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From Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
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202108: Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees Downloads
Todd Clark, Florian Huber, Gary Koop, Massimiliano Marcellino and Michael Pfarrhofer
202107: Municipal Markets and the Municipal Liquidity Facility Downloads
John Bagley, Nicholas Fritsch and Shawn Nee
202106: All Forecasters Are Not the Same: Time-Varying Predictive Ability across Forecast Environments Downloads
Robert Rich and Joseph Tracy
202105: Inflation Gap Persistence, Indeterminacy, and Monetary Policy Downloads
Yasuo Hirose, Takushi Kurozumi and Willem Van Zandweghe
202104: Applications of Markov Chain Approximation Methods to Optimal Control Problems in Economics Downloads
Keyvan Eslami and Tom Phelan
202103: Location, Location, Structure Type: Rent Divergence within Neighborhoods Downloads
Brian Adams and Randal Verbrugge
202037: Neighborhood Sorting Obscures Neighborhood Effects in the Opportunity Atlas Downloads
Dionissi Aliprantis and Hal Martin
202036: What Determines the Success of Housing Mobility Programs? Downloads
Dionissi Aliprantis, Hal Martin and Kristen Tauber
202035: Macroeconomic Changes with Declining Trend Inflation: Complementarity with the Superstar Firm Hypothesis Downloads
Takushi Kurozumi and Willem Van Zandweghe
202034: Does the Yield Curve Predict Output? Downloads
Joseph Haubrich
202033: Even Keel and the Great Inflation Downloads
Victoria Consolvo, Owen Humpage and Sanchita Mukherjee
202032: Measuring Uncertainty and Its Effects in the COVID-19 Era Downloads
Andrea Carriero, Todd Clark, Massimiliano Marcellino and Elmar Mertens
202031: Real-Time Density Nowcasts of US Inflation: A Model-Combination Approach Downloads
Edward Knotek and Saeed Zaman
202030: Fireside Chats: Communication and Consumers’ Expectations in the Great Depression Downloads
Mathieu Pedemonte
202029: Quantitative Easing and Direct Lending in Response to the COVID-19 Crisis Downloads
Filippo Occhino
202028: On the Importance of Household versus Firm Credit Frictions in the Great Recession Downloads
Patrick Kehoe, Pierlauro Lopez, Virgiliu Midrigan and Elena Pastorino
202027: No-Arbitrage Priors, Drifting Volatilities, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates Downloads
Andrea Carriero, Todd Clark and Massimiliano Marcellino
202026: Average Inflation Targeting and Household Expectations Downloads
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Edward Knotek
202025: Information and Inequality in the Time of a Pandemic Downloads
Allan Dizioli and Roberto Pinheiro
202024: Low Interest Rates, Policy, and the Predictive Content of the Yield Curve Downloads
Michael Bordo and Joseph Haubrich
202023: Government Debt Limits and Stabilization Policy Downloads
Daniel Murphy and Eric Young
202022R: Late Payment Fees and Nonpayment in Rental Markets, and Implications for Inflation Measurement: Theoretical Considerations and Evidence Downloads
Wesley Janson and Randal Verbrugge
202021: Evaluating the Benefits of a Streamlined Refinance Program Downloads
Kristopher Gerardi, Lara Loewenstein and Paul S. Willen
202020: Output-Inflation Trade-offs and the Optimal Inflation Rate Downloads
Takushi Kurozumi and Willem Van Zandweghe
202019: Estimating the Trend Unemployment Rate in the Fourth Federal Reserve District Downloads
Bruce Fallick and Murat Tasci
202018: On the Distributional Effects of International Tariffs Downloads
Daniel Carroll and Sewon Hur
202017: Asymmetric Responses of Consumer Spending to Energy Prices: A Threshold VAR Approach Downloads
Edward Knotek and Saeed Zaman
202016: Raising the Inflation Target: How Much Extra Room Does It Really Give? Downloads
Jean-Paul L'Huillier and Raphael Schoenle
202015: Big G Downloads
Gernot Müller, Ernesto Pasten and Raphael Schoenle
202014: Monetary Policy with Judgment Downloads
Paolo Gelain and Simone Manganelli
202013R2: Nowcasting Tail Risks to Economic Activity with Many Indicators Downloads
Andrea Carriero, Todd Clark and Massimiliano Marcellino
202012: News and Uncertainty about COVID-19: Survey Evidence and Short-Run Economic Impact Downloads
Keith Kuester, Gernot Müller and Raphael Schoenle
202011: The Rise of Fintech Lending to Small Businesses: Businesses’ Perspectives on Borrowing Downloads
Brett Barkley and Mark Schweitzer
202010: Asset Prices and Unemployment Fluctuations Downloads
Patrick Kehoe, Pierlauro Lopez, Virgiliu Midrigan and Elena Pastorino
202009: Intermediation in the Interbank Lending Market Downloads
Ben Craig and Yiming Ma
202008: A New Tool for Robust Estimation and Identification of Unusual Data Points Downloads
Christian Garciga and Randal Verbrugge
202007: Saving Constraints, Debt, and the Credit Market Response to Fiscal Stimulus Downloads
Jorge Miranda-Pinto, Daniel Murphy, Kieran Walsh and Eric Young
202006: Oligopsonies over the Business Cycle Downloads
Daniel Monte and Roberto Pinheiro
202005: Output Gap, Monetary Policy Trade-offs, and Financial Frictions Downloads
Francesco Furlanetto, Paolo Gelain and Marzie Sanjani
202004: A Model of Expenditure Shocks Downloads
Jorge Miranda-Pino, Daniel Murphy, Kieran Walsh and Eric Young
202003: Advance Layoff Notices and Labor Market Forecasting Downloads
Pawel Krolikowski and Kurt Lunsford
202002R: Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions Downloads
Andrea Carriero, Todd Clark and Massimiliano Marcellino
202001: Making Friends Meet: Network Formation with Introductions Downloads
Jan-Peter Siedlarek
201930: Minimum Wage Increases and Vacancies Downloads
Marianna Kudlyak, Murat Tasci and Didem Tuzemen
201929: Sequential Bayesian Inference for Vector Autoregressions with Stochastic Volatility Downloads
Mark Bognanni and John Zito
201928: The Macroeconomic Effects of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act Downloads
Filippo Occhino
201927: Job-to-Job Flows and the Consequences of Job Separations Downloads
Bruce Fallick, John Haltiwanger and Erika McEntarfer
201926: The Optimal Taxation of Business Owners Downloads
Tom Phelan
201925R: The Propagation of Monetary Policy Shocks in a Heterogeneous Production Economy Downloads
Ernesto Pasten, Raphael Schoenle and Michael Weber
201924: The Effects of Price Endings on Price Rigidity: Evidence from VAT Changes Downloads
Edward Knotek, Doron Sayag and Avichai Snir
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