Working papers

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555: Profit shifting through transfer pricing: evidence from French firm level trade data

Vincent Vicard

554: Asymmetric shocks in a currency union: The role of central bank collateral policy

Francois Koulischer

553: Employment effects of foreign direct investment. New Evidence from Central and Eastern European Countries

Cristina Jude and M. I. Pop Silaghi

552: Wealth Effects on Consumption across the Wealth Distribution: Empirical Evidence

Luc Arrondel, Pierre Lamarche and Frédérique Savignac

551: Demand learning and firm dynamics: evidence from exporters

Nicolas Berman, Vincent Rebeyrol and Vincent Vicard

550: For a Few Dollars More: Reserves and Growth in Times of Crises

Matthieu Bussière, Gong Cheng, Menzie Chinn and Noëmie Lisack

549: GDP per capita in advanced countries over the 20th century

Antonin Bergeaud, Gilbert Cette and Rémy Lecat

548: Bank risks, monetary shocks and the credit channel in Brazil: identification and evidence from panel data

Julio Ramos-Tallada

547: The stability of short-term interest rates pass-through in the euro area during the financial market and sovereign debt crises

Sanvi Avouyi-Dovi, Guillaume Horny and Patrick Sevestre

546: Austerity Plans and Tax Evasion: Theory and Evidence from Greece

Francesco Pappa and Yanos Zylberberg

545: Cross-border interbank contagion in the European banking sector

Silvia Gabrieli, Dilyara Salakhova and Guillaume Vuillemey

544: Entry barriers to international trade: product versus firm fixed costs

Walter Steingress

543: Variable Trade Costs, Composition Effects, and the Intensive Margin of Trade

Antoine Berthou and Lionel Fontagné

542: Specialization Patterns in International Trade

Walter Steingress

541: Monetary Union with A Single Currency and Imperfect Credit Market Integration

Vincent Bignon, Régis Breton and Mariana Rojas-Breu

540: Can the Provision of Long-Term Liquidity Help to Avoid a Credit Crunch? Evidence from the Eurosystem's LTROs

Philippe Andrade, Christophe Cahn, Henri Fraisse and Jean-Stéphane Mésonnier

539: Globalization, Market Structure and the Flattening of the Phillips Curve

Sophie Guilloux-Nefussi

538: The Elasticity of Poverty with respect to Sectoral Growth in Africa

Nicoletta Berardi and F. Marzo

537: On the Size of the Government Spending Multiplier in the Euro Area

Patrick F Ve and Jean-Guillaume Sahuc

536: Labour Force Participation and Tax-Benefit Systems: A Cross-Country Comparative Perspective

K. Galu c K and Gábor Kátay

535: Precautionary Saving and Aggregate Demand

Edouard Challe, Julien Matheron, Xavier Ragot and Juan F Rubio-Ramirez

534: Why Financial Advice Cannot Substitute for Financial Literacy?

Majdi Debbich

533: Capital Regulation in a Macroeconomic Model with Three Layers of Default

Laurent Clerc, Alexis Derviz, Caterina Mendicino, Stéphane Moyen, Kalin Nikolov, Livio Stracca, Javier Suarez and A. P. Vardoulakis

532: Impact of research tax credit on R&D and innovation: evidence from the 2008 French reform

Antoine Bozio, Delphine Irac and Loriane Py

531: A network view on interbank market freezes

Silvia Gabrieli and Co-Pierre Georg

530: Land Collateral and Labor Market Dynamics in France

Leo Kaas, Patrick Pintus and Simon Ray

529: Implementing monetary policy in a fragmented monetary union

Miklos Vari

528: Assessing the macroeconomic effects of LTROS

Christophe Cahn, Julien Matheron and Jean-Guillaume Sahuc

527: An arbitrage-free Nelson-Siegel term structure model with stochastic volatility for the determination of currency risk premia

Sarah Mouabbi

526: Trade networks and colonial trade spillovers

Antoine Berthou and Helene Ehrhart

525: How Fiscal Policy Affects the Price Level: Britain s First Experience with Paper Money

Pamfili Antipa

524: Fundamental disagreement

Philippe Andrade, Richard Crump, S. Eusepi and Emanuel Moench

523: How do oil price forecast errors impact inflation forecast errors? An empirical analysis from French and US inflation forecasts

Frédérique Bec and Annabelle De Gaye

522: Euro Area business cycles in turbulent times: convergence or decoupling?

Filippo Ferroni and B. Klaus

521: The Term Structure of the Welfare Cost of Uncertainty

Pierlauro Lopez

520: Variable Selection in Predictive MIDAS Models

Clément Marsilli

519: Pre-crisis credit standards: monetary policy or the savings glut?

Adrian Penalver

518: Options Embedded in ECB Targeted Refinancing Operations

Jean-Paul Renne

517: Fixed-Income Pricing in a Non-Linear Interest-Rate Model

Jean-Paul Renne

516: Strategic fiscal revaluation or devaluation: why does the labor wedge matter?

Francois Langot and Matthieu Lemoine

515: Nowcasting global economic growth: A factor-augmented mixed-frequency approach

Laurent Ferrara and Clément Marsilli

514: Product and Labor Market Regulations, Production Prices, Wages and Productivity

Gilbert Cette, Jimmy Lopez and Jacques Mairesse

513: False News, Informational Efficiency, and Price Reversals

Jérôme Dugast and Thierry Foucault

512: Euro Area monetary policy shocks: impact on financial asset prices during the crisis?

Caroline Jardet and A. Monks

511: Economic Policy Uncertainty and Inflation Expectations

Klodiana Istrefi and Anamaria Piloiu

510: The Price of Stability. The balance sheet policy of the Banque de France and the Gold Standard (1880-1914)

Guillaume Bazot, M. D. Bordo and Eric Monnet

509: Sequential Coordination, Higher-Order Belief Dynamics and E-Stability Principle

Gaetano Gaballo

508: Fiscal Devaluation and Structural Gaps

Francois Langot, Lise Patureau and Thepthida Sopraseuth

507: The Shimer puzzle(s) in a New Keynesian framework

Alessandra Pizzo

506: Coin Assaying and Commodity Money

Vincent Bignon and Richard Dutu