National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers

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156: An encompassing framework for evaluating simple monetary policy rules

Ray Barrell and Dr Ian Hurst

155: The Forecasting Performance of the OECD Composite Leading Indicators for France, Germany, Italy

Dr Martin Weale, Gonzalo Camba-Mendez, George Kapetanios and Ray Smith

154: A Radial Basis Function Artificial Neural Network Test for ARCH

Andrew Blake

153: A Radial Basis Function Artificial Neural Network Test for Neglected Nonlinearity

Andrew Blake

152: A Test of M Structural Breaks Under the Unit Root Hypothesis

George Kapetanios

151: A Bootstrap Test of Cointegration Rank

Gonzalo Camba-Mendez

150: Tests of Rank in Reduced Rank Regression Models

Dr Martin Weale

149: An Automatic Leading Indicator of Economic Activity: Forecasting GDP Growth for European Countries

Dr Martin Weale

148: Employment Security and European Labour Demand: A Panel Study Across 16 Industries

Ray Barrell

147: Generational Accounting in the UK

James Sefton

146: Manufactures Import Demand: Structural Differences in the European Union

Ray Barrell

145: Evolving Patterns in Manufactures Import Demand in the European Union: An Empirical Investigation of

Ray Barrell

144: An Artificial Neural Network System of Leading Indicators

Andrew Blake

143: Labour productivity and foreign ownership in the UK

Nick Oulton

142: Measuring employment security using employers attitudes

Julian Morgan

141: Investment, capital and foreign ownership in UK manufacturing

Nick Oulton

140: A tale of two cycles: closure, downsizing and productivity growth in UK manufacturing, 1973-89

Nick Oulton

139: Job Generation in the UK Corporate Sector, 1986-95

P E Hart

138: UK Consumption in the long run: the determinants of consumer spending 1925-1995

Dr Martin Weale, Andrew P Blake and Gonzalo Camba-Mendez

137: The Diffusion Of Innovations In Central And Eastern Europe: A Study Of The Determinants And Impact O

Nigel Pain and Dawn Holland

136: The British Stake in Hong Kong: Direct Investment

Simon Broadbent

135: Estimating Cointegrating Relationships When There Is Uncertainty About The Time Series Properties of

Dr Garry Young

134: Job creation and destruction in the corporate sector: the relative importance of births, deaths and

P E Hart

133: Cost of separating budgetary policy from control of inflation: a neglected aspect of central bank independence

Dr Martin Weale

132: Interpolation and measurement error: an assessment of monthly data in a VAR model

Dr Martin Weale

131: Export performance and and the role of foreign direct investment

Nigel Pain

130: Filtered least squares and measurement error

Andrew Blake

129: The strategic management of intellectual porperty: review of the interview programme

Duncan Matthews

128: Can real equilibrium models account for the fluctuations of the UK business cycle?

Gonzalo Camba-Mendez and Joseph Pearlman

127: A monthly indicator of GDP

Dr Martin Weale

126: Interpolation using a dynamic regression model: specification and Monte Carlo properties

Dr Martin Weale

125: The evolution of rules for the European single market in pharmaceuticals

Duncan Matthews

124: Capital accumulation and manufacturing productivity performance: US-European Comparisons

Mary O'Mahony

123: A calibrated model of saving and income distribution for the UK

Dr Martin Weale

122: A solution method for consumption decisions in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model

James Sefton

121: UK Labour Market Reforms and Sectoral Wage Formation

Bob Anderton

119: A Common Currency Route to EMU: The Hard ECU Revisited

Christopher Taylor

118: Trade with China: Do the Figures Add up?

Simon Broadbent

117: Labour Productivity in Transport and Communications: International Comparisons

Mary O'Mahony

116: Income distribution and income dynamics in the United Kingdom

Dr Martin Weale

115: The evolution of rules for the Single European Market in insurance

Duncan Matthews

114: Consumption and the means of payment: an empirical analysis for the United Kingdom

Dr Martin Weale

113: Britain's fiscal problems

Nigel Pain, Dr Martin Weale and Dr Garry Young

112: Under-achievement and pedagogy

R G Luxton

111: School-readiness, whole-class teaching and pupils' mathematical attainments

Sig Prais

110: Industry, regulation and the single European market

Duncan Matthews

109: Comparative productivity in market services: the distributive trades

Mary O'Mahony

108: Employment protection and labour demand

Julian Morgan

107: Continental Drift: European Integration and the Location of UK Foreign Direct Investment

Nigel Pain

106: Air Transport: International comparisons of Labour Productivity

Jennet Vass