Correcting Beliefs about Job Opportunities and Wages: A Field Experiment on Education Choices

Bart K. de Koning, Robert Dur and Didier Fouarge
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Bart K. de Koning: Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Robert Dur: Erasmus University Rotterdam
Didier Fouarge: Maastricht University

No 26-011/VII, Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers from Tinbergen Institute

Abstract: In a natural field experiment, we provide information to students about job opportunities and hourly wages of occupations they are interested in. The experiment takes place within a widely-used career orientation program in the Netherlands, and involves 28,186 pre-vocational secondary education students in 243 schools over two years. The information improves students’ belief accuracy and leads them to change their preferred occupation to one with better labor market prospects. Administrative data covering up to seven years after our experiment shows that students who receive information choose and graduate from post-secondary education programs with better job opportunities and higher hourly wages.

Keywords: Education choice; labor market information; field experiment. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D83 I26 J24 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026-03-20
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