Working Papers

From Banco Central de Reserva del Perú
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2025-026: Hiperinflación y estabilización: El caso del Perú 1988-1992

Adrián Armas Rivas and Zenón Quispe Misaico

2025-025: ¿Cuán no lineal es la curva de Phillips de Perú?

MarcoVega and Andrew Garcia

2025-024: Economic Uncertainty from Business Tendency Surveys: The Peruvian case

Ana Paola Gutierrez, Luis-Gonzalo Llosa and Juan José Tang

2025-023: Banks and the Marginal Propensity to Lend in General Equilibrium

Angel Fernández Rojas

2025-022: Efectos distributivos de la inflación

Nikita Cespedes Reynaga and Mario Huarancca

2025-021: Un modelo bancario con pagos digitales

Angel Fernández Rojas and Zenon Quispe Misaico

2025-020: Heterogeneity, Production Networks and the Economic Impact of Weather Shocks

Christian Velasquez

2025-019: Policy interest rate expectations and the behavior of the interbank money market

Piero Garcia, Jorge Pozo and Rafael Velarde

2025-018: Macroeconomic Effects of the Minimum Wage in an Emerging Economy with Labor Informality

Oscar Iván Ávila-Montealegre, Juan J. OspinaTejeiro, Anderson Grajales-Olarte and Mario A. Ramos-Veloza

2025-017: The Impact of the Uncertainty in Bank Lending Standards

César Salinas

2025-016: Regional Inflation Spillovers and Monetary Policy Design: Evidence from Peru's Successful InflationTargeting Framework

Jose Aguilar and Ricardo Quineche

2025-015: Recent Tax Reforms in Peru: A Macro-Sectoral Assessment Using a Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model

Lourdes Alvarez and Braulio Escobar

2025-014: Liquidity Regulation and the LCR Premium: Evidence from Repo Market Dynamics in Peru

Delia Ruiz, Diego Franco and Walter Cuba

2025-013: The Impact of Deposit Dollarization on Credit Dollarization: Evidence of Natural Hedging and Excessive Risk-Taking Channels

Jorge Pozo

2025-012: The Economic Footprint of Natural Disasters: Demand-side or supply-side forces?

Jorge Pozo and Youel Rojas

2025-011: Dynamic Relationship between Credit and Economic Growth

Nicolás Butrón and Jorge Pozo

2025-010: On the Dynamics of Mental Health

Diego Ascarza-Mendoza and Christian Velasquez

2025-009: El muy prolongado viaje al trabajo en Perú

Nikita Céspedes-Reynaga

2025-008: Economic Activity, Inflation, and Monetary Policy after Extreme Weather Events: ENSO and its Economic Impact on the Peruvian Economy

John Aguirre, Alan Ledesma Arista, Fernando Perez and Youel Rojas

2025-007: Financial Institutions and Climate Shocks: Pre-emptive vs. Reactive Lending Adjustments in the Case of El Niño

Viktoria Vidahazy, Gerald Alex Cisneros Rojas and Alvaro Alejandro Hinostroza Lamilla

2025-006: Adoption and welfare effects of payment innovations: The case of digital wallets in Peru

Arturo Andia, Jose Aurazo and Marcelo Paliza

2025-005: ¿La Inflación en el Perú Presenta una Dinámica Asimétrica?: Un Enfoque Cuantílico

Jose Aguilar, Romina Garibay and Ricardo Quineche

2025-004: Natural events in Peru: A multidimensional analysis

Jhonatan Vicuña, Maria Fe García and Renzo Castellares

2025-003: Diseño e Implementación del Piloto de CBDC Minorista en Perú

Milton Vega, Elmer Sánchez León and Arturo Andia

2025-002: El Programa Reactiva y sus efectos reales en las empresas peruanas

Nikita Céspedes-Reynaga and Lesly Gonzales-Berrocal

2025-001: The Effects of Business Credit Support Programs: Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design

Balila Acurio and Alessandro Tomarchio

2024-024: Terms of Trade and Small Open Economies Business Cycles: The role of Global Shocks

Christian Velasquez

2024-023: Work from home and labor market outcomes in developing economies

Nikita Céspedes-Reynaga

2024-022: Ciclos Crediticios en el Perú

Cristian Alcaraz, Miguel Cabello and Rafael Nivin

2024-021: Dissecting The Risk-Taking Channel of Monetary Policy: A New Approach and Evidence from Peru

Jorge Pozo and Youel Rojas

2024-020: Competencia Fintech en el mercado minorista de cambio de divisas

Alvaro Hinostroza and David Ramírez

2024-019: Nowcasting Peruvian GDP with Machine Learning Methods

Jairo Flores Audante, Bruno Gonzaga, Walter Ruelas-Huanca and Juan Tang

2024-018: Monetary Policy, Bank Heterogeneity and the Marginal Propensity to Lend

Angel Fernández Rojas

2024-017: Exploring the presence of Nonlinearities in the Peruvian Economy - Monetary Policy Implications

Fernando Pérez Forero

2024-016: Buen clima, buen comercio: los efectos heterogéneos de las expectativas de los consumidores sobre los flujos comerciales bilaterales

Mercedes Araoz, Renzo Castellares and Gustavo Sánchez

2024-015: Predicción del Riesgo de Crédito en el Sistema Financiero Peruano

Diego Yamunaqué Zavala, Miguel Cabello and Camila Rodríguez

2024-014: Second job-holding in an emerging economy: the role of household shocks

Nikita Céspedes-Reynaga, Ana Olivera and Nelson R. Ramírez-Rondán

2024-013: Los múltiples empleos en Perú: características, tendencias y agenda de investigación

Nikita Céspedes-Reynaga, Ana Olivera and Nelson R. Ramírez-Rondán

2024-012: Estimating New Financial Conditions Indexes for the Peruvian Economy

Fernando Pérez Forero

2024-011: Access pricing, data externalities and sub-acquirers in payment markets

Jose Aurazo

2024-010: Forecasting Peruvian Monetary Aggregates in a Nonlinear and Uncertain Environment

Fernando Pérez Forero

2024-009: Forecasting inflation with a framework for model and neural architecture search with tree-structured search spaces

Andrew Garcia and Marco Vega

2024-008: Does the transmission of monetary policycshocks change when inflation is high?

Fabio Canova and Fernando Pérez Forero

2024-007: La morosidad del sector agroexportador peruano en el contexto del Fenómeno El Niño: evidencia a nivel de firmas para el periodo 2013 -2019

Pedro Azañedo, Luis Casaverde, Denys Casiano and José Lupú

2024-006: Determinantes de la rentabilidad en empresas privadas no financieras de Perú: un análisis de datos de panel para el período 2004 – 2022

Bruno Gonzaga and Diego Mamani

2024-005: Informality and Wealth Distribution: A Heterogeneous Agent Model

Hamilton Galindo, Alan Ledesma Arista, Luis Yepez and César Salinas

2024-004: Efectos del Requerimiento de Capital por Concentración de Mercado sobre la Oferta de Créditos

Walter Cuba

2024-003: GDP nowcasting with Machine Learning and Unstructured Data

Juan Tenorio and Wilder Perez

2024-002: El efecto de choques fiscales anticipados y no anticipados en el Perú

Jose Aguilar and Erick Lahura

2024-001: Choques económicos y estrategias de suavizamiento de consumo de los hogares

Nikita Cespedes Reynaga and Manuel Talledo Carrasco