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455: Pricing Default Events: Surprise, Exogeneity and Contagion

Christian Gouri Roux, Alain Monfort and Jean-Paul Renne

454: Forecasting growth during the Great Recession: is financial volatility the missing ingredient?

Laurent Ferrara, Clément Marsilli and J-P. Ortega

453: Aggregate Fluctuations and International Migration

Michel Beine, Jean-Charles Bricongne and Pauline Bourgeon

452: Optimal Exchange Rate Policy in a Growing Semi-Open Economy

Philippe Bacchetta, Kenza Benhima and Yannick Kalantzis

451: The Discriminatory Effect of Domestic Regulations on International Trade in Services: Evidence from Firm-Level Data

Matthieu Crozet, Emmanuel Milet and Daniel Mirza

450: Currency Union with and without Banking Union

Vincent Bignon, Régis Breton and M. Rojas Breu

449: Limited attention and news arrival in limit order markets

Jérôme Dugast

448: Net interoffice accounts of global banks: the role of domestic funding

C. D Avino

447: Big Push or Big Grab? Railways, Government Activism and Export Growth in Latin America, 1865-1913

Vincent Bignon, Rui Esteves and A. Herranz-Lonc n

446: Credit and Liquidity in Interbank Rates: a Quadratic Approach

Simon Dubecq, Alain Monfort, Jean-Paul Renne and Guillaume Roussellet

445: Firms' Export Dynamics: Experience vs. Size

Antoine Berthou and Vincent Vicard

444: Procyclical Debt as Automatic Stabilizer

Dennis Wesselbaum

443: A Growth Perspective on Foreign Reserve Accumulation

Gong Cheng

442: Non-uniform wage-staggering: European evidence and monetary policy implications

Michel Juillard, Hervé Le Bihan and Stephen Millard

441: Upstream product market regulations, ICT, R&D and productivity

Gilbert Cette, Jimmy Lopez and Jacques Mairesse

440: Learning Leverage Shocks and the Great Recession

Patrick Pintus and Jacek Suda

439: Strict Fiscal Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: The Case of Social VAT

Patrick F Ve, Julien Matheron and Jean-Guillaume Sahuc

438: The Laffer Curve in an Incomplete-Market Economy

Patrick F Ve, Julien Matheron and Jean-Guillaume Sahuc

437: The financial content of inflation risks in the euro area

Philippe Andrade, Valère Fourel, E. Ghysels and Julien Idier

436: Nowcasting French GDP in Real-Time from Survey Opinions: Information or Forecast Combinations?

Frédérique Bec and Matteo Mogliani

435: Policy Uncertainty Spillovers to Emerging Markets - Evidence from Capital Flows

Ludovic Gauvin, Cameron McLoughlin and Dennis Reinhardt

434: Belief shocks and the macroeconomy

Jacek Suda

433: Market-implied inflation and growth rates adversely affected by the Brent

Gilbert Cette and Marielle de Jong

432: Domino Effects when Banks Hoard Liquidity: The French network

Valère Fourel, Jean-Cyprien Héam, Dilyara Salakhova and S. Tavolaro

431: Age Biased Technical and Organisational Change, Training and Employment Prospects of Older Workers

Luc Behaghel, Eve Caroli and Muriel Roger

430: Dynamic Factor Models: A review of the Literature

Karim Barhoumi, Olivier Darné and Laurent Ferrara

429: Social networks and wages in Senegal s formal sector

Nicoletta Berardi

428: Fiscal Sustainability in the Presence of Systemic Banks: the Case of EU Countries

Agnès Benassy-Quere and Guillaume Roussellet

427: Contagion Effects in the AftermaThéof Lehman s Collapse: Evidence from the US Financial Services Industry

N. Dumontaux and Adrian Pop

426: Calibrating Initial Shocks in Bank Stress Test Scenarios: An Outlier Detection Based Approach

Olivier Darn, O. Levy-Rueff and Adrian Pop

425: More Facts about Prices: France Before and During the Great Recession

Nicoletta Berardi, Erwan Gautier and Hervé Le Bihan

424: Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the Global Economy

Matthieu Bussiere, Simona Delle Chiaie and Tuomas Peltonen

423: Commodity price volatility and tax revenue: Evidence from developing countries

Helene Ehrhart and Samuel Guérineau

422: On the Evolution of Specie: Circulation and Weight Loss in 18th and 19th Century Coinage

Francois Velde

421: Commodity and Equity Markets: Some Stylized Facts from a Copula

Anne-Laure Delatte and Claude Lopez

420: In Defense of Early Warning Signals

Matthieu Bussiere

419: Elections and the structure of taxation in developing countries

Helene Ehrhart

418: Tax Revenue Instability in sub-Saharan Africa: Consequences and Remedies

Christian Hubert Ebeke and Helene Ehrhart

417: Surplus Consumption Ratio and Expected Stock Returns

I. Ghattassi

416: Rational Inattention to News: The Perils of Forward Guidance

Gaetano Gaballo

415: The impact of a `soda tax' on prices. Evidence from French micro data

Nicoletta Berardi, Patrick Sevestre, M. Tepaut and A. Vigneron

414: Bilateral Exposures and Systemic Solvency Risk

Christian Gourieroux, Jean-Cyprien Héam and Alain Monfort

413: Optimal Monetary and Prudential Policies

Fabrice Collard, Harris Dellas, Behzad Diba and Olivier Loisel

412: Monetary Policy and Herd Behavior: Leaning Against Bubbles

Olivier Loisel, Aude Pommeret and Franck Portier

411: Bank Ownership and Credit Cycle: the lower sensitivity of public bank lending to the business cycle

T. Duprey

410: Foreign Entry and Spillovers with Technological Incompatibilities in the Supply Chain - Forthcoming in Journal of International Economics

Juan Carluccio and Thibault Fally

409: Short-term forecasts of French GDP: a dynamic factor model with targeted predictors

Marie Bessec

408: Export dynamics and sales at home

Nicolas Berman, Antoine Berthou and J. H ricourt

407: Tails of Inflation Forecasts and Tales of Monetary Policy

Philippe Andrade, Eric Ghysels and Julien Idier

406: Capital Controls with International Reserve Accumulation: Can this Be Optimal?

Philippe Bacchetta, Kenza Benhima and Yannick Kalantzis