Working papers

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568: Credible Wage Bargaining and the Joint Dynamics of Unemployment and Inflation

Pierrick Clerc

567: the coherence and the predictive content of the French Bank Lending Survey s indicators (in French)

Grégory Levieuge

566: Explaining and forecasting bank loans. Good times and crisis

Grégory Levieuge

565: Structural and atheoretic approaches to micro-econometrics of public policy evaluation.(in french)

Sébastien Roux

564: Civic capital and the Vertical Integration of Service Provision: Evidence from Italy

M. B Rker and Gaetano Alfredo Minerva

563: Aid and Growth. Evidence from Firm-Level Data

Lisa Chauvet and Helene Ehrhart

562: Towards Recoupling? Assessing the Global Impact of a Chinese Hard Landing through Trade and Commodity Price Channels

Ludovic Gauvin and Cyril Rebillard

561: Financial integration and growth correlation in Sub-Saharan Africa

Julien Acalin, Bruno Cabrillac, Gilles Dufrénot, Luc Jacolin and S. Diop

560: From Micro to Macro: Demand, Supply, and Heterogeneity in the Trade Elasticity

M. Bas, Thierry Mayer and Mathias Thoenig

559: Growth effect of FDI in developing economies: The role of institutional quality

Cristina Jude and Grégory Levieuge

558: Staying at Zero with Affine Processes: An Application to Term Structure Modelling

Alain Monfort, Fulvio Pegoraro, Jean-Paul Renne and Guillaume Roussellet

557: Innovation and Top Income Inequality

Philippe Aghion, Ufuk Akcigit, Antonin Bergeaud, Richard Blundell and D. H Mous

556: The Implementation of Stabilization Policy

Olivier Loisel

555: Profit shifting through transfer pricing: evidence from French firm level trade data

Vincent Vicard

554: Asymmetric shocks in a currency union: The role of central bank collateral policy

Francois Koulischer

553: Employment effects of foreign direct investment. New Evidence from Central and Eastern European Countries

Cristina Jude and M. I. Pop Silaghi

552: Wealth Effects on Consumption across the Wealth Distribution: Empirical Evidence

Luc Arrondel, Pierre Lamarche and Frédérique Savignac

551: Demand learning and firm dynamics: evidence from exporters

Nicolas Berman, Vincent Rebeyrol and Vincent Vicard

550: For a Few Dollars More: Reserves and Growth in Times of Crises

Matthieu Bussière, Gong Cheng, Menzie Chinn and Noëmie Lisack

549: GDP per capita in advanced countries over the 20th century

Antonin Bergeaud, Gilbert Cette and Rémy Lecat

548: Bank risks, monetary shocks and the credit channel in Brazil: identification and evidence from panel data

Julio Ramos-Tallada

547: The stability of short-term interest rates pass-through in the euro area during the financial market and sovereign debt crises

Sanvi Avouyi-Dovi, Guillaume Horny and Patrick Sevestre

546: Austerity Plans and Tax Evasion: Theory and Evidence from Greece

Francesco Pappa and Yanos Zylberberg

545: Cross-border interbank contagion in the European banking sector

Silvia Gabrieli, Dilyara Salakhova and Guillaume Vuillemey

544: Entry barriers to international trade: product versus firm fixed costs

Walter Steingress

543: Variable Trade Costs, Composition Effects, and the Intensive Margin of Trade

Antoine Berthou and Lionel Fontagné

542: Specialization Patterns in International Trade

Walter Steingress

541: Monetary Union with A Single Currency and Imperfect Credit Market Integration

Vincent Bignon, Régis Breton and Mariana Rojas-Breu

540: Can the Provision of Long-Term Liquidity Help to Avoid a Credit Crunch? Evidence from the Eurosystem's LTROs

Philippe Andrade, Christophe Cahn, Henri Fraisse and Jean-Stéphane Mésonnier

539: Globalization, Market Structure and the Flattening of the Phillips Curve

Sophie Guilloux-Nefussi

538: The Elasticity of Poverty with respect to Sectoral Growth in Africa

Nicoletta Berardi and F. Marzo

537: On the Size of the Government Spending Multiplier in the Euro Area

Patrick F Ve and Jean-Guillaume Sahuc

536: Labour Force Participation and Tax-Benefit Systems: A Cross-Country Comparative Perspective

K. Galu c K and Gábor Kátay

535: Precautionary Saving and Aggregate Demand

Edouard Challe, Julien Matheron, Xavier Ragot and Juan F Rubio-Ramirez

534: Why Financial Advice Cannot Substitute for Financial Literacy?

Majdi Debbich

533: Capital Regulation in a Macroeconomic Model with Three Layers of Default

Laurent Clerc, Alexis Derviz, Caterina Mendicino, Stéphane Moyen, Kalin Nikolov, Livio Stracca, Javier Suarez and A. P. Vardoulakis

532: Impact of research tax credit on R&D and innovation: evidence from the 2008 French reform

Antoine Bozio, Delphine Irac and Loriane Py

531: A network view on interbank market freezes

Silvia Gabrieli and Co-Pierre Georg

530: Land Collateral and Labor Market Dynamics in France

Leo Kaas, Patrick Pintus and Simon Ray

529: Implementing monetary policy in a fragmented monetary union

Miklos Vari

528: Assessing the macroeconomic effects of LTROS

Christophe Cahn, Julien Matheron and Jean-Guillaume Sahuc

527: An arbitrage-free Nelson-Siegel term structure model with stochastic volatility for the determination of currency risk premia

Sarah Mouabbi

526: Trade networks and colonial trade spillovers

Antoine Berthou and Helene Ehrhart

525: How Fiscal Policy Affects the Price Level: Britain s First Experience with Paper Money

Pamfili Antipa

524: Fundamental disagreement

Philippe Andrade, Richard Crump, S. Eusepi and Emanuel Moench

523: How do oil price forecast errors impact inflation forecast errors? An empirical analysis from French and US inflation forecasts

Frédérique Bec and Annabelle De Gaye

522: Euro Area business cycles in turbulent times: convergence or decoupling?

Filippo Ferroni and B. Klaus

521: The Term Structure of the Welfare Cost of Uncertainty

Pierlauro Lopez

520: Variable Selection in Predictive MIDAS Models

Clément Marsilli

519: Pre-crisis credit standards: monetary policy or the savings glut?

Adrian Penalver