Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin

From DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research
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1412: Log versus Level in VAR Forecasting: 42 Million Empirical Answers - Expect the Unexpected

Johannes Mayr and Dirk Ulbricht

1411: Drivers of Structural Change in Cross-Border Banking since the Global Financial Crisis

Franziska Bremus and Marcel Fratzscher

1410: Small Might Be Beautiful, but Bigger Performs Better: Scale Economies in "Green" Refurbishments of Apartment Housing

Claus Michelsen, Sebastian Rosenschon and Christian Schulz

1409: Local Banking and Local Economic Growth in Italy: Some Panel Evidence

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Stefano Di Colli, Roberto Di Salvo and Juan Sergio Lopez

1408: Supplier Fixed Costs and Retail Market Monopolization

Stephane Caprice, Vanessa von Schlippenbach and Christian Wey

1407: Unobservable, but Unimportant?: The Influence of Personality Traits (and Other Usually Unobserved Variables) for the Evaluation of Labor Market Policies

Marco Caliendo, Robert Mahlstedt and Oscar Mitnik

1406: Technical Greenhouse-Gas Mitigation Potentials of Biochar Soil Incorporation in Germany

Isabel Teichmann

1405: Uncertainty of Macroeconomic Forecasters and the Prediction of Stock Market Bubbles

Helmut Herwartz and Konstantin Kholodilin

1404: Is There Still a Case for Merchant Interconnectors?: Insights from an Analysis of Welfare and Distributional Aspects of Options for Network Expansion in the Baltic Sea Region

Clemens Gerbaulet and Alexander Weber

1403: Extreme Weather Events and Child Height: Evidence from Mongolia

Valeria Groppo and Kati Schindler

1402: Power System Transformation toward Renewables: Investment Scenarios for Germany

Jonas Egerer and Wolf-Peter Schill

1401: Too Proud to Stop: Regret in Dynamic Decisions

Paul Viefers and Philipp Strack

1400: New Cross-Border Electricity Balancing Arrangements in Europe

Casimir Lorenz and Clemens Gerbaulet

1399: Macro News and Stock Returns in the Euro Area: A VAR-GARCH-in-Mean Analysis

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Fabio Spagnolo and Nicola Spagnolo

1398: The Market Value of Energy Efficiency in Buildings and the Mode of Tenure

Konstantin Kholodilin and Claus Michelsen

1397: Global Warming, Technological Change and Trade in Carbon Energy: Challenge or Threat?

Gunter Stephan and Georg Müller-Fürstenberger

1396: Two Steps Forward - One Step Back?: Evaluating Contradicting Child Care Policies in Germany

Kai-Uwe Müller and Katharina Wrohlich

1395: Long Memory in UK Real GDP, 1851-2013: An ARFIMA-FIGARCH Analysis

Guglielmo Maria Caporale and Marinko Skare

1394: Oil Price Uncertainty and Sectoral Stock Returns in China: A Time-Varying Approach

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Faek Menla Ali and Nicola Spagnolo

1393: Do Media Data Help to Predict German Industrial Production?

Konstantin Kholodilin, Tobias Thomas and Dirk Ulbricht

1392: The Role of Visible Wealth for Deprivation

Veronika Bertram-Hümmer and Ghassan Baliki

1391: Similar Challenges - Different Responses: Housing Policy in Germany and Russia between the Two World Wars

Konstantin Kholodilin and Mark G. Meerovich

1390: Financial Development and Employment: Evidence from Transition Countries

Dorothea Schäfer and Susan Steiner

1389: Rates of Return and Early Retirement Disincentives: Evidence from a German Pension Reform

Holger Lüthen

1388: Structural Vector Autoregressions with Smooth Transition in Variances: The Interaction between U.S. Monetary Policy and the Stock Market

Helmut Lütkepohl and Aleksei Netšunajev

1387: Impact of Renewable Energy Act Reform on Wind Project Finance

Matthew Tisdale, Thilo Grau and Karsten Neuhoff

1386: The Weekend Effect: A Trading Robot and Fractional Integration Analysis

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Luis Gil-Alana, Alex Plastun and Inna Makarenko

1385: Capacity Mechanisms on Central European Electricity Markets: Effects on Consumers, Producers and Technologies until 2033

Thure Traber

1384: How You Ask Is What You Get: Willingness-to-Pay for a QALY in Germany

Marlies Ahlert, Friedrich Breyer and Lars Schwettmann

1383: All Quiet on the Eastern Front?: Disruption Scenarios of Russian Natural Gas Supply to Europe

Philipp Richter and Franziska Holz

1382: Unconventional Monetary Policy and Money Demand

Christian Dreger and Juergen Wolters

1381: WATER-Model: An Optimal Allocation of Water Resources in Turkey, Syria and Iraq

