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Working Papers

From Congressional Budget Office
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54234: How CBO Adjusts for Survey Underreporting of Transfer Income in Its Distributional Analyses: Working Paper 2018-07 Downloads
Bilal Habib
54056: Comparing the Effects of Current Pay and Defined Benefit Pensions on Employee Retention: Working Paper 2018-06 Downloads
Justin Falk and Nadia Karamcheva
53931: How Nominal Foreign Currency Depreciation Against the U.S. Dollar Affects U.S. Wealth: Working Paper 2018-05 Downloads
Dorian Carloni
53616: CBO’s Projection of Labor Force Participation Rates: Working Paper 2018-04 Downloads
Congressional Budget Office
53558: Estimating and Projecting Potential Output Using CBO’s Forecasting Growth Model: Working Paper 2018-03 Downloads
Robert Shackleton
53537: How CBO Produces Its 10-Year Economic Forecast: Working Paper 2018-02 Downloads
Robert W. Arnold
53441: An Analysis of Private-Sector Prices for Physicians’ Services: Working Paper 2018-01 Downloads
Daria Pelech
53387: Issues and Challenges in Measuring and Improving the Quality of Health Care: Working Paper 2017-10 Downloads
Congressional Budget Office
53345: CBO's New Framework for Analyzing the Effects of Means-Tested Transfers and Federal Taxes on the Distribution of Income: Working Paper 2017-09 Downloads
Congressional Budget Office
53270: Effects of Medicare Advantage Enrollment on Beneficiary Risk Scores: Working Paper 2017-08 Downloads
Alice Burns and Tamara Hayford
53153: Did Treasury Debt Markets Anticipate the Persistent Decline in Long-Term Interest Rates?: Working Paper 2017-07 Downloads
Edward N. Gamber (cbo)
53125: An Evaluation of Using Linked Survey and Administrative Data to Impute Nonfilers to the Population of Tax Return Filers: Working Paper 2017-06 Downloads
Shannon Mok
52985: Distribution of Lifetime Medicare Taxes and Spending by Sex and by Lifetime Household Earnings: Working Paper 2017-05 Downloads
Xiaotong Niu
52749: Modeling the Costs of the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation’s Multiemployer Program: Working Paper 2017-04 Downloads
Wendy Kiska, Jason Levine and Damien Moore
52748: Projecting Demand for the Services of Primary Care Doctors: Working Paper 2017-03 Downloads
Congressional Budget Office
52567: An Analysis of Private-Sector Prices for Hospital Admissions: Working Paper 2017-02 Downloads
Jared Lane Maeda and Lyle Nelson
52385: Inflation, Default, and the Currency Composition of Sovereign Debt in Emerging Economies: Working Paper 2017-01 Downloads
Daniel Fried
52199: Factors Affecting Revenue Estimates of Tax Compliance Proposals: Working Paper 2016-05 Downloads
Janet Holtzblatt and Jamie McGuire
51919: Projecting Hospitals’ Profit Margins Under Several Illustrative Scenarios: Working Paper 2016-04 Downloads
Tamara Hayford, Lyle Nelson and Alexia Diorio
51824: The Short-Term Effects of Tax Changes—Evidence for State Dependence: Working Paper 2016-03 Downloads
Ufuk Demirel
51610: CBO’s Approach to Estimating Expected Hurricane Damage: Working Paper 2016-02 Downloads
Terry Dinan
51599: The Outlook for U.S. Production of Shale Oil: Working Paper 2016-01 Downloads
Mark Lasky
51097: The Costs to Different Generations of Policies That Close the Fiscal Gap: Working Paper 2015-10 Downloads
Felix Reichling and Shinichi Nishiyama
51065: How CBO Estimates the Effects of the Affordable Care Act on the Labor Market: Working Paper 2015-09 Downloads
Edward Harris and Shannon Mok
51027: Changes in Medicare Spending per Beneficiary by Age: Working Paper 2015-08 Downloads
Xiaotong Niu, Melinda Buntin and Joyce Manchester
