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Working Papers

From Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Contact information at EDIRC.

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23-24: Basic Facts on the Coverage of the Paycheck Protection Program Downloads
Angela Guo and Mark Schweitzer
23-23: Wage Adjustment in Efficient Long-Term Employment Relationships Downloads
Michael Elsby, Axel Gottfries, Pawel Krolikowski and Gary Solon
23-22: The Expectations of Others Downloads
Ezequiel Garcia-Lembergman, Ina Hajdini, John Leer, Mathieu Pedemonte and Raphael Schoenle
23-21: Estimating Duration Dependence on Re-employment Wages When Reservation Wages Are Binding Downloads
Richard Grice, Victor Hernandez Martinez and Kaixin Liu
23-20: The FOMC versus the Staff: Do Policymakers Add Value in Their Tales? Downloads
Ilias Filippou, James Mitchell and My T. Nguyen
23-19: Business Cycles and Low-Frequency Fluctuations in the US Unemployment Rate Downloads
Kurt Lunsford
23-18: Random Walk Forecasts of Stationary Processes Have Low Bias Downloads
Kurt Lunsford and Kenneth D. West
23-17: On the Origins of the Federal Reserve System and Its Structure Downloads
Owen Humpage
23-16: Childhood Exposure to Violence and Nurturing Relationships: The Long-Run Effects on Black Men Downloads
Dionissi Aliprantis and Kristen Tauber
2023-16: K–12 Schools in Ohio Are Separate and Unequal Downloads
Dionissi Aliprantis and Mukund Jayaram
23-15: Deep Neural Network Estimation in Panel Data Models Downloads
Ilias Chronopoulos, Katerina Chrysikou, George Kapetanios, James Mitchell and Aristeidis Raftapostolos
23-14: Estimates of Cost-Price Passthrough from Business Survey Data Downloads
Wändi Bruine de Bruin, Keshav Dogra, Sebastian Heise, Edward Knotek, Brent Meyer, Robert Rich, Raphael Schoenle, Giorgio Topa and Wilbert van der Klaauw
23-14: Estimates of Cost-Price Passthrough from Business Survey Data Downloads
Wändi Bruine de Bruin, Keshav Dogra, Sebastian Heise, Edward Knotek, Brent Meyer, Robert Rich, Raphael Schoenle, Giorgio Topa and Wilbert van der Klaauw
23-13: On the Essentiality of Credit and Banking at Zero Interest Rates Downloads
Paola Boel and Christopher Waller
23-12: Sticky Wages on the Layoff Margin Downloads
Steven Davis and Pawel Krolikowski
23-11: Nominal Rigidities and the Term Structures of Equity and Bond Returns Downloads
Pierlauro Lopez, David Lopez-Salido and Francisco Vazquez-Grande
23-10: The Art of Temporal Approximation An Investigation into Numerical Solutions to Discrete and Continuous-Time Problems in Economics Downloads
Keyvan Eslami and Thomas Phelan
23-09: Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting Downloads
Gary Koop, Gary Koop, Stuart McIntyre, James Mitchell, Aubrey Poon and Ping Wu
23-08: The Effect of Local Economic Shocks on Local and National Elections Downloads
Juan Herreño, Matias Morales and Mathieu Pedemonte
23-07R: Optimal Fiscal Reform with Many Taxes Downloads
Daniel Carroll, André Victor Doherty Luduvice and Eric Young
23-06R: Post-COVID Inflation Dynamics: Higher for Longer Downloads
Randal Verbrugge and Saeed Zaman
23-05: Bayesian Modeling of Time-Varying Parameters Using Regression Trees Downloads
Niko Hauzenberger, Florian Huber, Gary Koop and James Mitchell
23-04: Aggregate Implications of Heterogeneous Inflation Expectations: The Role of Individual Experience Downloads
Mathieu Pedemonte, Hiroshi Toma and Esteban Verdugo
23-03: The Hard Road to a Soft Landing: Evidence from a (Modestly) Nonlinear Structural Model Downloads
Randal Verbrugge and Saeed Zaman
