National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers

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207: Evaluating Currency Crises: The Case of European Monetary System

Kostas Mouratidis

206: Non-Linear Modelling of Household Consumption: an Examination of a Closed-Form Life-Cycle Model

Rebecca Riley and Dr Martin Weale

205: The Role of Efficiency as an Explanation of International Income Differences

Philip Stevens

204: An Empirical Analysis of Monetary Policy Choices in the Pre-EMU Period

Ray Barrell and Dawn Holland

203: London's Unemployment in the 1990s: Tests of Demand-Side Explanations for its Relative Growth

John Forth and Hilary Metcalf

202: Absorptive Capacity and Frontier Technology: Evidence from OECD Manufacturing Industries

Philip Stevens

201: Do Intangible Investments Affect Companies' Productivity Performance?

Mary O'Mahony and Dr Michela Vecchi

200: Playing the Generation Game: a re-examination of saving behaviour around retirement

Dr Martin Weale

199: Financial Liberalisation, Alliance Capitalism and the Changing Structure of Financial Markets

Nigel Pain

198: Investment and Uncertainty in the G7

Professor E. Philip Davis and Joseph Byrne

197: Sterling Volatility and European Monetary Union

Christopher Taylor

196: How Important are Automatic Stabilisers in Europe? A Stochastic Simulation Assessment

Ray Barrell

195: Fiscal Incentives, European Integration and the Location of Foreign Direct Investment

Nigel Pain

194: Aggregate versus Disaggregate Survey-Based Indicators of Economic Activity (revised January 2005)

Martin Weale and Dr. James Mitchell

193: Credibility of the Russian Stabilisation Programme in 1995-98

Tatiana Kirsanova

192: A Comparison of Personal Sector Saving Rates in the UK, US and Italy

Tatiana Kirsanova

190: The effect of tuition fees on students' demands and expectations: evidence from case studies of four

Dr Heather Rolfe

188: A Timeless Perspective on Optimality in Forward-Looking Rational Expectations Models

Andrew Blake

187: Some evidence on financial factors in the determination of aggregate business investment for the G7

Professor E. Philip Davis

186: Increasing inequality in Higher Education: the role of term-time working

Hilary Metcalf

185: The determinants of economic efficiency in English and Welsh universities

Philip Stevens

184: The macroeconomic impact of the New Deal for Young People

Rebecca Riley and Garry Young

183: Does welfare-to-work policy increase employment?: Evidence from the UK New Deal for Young People

Rebecca Riley and Garry Young

181: Quantification of qualitative firm-level survey data

Dr Martin Weale and James Mitchell

180: Disaggregate Wealth and aggregate consumption: an investigation of empirical relationships for the

Professor E. Philip Davis

179: The low-paid worker and the low-paying employer: characterisations using WERS98

John Forth

178: Balance of payments prospects in EMU

Dirk Te Velde

177: Openness, integration and transition: prospects and policies for economies in transition

Nigel Pain, Ray Barrell and Dawn Holland

176: Evaluating macroeconomic models of the business cycle

Dr Garry Young

175: Inward investment and technical progress in the United Kingdom manufacturing sector

Nigel Pain

174: Openness, growth and development: trade and investment issues for developing economies

Nigel Pain

173: Pay settlements in Britain

John Forth

172: The importance of long run structure for impulse response analysis in VAR models

Dr. James Mitchell

171: The determinants of pay levels and fringe benefit provision in Britain

John Forth

170: From unemployment to self-employment: developing an effective structure of micro-finance support

Hilary Metcalf

169: Cointegrating VAR models with endogenous I(0) variables: theoretical extensions and an application to UK monetary policy

Dr Martin Weale and Dr. James Mitchell

168: Choosing the regime: macroeconomic effects of UK entry into EMU

Ray Barrell

167: Incorporating lag order selection uncertainty in parameter inference for AR models

George Kapetanios

166: Information Criteria, Model Selection Uncertainty and the Determination of Cointegration Rank

George Kapetanios

165: Model Selection Uncertainty and Dynamic Models

George Kapetanios

164: Testing for a Unit Root against Nonlinear STAR Models

George Kapetanios

163: Real National Income

Dr Martin Weale

162: Capital Income Taxation and Public Choice

Dr Martin Weale

160: International monetary policy coordination: an evaluation of cooperative strategies using a large ec

Ray Barrell and Dr Ian Hurst

157: Labour productivity and convergence within Europe: East German and Irish experience

Ray Barrell

156: An encompassing framework for evaluating simple monetary policy rules

Ray Barrell and Dr Ian Hurst

155: The Forecasting Performance of the OECD Composite Leading Indicators for France, Germany, Italy

Dr Martin Weale, Gonzalo Camba-Mendez, George Kapetanios and Ray Smith

154: A Radial Basis Function Artificial Neural Network Test for ARCH

Andrew Blake

153: A Radial Basis Function Artificial Neural Network Test for Neglected Nonlinearity

Andrew Blake

152: A Test of M Structural Breaks Under the Unit Root Hypothesis

George Kapetanios