Do We Really Know that the WTO Increases Trade?

Andrew Rose

No 9273, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: This paper estimates the effect on international trade of multilateral trade agreements: the World Trade Organization (WTO), its predecessor the Generalized Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), and the Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) extended from rich countries to developing countries. I use a standard gravity' model of bilateral merchandise trade and a large panel data set covering over fifty years and 175 countries. An extensive search reveals little evidence that countries joining or belonging to the GATT/WTO have different trade patterns than outsiders. The GSP does seem to have a strong effect, and is associated with an approximate doubling of trade.

JEL-codes: F13 F15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2002-10
Note: ITI
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (62)

Published as Rose, Andrew K. "Do We Really Know That The WTO Increases Trade?," American Economic Review, 2004, v94(1,Mar), 98-114.

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.nber.org/papers/w9273.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Do We Really Know That the WTO Increases Trade? (2004)
Working Paper: Do We Really Know that the WTO Increases Trade? (2002)
Working Paper: Do We Really KNow that the WTO Increases Trade? (2002)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nbr:nberwo:9273

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
http://www.nber.org/papers/w9273

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A.. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ().