimer

Climate Change and Human Health: Estimating Avoidable Deaths and Disease pp. 1409-1418

R. Sari Kovats, Diarmid Campbell‐Lendrum and Franziska Matthies

Eliciting Information from Experts on the Likelihood of Rapid Climate Change pp. 1419-1431

Nigel W. Arnell, Emma L. Tompkins and W. Neil Adger

American Risk Perceptions: Is Climate Change Dangerous? pp. 1433-1442

Anthony A. Leiserowitz

Rapid Climate Change and Society: Assessing Responses and Thresholds pp. 1443-1456

Simon Niemeyer, Judith Petts and Kersty Hobson

Cultural Circuits of Climate Change in U.K. Broadsheet Newspapers, 1985–2003 pp. 1457-1469

Anabela Carvalho and Jacquelin Burgess

Dangerous News: Media Decision Making about Climate Change Risk pp. 1471-1482

Joe Smith

The 2003 Heat Wave in France: Dangerous Climate Change Here and Now pp. 1483-1494

Marc Poumadère, Claire Mays, Sophie Le Mer and Russell Blong

Consortium for Atlantic Regional Assessment: Information Tools for Community Adaptation to Changes in Climate or Land Use pp. 1495-1509

Rachael Dempsey and Ann Fisher

Sensitivity Analysis of a Two‐Dimensional Probabilistic Risk Assessment Model Using Analysis of Variance pp. 1511-1529

Amirhossein Mokhtari and H. Christopher Frey

Treating and Drinking Well Water in the Presence of Health Risks from Arsenic Contamination: Results from a U.S. Hot Spot pp. 1531-1543

W. Shaw, Mark Walker and Marnee Benson

Weight of Evidence: A Review of Concept and Methods pp. 1545-1557

Douglas L. Weed

Use of a Chemical Probe to Increase Safety for Human Volunteers in Toxicokinetic Studies pp. 1559-1571

Céline Brochot and Frédéric Y. Bois

Dietary and Inhalation Intake of Lead and Estimation of Blood Lead Levels in Adults and Children in Kanpur, India pp. 1573-1588

Mukesh Sharma, Mayank Maheshwari and S. Morisawa

Heterogeneity of Cancer Risk Due to Stochastic Effects pp. 1589-1594

Wolfgang F. Heidenreich

Can Ecologists Heat Up the Discussion on Invasive Species Risk? pp. 1595-1597

J. M. Bossenbroek, J. McNulty and R. P. Keller

Do Users Ignore Spatial Data Quality? A Decision‐Theoretic Perspective pp. 1599-1610

P. A. J. Van Oort and A. K. Bregt

Variance Estimators for Three “Probabilities of Causation” pp. 1611-1620

Zhihong Cai and Manabu Kuroki

Development of a Preliminary Framework for Informing the Risk Analysis and Risk Management of Nanoparticles pp. 1621-1635

Kara Morgan

Modeling the Risks of Nonindigenous Species Introductions Using a Patch‐Dynamics Approach Incorporating Contaminant Effects as a Disturbance pp. 1637-1651

Andrew M. Deines, Valerie C. Chen and Wayne G. Landis

Measurement and Pricing of Risk in Insurance Markets pp. 1653-1668

Andreas Tsanakas and Evangelia Desli

Accounting for Both Random Errors and Systematic Errors in Uncertainty Propagation Analysis of Computer Models Involving Experimental Measurements with Monte Carlo Methods pp. 1669-1681

Victor R. Vasquez and Wallace B. Whiting

Book Review pp. 1685-1687

Tomas Öberg

Volume 25, issue 5, 2005

Risk Analysis for Environmental Health Triage pp. 1085-1095

Kenneth T. Bogen

A Probabilistic Transmission Dynamic Model to Assess Indoor Airborne Infection Risks pp. 1097-1107

Chung‐Min Liao, Chao‐Fang Chang and Huang‐Min Liang

How Much Uncertainty is Too Much and How Do We Know? A Case Example of the Assessment of Ozone Monitor Network Options pp. 1109-1120

Cynthia H. Stahl and Alan J. Cimorelli

A Risk Analysis Model of the Relationship Between Beverage Consumption from School Vending Machines and Risk of Adolescent Overweight pp. 1121-1135

Richard A. Forshee, Maureen L. Storey and Michael E. Ginevan

Influence of Distributional Shape of Substance Parameters on Exposure Model Output pp. 1137-1145

Kai Lessmann, Andreas Beyer, Jörg Klasmeier and Michael Matthies

Model Averaging Using the Kullback Information Criterion in Estimating Effective Doses for Microbial Infection and Illness pp. 1147-1159

Hojin Moon, Hyun‐Joo Kim, James J. Chen and Ralph L. Kodell

Forecasting Spanish Natural Life Expectancy pp. 1161-1170

Montserrat Guillen and Antoni Vidiella‐i‐Anguera

Stochastically Modeling Listeria Monocytogenes Growth in Farm Tank Milk pp. 1171-1185

Isabelle Albert, Régis Pouillot and Jean‐Baptiste Denis

Information Specificity and Hazard Risk Potential as Moderators of Trust Asymmetry pp. 1187-1198

Mathew P. White and J. Richard Eiser

Using Choice Experiments to Assess People's Preferences for Railway Transports of Hazardous Materials pp. 1199-1214

Lena Winslott Hiselius

Precautionary Regulation in Europe and the United States: A Quantitative Comparison pp. 1215-1228

James Hammitt, Jonathan B. Wiener, Brendon Swedlow, Denise Kall and Zheng Zhou

Risk Perception and Technological Development at a Societal Level pp. 1229-1239

Maria Luisa Lima, Julie Barnett and Jorge Vala

Who Does the Public Trust? The Case of Genetically Modified Food in the United States pp. 1241-1252

John T. Lang and William K. Hallman

Perception of Mobile Phone and Base Station Risks pp. 1253-1264

Michael Siegrist, Timothy C. Earle, Heinz Gutscher and Carmen Keller

Feeling at Risk Matters: Water Managers and the Decision to Use Forecasts pp. 1265-1275

Robert E. O'Connor, Brent Yarnal, Kirstin Dow, Christine L. Jocoy and Gregory J. Carbone

Sensitivity Analysis for Computer Model Projections of Hurricane Losses pp. 1277-1297

Ronald L. Iman, Mark E. Johnson and Charles C. Watson

Uncertainty Analysis for Computer Model Projections of Hurricane Losses pp. 1299-1312

Ronald L. Iman, Mark E. Johnson and Charles C. Watson

Functional Approximation and Optimal Specification of the Mechanical Risk Index pp. 1313-1323

Mark J. Kaiser and Allan G. Pulsipher

Book Review pp. 1325-1326

Major Barry Charles Ezell

Volume 25, issue 4, 2005

What Is a Life Worth? Robustness of VSL Values from Contingent Valuation Surveys pp. 783-800

Anna Alberini

Estimating the Health Impacts of Tobacco Harm Reduction Policies: A Simulation Modeling Approach pp. 801-812

Sajjad Ahmad and John Billimek

Risk Perception of the “Mad Cow Disease” in France: Determinants and Consequences pp. 813-826

Michel Setbon, Jocelyn Raude, Claude Fischler and Antoine Flahault

Optimal Tracking and Testing of U.S. and Canadian Herds for BSE: A Value‐of‐Information (VOI) Approach pp. 827-840

Louis Anthony Cox, Douglas A. Popken, John J. VanSickle and Ranajit Sahu

An Interagency Comparison of Screening‐Level Risk Assessment Approaches pp. 841-853

Heather A. Jones‐Otazo, Miriam L. Diamond and G. Mark Richardson

Cellular Telephones and Driving Performance: The Effects of Attentional Demands on Motor Vehicle Crash Risk pp. 855-866

