Working Papers

From Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey
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1313: Financial Intermediaries, Credit Shocks and Business Cycles

Yasin Mimir

1312: Role of Investment Shocks in Explaining Business Cycles in Turkey

Canan Yuksel

1311: Systemic Risk Analysis of Turkish Financial Institutions with Systemic Expected Shortfall

Irem Talasli

1310: Household Expectations and Household Consumption Expenditures: The Case of Turkey

Evren Ceritoğlu

1309: Oil Price Uncertainty in a Small Open Economy

Yusuf Baskaya, Timur Hulagu and Hande Kucuk

1308: Consumer Tendency Survey Based Inflation Expectations

Ece Oral

1307: A Literature Overview of the Central Bank�s Knowledge Transparency

Mustafa Guler

1306: The Turkish Approach to Capital Flow Volatility

Yasin Akcelik, Erdem Basci, Ergun Ermisoglu and Arif Oduncu

1305: Market-Based Measurement of Expectations on Short-Term Rates in Turkey

İbrahim Kanlı

1304: Yurtici Tasarruflar ve Bireysel Emeklilik Sistemi: Turkiye�deki Uygulamaya Iliskin Bir Degerlendirme

Ozgur Ozel and Cihan Yalcin

1303: Reserve Options Mechanism and FX Volatility

Arif Oduncu, Yasin Akcelik and Ergun Ermisoglu

1302: Stock Return Comovement and Systemic Risk in the Turkish Banking System

Mahir Binici, Bülent Köksal and Cuneyt Orman

1301: Import Surveillance and Over Invoicing of Imports in Turkey

Zelal Aktas and Altan Aldan

1233: Nowcasting Turkish GDP Growth

Huseyin Akkoyun and Mahmut Gunay

1232: Rezerv Opsiyonu Mekanizmasi ve Optimal Rezerv Opsiyonu Katsayilarinin Hesaplanmasi

Doruk Küçüksaraç and Ozgur Ozel

1231: Finansal Krizlerin Belirleyicileri Olarak Hizli Kredi Genislemeleri ve Cari Islemler Acigi

Aytul Ganioglu

1230: On the Sources and Consequences of Oil Price Shocks: The Role of Storage

Deren Ünalmış, Ibrahim Unalmis and Filiz Unsal

1229: Mitigating Turkey's Trilemma Tradeoffs

Yasin Akcelik, Orcan Çörtük and Ibrahim Turhan

1228: Capital Regulation, Monetary Policy and Financial Stability

Pierre-Richard Agénor, Koray Alper and Luiz Awazu Pereira da Silva

1227: Determinants of Precautionary Savings: Elasticity of Intertemporal Substitution vs. Risk Aversion

Arif Oduncu

1226: An Analysis of Intraday Patterns and Liquidity on the Istanbul Stock Exchange

Bülent Köksal

1225: Short Run Import Dynamics in Turkey

Altan Aldan, İhsan Bozok and Mahmut Gunay

1224: Required Reserves as a Credit Policy Tool

Yasin Mimir, Enes Sunel and Temel Taskin

1223: Are Swap and Bond Markets Alternatives to Each Other in Turkey?

Murat Duran and Doruk Küçüksaraç

1222: Health Expenditures Risk, Purchase of Private Health Insurance, and Precautionary Saving in Turkey

Evren Ceritoğlu

1221: Turk Imalat Sanayi Sektorel Reel Efektif Doviz Kuru Endeksleri Uzerine Bir Degerlendirme

Hulya Saygili and Gökhan Yılmaz

1220: Home Production and the Optimal Rate of Unemployment Insurance

Temel Taskin

1219: Turkiye Icin Bir Reel Iktisadi Faaliyet Gostergesi

S. Boragan Aruoba and Cagri Sarikaya

1218: Nowcasting Unemployment Rate in Turkey: Let's Ask Google

Meltem Chadwick and Gonul Sengul

1217: Monetary Policy in Turkey After the Global Crisis

Hakan Kara

1216: How Different are the Wage Curves for Formal and Informal Workers? Evidence from Turkey

Badi Baltagi, Yusuf Baskaya and Timur Hulagu

1215: Business Cycle Synchronization of Turkey with Euro Area and the US: What Has Changed After 2001?

Huseyin Cagri Akkoyun, Mahmut Gunay and Bahar Sen-Dogan

1214: Profitability, Saving and Investment of Non-Financial Firms in Turkey

Erdal Ozmen, Saygin Sahinoz and Cihan Yalcin

1213: Sektorel Reel Efektif Doviz Kurlari: Turkiye Uygulamasi

Hulya Saygili, Gökhan Yılmaz, Sibel Filazioglu and Hakan Toprak

1212: Price Search, Consumption Inequality, and Expenditure Inequality over the Life Cycle

Yavuz Arslan and Temel Taskin

1211: Housing Prices and Transaction Volume

H. Cagri Akkoyun, Yavuz Arslan and Birol Kanık

1210: Ins and Outs of Unemployment in Turkey

Gonul Sengul

1209: Short-Term Inflation Forecasting Models For Turkey and a Forecast Combination Analysis

Kurmaş Akdoğan, Selen Başer Andıç, Meltem Chadwick, Dilara Ertug, Timur Hulagu, Sevim Kösem, Fethi Ogunc, Utku Ozmen and Necati Tekatli

1208: Religion, Income Inequality, and the Size of the Government

Ceyhun Elgin, Turkmen Goksel, Mehmet Gurdal and Cuneyt Orman

1207: Common Movement of the Emerging Market Currencies

Meltem Chadwick, Fatih Fazilet and Necati Tekatli

1206: Trade Openness, Market Competition, and Inflation: Some Sectoral Evidence from OECD Countries

Mahir Binici, Yin-Wong Cheung and Kon S. Lai

1205: Trend Shocks, Risk Sharing and Cross-Country Portfolio Holdings

Yavuz Arslan, Gursu Keles and Mustafa Kilinc

1204: An Empirical Study on Liquidity and Bank Lending

Koray Alper, Timur Hulagu and Gursu Keles

1203: Learning, Monetary Policy and Housing Prices

Birol Kanık

1202: Stylized Facts for Business Cycles in Turkey

Harun Alp, Yusuf Baskaya, Mustafa Kilinc and Canan Yuksel

1201: Oil Prices and Emerging Market Exchange Rates

Ibrahim Turhan, Erk Hacihasanoglu and Ugur Soytas

1127: Global Imbalances, Current Account Rebalancing and Exchange Rate Adjustments

Yavuz Arslan, Mustafa Kilinc and Ibrahim Turhan

1126: Optimal Monetary Policy Rules, Financial Amplification, and Uncertain Business Cycles

Salih Fendoglu

1125: Price Rigidity In Turkey: Evidence From Micro Data

Utku Ozmen and Orhun Sevinc

1124: Arzin Merkezine Seyahat: Bankacilarla Yapilan Gorusmelerden Elde Edilen Bilgilerle Turk Bankacilik Sektorunun Davranisi

Koray Alper, Defne Mutluer Kurul and Ramazan Karasahin