23-01: The Transmission of International Monetary Policy Shocks on Firms' Expectations Downloads
Serafin Frache, Rodrigo Lluberas, Mathieu Pedemonte and Javier Turen
22-39: Corporate tax cuts and the decline of the manufacturing labor share Downloads
Baris Kaymak and Immo Schott
22-38R: Disentangling rent index differences: data, methods, and scope Downloads
Brian Adams, Lara Loewenstein, Hugh Montag and Randal Verbrugge
22-37: What is the Predictive Value of SPF Point and Density Forecasts? Downloads
Todd Clark, Gergely Ganics and Elmar Mertens
22-36R: Constructing Fan Charts from the Ragged Edge of SPF Forecasts Downloads
Todd Clark, Gergely Ganics and Elmar Mertens
22-36: Constructing Fan Charts from the Ragged Edge of SPF Forecasts Downloads
Todd Clark, Gergely Ganics and Elmar Mertens
22-35: Indirect Consumer Inflation Expectations: Theory and Evidence Downloads
Ina Hajdini, Edward Knotek, John Leer, Mathieu Pedemonte, Robert Rich and Raphael Schoenle
22-34: Sticky Information Versus Sticky Prices Revisited: A Bayesian VAR-GMM Approach Downloads
Takushi Kurozumi, Ryohei Oishi and Willem Van Zandweghe
22-33R: Oil Price Fluctuations, US Banks, and Macroprudential Policy Downloads
Paolo Gelain and Marco Lorusso
22-32: State Appropriations and Employment at Higher Education Institutions Downloads
Peter Hinrichs
22-31: The Hedgehog’s Curse: Knowledge Specialization and Displacement Loss Downloads
Victor Hernandez Martinez, Hans Holter and Roberto Pinheiro
22-30: A Spanner in the Works: Restricting Labor Mobility and the Inevitable Capital-Labor Substitution Downloads
Bharadwaj Kannan, Roberto Pinheiro and Harry Turtle
22-29: The financial accelerator mechanism: does frequency matter? Downloads
Claudia Foroni, Paolo Gelain and Massimiliano Marcellino
22-28: Accounting for Wealth Concentration in the United States Downloads
Baris Kaymak, David Leung and Markus Poschke
22-27: The Impact of the Age Distribution on Unemployment: Evidence from US States Downloads
Bruce Fallick and Christopher Foote
22-26: A Comment on 'Wealth Inequality and Endogenous Growth' by Byoungchan Lee Downloads
Shijun Gu and Chengcheng Jia
22-25: Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics Downloads
Andrea Carriero, Todd Clark and Massimiliano Marcellino
22-24: The Effect of Minimum Wages on Consumer Bankruptcy Downloads
Diego Legal and Eric Young
22-23R: Improving Inflation Forecasts Using Robust Measures Downloads
Randal Verbrugge and Saeed Zaman
22-22: Heterogeneity and the Effects of Aggregation on Wage Growth Downloads
Robert Rich and Joseph Tracy
22-21R: Low Passthrough from Inflation Expectations to Income Growth Expectations: Why People Dislike Inflation Downloads
Ina Hajdini, Edward Knotek, John Leer, Mathieu Pedemonte, Robert Rich and Raphael Schoenle
22-20: Greater Than the Sum of the Parts: Aggregate vs. Aggregated Inflation Expectations Downloads
Alexander Dietrich, Edward Knotek, Kristian Ove R. Myrseth, Robert Rich, Raphael Schoenle and Michael Weber
22-19: The Lightning Network: Turning Bitcoin into Money Downloads
Anantha Divakaruni and Peter Zimmerman
22-18: Credit Availability for Minority Business Owners in an Evolving Credit Environment: Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic Downloads
Brett Barkley and Mark Schweitzer
22-17: Labor Supply Shocks, Labor Force Entry, and Monetary Policy Downloads
Takushi Kurozumi and Willem Van Zandweghe
22-16: The Value of Unemployment Insurance: Liquidity vs. Insurance Value Downloads
Victor Hernandez Martinez and Kaixin Liu
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