James Hunton and Jacob M. Rose

Why Has Safety Improved at Rail‐Highway Grade Crossings? pp. 867-881

Shannon C. Mok and Ian Savage

A Benefit‐Cost Analysis of Retrofitting Diesel Vehicles with Particulate Filters in the Mexico City Metropolitan Area pp. 883-899

Gretchen Stevens, Andrew Wilson and James Hammitt

Risk Management and the Precautionary Principle: A Fuzzy Logic Model pp. 901-911

Enrico Cameron and Gian Francesco Peloso

Benchmark Analysis: Shopping with Proper Confidence pp. 913-920

Walter W. Piegorsch and R. Webster West

A Numerical Solution to the Nonhomogeneous Two‐Stage MVK Model of Cancer pp. 921-926

Kenny S. Crump, Ravi P. Subramaniam and Cynthia B. Van Landingham

Developing Policy in the Face of Scientific Uncertainty: Interpreting 0.3 μT or 0.4 μT Cutpoints from EMF Epidemiologic Studies pp. 927-935

Leeka Kheifets, Jack D. Sahl, Riti Shimkhada and Mike H. Repacholi

Mesothelioma: Risk Apportionment Among Asbestos Exposure Sources pp. 937-943

Bertram Price and Adam Ware

Exposure Reconstruction for the TCDD‐Exposed NIOSH Cohort Using a Concentration‐ and Age‐Dependent Model of Elimination pp. 945-956

Lesa L. Aylward, Robert C. Brunet, Thomas B. Starr, Gaétan Carrier, Elizabeth Delzell, Hong Cheng and Colleen Beall

Benchmark Dose of Lead Inducing Anemia at the Workplace pp. 957-962

Kanae Karita, Eiji Yano, Miwako Dakeishi, Toyoto Iwata and Katsuyuki Murata

Using Bayesian Networks to Model Expected and Unexpected Operational Losses pp. 963-972

Martin Neil, Norman Fenton and Manesh Tailor

Competing Failure Risk Analysis Using Evidence Theory pp. 973-995

Jon C. Helton, William L. Oberkampf and Jay D. Johnson

Improbability of Igneous Intrusion Promoting a Critical Event in Spent Nuclear Fuel Disposed in Unsaturated Tuff pp. 997-1028

Rob P. Rechard and Martin S. Tierney

Understanding Organizational Safety Using Value‐Focused Thinking pp. 1029-1041

Jason R. W. Merrick, Martha Grabowski, Premnath Ayyalasomayajula and John R. Harrald

Genetic Diversity of Invasive Species in the Great Lakes Versus Their Eurasian Source Populations: Insights for Risk Analysis pp. 1043-1060

Carol A. Stepien, Joshua E. Brown, Matthew E. Neilson and Mark A. Tumeo

Integrating Software into PRA: A Test‐Based Approach pp. 1061-1077

Bin Li, Ming Li and Carol Smidts

Book Reviews: 1 pp. 1079-1080

Maribeth Weiss

Book Reviews: 2 pp. 1080-1081

Sebastien Brunet

Managing Risks of Catastrophic and Extreme Events pp. 1083-1083

Yacov Y. Haimes

Volume 25, issue 3, 2005

The 1991 Cholera Epidemic in Peru: Not a Case of Precaution Gone Awry pp. 495-502

Joel Tickner and Tami Gouveia‐Vigeant

Improving Food Safety in the Domestic Environment: The Need for a Transdisciplinary Approach pp. 503-517

Arnout R. H. Fischer, Aarieke E. I. De Jong, Rob De Jonge, Lynn J. Frewer and Maarten J. Nauta

Transmissible Spongiform Encephalopathy Risk Assessment: The UK experience pp. 519-532

Eric P. M. Grist

Quantitative Risk Assessment of Rabies Entering Great Britain from North America via Cats and Dogs pp. 533-542

