Working papers

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936: Anchoring Boundedly Rational Expectations

Stéphane Dupraz and Magali Marx

935: Decomposing the Inflation Response to Weather-Related Disasters

Erwan Gautier, Christoph Grosse Steffen, Magali Marx and Paul Vertier

934: Safe Asset Scarcity and Monetary Policy Transmission

Benoit Nguyen, Davide Tomio and Miklos Vari

933: Corporate Debt Structure and Heterogeneous Monetary Policy Transmission

Marie Alder, Nuno Coimbra and Urszula Szczerbowicz

932: Privilege Lost? The Rise and Fall of a Dominant Global Currency

Kai Arvai and Nuno Coimbra

931: Projecting Banks Net Interest Income: an Asset-Liability Approach, Applied to the Euro Area

Thibaut Gentil, Sébastien Ray and Oana Toader

930: Shadow Economy: What Factors Matter in the French Case?

Sanvi Avouyi-Dovi, Lorraine Chouteau, Lucas Devigne and Emmanuelle Politronacci

929: The Many Channels of Firm s Adjustment to Energy Shocks: Evidence from France

Lionel Fontagné, Philippe Martin and Gianluca Orefice

928: Access to Bank Credit after Emerging from Corporate Bankruptcy

Chloé Zapha

927: Who s Afraid of Foreign Investment Screening?

Lorenzo Bencivelli, Violaine Faubert, Florian Le Gallo and Pauline N Grin

926: Unobserved Components Model(s): Output Gaps and Financial Cycles

Justine Guillochon and Julien Le Roux

925: Trends and Inequality in Lifetime Earnings in France

Bertrand Garbinti, Cecilia Garcia Pe Alosa, Vladimir Pecheu and Frédérique Savignac

924: International sanctions and the dollar: Evidence from trade invoicing

Antoine Berthou

923: The Impossible Love of Fossil Fuel Companies for Carbon Taxes

Alain Naef

922: Using Short-Term Scenarios to Assess the Macroeconomic Impacts of Climate Transition

Thomas Allen, Mathieu Boullot, Stephane Dees, Annabelle De Gaye, Noémie Lisack, Camille Thubin and Oriane Wegner

921: Using the Press to Construct a New Indicator of Inflation Perceptions in France

Olivier de Bandt, Jean-Charles Bricongne, Julien Denes, Alexandre Dhenin, Annabelle De Gaye and Pierre-Antoine Robert

920: Stochastic Simulation of the FR-BDF Model and an Assessment of Uncertainty around Conditional Forecasts

Harry Turunen, Anastasia Zhutova and Matthieu Lemoine

919: Forecasting Euro Banknotes in Circulation with Structural Time Series Models in Times of the COVID-19 Pandemic

Nikolaus Bartzsch, Marco Brandi, Lucas Devigne, Raymond De Pastor, Gianluca Maddaloni, Diana Posada Restrepo and Gabriele Sene

918: Information Salience and Credit Supply: Evidence from Payment Defaults on Trade Bills

Aleksandra Baros, Ettore Croci, Mattia Girotti and Federica Salvad

917: Nowcasting World Trade with Machine Learning: a Three-Step Approach

Menzie Chinn, Baptiste Meunier and Sebastian Stumpner

916: Satellites Turn Concrete: Tracking Cement with Satellite Data and Neural Networks

Alexandre Aspremont, Simon Ben Arous, Jean-Charles Bricongne, Benjamin Lietti and Baptiste Meunier

915: US Monetary Policy Spillovers to Emerging Markets: the Trade Credit Channel

Mélina London and Maëva Silvestrini

914: Swing Pricing et dynamique des flux au regard de la crise Covid-19

Antoine Baena and Thomas Garcia

913: Monetary Policy and Labor Income Inequality: the Role of Extensive and Intensive Margins

Paul Hubert and Frédérique Savignac

912: Euro Area Monetary Policy Effects. Does the Shape of the Yield Curve Matter?

Florens Odendahl, Maria Sole Pagliari, Adrian Penalver, Barbara Rossi and Giulia Sestieri

911: Blowing against the Wind? A Narrative Approach to Central Bank Foreign Exchange Intervention

Alain Naef

910: Environmental Subsidies to Mitigate Net-Zero Transition Costs

Eric Jondeau, Grégory Levieuge, Jean-Guillaume Sahuc and Gauthier Vermandel

909: How Can Technology Significantly Contribute to Climate Change Mitigation?

Claire Alestra, Gilbert Cette, Valérie Chouard and Rémy Lecat

908: Stablecoins and the Financing of the Real Economy

Jean Barthélemy, Paul Gardin and Benoit Nguyen

907: The Stumbling Block in the Race of our Lives: Transition-Critical Materials, Financial Risks and the NGFS Climate Scenarios

Hugh Miller, Simon Dikau, Romain Svartzman and Stephane Dees

906: International Commodity Prices Transmission to Consumer Prices in Africa

Thibault Lemaire and Paul Vertier

905: The Dynamic IS Curve when there is both Investment and Savings

Stéphane Dupraz

904: Measuring and Comparing Consumption Inequality between France and the United States

Aliocha Accardo, Sylvérie Herbert, Cristina Jude and Adrian Penalver

903: Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Filtered Signals from a Stock Market Cross Section

Nicolas Chatelais, Menzie Chinn and Arthur Stalla-Bourdillon

902: Time-Consistent Implementation in Macroeconomic Games

Jean Barthélemy and Eric Mengus

901: Sovereign Debt and International Trade

Charles Serfaty

900: Encouraging and Directing Job Search: Direct and Spillover Effects in a Large Scale Experiment

Luc Behaghel, Sofia Dromundo, Marc Gurgand, Yagan Hazard and Thomas Zuber

899: Opposing Firm Level Responses to the China Shock: Output Competition versus Input Supply

Philippe Aghion, Antonin Bergeaud, Matthieu Lequien, Marc Melitz and Thomas Zuber

898: Central Bank Communication of Uncertainty

Rayane Hanifi, Klodiana Istrefi and Adrian Penalver

897: Information Acquisition ahead of Monetary Policy Announcements

Michael Ehrmann and Paul Hubert

896: Fiscal policy orientation in the euro area in real-time

Katja Schmidt and Antoine Sigwalt

895: Does FinTech Promote Entrepreneurship? Evidence from China

Zeynep Alraqeb, Peter Knaack and Camille Macaire

894: Aggregation Across Each Nation: Aggregator Choice and Macroeconomic Dynamics

Noëmie Lisack, Rana Sajedi and Simon Lloyd

893: House Price Convergence: Evidence from India

Raj Rajesh and Deba Prasad Rath

892: Is Capital Account Convertibility Required for the Renminbi to Acquire Reserve Currency Status?

Barry Eichengreen, Camille Macaire, Arnaud Mehl, Eric Monnet and Alain Naef

891: Stock Return Predictability: comparing Macro- and Micro-Approaches

Arthur Stalla-Bourdillon

890: Consumption Inequality in the Digital Age

Arvai Kai and Mann Katja

889: Joint Ownership of Production Projects as a Commitment Device against Interest Groups

Nicoletta Berardi and Paul Seabright

888: Different Motives for Holding Cash in France: an Analysis of the Net Cash Issues of the Banque de France

Franz Seitz, Lucas Devigne and Raymond de Pastor

887: An Evaluation of the French Innovation Tax Credit

Simon Bunel and Benjamin Hadjibeyli