Pao-Yu Oei and Markus Siehlow

1380: Network Expansion to Mitigate Market Power: How Increased Integration Fosters Welfare

Alexander Zerrahn and Daniel Huppmann

1379: National-Strategic Investment in European Power Transmission Capacity

Daniel Huppmann and Jonas Egerer

1378: Beyond the "Grid-Lock" in Electricity Interconnectors: The Case of Germany and Poland

Lidia Puka and Kacper Szulecki

1377: Intraday Anomalies and Market Efficiency: A Trading Robot Analysis

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Luis Gil-Alana, Alex Plastun and Inna Makarenko

1376: John Doe's Old-Age Provision: Dollar Cost Averaging and Time Diversification

Dirk Ulbricht

1375: Are There Bubbles in Stock Prices?: Testing for Fundamental Shocks

Anton Velinov and Wenjuan Chen

1374: Estimating a Consumer Demand System of Energy, Mobility and Leisure: A Microdata Approach for Germany

Martin Beznoska

1373: The Welfare Impact of Parallel Imports: A Structural Approach Applied to the German Market for Oral Anti-Diabetics

Tomaso Duso, Annika Herr and Moritz Suppliet

1372: Elasticities of Supply for the US Natural Gas Market

Micaela Ponce and Anne Neumann

1371: Regulation, Innovation and Technology Diffusion: Evidence from Building Energy Efficiency Standards in Germany

Makram El-Shagi, Claus Michelsen and Sebastian Rosenschon

1370: Market Power, Fuel Substitution and Infrastructure: A Large-Scale Equilibrium Model of Global Energy Markets

Daniel Huppmann and Rudolf Egging-Bratseth

1369: The Impact of Oil Revenues on the Iranian Economy and the Gulf States

Christian Dreger and Teymur Rahmani

1368: Data and Model Cross-Validation to Improve Accuracy of Microsimulation Results: Estimates for the Polish Household Budget Survey

Michal Myck and Mateusz Najsztub

1367: Search-Based Endogenous Illiquidity and the Macroeconomy

Wei Cui and Sören Radde

1366: The Effects of Family Policy on Mothers' Labor Supply: Combining Evidence from a Structural Model and a Natural Experiment

Johannes Geyer, Peter Haan and Katharina Wrohlich

1365: On the Relationship between Public and Private Investment in the Euro Area

Christian Dreger and Hans-Eggert Reimers

1364: Asymmetric Information and Roll-over Risk

Philipp König and David Pothier

1363: Comparison of Feed-in Tariffs and Tenders to Remunerate Solar Power Generation

Thilo Grau

1362: International Capital Markets Structure, Preferences and Puzzles: The US-China Case

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Michael Donadelli and Alessia Varani

1361: Stated and Revealed Heterogeneous Risk Preferences in Educational Choice

Frank Fossen and Daniela Glocker

1360: Business Confidence and Forecasting of Housing Prices and Rents in Large German Cities

Konstantin Kholodilin and Boriss Siliverstovs

1359: Assessing the Sustainability of Government Debt: On the Different States of the Debt/GDP Process

Anton Velinov

1358: Race to the Debt Trap?: Spatial Econometric Evidence on Debt in German Municipalities

Frank Fossen, Ronny Freier and Thorsten Martin

1357: R&D Behavior of German Manufacturing Companies during the 2008/09 Recession

Alexander Eickelpasch

1356: Structural Vector Autoregressions: Checking Identifying Long-Run Restrictions via Heteroskedasticity

Helmut Lütkepohl and Anton Velinov

1355: Too Rich to Do the Dirty Work?: Wealth Effects on the Demand for Good Jobs

Luke Haywood

1354: Confidence Bands for Impulse Responses: Bonferroni versus Wald

Helmut Lütkepohl, Anna Staszewska-Bystrova and Peter Winker

1353: Financing Patterns of Innovative SMEs and the Perception of Innovation Barriers in Germany

Heike Belitz and Anna Lejpras

1352: The Global Crisis and Equity Market Contagion

Geert Bekaert, Michael Ehrmann, Marcel Fratzscher and Arnaud Mehl

1351: Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis in a Data Rich Environment: A Survey

Helmut Lütkepohl

1350: Can Stock Price Fundamentals Properly be Captured?: Using Markov Switching in Heteroskedasticity Models to Test Identification Schemes

Anton Velinov

1349: What Influences Banks' Choice of Risk Management Tools?: Theory and Evidence

Dilek Bülbül, Hendrik Hakenes and Claudia Lambert

1348: Big Banks and Macroeconomic Outcomes: Theory and Cross-Country Evidence of Granularity

Franziska Bremus, Claudia Buch, Katheryn Russ and Monika Schnitzer

1347: How Do Insured Deposits Affect Bank Risk?: Evidence from the 2008 Emergency Economic Stabilization Act

Claudia Lambert, Felix Noth and Ulrich Schüwer

1346: Granularity in Banking and Growth: Does Financial Openness Matter?