Rowena D. Jones, Louise Kelly, Anthony R. Fooks and Marion Wooldridge

Public Perceptions of Risk to Forest Biodiversity pp. 543-553

Bonita L. McFarlane

The Greater Ability of Graphical Versus Numerical Displays to Increase Risk Avoidance Involves a Common Mechanism pp. 555-566

James A. Schirillo and Eric R. Stone

A Disciplinary Perspective on the Epistemological Status of Risk pp. 567-588

Catherine E. Althaus

What's Time Got to Do with It? Inattention to Duration in Interpretation of Survival Graphs pp. 589-595

Brian J. Zikmund‐Fisher, Angela Fagerlin and Peter A. Ubel

Communicating Asset Risk: How Name Recognition and the Format of Historic Volatility Information Affect Risk Perception and Investment Decisions pp. 597-609

Elke U. Weber, Niklas Siebenmorgen and Martin Weber

Risk Perception of Heavy Metal Soil Contamination by High‐Exposed and Low‐Exposed Inhabitants: The Role of Knowledge and Emotional Concerns pp. 611-622

Dirk Grasmück and Roland W. Scholz

“A 30% Chance of Rain Tomorrow”: How Does the Public Understand Probabilistic Weather Forecasts? pp. 623-629

Gerd Gigerenzer, Ralph Hertwig, Eva Van Den Broek, Barbara Fasolo and Konstantinos V. Katsikopoulos

Testing and Expanding a Model of Cognitive Processing of Risk Information pp. 631-650

Branden B. Johnson

Some Limitations of Qualitative Risk Rating Systems pp. 651-662

Louis Anthony (Tony) Cox, Djangir Babayev and William Huber

Quantitative Analysis of Variability and Uncertainty with Known Measurement Error: Methodology and Case Study pp. 663-675

Junyu Zheng and H. Christopher Frey

Duration Adjustment of Acute Exposure Guideline Level Values for Trichloroethylene Using a Physiologically‐Based Pharmacokinetic Model pp. 677-686

William K. Boyes, Marina V. Evans, Christopher Eklund, Paul Janssen and Jane Ellen Simmons

Validation of a Method for Estimating Long‐Term Exposures Based on Short‐Term Measurements pp. 687-694

Lance Wallace and Ronald Williams

Approximations and Heuristics for the “Cause‐Modified” Life Table pp. 695-709

Kevin P. Brand

Empirical Bayes and Adjusted Estimates Approach to Estimating the Relation of Mortality to Exposure of PM10 pp. 711-718

Alain Le Tertre, Joel Schwartz and Giota Touloumi

Hazardous Factories: Nigerian Evidence pp. 719-730

Olajide Oloyede

Assessing Uncertainty in Simulation‐Based Maritime Risk Assessment pp. 731-743

Jason R. W. Merrick, J. Rene Van Dorp and Varun Dinesh

Priority Setting for the Distribution of Localized Hazard Protection pp. 745-752

James H. Lambert and Thomas Turley

An Ecological Risk Assessment of Nonnative Boas and Pythons as Potentially Invasive Species in the United States pp. 753-766

Robert N. Reed

BOOK REVIEWS: 1 pp. 769-771

Valentina Fomenko

BOOK REVIEWS: 2 pp. 771-773

David Dodge

BOOK REVIEWS: 3 pp. 773-775

James F. Nieberding

BOOK REVIEWS: 4 pp. 775-778

David M. Clarke

BOOK REVIEWS: 6 pp. 775-775

Alie Muneer

BOOK REVIEWS: 5 pp. 778-779

Claire Franklin

Volume 25, issue 2, 2005

Letter to the Editor pp. 229-229

David H. Root

Tolerable or Acceptable: A Comparison of Risk Regulation in the United Kingdom and in the Netherlands pp. 231-241

B. J. M. Ale

Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis in Assessment of the Thyroid Cancer Risk Related to Chernobyl Fallout in Eastern France pp. 243-252

