Working Papers (Old Series)

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1608: Where the Wild Things Are: Measuring Systemic Risk through Investor Sentiment

Ozgur Ergungor

1607: Monetary Policy, Residential Investment, and Search Frictions: An Empirical and Theoretical Synthesis

Kurt Lunsford

1606: Trade, Relative Prices, and the Canadian Great Depression

Pedro Amaral and James (Jim) MacGee

1605: Choosing a Control Group for Displaced Workers

Pawel Krolikowski

1604: Differences of Opinions

Dionissi Aliprantis

1603: How Did Pre-Fed Banking Panics End?

Gary Gorton and Ellis Tallman

1602: Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity in the United States during and after the Great Recession

Bruce Fallick, Michael Lettau and William Wascher

1601: Clouded Judgment: The Role of Sentiment in Credit Origination

Kristle Cortes, Ran Duchin and Denis Sosyura

1534: Premium Municipal Bonds and Issuer Fiscal Distress

Ozgur Ergungor and Stephan Whitaker

1533R: Industrial Composition and Intergenerational Mobility

Stephan Whitaker

1532: Even Keel and the Great Inflation

Owen Humpage and Sanchita Mukherjee

1531: Macro Credit Policy and the Financial Accelerator

Charles Carlstrom and Timothy Fuerst

1530: Persistence Dependence in Empirical Relations: The Velocity of Money

Richard Ashley and Randal Verbrugge

1529: From Organization to Activity in the US Collateralized Interbank Market

Mikhail Oet and Stephen J. Ong

1528: Identifying Structural VARs with a Proxy Variable and a Test for a Weak Proxy

Kurt Lunsford

1527: Tracking Trend Inflation: Nonseasonally Adjusted Variants of the Median and Trimmed-Mean CPI

Amy Higgins and Randal Verbrugge

1526: Give ’em Enough Rope? Leveraged Trading when Investors are Overconfident

Rawley Heimer

1525: Neighborhood Dynamics and the Distribution of Opportunity

Dionissi Aliprantis and Daniel Carroll

1524: Clustered Housing Cycles

Ruben Hernandez-Murillo, Michael Owyang and Margarita Rubio

1523: A State-Level Analysis of Okun’s Law

Amy Guisinger, Ruben Hernandez-Murillo, Michael Owyang and Tara Sinclair

1522: Facebook Finance: How Social Interaction Propagates Active Investing

Rawley Heimer and David Simon

1520: A New Model of Inflation, Trend Inflation, and Long-Run Inflation Expectations

Joshua Chan, Todd Clark and Gary Koop

1519: Forecasting Inflation: Phillips Curve Effects on Services Price Measures

Ellis Tallman and Saeed Zaman

1518: Intermediation in Networks

Jan-Peter Siedlarek

1517: Community Leaders and the Preservation of Cultural Traits

Anja Prummer and Jan-Peter Siedlarek

1516: Metropolitan Area Home Prices and the Mortgage Interest Deduction: Estimates and Simulations from Policy Change

Andrew Hanson and Hal Martin

1515: Credit Market Information Feedback

Lakshmi Balasubramanyan, Ben Craig, James Thomson and Saeed Zaman

1514: Job Ladders and Earnings of Displaced Workers

Pawel Krolikowski

1513: Evaluating the Information Value for Measures of Systemic Conditions

John Dooley, Dieter Gramlich, Mikhail Oet, Stephen J. Ong and Peter Sarlin

1512: Forecasts from Reduced-form Models under the Zero-Lower-Bound Constraint

Mehmet Pasaogullari

1511: Determinants of Differential Rent Changes: Mean Reversion versus the Usual Suspects

Alan Dorfman, William Johnson, Fred Marsh, Robert Poole, Owen Shoemaker and Randal Verbrugge

1510: The Federal Reserve System and World War I: Designing Policies without Precedent

Margaret Jacobson and Ellis Tallman

1509: The 2012 Eurozone Crisis and the ECB’s OMT Program: A Debt-Overhang Banking and Sovereign Crisis Interpretation

Filippo Occhino

1508: Determinants of Expected Returns at Public Defined-Benefit Pension Plans

Raj Aggarwal and John Goodell

1507: The Rise and Fall of Consumption in the 2000s

Yuliya Demyanyk, Dmytro Hryshko, Maria Luengo-Prado and Bent Sorensen

1506: Assessing the Evidence on Neighborhood Effects from Moving to Opportunity

Dionissi Aliprantis

1505: A distinction between causal effects in structural and rubin causal models

Dionissi Aliprantis

1504: How Cyclical Is Bank Capital?

Joseph Haubrich

1503: Are America's Inner Cities Competitive? Evidence from the 2000s

Daniel Hartley, Nikhil Kaza and T. William Lester

1502: Lessons for Forecasting Unemployment in the U.S.: Use Flow Rates, Mind the Trend

Brent Meyer and Murat Tasci

1501: Centrality-based Capital Allocations

Adrian Alter, Ben Craig and Peter Raupach

1442: Majority Voting: A Quantitative Investigation

Daniel Carroll, Jim Dolmas and Eric Young

1441: Can Reputation Ensure Efficiency in the Structured Finance Market? Majority Voting: A Quantitative Investigation

Mahmoud Elamin

1440: Big Data versus a Survey

Stephan Whitaker

1439: Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts

Todd Clark, Fabian Krueger and Francesco Ravazzolo

1438: Assessing the Change in Labor Market Conditions

Hess Chung, Bruce Fallick, Christopher Nekarda and David Ratner

1437: The Effect of Safe Assets on Financial Fragility in a Bank-Run Model

Toni Ahnert and Mahmoud Elamin

1436: What Kind of Teachers Are Schools Looking For? Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment

Peter Hinrichs

1435: An Empirical Analysis of Racial Segregation in Higher Education

Peter Hinrichs

1434: Legal Institutions, Credit Markets, and Economic Activity

James Brown, J. Cookson and Rawley Heimer