Franziska Bremus and Claudia Buch

1345: Testing Unemployment Theories: A Multivariate Long Memory Approach

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Luis Gil-Alana and Yuliya Lovcha

1344: Cross-Border Banking, Bank Market Structures and Market Power: Theory and Cross-Country Evidence

Franziska Bremus

1343: Capital Controls and Macroprudential Measures: What Are They Good For?

Kristin Forbes, Marcel Fratzscher and Roland Straub

1342: Crop Failures and Export Tariffs

Pio Baake and Steffen Huck

1341: Understanding Chinese Consumption: The Impact of Hukou

Christian Dreger, Tongsan Wang and Yanqun Zhang

1340: German MPs' Outside Jobs and Their Repercussions on Parliamentary Effort

Felix Arnold

1339: Fiscal Adjustment and Business Cycle Synchronization

Luca Agnello, Guglielmo Maria Caporale and Ricardo Sousa

1338: From Boom to Bust?: A Critical Look at US Shale Gas Projections

Philipp Richter

1337: Hidden Skewness: On the Difficulty of Multiplicative Compounding under Random Shocks

Ludwig Ensthaler, Olga Nottmeyer, Georg Weizsäcker and Christian Zankiewicz

1336: Institutional Herding in Financial Markets: New Evidence through the Lens of a Simulated Model

Christopher Boortz, Simon Jurkatis, Stephanie Kremer and Dieter Nautz

1335: Price Guarantees, Consumer Search, and Hassle Costs

Pio Baake and Ulrich Schwalbe

1334: Entrepreneurship versus Joblessness: Explaining the Rise in Self-Employment

Paolo Falco and Luke Haywood

1333: Credit Rating Agency Announcements and the Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis

Christopher Baum, Margarita Karpava, Dorothea Schäfer and Andreas Stephan

1332: The Transmission of Oil and Food Prices to Consumer Prices: Evidence for the MENA Countries

Ansgar Belke and Christian Dreger

1331: M&A and R&D: Asymmetric Effects on Acquirers and Targets?

Florian Szücs

1330: They Played the Merger Game: A Retrospective Analysis in the UK Videogames Market

Luca Aguzzoni, Elena Argentesi, Paolo Buccirossi, Lorenzo Ciari, Tomaso Duso, Massimo Tognoni and Cristiana Vitale

1329: Long-Term Effects of Diabetes Prevention: Evaluation of the M.O.B.I.L.I.S. Program for Obese Persons

Jan Häußler and Friedrich Breyer

1328: Policy Efforts for the Development of Storage Technologies in the U.S. and Germany

Eric Borden and Wolf-Peter Schill

1327: On Distributive Effects of Optimal Regulation for Power Grid Expansion

Luis Ángel Herrera and Juan Rosellon

1326: Skills in the Marketplace: Individual Characteristics and Bargaining Ability in a Field-Based Experiment

Nathan Fiala

1325: Improving Development Effectiveness through R&D: Dynamic Learning and Evaluation

Nathan Fiala and Cormac Mangan

1324: Stock Investments for Old-Age: Less Return, More Risk, and Unexpected Timing

Dirk Ulbricht

1323: Does State Antitrust Enforcement Drive Establishment Exit?

Robert Feinberg, Thomas Husted and Florian Szücs

1322: Clustering Properties of Merger Waves: Space, Time or Industry?

Florian Szücs

1321: Merger Externalities in Oligopolistic Markets

Klaus Gugler and Florian Szücs

1320: Health-Related Life Cycle Risks and Public Insurance

Daniel Kemptner

1319: Poverty and Transitions in Health

Maja Adena and Michal Myck

1318: Impact of Renewable Energy Policy and Use on Innovation: A Literature Review

Felix Groba and Barbara Breitschopf

1317: Combining Energy Networks: The Impact of Europe's Natural Gas Network on Electricity Markets until 2050

Jan Abrell, Clemens Gerbaulet, Franziska Holz, Casimir Lorenz and Hannes Weigt

1316: Residual Load, Renewable Surplus Generation and Storage Requirements in Germany

Wolf-Peter Schill

1314: First Do No Harm. Then Do Not Cheat: DRG Upcoding in German Neonatology

Hendrik Jürges and Juliane Köberlein

1313: Endogenous Shifts in OPEC Market Power: A Stackelberg Oligopoly with Fringe

Daniel Huppmann

1312: Power System Transformation towards Renewables: An Evaluation of Regulatory Approaches for Network Expansion

Jonas Egerer, Juan Rosellon and Wolf-Peter Schill