Olivier Catelinois, Dominique Laurier, Pierre Verger, Agnès Rogel, Marc Colonna, Marianne Ignasiak, Denis Hémon and Margot Tirmarche

Residential Radon in Canada: An Uncertainty Analysis of Population and Individual Lung Cancer Risk pp. 253-269

Kevin P. Brand, Jan M. Zielinski and Daniel Krewski

Using Physiologically‐Based Pharmacokinetic Modeling to Address Nonlinear Kinetics and Changes in Rodent Physiology and Metabolism Due to Aging and Adaptation in Deriving Reference Values for Propylene Glycol Methyl Ether and Propylene Glycol Methyl Ether Acetate pp. 271-284

C. R. Kirman, L. M. Sweeney, R. Corley and M. L. Gargas

Quantitative Estimates of Risk for Noncancer Endpoints pp. 285-289

Harvey J. Clewell and Kenny S. Crump

Model Uncertainty and Risk Estimation for Experimental Studies of Quantal Responses pp. 291-299

A. John Bailer, Robert B. Noble and Matthew W. Wheeler

Development of the PEARLS Model (Particulate Exposure from Ambient to Regional Lung by Subgroup) and Use of Monte Carlo Simulation to Predict Internal Exposure to PM2.5 in Toronto pp. 301-315

Stephanie K. Gower and Stephen McColl

Probability Distributions for Showering and Bathing Water‐Use Behavior for Various U.S. Subpopulations pp. 317-337

Charles R. Wilkes, Andrea D. Mason and Stephen C. Hern

A Multilayered Box Model for Calculating Preliminary Remediation Goals in Soil Screening pp. 339-349

Chao Shan and Iraj Javandel

Additivity of Information Value in Two‐Act Linear Loss Decisions with Normal Priors pp. 351-359

Jeffrey M. Keisler

A Screening Methodology for the Identification and Ranking of Infrastructure Vulnerabilities Due to Terrorism pp. 361-376

George E. Apostolakis and Douglas M. Lemon

Compressed Natural Gas Bus Safety: A Quantitative Risk Assessment pp. 377-387

Samuel Chamberlain and Mohammad Modarres

Risk Analysis of Finnish Peacekeeping in Kosovo pp. 389-396

Kyösti Lehtomäki, Rauno J. Pääkkönen and Jorma Rantanen

Predictive Genetic Testing for Alzheimer's Disease: Impact upon Risk Perception pp. 397-404

Theresa M. Marteau, Scott Roberts, Susan LaRusse and Robert C. Green

Aggregate, Disaggregate, and Hybrid Analyses of Ecological Risk Perceptions pp. 405-428

Henry H. Willis, Michael L. DeKay, Baruch Fischhoff and M. Granger Morgan

Using Integrated Geospatial Mapping and Conceptual Site Models to Guide Risk‐Based Environmental Clean‐Up Decisions pp. 429-446

Henry J. Mayer and Michael R. Greenberg

Toward Cost‐Benefit Analysis of Acute Behavioral Effects of Toluene in Humans pp. 447-456

Vernon A. Benignus, Philip J. Bushnell and William K. Boyes

Bringing Social Standards into Project Evaluation Under Dynamic Uncertainty pp. 457-466

Odin K. Knudsen and Pasquale Scandizzo

Using Surveys in Public Participation Processes for Risk Decision Making: The Case of the 2003 British GM Nation? Public Debate pp. 467-479

Nick F. Pidgeon, Wouter Poortinga, Gene Rowe, Tom Horlick‐Jones, John Walls and Tim O'Riordan

Combining Quantitative and Qualitative Measures of Uncertainty in Model‐Based Environmental Assessment: The NUSAP System pp. 481-492

Jeroen P. Van Der Sluijs, Matthieu Craye, Silvio Funtowicz, Penny Kloprogge, Jerry Ravetz and James Risbey

