Working Papers

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18566: The Natural Rate of Unemployment: Working Paper 2007-06

David Brauer

18540: The Student Loan Consolidation Option: An Analysis of an Exotic Financial Derivative: Working Paper 2007-05

Deborah Lucas and Damien Moore

18422: Assessing the Relationship between Economic Stability and Dynamic Employment Responses to Aggregate Shocks: Working Paper 2007-04

Naomi Griffin

18322: Measurement Error in the SIPP: Evidence from Matched Administrative Records: Working Paper 2007-03

Julian Cristia and Jonathan Schwabish

18295: Economic Flexibility in Microsimulation: An Age-Centered Regression Approach: Working Paper 2007-02

John Sabelhaus and Lina Walker

18287: Occupational Employment Risk and its Consequences for Unemployment Duration and Wages: Working Paper 2007-01

Ignez M. Tristao

18272: Trends in High Incomes and Behavioral Responses to Taxation: Evidence from Executive Compensation and Statistics of Income Data: Working Paper 2006-14

Nada O. Eissa and Seth Giertz

18250: An Empirical Model of Factor Adjustment Dynamics: Working Paper 2006-13

Juan Contreras

18245: Quantitative Implications of Indexed Bonds in Small Open Economies: Working Paper 2006-12

C. Bora Durdu

18233: The Effect of a First Child on Female Labor Supply: Evidence from Women Seeking Fertility Services: Working Paper 2006-11

Julian Cristia

18108: Private Savings, Medicaid and Uncertain Nursing Home Expenses: Working Paper 2006-10

Lina Walker

18067: International Burdens of the Corporate Income Tax: Working Paper 2006-09

William C. Randolph

18017: The Slowdown in Medicare Spending Growth: Working Paper 2006-08

Chapin White

17861: Implications of Past Currency Crises for the U.S. Current Account Adjustment: Working Paper 2006-07

Juann H. Hung and Young Jin Kim

17738: Earnings Inequality and High Earners: Changes During and after the Stock Market Boom of the 1990s: Working Paper 2006-06

Jonathan Schwabish

17664: Uncertain Policy for an Uncertain World: The Case of Social Security: Working Paper 2006-05

John Sabelhaus and Julie Topoleski

17616: A Steady-State Analysis of Proposals to Reduce the Tax on Saving: Working Paper 2006-04

Paul Burnham

17611: The Elasticity of Taxable Income During the 1990s: A Sensitivity Analysis: Working Paper 2006-03

Seth Giertz

17603: Reallocation and Productivity Growth in Japan: Revisiting the Lost Decade of the 1990s: Working Paper 2006-02

Naomi Griffin and Kazuhiko Odaki

17588: Early Announcement of a Public Pension Reform in Italy: Working Paper 2006-01

Marika Santoro

17577: Median-voter Equilibria in the Neoclassical Growth Model under Aggregation: Working Paper 2005-09

Marina Azzimonti, Eva de Francisco and Per Krusell

17570: Are Married Women Secondary Workers? The Evolution of Married Women's Labor Supply in the U.S. from 1983 to 2000: Working Paper 2005-11

Kyoo il Kim and José Carlos Rodríguez-Pueblita

17567: Labor Adjustment, Productivity and Output Volatility: An Evaluation of Japan's Employment Adjustment Subsidy: Working Paper 2005-10

Naomi Griffin

16575: Putty-Clay Capital and an Index of Capital per Hour: Working Paper 2005-08

Mark Lasky

16517: Social Effects, Household Time Allocation, and the Decline in Union Formation: Working Paper 2005-07

Almudena Sevilla

16494: Behavioral Effects of Social Security Reform in a Dynamic Micro-Simulation with Life-Cycle Agents: Working Paper 2005-06

Amy Rehder Harris, John Sabelhaus and Almudena Sevilla

16493: How Does Differential Mortality Affect Social Security Finances and Progressivity? Working Paper 2005-05

Amy Rehder Harris and John Sabelhaus

16442: Does Social Security Privatization Produce Efficiency Gains? Working Paper 2005-04

Shinichi Nishiyama and Kent Smetters

16308: Testing Alternative Methods for Forecasting Capital Gains: Working Paper 2005-03

Larry Ozanne

16302: Limited Participation, Income Distribution and Capital-Account Liberalization: Working Paper 2005-02

Eva de Francisco

16237: A Sensitivity Analysis of the Elasticity of Taxable Income: Working Paper 2005-01

Seth Giertz

16204: Return on Cross-Border Investment: Why Does U.S. Investment Abroad Do Better? Technical Paper 2004-17

Juann H. Hung and Angelo Mascaro

16189: Recent Literature on Taxable-Income Elasticities: Technical Paper 2004-16

Seth Giertz

16110: A Model to Project Flows into and out of Tax-Deferred Retirement Savings Accounts: Technical Paper 2004-15

Paul Burnham

16003: Estimating and Forecasting Capital Gains with Quarterly Models: Technical Paper 2004-14

Jangryoul Kim, Preston Miller and Larry Ozanne

15942: Uncertainty About Projections of Medicare Cost Growth: Technical Paper 2004-13

Julie Topoleski

15937: Valuing Federal Loans and Loan Guarantees Using Options-Pricing Methods: Technical Paper 2004-12

Deborah Lucas, Marvin Phaup and Ravi Prasad

15914: Macroeconomic Impacts of Stylized Tax Cuts in an Intertemporal Computable General Equilibrium Model: Technical Paper 2004-11

Tracy Foertsch

15896: Large Foreign Markets and Export-Led Growth in Developing Countries: Technical Paper 2004-10

Ufuk Demiroglu

15868: Health Shocks and the Demand for Annuities: Technical Paper 2004-09

Sven H. Sinclair and Kent A. Smetters

15799: Charitable Bequests and the Repeal of the Estate Tax: Technical Paper 2004-08

Robert McClelland

15668: Macroeconomic Analysis of a 10 Percent Cut in Income Tax Rates: Technical Paper 2004-07

Robert Arnold, Ufuk Demiroglu, Robert Dennis and Tracy Foertsch

15469: Using the Natural Rate Concept to Assess the Consistency of Projections Ten Years Ahead for Real Interest Rates and Inflation: Technical Paper 2004-05

Angelo Mascaro

15277: The Role of Saving in Economic Growth When the Cost of New Human Capital Depends on the Cost of Labor: Technical Paper 2004-04

Mark Lasky

15191: Analyzing an Aging Population--A Dynamic General Equilibrium Approach: Technical Paper 2004-03

Shinichi Nishiyama

15190: Incorporating Longevity Effects into Long-Term Medicare Projections: Technical Paper 2004-02

John Sabelhaus, Michael Simpson and Julie Topoleski

15188: Overview of the Congressional Budget Office Long-Term (CBOLT) Policy Simulation Model: Technical Paper 2004-01

Josh O’Harra, John Sabelhaus and Michael Simpson

15113: Factor Accumulation Without Diminishing Returns: The Case of East Asia: Technical Paper 2003-11

Peter Debaere and Ufuk Demiroglu

15112: Analyzing Tax Policy Changes Using a Stochastic OLG Model with Heterogeneous Households: Technical Paper 2003-12

Shinichi Nishiyama

14933: Using the Treasury Nominal and Inflation-Indexed Spread to Estimate Expected Long-Run Changes in the CPI-U under Inflation Uncertainty, Risk Aversion, and the Probability of Deflation: Technical Paper 2003-10

Angelo Mascaro