Working Papers
From Congressional Budget Office
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- 54234: How CBO Adjusts for Survey Underreporting of Transfer Income in Its Distributional Analyses: Working Paper 2018-07

- Bilal Habib
- 54056: Comparing the Effects of Current Pay and Defined Benefit Pensions on Employee Retention: Working Paper 2018-06

- Justin Falk and Nadia Karamcheva
- 53931: How Nominal Foreign Currency Depreciation Against the U.S. Dollar Affects U.S. Wealth: Working Paper 2018-05

- Dorian Carloni
- 53616: CBO’s Projection of Labor Force Participation Rates: Working Paper 2018-04

- Congressional Budget Office
- 53558: Estimating and Projecting Potential Output Using CBO’s Forecasting Growth Model: Working Paper 2018-03

- Robert Shackleton
- 53537: How CBO Produces Its 10-Year Economic Forecast: Working Paper 2018-02

- Robert W. Arnold
- 53441: An Analysis of Private-Sector Prices for Physicians’ Services: Working Paper 2018-01

- Daria Pelech
- 53387: Issues and Challenges in Measuring and Improving the Quality of Health Care: Working Paper 2017-10

- Congressional Budget Office
- 53345: CBO's New Framework for Analyzing the Effects of Means-Tested Transfers and Federal Taxes on the Distribution of Income: Working Paper 2017-09

- Congressional Budget Office
- 53270: Effects of Medicare Advantage Enrollment on Beneficiary Risk Scores: Working Paper 2017-08

- Alice Burns and Tamara Hayford
- 53153: Did Treasury Debt Markets Anticipate the Persistent Decline in Long-Term Interest Rates?: Working Paper 2017-07

- Edward N. Gamber (cbo)
- 53125: An Evaluation of Using Linked Survey and Administrative Data to Impute Nonfilers to the Population of Tax Return Filers: Working Paper 2017-06

- Shannon Mok
- 52985: Distribution of Lifetime Medicare Taxes and Spending by Sex and by Lifetime Household Earnings: Working Paper 2017-05

- Xiaotong Niu
- 52749: Modeling the Costs of the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation’s Multiemployer Program: Working Paper 2017-04

- Wendy Kiska, Jason Levine and Damien Moore
- 52748: Projecting Demand for the Services of Primary Care Doctors: Working Paper 2017-03

- Congressional Budget Office
- 52567: An Analysis of Private-Sector Prices for Hospital Admissions: Working Paper 2017-02

- Jared Lane Maeda and Lyle Nelson
- 52385: Inflation, Default, and the Currency Composition of Sovereign Debt in Emerging Economies: Working Paper 2017-01

- Daniel Fried
- 52199: Factors Affecting Revenue Estimates of Tax Compliance Proposals: Working Paper 2016-05

- Janet Holtzblatt and Jamie McGuire
- 51919: Projecting Hospitals’ Profit Margins Under Several Illustrative Scenarios: Working Paper 2016-04

- Tamara Hayford, Lyle Nelson and Alexia Diorio
- 51824: The Short-Term Effects of Tax Changes—Evidence for State Dependence: Working Paper 2016-03

- Ufuk Demirel
- 51610: CBO’s Approach to Estimating Expected Hurricane Damage: Working Paper 2016-02

- Terry Dinan
- 51599: The Outlook for U.S. Production of Shale Oil: Working Paper 2016-01

- Mark Lasky
- 51097: The Costs to Different Generations of Policies That Close the Fiscal Gap: Working Paper 2015-10

- Felix Reichling and Shinichi Nishiyama
- 51065: How CBO Estimates the Effects of the Affordable Care Act on the Labor Market: Working Paper 2015-09

- Edward Harris and Shannon Mok
- 51027: Changes in Medicare Spending per Beneficiary by Age: Working Paper 2015-08

- Xiaotong Niu, Melinda Buntin and Joyce Manchester
- 51005: How CBO Estimates Automatic Stabilizers: Working Paper 2015-07

- Frank Russek and Kim Kowalewski
- 50871: Do Large-Scale Refinancing Programs Reduce Mortgage Defaults? Evidence From a Regression Discontinuity Design: Working Paper 2015-06

- Gabriel Ehrlich and Jeffrey Perry
- 50216: China’s Growing Energy Demand: Implications for the United States: Working Paper 2015-05

- Andrew Stocking and Terry Dinan
- 50171: Federal Reinsurance for Terrorism Risk in 2015 and Beyond: Working Paper 2015-04

- Perry Beider, David Torregrosa and Susan Willie
- 50049: Pricing Freight Transport to Account for External Costs: Working Paper 2015-03

- David Austin
- 49925: The Fiscal Multiplier and Economic Policy Analysis in the United States: Working Paper 2015-02

- Felix Reichling and Charles Whalen
- 49908: Do We Know Why Earnings Fall with Job Displacement? Working Paper: 2015-01

- William J. Carrington
- 49837: Updated Death and Injury Rates of U.S. Military Personnel During the Conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan: Working Paper 2014-08

- Matthew Goldberg
- 49451: Assessing the Design of the Low-Income Subsidy Program in Medicare Part D: Working Paper 2014-07

- Andrew Stocking, James Baumgardner, Melinda Buntin and Anna Cook
- 49433: Labor Force Participation Elasticities of Women and Secondary Earners within Married Couples: Working Paper 2014-06

- Robert McClelland and Shannon Mok
- 45711: Modeling the Budgetary Costs of FHA's Single Family Mortgage Insurance: Working Paper 2014-05

- Francesca Castelli, Damien Moore, Gabriel Ehrlich and Jeffrey Perry
- 45553: Examining the Number of Competitors and the Cost of Medicare Part D: Working Paper 2014-04

- Andrew Stocking, James Baumgardner, Melinda Buntin and Anna Cook
- 45140: The Long-Run Effects of Federal Budget Deficits on National Saving and Private Domestic Investment: Working Paper 2014-02

- Jonathan Huntley
- 45044: Market Efficiency and the U.S. Market for Sulfur Dioxide Allowances: Working Paper 2014-01

- Claudia Hitaj and Andrew Stocking
- 44970: International Trade and Carbon Leakage: Working Paper 2013-08

- Bruce Arnold
- 44941: Fiscal Policy Effects in a Heterogeneous-Agent Overlapping-Generations Economy With an Aging Population: Working Paper 2013-07

- Shinichi Nishiyama
- 44513: Why Has Growth in Spending for Fee-for-Service Medicare Slowed?: Working Paper 2013-06

- Melinda Buntin and Michael Levine
- 44374: Optimal Annuitization with Stochastic Mortality Probabilities: Working Paper 2013-05

- Felix Reichling and Kent Smetters
- 44306: Modeling Individual Earnings in CBO’s Long-Term Microsimulation Model: Working Paper 2013-04

- Jonathan Schwabish and Julie H. Topoleski
- 44127: Implications of the Department of Defense Readiness Reporting System: Working Paper 2013-03

- Derek Trunkey
- 44114: Options for Principal Forgiveness in Mortgages Involving Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac: Working Paper 2013-02

- Damien Moore and Mitchell Remy
- 44002: Total Factor Productivity Growth in Historical Perspective: Working Paper 2013-01

- Robert Shackelton
- 43713: Offsetting a Carbon Tax’s Costs on Low-Income Households: Working Paper 2012-16

- Terry Dinan
- 43699: Technical Challenges of the U.S. Army’s Ground Combat Vehicle Program: Working Paper 2012-15

- Bernard Kempinski and Christopher Murphy
- 43691: Taxation of Owner-Occupied and Rental Housing: Working Paper 2012-14

- Larry Ozanne