Risk in Perspective: Insight and Humor in the Age of Risk Management pp. 493-493

Paul Slovik

Volume 25, issue 1, 2005

Letter to the Editor pp. 1-5

Catherine Petito Boyce, Barbara D. Beck, Eric M. Dubé and Thomas A. Lewandowski

Response to Letter to the Editor pp. 7-11

Harry Hemond and Helena Solo‐Gabriele

Quantitative Risk Assessment of FMD Virus Transmission via Water pp. 13-21

Jack Schijven, Gerard B. J. Rijs and Ana Maria De Roda Husman

Estimation of True Salmonella Prevalence Jointly in Cattle Herd and Animal Populations Using Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling pp. 23-37

Jukka Ranta, Pirkko Tuominen and Riitta Maijala

Uncertainty Distribution Associated with Estimating a Proportion in Microbial Risk Assessment pp. 39-48

Nicolas Miconnet, Marie Cornu, Annie Beaufort, Laurent Rosso and Jean‐Baptiste Denis

A Model of Hygiene Practices and Consumption Patterns in the Consumer Phase pp. 49-60

Bjarke B. Christensen, Hanne Rosenquist, Helle M. Sommer, Niels L. Nielsen, Sisse Fagt, Niels L. Andersen and Birgit Nørrung

Modeling Growth of Clostridium perfringens in Pea Soup During Cooling pp. 61-73

Aarieke E. I. De Jong, Rijkel R. Beumer and Marcel H. Zwietering

Meta‐Analysis of Food Safety Information Based on a Combination of a Relational Database and a Predictive Modeling Tool pp. 75-83

Michèle Vialette, Anthony Pinon, Benoît Leporq, Catherine Dervin and Jeanne‐Marie Membré

A Poultry‐Processing Model for Quantitative Microbiological Risk Assessment pp. 85-98

Maarten Nauta, Ine Van Der Fels‐Klerx and Arie Havelaar

A Linear Model for Managing the Risk of Antimicrobial Resistance Originating in Food Animals pp. 99-108

Mary J. Bartholomew, David J. Vose, Linda R. Tollefson and Curtis C. Travis

A Structured Expert Judgment Study for a Model of Campylobacter Transmission During Broiler‐Chicken Processing pp. 109-124

H. J. Van der Fels‐Klerx, Roger Cooke, Maarten N. Nauta, Louis H. Goossens and Arie H. Havelaar

Logic and Motivation in Risk Research: A Nuclear Waste Test Case pp. 125-140

Rex V. Brown

Proportional Hazards in Information Security pp. 141-149

Julie J. C. H. Ryan and Daniel J. Ryan

Health Effects Caused by Primary Fine Particulate Matter (PM2.5) Emitted from Buses in the Helsinki Metropolitan Area, Finland pp. 151-160

Marko Tainio, Jouni T. Tuomisto, Otto Hänninen, Päivi Aarnio, Kimmo J. Koistinen, Matti J. Jantunen and Juha Pekkanen

Risk/Benefit Assessments of Human Diseases: Optimum Dose for Intervention pp. 161-168

David W. Gaylor

Issues Related to Time Averaging of Exposure in Modeling Risks Associated with Intermittent Exposures to Lead pp. 169-178

Roseanne M. Lorenzana, Richard Troast, Julie M. Klotzbach, Mark H. Follansbee and Gary L. Diamond

Research Strategies for Magnetic Fields and Cancer pp. 179-188

Stephen C. Peck and Robert Kavet

Integration of Stochastic Effects and Data Uncertainties into the Design of Process Equipment pp. 189-198

Thomas Knetsch and Ulrich Hauptmanns

Trust in Risk Regulation: Cause or Consequence of the Acceptability of GM Food? pp. 199-209

Wouter Poortinga and Nick F. Pidgeon

A New Look at the Psychometric Paradigm of Perception of Hazards pp. 211-222

Michael Siegrist, Carmen Keller and Henk A. L. Kiers

Book Review pp. 223-223

Patricia McMurray