Working Papers

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15668: Macroeconomic Analysis of a 10 Percent Cut in Income Tax Rates: Technical Paper 2004-07

Robert Arnold, Ufuk Demiroglu, Robert Dennis and Tracy Foertsch

15469: Using the Natural Rate Concept to Assess the Consistency of Projections Ten Years Ahead for Real Interest Rates and Inflation: Technical Paper 2004-05

Angelo Mascaro

15277: The Role of Saving in Economic Growth When the Cost of New Human Capital Depends on the Cost of Labor: Technical Paper 2004-04

Mark Lasky

15191: Analyzing an Aging Population--A Dynamic General Equilibrium Approach: Technical Paper 2004-03

Shinichi Nishiyama

15190: Incorporating Longevity Effects into Long-Term Medicare Projections: Technical Paper 2004-02

John Sabelhaus, Michael Simpson and Julie Topoleski

15188: Overview of the Congressional Budget Office Long-Term (CBOLT) Policy Simulation Model: Technical Paper 2004-01

Josh O’Harra, John Sabelhaus and Michael Simpson

15113: Factor Accumulation Without Diminishing Returns: The Case of East Asia: Technical Paper 2003-11

Peter Debaere and Ufuk Demiroglu

15112: Analyzing Tax Policy Changes Using a Stochastic OLG Model with Heterogeneous Households: Technical Paper 2003-12

Shinichi Nishiyama

14933: Using the Treasury Nominal and Inflation-Indexed Spread to Estimate Expected Long-Run Changes in the CPI-U under Inflation Uncertainty, Risk Aversion, and the Probability of Deflation: Technical Paper 2003-10

Angelo Mascaro

14770: A Putty-Clay Model of Business Fixed Investment: Technical Paper 2003-09

Mark Lasky

14678: Alternative Methods for Projecting Equity Returns: Implications for Evaluating Social Security Reform Proposals: Technical Paper 2003-08

John Sabelhaus and Joel V. Smith

14636: Forecasting Deposit Growth: Forecasting BIF and SAIF Assessable and Insured Deposits: Technical Paper 2003-06

Albert D. Metz

14635: The FHA Budget Subsidy Simulation System: A Dynamic Simulation Model of Budget Outcomes for FHA Single-Family Mortgage Insurance: Technical Paper 2003-07

Charles Capone

14567: International Trade and U.S. Productivity: Technical Paper 2003-05

Juann Hung, Matt Salomon and Stacia Sowerby

14497: Modeling Long-Run Economic Growth: Technical Paper 2003-04

Robert W. Arnold

14414: The Economic Costs of Reducing Emissions of Greenhouse Gases: A Survey of Economic Models: Technical Paper 2003-03

Mark Lasky

14364: Projecting Longitudinal Earnings Patterns for Long-Run Policy Analysis: Technical Paper 2003-02

Amy Rehder Harris and John Sabelhaus

14362: Testing for a Bequest Motive Using Cross-State Variation in Bequest Taxes: Technical Paper 2003-01

Benjamin R. Page

14229: Consumption Taxes and Economic Efficiency in a Stochastic OLG Economy: Technical Paper 2002-6

Shinichi Nishiyama and Kent Smetters

14224: Modeling the U.S. Current Account as the Savings-Investment Balance: Technical Paper 2002-5

Charles Bronowski and Juann H. Hung

14222: Ricardian Equivalence with Incomplete Household Risk Sharing: Technical Paper 2002-4

Shinichi Nishiyama and Kent Smetters

14211: Mate Matching for Microsimulation Models: Technical Paper 2002-3

Kevin Perese

14080: Projecting Longitudinal Marriage Patterns for Long-Run Policy Analysis: Technical Paper 2002-2

Josh O’Harra and John Sabelhaus

14078: Privatizing Social Security in the U.S.: Comparing the Options: Technical Paper 1998-4

Laurence Kotlikoff, Kent Smetters and Jan Walliser

13983: Using Time-Series Models to Project Output Over the Medium Term: Technical Paper 2002-1

Ufuk Demiroglu and Matthew Salomon

13351: Simulating U.S. Tax Reform: Technical Paper 1997-6

David Altig, Alan Auerbach, Laurence Kotlikoff and Kent A. Smetters

13345: Household Saving in the '90s: Evidence from Cross-Section Wealth Surveys: Technical Paper 1999-3

Karen Pence and John Sabelhaus

13344: The Effect of Tax-Deferred Savings Plans on Household Wealth Accumulation: Evidence from the Survey of Consumer Finances: Technical Paper 1999-4

Ken Ayotte and John Sabelhaus

13343: Taxing Government in a National Retail Sales Tax: Technical Paper 1999-5

William Gale, Evan Koenig, Diane Lim and John Sabelhaus

13342: The Impact of Globalization on the U.S. Business Cycle: Technical Paper 1999-6

Edward N. Gamber and Juann Hung

13341: Draft Framework for Determining the Spreads of Commercial Paper Rates and LIBOR to the Rate on Three Month Treasury Bills and the Volatility of those Interest Rates: Technical Paper 1999-7

Robert Arnold, Angelo Mascaro and Matthew Salomon

13340: Social Security Privatization: What Are the Issues? Technical Paper 1999-8

Randall P. Mariger

13339: Generational Accounts for the United States: An Update: Technical Paper 2000-1

Jagadeesh Gokhale, Benjamin Page, Joan Potter and John Sturrock

13338: Social Security Options for Reducing Poverty Among Older Women: Technical Paper 2000-2

Theresa J. Devine

13337: Predicting Turning Points: Technical Paper 2000-3

Dan Chin, John Geweke and Preston Miller

13336: Some Fresh Perspectives on Price-Support Policies: Technical Paper 2000-4

Preston Miller

13335: Forecasting Capital Gains Realizations: Technical Paper 2000-5

Preston Miller and Larry Ozanne

13334: Family Status of Enlisted Personnel: Technical Paper 2000-6

John Cadigan

13333: Measuring Time Preference and Parental Altruism: Technical Paper 2000-7

Shinichi Nishiyama

13332: Bequests, Inter Vivos Transfers, and Wealth Distribution: Technical Paper 2000-8

Shinichi Nishiyama

13331: Does International Asynchronization Matter for the U.S. Business Cycle? Technical Paper 2001-1

Edward N. Gamber and Juann H. Hung

13330: The Effects of Federal Estate Tax Policy on Charitable Contributions: Technical Paper 2001-2

Pamela Greene