51005: How CBO Estimates Automatic Stabilizers: Working Paper 2015-07 Downloads
Frank Russek and Kim Kowalewski
50871: Do Large-Scale Refinancing Programs Reduce Mortgage Defaults? Evidence From a Regression Discontinuity Design: Working Paper 2015-06 Downloads
Gabriel Ehrlich and Jeffrey Perry
50216: China’s Growing Energy Demand: Implications for the United States: Working Paper 2015-05 Downloads
Andrew Stocking and Terry Dinan
50171: Federal Reinsurance for Terrorism Risk in 2015 and Beyond: Working Paper 2015-04 Downloads
Perry Beider, David Torregrosa and Susan Willie
50049: Pricing Freight Transport to Account for External Costs: Working Paper 2015-03 Downloads
David Austin
49925: The Fiscal Multiplier and Economic Policy Analysis in the United States: Working Paper 2015-02 Downloads
Felix Reichling and Charles Whalen
49908: Do We Know Why Earnings Fall with Job Displacement? Working Paper: 2015-01 Downloads
William J. Carrington
49837: Updated Death and Injury Rates of U.S. Military Personnel During the Conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan: Working Paper 2014-08 Downloads
Matthew Goldberg
49451: Assessing the Design of the Low-Income Subsidy Program in Medicare Part D: Working Paper 2014-07 Downloads
Andrew Stocking, James Baumgardner, Melinda Buntin and Anna Cook
49433: Labor Force Participation Elasticities of Women and Secondary Earners within Married Couples: Working Paper 2014-06 Downloads
Robert McClelland and Shannon Mok
45711: Modeling the Budgetary Costs of FHA's Single Family Mortgage Insurance: Working Paper 2014-05 Downloads
Francesca Castelli, Damien Moore, Gabriel Ehrlich and Jeffrey Perry
45553: Examining the Number of Competitors and the Cost of Medicare Part D: Working Paper 2014-04 Downloads
Andrew Stocking, James Baumgardner, Melinda Buntin and Anna Cook
45140: The Long-Run Effects of Federal Budget Deficits on National Saving and Private Domestic Investment: Working Paper 2014-02 Downloads
Jonathan Huntley
45044: Market Efficiency and the U.S. Market for Sulfur Dioxide Allowances: Working Paper 2014-01 Downloads
Claudia Hitaj and Andrew Stocking
44970: International Trade and Carbon Leakage: Working Paper 2013-08 Downloads
Bruce Arnold
44941: Fiscal Policy Effects in a Heterogeneous-Agent Overlapping-Generations Economy With an Aging Population: Working Paper 2013-07 Downloads
Shinichi Nishiyama
44513: Why Has Growth in Spending for Fee-for-Service Medicare Slowed?: Working Paper 2013-06 Downloads
Melinda Buntin and Michael Levine
44374: Optimal Annuitization with Stochastic Mortality Probabilities: Working Paper 2013-05 Downloads
Felix Reichling and Kent Smetters
44306: Modeling Individual Earnings in CBO’s Long-Term Microsimulation Model: Working Paper 2013-04 Downloads
Jonathan Schwabish and Julie H. Topoleski
44127: Implications of the Department of Defense Readiness Reporting System: Working Paper 2013-03 Downloads
Derek Trunkey
44114: Options for Principal Forgiveness in Mortgages Involving Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac: Working Paper 2013-02 Downloads
Damien Moore and Mitchell Remy
44002: Total Factor Productivity Growth in Historical Perspective: Working Paper 2013-01 Downloads
Robert Shackelton
43713: Offsetting a Carbon Tax’s Costs on Low-Income Households: Working Paper 2012-16 Downloads
Terry Dinan
43699: Technical Challenges of the U.S. Army’s Ground Combat Vehicle Program: Working Paper 2012-15 Downloads
Bernard Kempinski and Christopher Murphy
43691: Taxation of Owner-Occupied and Rental Housing: Working Paper 2012-14 Downloads
Larry Ozanne
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